Saturday, August 15, 2026

The 2026 Election, 18th Edition. Primary Voting Commences Edition. Vote like your future and that of your state depends on it, because it does, part three.

Robert M. Carey, left, Robert D. Carey, right.  Robert M. Carey was a lawyer, rancher, judge, and Congressman, Senator and Governor of Wyoming who received the Democratic nomination for the office in 1910 after determining to leave the Republican Party in order to defeat its machine.  He followed Theodore Roosevelt into the Progressive Party and never returned to the GOP.  Robert D. Carey was his son was a Converse County banker and rancher who was part of the Progressive Party National Committee from 1917 to 1918 and who was elected to the position of Governor as a Republican in 1918.  He later served a single term as U.S. Senator from Wyoming.  Both men are proof who don't have to be a lockstep sycophant to be an effective politician.

Less than one week to go until the primary, which unless something bizarre happens, Trump defects to Russia taking Chuck Gray with him. . . Hageman and Degenfelder join the CPUA. . ., that will be the election for a lot of positions.

Although maybe not quite all.

As earlier noted, I've already cast my vote.  And honestly, in spite of the really disappointing overall choices at the statewide level, there were a few really good candidates.  

I voted for:

Governor:  Barlow.

Senate:  Mead

House of Representatives:  Christensen.

Secretary of State:  Short.

Superintendent of Public Instruction: Harshman

Everyone of these candidates was somebody you could really get behind.

There are others.  I'd note, more locally, Campbell for the House as well as Jarvis. And Engebretsen for the Senate.

And then there are a collection that really need to be sent packing.  Ide, Bear, Allemand, for example.  For that matter, Rasner, Gray, Friess and Hageman need to be retired from politics by the electorate.

We have, we note, only discussed the GOP candidates for the most part.  The GOP, now, is practically two parties in and of itself.  There's the Republican Party, and then there's the Calvinist Theocratic Party, the WFC.  They could not be more different.  One is a conservative party and the other a Protestant Christofascist party.  That sounds extreme, but unfortunately, it's true.

We haven't discussed the Democrats hardly at all, and for the most part, they stand no chance.  There are some exceptions.  Provenza in Albany County will go back into the legislature, for example. But there are a few others worth noting.  James Byrd, who is running for the U.S. Senate, is one.  If Mead doesn't win, Byrd may give Harriet Hageman a real run as on Wyoming issues, he's a better candidate.  I think Mead would beat him as Mead is a good candidate.  If Hageman defeates Mead, and then defeats Byrid, it will be simply because a fair number of people right now would vote for Josef Mengele if ran as a Republican.

The race for Superintendent of Education features two good Democrats, Ana Cordova and Sergio Maldonado.  Again, in a normal functioning democracy, either one would be a good contender in the general election. Probably neither stands a chance this year, but if Harshman does not win the primary, the race will at least be interesting.

August 12, 2026

A Freedom Caucus member:

Felony intimidation is not Rep. Gary Brown’s only conviction. He pleaded guilty to harassment in 2013.

And the far right in the state arguing with itself:

This whole thing is sort of inside baseball.  In terms of outright goofball positions Rasner is every bit as far right as anyone in the WFC.  Distinguishing their positions from his own is impossible, as they're the same.

Gray, however, unpacked the Freedom Caucus from his carpetbag and is one of the founding members of the populist movement in the state, which figures, as he isn't from the state, like almost all of its major members.  In endorsing Gray, they endorsed one of their own.  They couldn't have not endorsed him as that would have caused a major rift in the organization and would really have been unthinkable.

And Rasner has always been the odd man out in other ways, one being that he's an acknowledged homosexual, even if he's not noisy about it in any fashion.  He is noisy about almost everything else.

The WFC defended Gray and attacked Rasner in its response;

Reid Rasner is a failed career candidate who has brought division, dysfunction and political games to our state.  Wyoming deserves strong conservative, like Chuck Gray.

Calling Gray "strong" is really rich.  He's a whiny little weenie who likes to call people names.  And more than that, really.

