Showing posts with label United States and Israel v. Iran. Show all posts
Showing posts with label United States and Israel v. Iran. Show all posts

Sunday, March 22, 2026

Supporting Immorality in War is Immoral.

Gun camera footage from a P-51 strafing Japanese civilian fishermen during World War Two, a gravely immoral act.  We've conveniently forgotten how much of this sort of thing happened during World War Two, but a lot did.  Allied fighters routinely strafed German farmers during  the war, and I have heard of one account of an Italian farmer being killed by being strafed.  This isn't warfare, it's flat out murder.*
 

III. SAFEGUARDING PEACE

Avoiding war

2309 The strict conditions for legitimate defense by military force require rigorous consideration. The gravity of such a decision makes it subject to rigorous conditions of moral legitimacy. At one and the same time:

  • the damage inflicted by the aggressor on the nation or community of nations must be lasting, grave, and certain;
  • all other means of putting an end to it must have been shown to be impractical or ineffective;
  • there must be serious prospects of success;
  • the use of arms must not produce evils and disorders graver than the evil to be eliminated. The power of modem means of destruction weighs very heavily in evaluating this condition.

These are the traditional elements enumerated in what is called the "just war" doctrine.

The evaluation of these conditions for moral legitimacy belongs to the prudential judgment of those who have responsibility for the common good.

Section 2309, Catechism of the Catholic Church. 

Article I, Section 8, Clause 11 of the United States Constitution:

[The Congress shall have Power . . . ] To declare War, grant Letters of Marque and Reprisal, and make Rules concerning Captures on Land and Water; . . . 

The American war against Iran is not a just war.  It's not a legal one, either.

Iran is a world sponsor of terrorism that has sponsored terroristic acts for decades.  Most of those acts of terror were against other sovereign states, not the US, but some can logically be argued to be directed at the us.  That's almost certainly not what the war is about.

Much more likely, Trump is a pathetic doddering senile fool who has spent a life of utter pointlessness.  His wealth is inherited and founded originally on a grandfather who engaged in providing prostitutes to Alaska miners, a gravely evil act.  His father did nothing like that, but the family wealth was used to build more wealth, and Trump in his adult years, after not serving his country (a family tradition to some extent) went on to make and lose fortunes doing that.

Real estate development is, from an agrarian and distributism prospective like that I maintain, a fairly dubious occupation in and of itself.  Not clearly immoral, but frankly I have real trouble with some of it.  Be that as it may, I particularly have trouble with the sort of behavior that Trump exhibited in that questionable occupation.  I wouldn't admire the Wharton graduate for that reason alone.  But the way he has spent his wealth is abominable.  He's a serial polygamist and its getting very difficult to say "there's no evidence" that he didn't sexually fish in the shallow end of the pond.

There's more credible evidence that he's a kiddy diddler, which I'm not affirmatively saying there is, than that he's a Christian.  There's not one single outwardly Christian act that I can think of that he's committed.  What he is, is a shallow opportunist, and he's used desperate Christians to advance his career.  

Knowing that the grave is looming up on him, and with his mind slipping away from him at a rapid rate, Trump has spent much of his second, illegitimate, occupation of the White House trying to build monuments to himself.  He wants a ball room as he's a rich product of the 60s and 70s when things like that mattered to somebody.  They don't anymore, and it'll either never be built, or ripped down.  He wants a triumphal arch, which is simply absurd.

And he wants to be remembered as a great hero, adding to the US landmass, or at least defeating a supposed major enemy.

Benjamin Netanyahu, who is a scary man in his own right, but not a demented fool, saw that he could play the demented fool in the White House.  Netanyahu, like Michael Corleone in The Godfather, sees the Trump dotage as a time to "address all family business".  Seeing a dolt he could play, like Putin has, he's coaxed Trump into a war for Israel's own purposes.  This is, the way Netanyahu sees it, Israel's last best hope to destroy the radical Islamist regime in Tehran.  Israel can't do it on its own, and no future US administration will support doing it.  Israel is not held in that high of regard in much of the world for a variety of reasons, and never has been.  Nobody else is going to play the willing muscled fool for Netanyahu.  If Netanyahu is Corleone, Trump is Luca Brasi, a brutish dolt who is willing to act as an enforcer.

Trump entered this war thinking it would be a two or three day exercise.  He'd bomb Iran and the Iranian people would give up.  Or, maybe, Iranians theocrats would act like American property owners and cut him a deal.  Well, say what you like about Shiite theocrats, but they're a lot less shallow than American businessmen.  They hold to an existential, and unlike Trump it's not all about money and women.  

Oh oh.

So they didn't give up and they aren't going to give up.  They've fought back by striking economic targets and U.S. military installations around the Middle East (and now as far away as Diego Garcia).  And they've closed the Straits of Hormuz.

By closing the Straits, they've also demonstrated that the US is, in fact, not as powerful as it pretends it is.  We can't open them and we've been begging for help.  Nobody else is willing to get into an endless war for Israel, and therefore that help isn't coming.  In order to open them we will have to engage in a ground invasion.

Trump is trying desperately to avoid that, for a variety of reasons.  One thing is that he's probably been told it will be a bloody mess.  Body bags will be coming home to "Red" cities all around the country.  People already don't support the war and they definitely will not when Johnny or Mary come home to be buried in Riverton Wyoming, or Billings Montana, having died for Bibi Netanyahu.  

And then there's this:


There's not going to be a draft, but the satiric suggestions that he serve are not wholly ingenuine.  Right now, the US is getting into one war after another.  Franklin Roosevelt's children served, so did TR's. Why not Trump's?

Because Trumps don't serve the country, they take from it. That's why.

In his desperation to end the war, Trump is now threatening to bomb Iranian power facilities if they do not open the Straits of Hormuz.  He broadcast this on social media, which is idiotic  It also won't work.  The Allied bombing campaigns against Germany did not work in World War Two.  They didn't work, save for the Atomic bomb, against Japan, either.  Nor did they work against North Vietnam.  They won't work here.  Instead, civilians will be killed and whatever support for a new regime replacing this one in Iran exists, will evaporate.

What Trump is doing is criminal. The US is killing people for. . . what?

The whole war is criminal from the first place, from a US prospective.  We're using military force to kill people with no declaration of war.  And now we propose to engage in a tit for tat campaign of economic retribution against them as we can't beat them.  We haven't been able to articulate a single reason for the war, other than Iran cannot be allowed to have the same thing that Israel, the United States, France, Russia, North Korea, the United Kingdom, Indian, Pakistan, and South Africa have. . . an atomic bomb.

