Is Donald Trump a Russian agent?
I don't think so, but it's no longer an irrational thing to ask. Indeed, it has to be at least slightly pondered.
Yesterday Trump announced that the U.S. Army is scaling back on joint exercises with the South Korean Military. More specifically:
I just think that this shows Trump to be really dumb, something I've been maintaining for awhile.
But still, consider that North Korea is supplying troops and arms to Russia in Ukraine. At least at one point, he apparently promised to stop the CIA from monitoring Kim Jong Un (my guess is that the CIA would continue to do it even if ordered to stop). He's praised the North Korean despot repeatedly.
But then, he's done the same with Putin.
And the fact of the matter is that he couldn't have done more to harm the US in the globe than he has, even if he was a paid agent. He's wrecking the US economy, he's destroying our relationship with our allies (our real allies), he's threatened to seize territory belonging to our allies. He's refused to give Ukraine the full amount of weapons it needs to defend itself, which aids Russia, and he's gotten us into a war which is depleting our supply of air defense munitions at an alarming rate and taxing the abilities of our Navy.
China will take advantage of this.
In order to successfully invade Taiwan, China needs relatively calm weather conditions, which only occur in that region in the spring and fall. Spring is gone, but fall is coming right up. The war with Iraq that Trump illegally launched will still be going on in October and our supply of anti missile missiles will not have increased a bit by then. It will likely have have grown worse. The morale problem in the Navy (assuming its limited to the Navy, which is not a safe assumption) will be worse by October.
Consider this.
Right now, the US can't be reliably counted on to contest a Chinese invasion of Taiwan at all. Donald Trump could easily just say "oh, well, we're busy, and things and stuff" and let it happen. Frankly, I'd give less than 50% odds the US would actually attempt to counter a Chinese resumption of active hostilities against Taiwan, and unlike 1949, when the Republicans rallied to "Who lost China?" the current GOP would just roll over like a wet dog if that occured.
But let's assume that the US attempts to do something. We are still probably able to counter a Chinese seaborne effort, but we aren't going to be in very good shape to counter a missile offensive.
Crossing the Taiwan Strait is a massive military undertaking. Even right now China can probably not pull it off. But it can try it, and if it does, the US can't endure a protracted aerial campaign. Its not even showing the ability to do it with Iran, and that war will still be going on.
But let's take it one more step. Can the US fight a sea and air war against China, an air war against Iran, and a ground invasion by North Korea of South Korea?
It's questionable. And all those countries know that.
And Putin knows that if that occurs, U.S. aid to Ukraine is over.
The Second World War saw Nazi Germany allied to Imperial Japan and democratic Finland. Wars make strange bedfellows. All of these countries have relations with each other, and you can bet they're talking.
So, do I think the American President is some sort of odd agent in Russian employment? Дональд Трамп. Нелегалы? No, I don't, but I do think he's stupid, and that stupidity is having disastrous consequences that are about to get much, much worse. Much worse by October of this year, or perhaps the spring of next year. Indeed, waiting it out would make strategic sense for China, while hitting in October would make political sense.
Creepy
Trump's relationship with Natalie Harp is approaching being creepy.
We can assume that Harp is an adoring sycophant, as to be employed by Trump, you have to be. But still. She apparently wrote him, stating:" You are all that matters to me." and "I don’t ever want to let you down."
Trump calls her “sweetie".
Okay, that doesn't mean that he's obtaining favors from her, but given Trump's track record, it's going to raise questions. Trump is rumored to have had an affair with Playboy tart Karen McDougal some 20 years ago, when he was 60. 60 isn't young (trust me, I'm 63) but it isn't old either. That's the same age he was when he reportedly had a one night stand with Stormy Daniels. He'd been married in the American context to Melanija Knavs for two years at the time. So if he quit cheating, we have to assume that at age 60 he was fornicating with women prostituting their image for pay (which he denies) twice and then suddenly reformed.
Maybe.
Well, being a lech at age 60 isn't the same thing as being one at 80. Harp is 35 and the 45 year age gap would be super creepy and just flat out too creepy for any woman of that age to engage in who wasn't um, a professional. Besides, at this point it's fairly well established that Trump has an incomitance problem and stinks a lot of the time.
No, Harp is just another creepy fan of Trump's, seeing something in him that isn't there.
And, speaking of creepy.
Nancy Mace has been weird for a while, but she's rocketing to the bottom.
Some predictions
Well, with all that cheery news, what can we say?
Just this. Things are about to get a lot worse. As we progress into the fall the oncoming electoral disaster for the GOP is going to become more and more of a crisis for Trump, and he's going to start doing anything he can to steal the election if not outright suspend it. A war we are losing will still be going on. The economy is going to start tanking. Trump's mental state will continue to visibly decline. Republicans in Congress will continue to do nothing, if not outright support the subversion of democracy.
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