Gray is noisy, but Wyomingites know almost nothing about him whatsoever.  Rasner has a much more open history, including having once run for a municipal position in Las Vegas and having been in a same sex legal union ending in divorce.  We know Gray is from Los Angeles originally, went to Wharton, and then moved to Casper to work at his daddy's radio station, where he had a vitriolic radio show.  His personal history is a complete mystery.  He's not only not known to have a love interest, he's not even known to have a like interest.

And then there's Bo Biteman.

Biteman was regarded as fully WFC in the last legislature.  WFC members, save for some of the core members, can usually disavow their membership when convenient as they keep no formal records of whose in and out.  Biteman said, according to the article;

The Freedom Caucus brings plenty of noise, I’ve ignored them when they’ve attacked me, I’ve ignored them when they’ve taken credit for work I helped lead, and I’m going to keep ignoring the distractions.

Well, suck it Bo.  You are WFC and simply pretending you aren't hasn't kept people from knowing that.  

David Giralt, whose positions seem to be about as far right as Gray's, Friess' and Rasner's, but who is more soft spoken about them, also threw rocks at the WFC, accusing them of  “very aggressive culture war tactics that, at the end of the day I think, just work against what the legislative process should be: holding true to your political ideological convictions and then working to get things done.”

What a joke.  Giralt may be a nice guy, but being a nice guy and a veteran doesn't excuse having the same set of positions as the WFC, as far as we can tell.

Friess took a page out of the national playbook, arguing that Republicans “fight the real enemy, the radical left AOC/ Mandami Socialists.”

M'eh.   

Balow, at least, was honest, endorsing their views, but noting that they're a bit nasty in pursuing them.  Her endorsement of their weltanschauung is part of the reason why we abandoned her in favor of Christensen.  Christensen, for his part, noted how ideologically driven the WFC is and how that had a detrimental impact on the 2026 Legislature.

The fact that members of the populist hard right, both going down in flaming defeat in next week's primary, are now throwing rocks at the WFC is really remarkable.  The WFC has always been downright nasty and full of hypocrisy, and they may now being getting ready to take on water.  This is a good time to get off the ship.

Overall, however, this is a really interesting development.  As campaigns begin to fail, and Biteman's, Rasner and Giralt's are failures, with Rasner's being a career ending failure, people are starting to be a more honest about things.  Frank Campman, freed of tight fitting cowboy boots that look like he got them in the children's department, and his Woody's Roundup cowboy hat, move way to the center almost immediately after he dropped out of the race.  Rasner just recently exposed Chuck Gray's campaign manager, Gabe Saint, who was terminated from his intern position with Harriet Hageman due to the Francoist websites he'd been following, which is unfortunately a story that didn't go anywhere because Rasner is such a gadfly and had his own hosts of absurd extreme reels, such as promising to prevent Sharia Law from entering the state.

So, the far right Carpetbagger Caucus Revolution is in trouble and its outliers, those who were always a bit careful about it, and those whom it wouldn't let in the door, are now attacking it.  It hasn't seen that happen before.

There were some primaries across the country yesterday.

An amusing one is Mike Lindell, the "My Pillow" guy, going down in flaming defeat.  Lindell comes across as not particularly smart, which puts him in the MAGA Not Particularly Smart Branch of that movement.  Lindell has endorsed every wack job conspiratorial theory on Trump's 2020 election defeat that Trump has put out, and even was monkeying around with Wyoming's vote that election which was for Trump.  Lindell recently left his company to run for Governor of Minnesota.


Lindell had no chance of winning the primary as only the stupid and ignorant would vote for him.  That's what happened.  He's not accepting that however, claiming, in true Trump/MAGA style that there were "irregularities".

Lisa Demuth won the race with 43.4% of the vote.  Lindell did bring in 32.5% of the vote, which some have been shocked by.  One person asked if his supporters were stupid. 

Well, probably a lot of them are.

Let's be honest about stupidity, as the country has a real stupidity problem right now.