There is some logic to that, of course.  An Iran with an atomic bomb would be scary, just like North Korea with an atomic bomb is scary.  But given our ill thought out military adventure here, we are actually making this situation worse.  North Korea, it might be noted, is improving missile capabilities, and why wouldn't they.  If North Korea has not determined an absolute need to be able to hit the continental United States due to Donald Trump, it'd be amazing.  And if Iran, which has its nuclear material yet, has not concluded that it has an absolute need to complete a nuclear project, that would be amazing.

But it's clear that Trump never thought this out.  He went, we're told, with his gut, which is nearly always wrong.

So, here we are in this long winded thread.

And here's to the point.  Supporting immorality, is immoral.  Everyone engages in "remote cooperation with evil", which you can not do much about.  Using illegal drugs is illegal, but paying the pizza guy when you know he's going to use some of that cash for illegal drugs isn't.

Here, we now have an interesting situation.

We are in an illegal war and doing immoral acts.  The Republicans in Washington are mostly sitting around on their ass doing nothing about it. They're afraid.  They're not paid nor elected to be afriad.

And all over the country the MAGA element of the GOP just lies down like the 13 year old girls at Epstein Island and gives into whatever Trump wants.

It's immoral.

For years and years Christians, particularly those of my faith, voted for Republicans in spite of reluctance because we opposed abortion and the Democratic Party supported it.  Even as late as the last election I heard Catholics with severe doubts about Trump say they were voting for him for that reason.

Abortion is a grave moral evil.  Engaging in an illegal war and targeting civilian targets is a grave moral evil.

I'm not saying vote for the Democrats without thinking, but I am saying that supporting this Administration and the Republican Party at this point is supporting moral evil.  When John Barrasso and Harriet Hageman come around backing the war, they're backing a moral evil.  When Chuck Gray declares his undying love for Trump and promises to be the most loyal of his political concubines, he's expressing a love of a moral evil.

Most Germans during the Nazi era did nothing.  Most Republicans aren't going to either.  In future years, they'll be looked at with utter disgust.

Christians believe that they'll have to account for their sins in the next world.  I very much doubt that bothers Donald  Trump as he's stupid and ignorant, which is sort of a defense, and I very much question if he has any belief in God at all.  For that matter, while I have only the incidents to raise the question, I doubt the beliefs of many in Congress who claim they have one.  For those of us who do believe, and frankly a person who doesn't has simply blinded themselves to reality, it's all too easy to believe that our self interest must be moral.  Protestant churches have, for instance, by and large completely given up on being concerned about sexual morality for the most part.

God will not be mocked.  Christians who declare Trump to be a "Godly Man" are willfully blinding themselves or outright lying.  None of us are around here all that long.  The "why did you support the murder of my children" question is coming up, and the "well, I supported Trump", or "well, the Iranians were baddies", or "well, the Iranians were Muslims" line is not likely to be a sufficient excuse for being complicit in murder.

Footnotes

*This may seem like a strange point to start in this thread, but wars routinely devolve, even when they fit the just war criteria, into flat out murder and the US has not been exempt from this.  Arguably the cleanest war the US ever fought was World War One, with the Korean War being relatively clean.  World War Two may be recalled as a uniformly just war, but the bombing campaigns against urban Japan and the use of nuclear weapons was outright not.  And the tolerance of what is depicted above, which was very widespread, was not.

King Donald's War, Part 2. Just a few Marines. . .

 

U.S. Marines land at Da Nang, March 8, 1965.  It was just a few. . and then some airmen. . . and then the perimeter had to be protected. . . and soon, 50,000 U.S. troops were dead.

March 31, 2026

King Donny can't figure out how to get out of his war. The Iranians can't and won't surrender.  The Iranians won't leave the Straits of Hormuz  alone.  The NATO countries, several of which have been threatened by King Donny with the use of military force, have replied to his request for naval assistance with variants of "fuck you and the horse you rode in on" and are perfectly happy to watch the US, which they don't like under Trump, and Israel, which they generally don't like, stew in the fat of Donald's juices.

Faced with this, the more rah rah, let's engage in a Protestant Crusade against Islam crowed, and the more sober military minds who have read history, are causing Marines to be deployed.  Chances are, they aren't equally enthusiastic about deploying them, as the results of that will be a full scale and even more illegal war than the one we're currently in.

The economy, meanwhile, is turning to a steaming pile of shit, like everything else Donald touches.  The stock market is supposedly the only thing the legacy seeking King Donny pays attention to, which probably means that his oligarchic connections are being hurt and calling him up on his cell phone telling him to get out before the wreckage matches that of the East Wing.  King Donny, meanwhile, probably doesn't want to be remembered as the idiot who got 20,000 ground troops or more killed.  So, as of yesterday, he's thinking of surrendering by simply pulling out.

Overnight, the Iranians targeted Diego Garcia with missiles but not reached their targets for one reason or another, including their being intercepted.  Diego Garcia was not previously thought to be within range of Iranian missiles, and it still might not be, given that they didn't hit.  Or it may be, or it may be that Iran has improved the capabilities of their missiles over the last couple of weeks.

Iran is busy destroying Middle Eastern oil infrastructure.  The economic impacts will last for years.

March 21, 2026, cont:

Iran and the US/Israel exchanged attack nuclear facilities today.

March 22, 2026

Trump announced that if Iran does not open the Straits of Hormuz within 48 hours the US will commit a war crime and start to destroy power plants.

This would be flat out an illegal at, it serves no military purpose whatsoever.

Last edition:

Wars and Rumors of War, 2026. Part 5. Trump's forever war. King Donald's War, Part 1.

The Madness of King Donald. The 25th Amendment Watch List, Tenth Edition. Finger on the nuclear trigger.

 

Oh yeah, that's the look of a sane man, right?   Photo by LAURENT GILLIERON / POOL / AFP via Getty Images, posted under Fair Use Exception.

Kaitlan Collins:  "Mr. President, what would you say to sex abuse survivors of Epstein who haven’t seen justice” 

Donald Trump: “You know, I’ve never seen you smile”

Man, that's creepy.

I wonder how many teenage girls head that after they were raped at Epstein Island?

February 7, 2026

Trump claimed in an interview with the New York Post that Venezuela failed to get their AAA rockets off the ground during the U.S.'s raid as the US used a "discombobulator" on them.

Um. . .sure.

In a bit of a defense for the deranged prince, what the military probably was referring to was an electronic jamming system.  While no doubt the most recent variants are quite advanced, such systems have been around for a very long time.

Trump's incredibly racist post depicting the Obama's as apes was taken down and blamed on a staffer.

Um. . . sure.

Trump is also claiming that the US has wanted a triumphal arch for 200 years, with is complete nonsense and which is only slightly less weird than his claim that Presidents have wanted the giant outhouse he hopes to build for 100 years.

February 9, 2026


Loss of inhibitions can be a sign of dementia.

This is definitely a "get off my lawn" moment.

February 10, 2026


Trump is clearly unhinged.

A spoiled brat and a real estate developer by trade, he sees the world through a pinhole.  His mind is turning to much.  He needs to be removed.

February 20, 2026

I flew to Iraq. I was extremely brave. I said to my people, 'Am I allowed to give myself the Congressional Medal of Honor?'…Someday I'm going to try. I'm going to test the law

Donald Trump.

February 21, 2026


Greenland has universal health care.  

Greenland is presently taking care of a U.S sailor evacuated from a U.S. submarine. . . by a Danish Seahawk helicopter.

Trump is completely delusional.  He should be removed.

Greenland doesn't need this, and moreover, Greenland's universal healthcare is something Americans lack.  If anything, Denmark should send a hospital ship to us.

This is patently absurd.  Frankly, at this point, anyone supporting Trump is not doing so out of faith in him, unless they're just willfully ignorant.  So outside of that, why on Earth is anyone not demanding that he be removed?

March 4, 2026

Mad King Donny is threatening to cut off all trade with Spain.

March 16, 2026

This is the first installment of this since Trump ignored his advisers and launched a war against Iran that he thought might last a few days and bring him a big victory.

It isn't.  It's wrecking the economy and there's no end in sight.   He is, of course, having a complete fit:

With Iran, Trump has met something that truly doesn't care what he thinks about anything whatsoever.  He can't bully them, he's already attacking them.  The news isn't cheery and he can't lie his way out of it.

Given this, the stress of his complete impotence here is going to get worse and worse, and probably with that, his behavior  He's threatening not to directly take on the Press, which may finally cause the US press to grow a spine.

And things may be beginning to finally happen:

A theory very close to the one I've advanced here.

We are now in a very dangerous place in the globe. Trump is an immoral man, and he's demented.  He's also getting desperate.  At some point my guess is he'll start asking Hegseth about what nuclear weapons might do here.  And he will commit, to some degree, U.S. ground forces.

March 22, 2026

In his madness and frustration over his  massive, and frankly stupid, miscalculation over Iran's reaction to being attacked in an illegal war by the US, Donald Trump is now resorting to broadcasting his illegal intentions on social media.  If Iran does not open the Straits of Hormuz, which its not going to, he's going to order US forces to illegally strike the electrical power structure of Iran.

Trump is a monster.  The 25th Amendment  must be invoked now.

With Trump reaching new levels of barbarism and insanity, we will close with this edition.

Last edition:

The Madness of King Donald. The 25th Amendment Watch List, Ninth Edition. Trump is insane and the end of the United States as a great nation.

Saturday, March 21, 2026

King Donald the Unready* plays emperor without thinking and now there's no good way out.


An interesting one from TNR:

Trump Erupts in Fury Over His War Failures—and Exposes a Big Weakness

His rage at NATO is actually an admission that he needs our allies’ help—and that he wants somebody to blame as his war goes from bad to worse.

Somewhat related, I had a conversation with my MAGA associate, whose been pretty quite recently (he has five boys that are all old enough to have his own views and who are sick of the US supporting Israel on everything. . . I bet this war has been interesting at home. . .).  He noted, however, "I almost feel sorry for those mullahs, hiding in caves".

Now, he's never served in the military and doesn't know much about military matters, at all.  I noted that must be pretty bad, and then the fortunes of war became the topic.  I.e., how will this war end.

"We've already lost" was my statement.

He looked stunned.

We have already lost.  When you launch a war with war aims that are based on  your experiences as a real estate developer, you are a fool.  

Trump has no real world experience in anything.  He's just been a real estate developer, and that's not much.  That's based on money.  

An existential war, and that's what a war between Israel and Iran is, isn't based on that.  It's based on two fundamentally opposed world outlooks.  Israel's war aim is to end Iran as a military threat forever, and under Netanyahu, it's been willing to commit genocide in order to achieve security.  Nobody is looking at Gaza anymore.  Nobody is looking at Lebanon either.  Basically, Israel is fighting the war, with the US as a mercenary dupe, quite frankly, the way the mob war is depicted in the Godfather.  

Trump stupidly thought that the Iranians, who have a theocracy, think like he does.  He'd give them the dope slap and they'd give up, or if they didn't, there'd be a January 6 type revolution in the streets.  Nope, nothing like that has happened or is going to. Even the Kurds, who would like to be independent, have so little faith in King Donald that they're not rebelling.

Now a series of really horrific choices are before him.  For one thing, under the War Powers Act, he's running out of time to submit this to Congress and it appears fairly certain that there's a real chance that Congress would say "nope".  He's running out of money quicker that that, and is going to have to go to Congress and ask for $200B, with some Republicans already indicating they won't support that.

It's clear, moreover, that he can't bomb his way into victory.  That's never worked, and it isn't working here.  Indeed, not only is it not working, the limits of airpower are really showing.  We've done a massive aerial assault and yet the Iranians keep hitting back.

And the Iranians have hit on the idea of waging an economic war, which is a strategic use of airpower, missiles in the air in this case, knowing that there's little support of the war anywhere, and that people now get to think about how foolish King Donald is every time they go to the pump.  Indeed, an economic war against the US as an Islamic warrior concept has been around for a long time, and is actually what Osama Bin Laden had in mind when he staged the Twin Towers attacks.  Bin Laden turned out to be an economic moron as that had no effect on the economy at all, but this is.

And the Iranians have shown themselves to be able to effectively close the Straits of Hormuz, locking up 20% of the globe's oil supply.  Wharton School of Business graduate Trump (I'm now at the point where Wharton ranks in my mind with correspondence courses in the back of cartoon books) apparently has no grasp at all on how the global oil market works.**  His stupid, and it was stupid, reply is "well we have lots of oil".  Yeah., we do, in a global market.  