The United States has always had a strong anti intellectual streak, which endorsed the native intelligence of the common man. Frankly, it's been one of the problems the country's always been afflicted with. But at the same time, up until now, there's never been an era in which education was despised. Right now, we're seeing a lot of that. The reason is fairly simple. The really intelligent, through technology, have made it possible for the stupid to have a voice.


Which brings us to the bell curve.


Human intelligence it not really very well understood, even today.  Perhaps in some ways we don't know that much more about it than we ever did.  Btu what we do know is that in an average population, there's a mean.  Half the people are above it, and half below it.

More than that most of the people are somewhere on the middle part of the curve.  But if you divide it into thirds, 1/3d of it is considerably above the rest in terms of intelligence, and 1/3 considerably below.  Like Larry David's skit lampoons, we let the bottom third vote.

Therefore, it'd be somewhat fair to say that Lindell's 1/3d of the Minnesota vote represents "the stupid ones", and to some extent, it actually does.  While some of low intelligence would have voted for other candidates, Trump uniquely appeals to stupid.

He also uniquely appeals to the ignorant, which is not the same.  And that's where the story of intelligence gets complicated, particularly in voting.  I have a friend, for example, whose highly intelligent, but completely disinterested in politics.  He still votes.  A lot of rural people I know are big Trump supporters, not because they're dumb, but because they listen to their neighbors and they've all collectively bought off on BS Trump conspiracy theories.  As part of that, however, I'll note, that they're mostly poorly educated.

Anyhow, take the dumb, the ignorant, and the poorly educated together, you probably have at least 33% of the population.  Technology makes the difference.  In prior eras, those people were influenced by the smarter and the well educated around them.  Now, they're influenced by themselves.

Amy Klobuchar, who have (and still would) make a good President, won the Minnesota Democratic nomination. She's going to be Minnesota's next Governor.

In the Wisconsin gubernatorial race, Democrat David Crowley narrowly beat Democratic Socialist Rep. Francesca Hong.

This was a failure in the polls, by the way, as Hong was heavily favored in polls to win.

Whether they should be or not, Democrats are probably breathing a sign if relief over that, but they probably should actually be taking stock on what's really going on.  It's being interpreted as the party base going to the radical left, but in reality Democratic Socialism is simply the smarter kid brother of MAGA. I.e., it's populism wearing the educated team jersey rather than the Kelly's bar and grill jersey.  There was always a really strong chance that MAGA's today would be rooting for Bernie Sanders tomorrow, and its starting to happen.  And frankly some of the Democratic Socialist platform, like universal healthcare, are ideas that have not only arrived, they arrived and should have been adopted 80 years ago.  In other words, as we've said before, the rise of Democratic Socialism isn't necessarily a bad thing, but both the Democrats and the GOP need to find a way to steal its popular platforms.

In a sane political system, it'd be really easy for the American Solidarity Party to enter right here, but unfortunately we lack that.

Trump backed Tom Tiffany, a Freedom Caucus member, won the GOP nomination. 

The Republicans hold the legislature in Wisconsin, the Democrats the Governor's office.  My predictions is that the Democrats retain the Governor's office and gain the Senate there.

Showing the emerging trend, in Connecticut 78 year old Democratic Rep. John Larson went down in defeat to 47 year old Luke Bronin, the former Hartford mayor and a former Navy intelligence officer.  The Democrats are booting out the boomers. 

About time.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez was on This Week as the Press is treating her as the national leader of the Progressives and the Democratic Socialists.  I really think that this is wholly in error, although she was a very early member of a Democratic Socialist chapter to be elected to Congress.* There's a lot of things I disagree with Ocasio Cortez politically, including her support of abortion, but her analysis on the state o things in these elections, which came before yesterday's' primaries, was astute.  She noted that Millennials are mad, and are implicitly mad at the Baby Boomers.  They are, and they aren't the only ones.  Generations Jones and Generation X are also really angry with the Boomers, even though the Boomers seem wholly clueless about this.

Going back to Minnesota, progressive, but not Democratic Socialist, candidate Peggy Flanagan defeated a centrist Rep. Angie Craig for the Democratic Senatorial primary.  She'll now face Republican winner  Michele Tafoya, a former National Football League sideline reporter.