J. D. Vance, or whatever his name is, had the comment "well other people are suffering more than we are", which is also moronic. That's saying that yes, you are suffering.

The only way to open the Straits of Hormuz back up is to land Marines on the north shore of the Straits and make a broad beachhead.  A broad beachhead is subject to broad attack, which in turn requires a deeper beachhead.  Choose the analogy that you want, but pretty soon you are looking at either Da Nang in 1965, in which we went from Marine beachhead, to expanded perimeter, to full intervention in the Vietnam War, or Anzio in 1944, which turned into a man eating mess.  Optimistically, a Marine force to open the Straits of Hormuz would have to be backed up, in the end, by a two division commitment form the U.S. Army, and that would be just to hold on to some real estate, not to win the war.

Of course, it'd help in the current pseudo chief executive had cracked a history book from time to time, but Trump just isn't that smart.

Winning the war would actually require a full scale ground invasion.  We could probably pull that off, but it would require an investment of manpower on a scale not seen since the Vietnam War.  The Korean War would be a good analogy, actually.  It'd require a full scale call up of the National Guard and Reserves, and the standdown would not come for many years.  It'd cost something like 20,000 men killed, optimistically, and accelerate inflation at an unsustainable rate under the current tax structure.  In other worlds, unlike the Cold War in which budgets were less out of control, we couldn't keep this running long and would actually have to raise taxes, and massively, something that should be done in any event.

So, here we are.  Israel got a a war that Bibi wanted, although winning that war now depends more on Dick and Jane in Hastings, Nebraska, than it does on anyone in Israel.  The US got into an illegal war it didn't want at all, and which nobody can honestly state has a goal that makes sense.  Pete Hegseth and his Evangelical friends got a fever dream in which they bring about the end of Islam, which isn't going to happen.  

Well, if its any consolation, Trump gets bored pretty easily.  Marco Rubio probably still wants to invade Cuba.  There's a fairly good chance that Trump will just pull the U.S. military out of the war, effectively surrendering to Iran but without his pen on anything.  We'll go on to invade Cuba with just as little grasp of what that will take.  Republicans in Congress will still sit around acting like they're getting paid to do something.  

Sic transit Gloria Mundi.

Footnotes:

*Recalling Æthelred the Unready, the terrible Saxon king, whom after his death was lampooned as being "unready", i.e., "ill advised".

Æthelred the Unready, whom in spite of being a terrible king, was the Saxon king for 38 years, a remarkably long time.

**A very respected cousin of mine went to Wharton and went on to a fantastic career in business.  He was the sort of person who was simply a natural businessman from day one.  Indeed, I always though him a fish out of water in Wyoming where he really didn't fit in.

Anyhow, we were all so impressed that he went to Wharton.

My mind has really changed on Wharton, and frankly a lot of the big name schools.  Both Donald Trump and Wyoming's Secretary of State, Chuck Gray, are Wharton graduates which says a lot, and not in a good way, about Wharton.  Gray, at least, is clearly smart, indeed smart enough to dupe a lot of Wyomingites into voting for him.  Trump appears to me to have a very modest intellect.

Pete Hegseth is a graduate of Princeton and Harvard, which is even more amazing.  Hegseth simply doesn't appear to be that smart.

All of this calls for a separate thread, but clearly the level of prestige these institutions have traditionally held simply isn't warranted today. 

Subsidiarity Economics 2026. The Times more or less locally, Part 3. The Wharton Way.

 

 "The Wharton Way"

Our strategic plan guiding us towards greater influence, innovation, and engagement for the advancement of business, education, and society at large.

Wharton School of Business website.

Donald J. Trump, who fancies himself a Wile E. Coyote level genius, is a graduate of the Wharton School of Business.

It certainly doesn't show, or Wharton isn't all it has been cracked up to be.

Having gotten the United States into an illegal war as Bibi Netanyahu talked him into it, Donny appears to have been taken off guard that Iran could and would close the Straits of Hormuz, hit tankers, and hit oil and gas facilities throughout the Middle East.

Why wouldn't they?

Perhaps if Melania lets Barron go see his father over Spring Break, assuming they're not perusing travel brochures entitled "where we can go to live after Don dies where people won't know we're Trumps", and assuming that Barron isn't doing the right thing and enlisting in the United States Marine Corps, they can break out some hex and counter games and play Naval based Superpower v. Land based regional power" and see how that works out.

Anyhow, Donny Trump (did we mention that he fancies himself a Wile E. Coyote level genius?) has lifted sanctions on already loaded oil tankers in the Persian Gulf, which means that Iran now has a source of cash it didn't before the war started.

So, we didn't wipe out their nuclear capabilities in the Twelve Day War, their government hasn't fallen in this one, people have not risen up to toss out the Iranian government, the Straits of Hormuz are closed, we didn't stockpile oil before the war, the price of oil has skyrocketed, and now the Iranians can legally transport some oil

Assuming that Trump isn't secretly trying to destroy the American economy and benefit Iran (and Russia), it's hard to see the smarts in any of that.

Last edition:

Subsidiarity Economics 2026. The Times more or less locally, Part 2. The "War, what's it good for?" edition.

Can You Meme Through a War?


 

Friday, March 20, 2026

Two Weapons stories as the US heads towards ground troops deploying, again, in the middle east.

The Marine Corps, which insists on avoiding equipment adopted first by the Army, looked at the M7,and said, nah. . . 

M7 Rifle.


Marines not interested in switching from M27 to Army’s M7 anytime soon

Chances are good, I'd rate them as overwhelming, that the USMC will be using M27s within a week or two in Iran.  This will be the modified HK416's first major combat use, maybe its first use at all.

M27 Automatic Rifle.

It's a mistake, the M7 is definitely the better rifle with better ammunition.  But the Marines, if allowed to have a different rifle, will always do so.

Marines in China with M1895 Navy Lee, at the time at which the Army was using the Krag.  They didn't use it long.

And there's now drone killing ammunition:

U.S. Military Unveils "Drone Killer" Rifle Cartridges | An Official Journal Of The NRA

The pelletized ammunition sort of resembles "snake shot" for pistols used by outdoorsmen in the summer months.  It was developed by the Navy.

Thursday, March 19, 2026

War in Iran is making Donald Trump weaker—and angrier

 

War in Iran is making Donald Trump weaker—and angrier

"We can't just quit now". Yes, we can.

The argument was predictable, so its no surprise.  Republican supporters of Mad King Donald are arguing that, well, sure it might have been a big whopping mistake, but we can't quit now.