Flanigan is a Native American.

The seat is presently held by Democrat Tina Smith.  Flanigan is likely to win it.

cont:  

From the Governor:

OP ED by Governor Mark Gordon: Wyoming Doesn’t Need More Mud Slinging

August 12, 2026

My friend and erstwhile opponent in the 2018 Primary for Governor approached me a few days before election day and said, “Mark, I might actually beat you.” He had good reason to think that. It had been a hard campaign.

His entrance into the race had been a surprise to the entire field, but he approached it with grace, humor, and enthusiasm grounded in his faith. He earned his spurs, so to speak, by traipsing all over Wyoming with the rest of us, walking parades, answering questions at forums and debates. Campaigning is tough for anyone but this 79-year-old man, it was clear, had demonstrated he had the stuff it takes to be a strong leader.

I took his comment seriously. By then he had Chuck Norris backing him and Donald Trump Jr. Foster Friess was a fierce competitor eventually gaining President Trump’s endorsement shortly before the primary. 

Foster and I agreed to keep the race above board – and I believe we did. Sure, there were some clumsy and ineffective 3rd party shenanigans towards the end, but neither of us ever condoned them.

Foster was always a gentleman, as were Sam Galeotos and Taylor Haynes. All were among the first to offer help to a new Governor with  so much to learn from each. I am grateful because I know it isn’t easy to offer a hand after such a hard fought election . It sucks to lose and it really hurts.

This election, similar to the one two years ago, has amplified the sorts of big city, big money, nasty half-truths and flat-out lies or falsehoods that have become all too common in other states. It’s not the Wyoming I know.

Here we respect the Code of the West, and most candidates always worked to discourage that sort of campaigning. They understood it was offensive to Wyoming people, who pretty well know right from wrong. Contrast is one thing, but bearing false witness is taboo for a population that appreciates all ten of the Commandments.

Where has that sensibility gone? This election we have been abused by cynical political operatives whose stock-in-trade is to twist facts and foment suspicion with incomplete, dishonest tales and misinformation. Especially galling are out-of-state political operatives who get paid big bucks for duping voters.  I hope their vilification is misplaced in the Cowboy State.  Wyoming voters are honest and they care. 

I believe voters will see through the baloney that passes for politics elsewhere and will come to rest on those candidates who know what they are talking about, know and care about Wyomingites and know what is important to Wyoming – jobs, family, the economy, and our way of life.

Ask yourself, is this candidate talking mostly about someone else, or, as they should be, are they listening and talking about the things that will keep our core industries vital, our way of life secure, our kids safe, and our communities whole. Ask yourself if what they are saying is valuable to your community, to your family, to your grandchildren –  or is it just political blather and mud?

Ask what a candidate has actually done to make the state better and why.  Ask for details. 

I say enough with the name calling, the false information, the nasty for nasty sake. Enough with the schlock that uses Wyoming voters as fundraising bait. Let’s elect people for who they are and what they will do, not for what some mysterious, never-heard-of-them-before organization ginned up to make voters mad. Let’s elect people to represent our interests, not puppets who parrot consultants’ talking points.  

Ride for the brand!

Cont:

The number of mailers per day has now reached the absolutely insane level.

Real attack mailers are now coming, and they are quite frankly absurd. The ones directed at Barlow are at the level where the authors should be forced to memorize the Summa Theologica in the original Latin and be able to recite it back without looking, particularly the part on lying.

One that came today compared Liz Cheney to Reid Rasner.


Seriously?

That would be in favor of Reid Rasner.

Harriet Hageman's today emphasized her protecting Second Amendment rights. What flaming carp.  The 2nd Amendment hasn't been under attack now for decades.

There were three Steve Friess ones, all devoid of content, as all of his hard.  He promised to use his "Conservative" values to help President Trump.