Oh yes we can.

We've done it before.


We did that in Vietnam after seventeen years of effort and 50,000 dead.  Heck, we left and felt good about leaving, blaming our embarrassing departure on the South Vietnamese, whom supposedly we were there to help.

Mad King Donny did that with Afghanistan, actually surrendering to the Taliban and leaving the mess for his successor Joe Biden to handle.  To Trumpites everything is always Joe Biden's fault, but the abandonment of the Afghanis was Donny's fault.  

So he has experience in losing wars and pulling out already.

We went into this war because Israel basically duped Donny into it.  Knowing that Donny was of weak and declining mind, they convinced him that an Israeli strategic goal was an American one, as they couldn't achieve it on their own.  The entire concept was lame in the extreme.  We'd bomb Iran for two or three days, murder the leadership of the Islamic Republic, and suddenly everyone in Iran, exercising their Second Amendment Rights, would rise up and turn the country into a liberal democracy, complete with a representative government that loved us, and proper voter identification.

It was a stupid idea.

The Iranians are a captive people, but they aren't armed the way we are, and for that matter, if the Trump administration is any guide, even freedom loving. AR 15 toting, patriots will roll over like a dog when the government tells them to, even accepting that, well, guns are bad as King Donny said so.  Sparking a revolution in a foreign country by bombing the crap out of it won't achieve that goal.  Indeed, if the Germans, North Koreans, North Vietnamese, etc., are any example, bombing a civilian population causes support for the government.  At some point, some person whom wanted freedom is burying a child and hates your guts.

Not that Trump could appreciate this.  Trumps haven't served in the military the entire time they've been in the US.  Heck, the founder of the Trump dynasty in the US was regarded as a draft dodger in the German state he was from, although that can be debated (he was, after all, busy in the US serving food and running a house of prostitution).

So, now we have the Iranians proposing terms to us.

In order to "win" this war we'll have to seize the country.  Given the population of Iran, that will mean calling up the National Guard and occupying the country for at least a decade.  My guess is that we'd sustain at least 20,000 dead, not as much as Vietnam, but a lot more than any war we've fought since Vietnam.

Let's not.

Chances are pretty good that King Donald is going to accept whatever terms the Iranians dictate to the US and call it a victory.  It's a bit of an American tradition, after all.  The British and the Canadians beat the crap out of the US in the War of 1812 and we still pretend that we won it, when in fact the British dictated terms to us.  We won the Mexican War but only by forming our own Mexican body to surrender to us, legitimate Mexican authorities never did.  We declared victory in the Philippine Insurrection when the war became too unpopular to continue to fight, through which we dictated to the Filipinos that they'd have to go independent, just like they were fighting to be.  We went into Mexico in the Mexican Border War and then came back out, tail between our legs.  We flat out lost the Vietnam War but got out before everything folded up and then blamed it all on the South Vietnamese.

And of course, as noted, we surrendered to the Taliban.

Trump is going to Congress and asking for $200B to fight this war.  Just say no, Congress.  Trump will then declare victory and claim that we wiped out Iranian nuclear material, which we claimed to have earlier wiped out, and go home.  

This problem can be left for the adults.

If this war is to go on, one modest proposal.  The Trump family ought to serve in it.  Every single one under age 55. And in combat roles.  The Trump family head of household can make that happen.  And Trump lovers, like Chuck Gray, who are under 55 should sign up and go.  To not do so would be hypocritical.

Shoot, it would make this a rich man's war, and a poor man's fight, if that didn't happen.

But, the better course, just stop.  Chances are that's exactly what we're going to do anyhow.

Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Subsidiarity Economics 2026. The Times more or less locally, Part 2. The "War, what's it good for?" edition.

 


February 28, 2025

War, huh, yeah

What is it good for?

Absolutely nothing, uhh

War, huh, yeah

What is it good for?

Absolutely nothing

Edwin Starr.  War, 1970.

Oil is at $67.29.

It'll go up over the next several days with the US and Israel ineffectually rocketing Iran, and Iran ineffectually rocketing the entire Arabian Peninsula in a war that's going to get much, much, worse.

War, what's it good for?  Well it's good for raising the prices of everything, that's for sure.

A local headline:

Company eyes Wyoming for massive crude oil pipeline

Pipelines create a lot of work while they're being built, although usually the pipeliners are from out of state.

March 3, 2026.

Oil is at $76.08.

Wyoming oil is oddly, still under $58.00/bbl.

March 4, 2026


Obviously everything is going great.


March 6, 2026

Brent Crude:  $90/bbl.

March 9, 2026
There is no precedent for this. The sky is the limit.
Neil Atkinson, former head of oil at the International Energy Agency.

Don't worry, the American Supreme Leader has declared that this is a very small price for you schmucks to pay.


I thought we'd already ended the Iranian nuclear threat?

Well, we did, but didn't, the Dear Leader declares.  So enjoy your higher price at the pump and remember, no Trumps will be harmed in the war, so it's all okay. That's the important thing.

Wyoming crude is at $75.00/bbl.

In spite of what his admirers seem to think, everything Trump touches, just turns to shit.

Cont:

Wild market today.  Oil went up to $119/bbl and has since fallen to $90/bbl, as there's indications the administration might do something.  Some financial analysts feel that petroleum may be reaching the "demand destruction" stage. 

Cont:

I've worried, and warned, about this:


As previously noted, I assume Iran has sleeper cells.  It's surprised me that they haven't activated them, but then, once you do, you probably only get to do it once.

Let's hope they aren't activating anything, or better yet, that they don't have any.

March 11, 2026

Headline in the CST:

Trump’s claim of ‘roaring’ US economy not backed by data 

 2026 has kicked off with job losses, rising gasoline prices

Sen. Roger Marshall on high gas prices: "Freedom is not free. Americans are gonna have to make some sacrifices."

Quite a statement in support of a war Americans didn't want launched by an oligarch who doesn't even drive.

Petroleum prices are a price leader, if they go up, given as all goods that are moved in this country are moved via a petroleum fueled thing, the price of everything goes up. So does the price of farming, so  the price of food goes up.

March 13, 2026

Trump Removes Sanctions on Russia to Help Oil Flow Amid Iran Conflict

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said it was “unfortunate” that the move could benefit Russia, but maintained that it was only for the short term.

The Trump administration seems to have no grasp on what it is doing at all.

March 14, 2026

It's not just oil. Here comes Hormuz inflation.

Garden supplies, birthday balloons and semiconductors could get hit by price inflation or shortages.

The gravity of this can't be overemphasized.  Crude oil is up 47%, so far.  Fuel prices are going to go up. The boneheads running the war hit a fuel loading island yesterday.  Fertilizer is going to go up, and food production down.  

It's clear Trump thought this war would be over in a few days, even though we know that the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs warned against the war.  This is going to go on for months. Prices will continue to climb.

Trump hasn't really been correct on a single thing he's done in his second term so far.  This is the shit icing on the shit cake.  It's going to be extremely bad.

March 16, 2026

Something that Americans seemingly failed to take note in the Trump economy, which has been backwards looking, is that the rest of the world has been rushing into an electric future.

Contrary to what Donald Trump imagines, China is investing in wind power like crazy and now over 50% of new vehicles sold in China are electric.

The current war will accelerate those efforts everywhere but here, and as a result, we'll get further and further behind the curve.

This is what rule by demented octogenarians and their acolytes produced.

March 17, 2026

Wartime oil spike likely portends more bad than good for oil-rich Wyoming

(Reposted as this thread is glitchy)

Last edition:

Subsidiarity Economics 2026. The Times more or less locally, Part 1. The reap what you sow edition.

Monday, March 16, 2026

The end of the American Century and planning for what comes next.

Donald Trump is systematically accelerating American decline making what might have happened over a two or more decades, had the existing trends remained and the U.S. not corrected itself, take place over a matter of months.

By the end of the Trump presidency, even if that end happens this year with him being taken out of the White House in a straight jacket, the US will not be the world's dominant economic power.  China will be, followed by the European Union.  The US will not be the leader of the free world, that's already ceased to be the case.  The EU is.  The US won't even be the moral leader of North America.  Canada is.

And thanks to the war with Iran, the US is rapidly ceasing to be the military power it once was.  Traditionally declining global powers lose that status last, and I suppose that's what's happening to us, but in a matter of months rather than decades, as is the norm.  We are, right now, losing a war with a third rate power and we don't even know why we are fighting it, other than that Bibi Netanyahu wanted it fought while he had somebody he could coax in the White House.  Right now, nations that looked to us since 1939 for help are quitting that, or have quit.  Maybe only a few remain in the Pacific, but that will end within a matter of months.

Had Trump not pushed this all into high gear, it might have happened over a long period of time anyhow.  The US hasn't been in control of its budget for decades and that was going to cause this to occur no matter what.  We might have been able to arrest that with a major effort, but that would have required most of the current members of Congress to get new jobs.  Now, however, things are so accelerated much of this is just going to happen all on its own.

Americans had better get used to it quickly and, for that matter, they'd better start planning for a post Trump world where we dance to the tune called by others, not to the one we called.  

While we can lament this in many ways, not all of it will be bad.  We will have to start rebuilding coalitions, but we're going to have to accept that we'll be regarded as a junior, and stupid, member of them.  We deserve that.  We're going to start building green energy and the like as people are going to tell us to and we're going to like it.  People like Chuck Gray who run around screaming "not on my watch" will be looking at green power in California by the end of 2027.  

We're going to have to look at reforming our tax and economic structure.  A lot of the giant moneybucks people like Musk will be leaving anyhow.  They love money, not the country, and the money will be leaving.  We're going to have to pay for what we buying, and what the Baby Boomer and their parents bought, in terms of a government.  Foreign countries are going to give us no choice.  We're not going to be the world's banker within the next two years.

People who worried about "forever wars" and the like, after the war against Iran is over, won't have to so much anymore.  They'll get what they wanted, just not the way they wanted it.  We'll crawl back to our alliances, but we'll be a comparative minor member in many ways.  As we can't pay for the huge military we have, we likely won't have it.  I'll look at that in another post.

Nothing lasts forever and you don't appreciate the good things, in many cases, while you have them.  Trump hasn't done the United States one single favor in either of his administrations.  He'll go down in history as the worst President in American history.  His legacy will be the acceleration of the end of the American Century.

Sunday, March 15, 2026

Doug Wilson, the Calvinist preacher who appeared in Pete Hegseth's weekly Pentagon prayer meeting, says that in his preferred Christian nation, anything that Protestants consider to be a "public displays of idolatry" would be banned, including Catholic parades.

This is the mindset of people who have put us into a war in the Middle East.

I'm sure I know a lot of Catholics, particularly locally, who voted for Trump.  Most of them were in the category of people who oppose abortion, as I do, and who oppose the gender bizarreness that the Democratic Party seemed to embrace.

I'm not at all certain that a lot of those people would vote for Trump again.  Particularly Hispanics, who nationwide have dumped Trump like a hot rock, and for good reason.

But I know a very few, and I do mean very few, coreligious who are MAGA.  I can think of one, anyhow.  Indeed, as we are coreligious, I think he just assumes I must hold the same views he does, or he did have that view, and is occasionally surprised to his distress.  When the war in Gaza drug on he was surprised that I didn't have unyielding support for it.  He later came to me a bit distressed as his sons weren't for it either, and I again noted, I agreed with them.

He's been pretty silent on the current war.  My guess would be, although I don't know, that he's all for it.

Since before Trump was elected this go around I've sounded the alarm bells that Catholics would come to regret supporting Trump, as there's a strong Calvinist element that basically hates us.

Calvinism is pretty much dead everywhere, save for the United States, which reflects the unique religious history of the United States.  Americans indeed are often amazingly ignorant on the topic of religion, including American Catholics.  A lot of American protestants don suit and tie, or nice dresses, and "go to church" every Sunday sincerely believing that their assemblies resemble those of the Apostolic Age, not realizing that those gathering for Mass or Divine Liturgy are actually reflective of that.  They largely can't be blamed, as they don't know what they don't know, although some protestant ministers should quite frankly know better.  Having said that, many protestant ministers have in fact "swam the Tiber" in recent years.

Then you have guys like Doug Wilson. . . and Pete Hegseth . . . and Mike Huckabee.

After John F. Kennedy sold us out in order to win the Oval Office, most Protestant denominations got used to us and we got used to them.  For that matter, the turmoil of the 60s and 70s, caused a lot of Catholics to become pretty weak in the observance and knowledge of their faith.  Protestant denominations began to go along with the culture to a large degree, even in some of the hardcore fundamentalist branches of Protestantism.  Big debates have happened, for example over the extent to which various Protestant denominations tolerate homosexuality at ever level, while almost all of them have completely given up paying any attention to what Christianity actually holds regarding sex in general.  Unmarried couples, for example, will "go to church" every Sunday, completely comfortable that God is okay with whatever they're doing.