Trump isn't a conservative, he's a fascist, with it often failing to be noted that both fascism and communism are populist movements (so is socialism).  And at this point, for those wanting to "help" Trump, these questions should seriously be asked:

  • Do you intend to help him launch more illegal wars?
  • Do you intend to pursue the illegal wars without a declaration of war, and are you willing to bear the cost of the dead on your souls?
  • Do you intend to support illegal tariffs?
  • Do you intend to help subvert the result of the election?
  • Do you intend to help Donald Trump get richer while the lower middle class gets poorer?
  • Do you intend to help wreck Christianity in the country by pretending that Trump's a Christian?
Why the crap would anyone pledge to help Trump?

Conservatives wouldn't.


Apparently nobody thinks about the heepings of bullshit that go into the real far right mailers.  But Wyoming voters are polite in not asking any politician about his background.  Right now, for instance, you don't know anything about the carpetbagger candidates save what they have chosen to tell you.

August 15, 2026

So, the money trail for Governor.

Barlow leads with over $1.6M.  raised of which 75% is individual donors, 95% of which were in Wyoming.  Degenfelder comes in at $1.2M . The biggest share of her funds were from personal and family loans, of which $25,000 is from herself, and $500,000 from her father.

Bien only raised $200,000.  95% of his donors were also from within Wyoming.

Virginian based Make Liberty Win has spent $549,000, even importing in carpetbagging young people to distribute it's flyers. They've come to the door twice.  They're backing Freedom Caucus candidates.

Yesterday brought another thick crop of flyers.

Footnotes:

*She's not the first.  The first outright Socialist to be elected to  Congress, which she is not, was  Rep. Victor L. Berger of Wisconsin, who was elected in 1923.  The first Democratic Socialist to be elected to Congress was Korean War Marine Corps veteran Ronald Vernie Dellums of California, who was elected in 1971.  He served in that position until 1998.  

It's notable that with quite a few Democratic Socialist their affiliation is rather mixed.  It's almost more akin to being a member of a Caucus, like the Freedom Caucus, than actually being a member of a party, even though it is a party. Typically, Democratic Socialist run as Democrats, just as Freedom Caucus members run as Republicans rather than as fascists or Francoist.

Last edition:

The 2026 Election, 18th Edition. Primary Voting Commences Edition. Vote like your future and that of your state depends on it, because it does, part two.Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , ,



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Thursday, August 15, 1946. The Truman Doctrine.

Truman told Turkish President İsmet İnönü that the United States would provide its assistance to help Turkey resist Soviet demands for control of the Dardanelles straits ushering in the Truman Doctrine in which the US pledged support to countries resisting authoritarian pressure.

Notorious was released.


Last edition:

Tuesday, August 13, 1946. Humble Congressman and no so humble one.

Sunday, August 15, 1926. Martyrs of the Cristero War and open rebellion.

He was rushed to hospital and operated on immediately for a ruptured appendix.

As noted yesterday, Father St. Luis Bátiz Sainz, Manuel Morales, David Roldán Lara, and Salvador Lara Puent were executed by firing squad.

In response, ranchers led by former colonel Pedro Quintanar seized the municipal treasury of Chalchihuites and declared themselves in open rebellion.

After attending a party the prior evening, recently ailing Rudolph Valentino collapsed at the Hotel Ambassador in New York City. 

A mail train was robbed in Wyoming:


I'm not sure what was going on with the local elections, but a candidate was really mad at a newpaper editor:


Last edition:

Tuesday, August 15, 1911. No to Arizona (and New Mexico) statehood.

President Taft vetoed the bill admitting Arizona and New Mexico into the Union.

The veto was aimed at Arizona's judicial recall provision, and New Mexico was simply a victim of being included in the same bill.

Last edition:

Monday, August 12, 1901. Driving up Pikes Peak.

Wednesday, August 15, 1876. Cutting off rations.

Congress passed the Indian Appropriations Act of 1876 cutting off all rations for the Sioux until they terminated hostilities and ceded the Black Hills to the United States.

Last edition:

Monday, August 13, 1876. Blog Mirror: The first "Wag-nathon" - August 13, 1876

King Donald's War, Part 11. The worst defeat in American History. Sic transit Gloria Mundi.

Israeli paratrooper near the Mitla Pass, 1958.  Read on, it'll make sense.