A tiny, and it is tiny, group of really fundamentalist Protestants, however, holds really radical views on a whole set of topics that would surprise Catholics, including on Catholicism itself.  Some of them really hate us.

That element has the ear of the White House.  A group of American Protestants who believe that the United States has a special divinely ordained role actually has a degree of power right now, and amongst the things they believe is that they can force the Hand of God and bring about the Second Coming soon.  A war with Iran is part of that in their view.

Catholics, Orthodox, Anglicans, Lutherans and most other Christians believe nothing of the sort.  But then you don't find any of the group I've named acting like Paula White and declaring that Donald Trump has a divine mission, and you don't find any of them claiming to be playing the role of Moses in modern times, like Mike Johnson.

To weak Christians nor non Christians, what's going on with Paul White, Doug Wilson and Pete Hegseth reflects Christianity.  It doesn't.  The Apostolic Christians whose symbols and phrases Pete Hegseth has had tattooed on his body would have regarded him as a heretic.

These are dangerous times for Apostolic Christians.  It's time to let people know that this isn't us.  Associating with the radical New Apostolic Reformation people in this administration is a serious error, and will hurt us in the end.  Indeed, they'll hurt us when they can.

Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Wars and Rumors of War, 2026. Part 4. Sumer and Elam.

 


You will hear of wars and rumors of wars, but see to it that you are not alarmed. Such things must happen, but the end is still to come. Nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom.

Matthew, Chapter 24.

You have to make sure you know why you are going to war and then use decisive force to end it as soon as possible.

Colin Powell, 

March 3, 2026

United States and Israel v. Iran

The war continues on, obviously, with the Administration struggling to explain what its about, why now, and why it can omit Congress from its constitutional duty.

It's expanded into a regional war, so far all aircraft and missiles.  Included in the exchanges are those between Hezbollah and Israel in Lebanon.

It's become perfunctory to note that the Iranian government is horrible, which it is.  It murders and rapes its own citizens in the name of an extreme variant of Shi'a Islam.  But, there are a lot of horrible governments in the world.  North Korea and Russia's are two such examples, Afghanistan's is another, and Trump of  course cut a deal with them allowing them to return to power.

The Iranians were going to have a nuclear weapon, it has been claimed, soon, with soon being a bit of a moving target.  A nuclear armed Iran would be frightening and that's the best argument for this offensive war, which would make it a preemptive defensive war. Even that argument, however, seems very poorly developed.

Marco Rubio gave the justification that, if another nation (Israel) attacked Iran, they'd attack us back, and that was an imminent threat.  He claimed Iran was going to be attacked.

That basically would amount to handing the power to declare war for the United States over to Israel.

It just seems that, in reality, an aged demented Trump looking for some sort of legacy was talked into it by the Neoconservatives and Apocalyptic Evangelist in his circle of influencers, with perhaps, probably, Israel itself playing a role in that.  Of all those goals, the Neocon one would be the least disturbing, which is not to say that it would not be disturbing.  

One disturbing thing about that is that NPR, in its Politics podcast, ventured the opinion, not put this way, that Trump is basically drunk on power and will keep toppling governments as long as he's successful in doing so. If that's the case, we can predict that Cuba will be next as its a pet project of Marco Rubio.

The US has lost some aircraft to friendly fire, which in the age of cell phone video, makes for interesting video.

Kuwaiti speaks to shot down U.S. pilot.

 


There's footage of this F-15 being shot down over Kuwait, which was a friendly fire incident.

I actually didn't know the F-15 was still in use by the US, but this very late model has only been in service since 2021.

An interesting thing on this video, other than its a female pilot (she was lucky, as she nearly went down in the sea) is that the video shows the airplane to be an F-15, which means the Air Force, and not just the Navy, is flying some of these missions.

The U.S. death toll is up to five.

Afghanistan v. Pakistan

Hardly noticed in all the general war exploding in the Middle East, Afghanistan and Pakistan are fighting.

Cont:

United States and Israel v. Iran

Reports have revealed that at more than 30 military installations, U.S. commanders told troops the war on Iran is a Christian war in support of its being launched.  One NCO reported that their commander told them today that the U.S. war is to bring about Armageddon and the return of Jesus Christ.

I know that this was going to occur, and at least one Evangelical pastor in the U.S. has said essentially the same thing.  This, I'd note, how Mike Huckabee sees the world.

So now we're at least partially in an American Evangelical Christian holy war against Shia Islam.  It'll be a shock to Evangelicals, but they're a tiny percentage of the globe's Christians, and the percentage of them that hold such Millennialist views is even smaller.  This is going to hurt us all, however. 

It's also being reported that J.D. Vance encouraged Trump to go "all in", for lack of a better word.  I'm not sure of his thinking, but he might be approaching this with a Clausewitzian view of how to wage the war, although that will require ground troops in the end.  From a military prospective, that argument has merit to it. What it lacks here is legality.

March 4, 2026

United States and Israel v. Iran

A Republican official attempted to justify the war on Iran with the figure that 700 Americans had been killed by Iran in the past 47 years.

Over 800 Iranians have now been killed by the US and Israel in the past five days.

The Republican-Evangelical Armageddon Death Pact to Kill the Earth and Bring Back Jesus

Cont:


The US sank an Iranian frigate off of Sri Lanka yesterday.  The attacking ship was a submarine.

Sinking enemy ships in wartime is legitimate. . . but this isn't a declared war.

United States in Ecuador

And we're now fighting somebody, just designated "terrorists", in Ecuador.

March 4, 2026, cont.

United States and Israel v. Iran

A Turkish missile was shot down over NATO ally Turkey and the Iranians launched a drone strike on an RAF base on Cyprus.

Without it apparently being obvious, both sides of this war are now lead or heavily influenced by competing apocalyptic visions.  The US, by the theologically thin and ignorant New Apostolic Reformation Puritans and the Iranians by the Shia theocrats.  Both want the wider war that they envision.

March 5, 2026

United States and Israel v. Iran

The Senate did vote on a war powers resolution that would have limited King Donny's ability to wage war.  It failed.

This is being somewhat hailed as a King Donny victory, but it isn't.  Actually, no matter how you regard the war, the fact that the vote occurred is a good thing as it somewhat, albeit very imperfectly, legitimizes the war.  There has been some sort of vote, in other words, although less than that which is required.