Donald Trump is about to become what he never wanted to be: Jimmy Carter. Held hostage by Iran. And it was all voluntary.

Chris Christie.

We've never seen anything like it.  It's an existential defeat.  We're never going to recover as a country from this.

This is our 1958 Suez Crisis.

We've lost wars before, of course, in spite of what Americans like to believe. The War of 1812 was a loss.  The Korean War ended in a stalemate, which certainly isn't a win, if it's not a loss.  The Vietnam War was a flat out loss. And the war in Afghanistan, which didn't have to be a loss, became one as Donald Trump surrendered to the Taliban.  So, we've lost wars before.

But not like this.

People may be tempted to draw parallels to Vietnam, which was a really bad loss.  It was touch and go if the country would recover from for about a decade, and with the complete failure of Operation Eagle Claw, the attempt to get the hostages out by force in 1980, it really looked like we'd faded beyond repair.

Importantly, however, the United States didn't lose any allied because of Vietnam, in no small part because it didn't ask for any to participate in the war.  Some did, such as South Korea.*

The Reagan Administration, which I frequently criticize here, turned things around.  It rebuilt the military and made a calculation that it could spend the Soviet Union to death in the Cold War, which it did.  The Soviets collapsed and the Cold War ended, a major American victory. . . without fighting.

The fighting we've done since Vietnam has been impressive, right up until now. And that's the military that Reagan built.  A military designed to take on the USSR.  It still basically is.  It's a big war military.  So was our military in Vietnam.  

In Vietnam the military learned that it wasn't good at asymmetric wars.  And it finally learned the lesson that should have been clear in 1945 that airpower can't win a war.

In came Trump, and Hegseth, who have proven incompetent.

In a few short months they've lost the war to a second rate power, destroyed our relationship with our allies, eliminated our position in the globe as a superpower, emboldened the Chinese and probably the Russians, and made war with China, which we now stand a good chance of losing, inevitable.

There were signs that we were in trouble already, but they were mostly economic.  Between 1945 and the 2000s the US had lost control of its budget.  When the Cold War ended we did not return to a rationally sized military, even though we did go to a smaller one.  We maintained quasi colonial connections with some countries, notably those in the Middle East, which we did not need to.  At home we let education decline.  

In short, we lost the self discipline and sense of purpose a democratic nation should have.  And that lead to the election of Donald Trump, twice.  And in his second term, Trump has so accelerated American decline it leads to rational questions on whether or not he's a foreign agent.

Whatever he is, Donald Trump and his defense secretary Pete Hegseth aren't students.  They're not smart people.  They certainly aren't students of history.

Indeed, if they had, they might have realized this has happened before.

Following the Second World War the United Kingdom and France retained claims to being wold powers, indeed superpowers.  But the end of that is now clear in retrospect.  Both were losing control of their colonial empires rapidly.  The United Kingdom retained food rationing until 1954.  Both nations still fought colonial wars, although the French could really only do it with American help, which was only reluctantly given, if given at all.

In 1956 Egypt nationalized the Suez Canal.  The UK, France and Israel, the latter of which had its own issues with Egypt, decided to militarily intervene.  Israel attacked first, on October 29, with the objective of re-opening the Straits of Tiran and the Gulf of Aqaba. The United Kingdom and France joined in on October 311 seeking to depose Egyptian president Gamal Abdel Nasser and regain control of the Suez Canal.  France and the UK expected the Eisenhower Administration to support it, but it didn't.

The net result was that Israel gained in the war, although the US forced it to give back the parts of the Sinai it too.  The US and France proved incapable of carrying on without US support.

Israeli paratroopers near the Parker Memorial, Mitla Pass.  The paratroopers here are quipped with K98k rifles, likely Czechoslovakian built, although they could also be World War Two German production.  By אברהם ורד / IDF Spokesperson's Unit, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=33261678

In short, Israel got what it wanted from the war.  France and the United Kingdom were shown to be impotent without the US, and their status as global powers was severely retarded.

Sound familiar?  A major power that has Allies acts without them, and loses.  Those Allies regard them as now being second rate.

Just what happened to us against Iran, except the fall is so much more severe.

So, where from here?

Trump can't get us out of Iran.  We can't build anti missile missiles quickly enough.  Iran won't open the strait.  We can't make the open it.

We have only two choices.

The first one is to mount a full-scale ground invasion of Iran.  Completely setting aside the immorality of the current war and the immorality of escalating an immoral war, militarily, that's actually the only thing that makes sense.  If you were playing (the nonexistent) Avalon Hill United States v. Iran hex and counter board game, that's what you'd do.  You'd marshal ground forces in Kuwait (and maybe Iraq), call up National Guard divisions, and launch a multi division invasion.  

We could still win such a war.  The casualties would be massive, 50,000 dead or more, and the net result would make us a colonial administrator in Iran for at least a decade.

And we have to do it, if we're going to, soon. Basically in no more than a month. After that, our supply of anti missile AAA will be so depleted we will not be able to marshal in the region.

It couldn't be ignored as a real war, however.

Trump would have to finally go to Congress for authorization.  If he didn't, he'd be successfully impeached without a doubt.  And Congress is not going to authorize such a war.  So he won't.

Probably.

He could, and as he has no regard for the law at all, muster the multi division strength force necessary and launch the invasion wholly illegally.  That's really risky for him, however, and he's very unlikely to take that sort of risk.  If he did it, he'd be impeached.

The other choice is to surrender.  At this point, with the Strait closed, that's a defeat.  Indeed, it's worse than a defeat as while it would end the fighting, it wouldn't repair the de facto state of war between the countries. 

So a formal surrender is the only option.

And that will be a political disaster for Trump.

It also cements the geopolitical disaster for the United States.

Just as France and the UK went into Egypt without support from the US, and went into decline thereafter, we've gone into Iran's skies without support from our allies, including the UK and France.  They've moved on without us. At one time, they looked to us. . . now we'll look to them.

For the time being, however, we're hostages to Iran.  Iran knows it. This will just drag on and on while we deplete our weapons stores.  It won't resolve at all until after the November election.  It won't be possible to ignore it after that.

Sic transit Gloria Mundi.  

The US as a superpower, 1945-2026.  Cause of death.  Neglect, hubris, and the vanity and stupidity of Donald J. Trump.

August 12, 2026

Headline in the CST:


Iran has said the Strait will remain closed u ntil the US accepts its terms.

August 14, 2026

The US and Iran both claimed to control the Straits of Hormuz yesterday, which means that the US doesn't control them.  Pete Hegseth claimed that the US can remain deployed in the region's waters indefinitely.

Iran has very clearly determined not to enter into any deal with Donny, at least one that isn't abject humiliating defeat.  And they don't have to. They're winning the war.  At this point, the only way the US can actually win would be a ground invasion, which appears unlikely so far.

The USS Abraham Lincoln is headed home to be replaced by the USS George Washington.  We wrote on this story yesterday:


There's more to this than meets the eye, but what it is we don't really know.  One sailor attempting to leap overboard, which is now acknowledged, would actually not be that unusual in a deployment.  It was two that we know of, but one was with a life vest.  It's clear that morale problems have become severe. The ship hasn't had a port call in over 200 days, and that appears to be part of it.  Ships have had long deployments before, however, which raises questions.

Part of the aspect of this is, however, that a nuclear submarine can stay out indefinitely.  Oil fired ships like those of the Second World War could deploy for extremely long times, but they would make port calls.

August 15, 2026

The always empathetic Donald Trump:
Reporter: Family members of service members are concerned about conditions on the LIncoln. 

Trump: No they’re not. 

Reporter: Has the deployment gone on too long?

Trump: No. Not nearly long enough.
Footnotes:

*Australia and New Zealand fought in the war, but very rarely noted is that Australia had indicated it was going into Vietnam whether or not the US did and its somewhat responsible for the US going into the country.  New Zealand participated as it felt obligated to Australia.

Last edition:

King Donald's War, Part 10. "If any question why we died, Tell them, because our fathers lied." Donald Trump, the killer edition.