The vote was largely on party lines.

Name ▼StatePartyVote
Angela AlsobrooksMarylandDyes
Tammy BaldwinWisconsinDyes
Jim BanksIndianaRno
John BarrassoWyomingRno
Michael BennetColoradoDyes
Marsha BlackburnTennesseeRno
Richard BlumenthalConnecticutDyes
Lisa Blunt RochesterDelawareDyes
Cory BookerNew JerseyDyes
John BoozmanArkansasRno
Katie BrittAlabamaRno
Ted BuddNorth CarolinaRno
Maria CantwellWashingtonDyes
Shelley CapitoWest VirginiaRno
Bill CassidyLouisianaRno
Susan CollinsMaineRno
Christopher CoonsDelawareDyes
John CornynTexasRno
Catherine Cortez MastoNevadaDyes
Tom CottonArkansasRno
Kevin CramerNorth DakotaRno
Michael CrapoIdahoRno
Ted CruzTexasRno
John CurtisUtahRno
Steve DainesMontanaRno
Tammy DuckworthIllinoisDyes
Richard DurbinIllinoisDyes
Joni ErnstIowaRno
John FettermanPennsylvaniaDno
Deb FischerNebraskaRno
Ruben GallegoArizonaDyes
Kirsten GillibrandNew YorkDyes
Lindsey GrahamSouth CarolinaRno
Charles GrassleyIowaRno
Bill HagertyTennesseeRno
Margaret HassanNew HampshireDyes
Joshua HawleyMissouriRno
Martin HeinrichNew MexicoDyes
John HickenlooperColoradoDyes
Mazie HironoHawaiiDyes
John HoevenNorth DakotaRno
Jon HustedOhioRno
Cindy Hyde-SmithMississippiRno
Ron JohnsonWisconsinRno
Jim JusticeWest VirginiaRno
Timothy KaineVirginiaDyes
Mark KellyArizonaDyes
John KennedyLouisianaRno
Andy KimNew JerseyDyes
Angus KingMaineIyes
Amy KlobucharMinnesotaDyes
James LankfordOklahomaRno
Mike LeeUtahRno
Ben LujánNew MexicoDyes
Cynthia LummisWyomingRno
Edward MarkeyMassachusettsDyes
Roger MarshallKansasRno
Mitch McConnellKentuckyRno
Dave McCormickPennsylvaniaRno
Jeff MerkleyOregonDyes
Ashley MoodyFloridaRno
Jerry MoranKansasRno
Bernie MorenoOhioRno
Markwayne MullinOklahomaRno
Lisa MurkowskiAlaskaRno
Christopher MurphyConnecticutDyes
Patty MurrayWashingtonDyes
Jon OssoffGeorgiaDyes
Alejandro PadillaCaliforniaDyes
Rand PaulKentuckyRyes
Gary PetersMichiganDyes
John ReedRhode IslandDyes
Pete RickettsNebraskaRno
James RischIdahoRno
Jacky RosenNevadaDyes
Mike RoundsSouth DakotaRno
Bernard SandersVermontIyes
Brian SchatzHawaiiDyes
Adam SchiffCaliforniaDyes
Eric SchmittMissouriRno
Charles SchumerNew YorkDyes
Rick ScottFloridaRno
Tim ScottSouth CarolinaRno
Jeanne ShaheenNew HampshireDyes
Tim SheehyMontanaRno
Elissa SlotkinMichiganDyes
Tina SmithMinnesotaDyes
Dan SullivanAlaskaRno
John ThuneSouth DakotaRno
Thom TillisNorth CarolinaRno
Tommy TubervilleAlabamaRno
Chris Van HollenMarylandDyes
Mark WarnerVirginiaDyes
Raphael WarnockGeorgiaDyes
Elizabeth WarrenMassachusettsDyes
Peter WelchVermontDyes
Sheldon WhitehouseRhode IslandDyes
Roger WickerMississippiRno
Ron WydenOregonDyes
Todd YoungIndianaRno

Now the Republican Party owns this war.  

The Administration is already in violation of the War Powers Act as it didn't give proper notice for the war.  It would appear that under the act it's ability to wage war legally will expire in about 90 days.  Trump appears to be just dumb enough to believe that everything will certainly be okay in that period of time, which is far from guaranteed.

European wags are calling the war, which some idiot named Operation Epic Fury, Operation Epstein Fury.

cont:

The United States and a Gulf state are now seeking to purchase drone interceptors from Ukraine.

Rather ironic, really.

Trump has called on the Kurds in Iran to revolt.

That's a really problematic call to arms. The U.S. has a history of doing this with the Kurds and then not fully supporting them when the rise up.  Right now, there's a rump Kurdish state in Syria, and a Kurdish population in Iraq, that would like to form a bonafide state.  If the Kurds achieved a measure of autonomy in Iran, it'd be hard not to grant them full statehood.

That's fine, in my view, but it won't be fine in Turkey's view, which creates all sorts of problems.

cont:

The House also rejected a War Powers resolution to halt the war against Iran.  The vote was 212 to 219.

While this will go back in sixty days or so, this effectively amounts to Congressional authorization, although again, imperfectly.

Two Republicans voted to halt the war.  Four Democrats voted in favor of it.

March 6, 2026

United States and Israel v. Iran

It's increasingly clear that the U.S. is responsible for the strike on a school that killed over 100 young girls.  Apparently the structure was once used by the Iranian military, but has not been for some time.

Meanwhile:


The pastors told Trump that the love of money was the root of all evil and that he needs to repent for his deeply immoral life. . . oh wait, that didn't happen.

God will not be mocked

Galatians 6:7.

Sen. John Barrasso, who is mostly seen now days standing behind John Thune with a serious look on his face, dutifully spouted the "we've been at war for 47 years" line in the last couple of days, as if anyone cares what his opinion is on anything.  Everyone knows that if Trump came out later this week and said that we're killing school girls as we hate pistachios, Barrasso would repeat that.

Time asked King Donny about whether Americans should be worried about attacks in the U.S..  His reply:

I guess…We plan for it. But yeah, you know, we expect some things. Like I said, some people will die. When you go to war, some people will die.

Frankly, if Americans die, unless their names is Trump, Trump doesn't appear to care.  But why would anyone think he would care?

On this, Iran had decades to insert sleeper cells into the U.S., and they don't have to be staffed by Iranian nationals.   That doesn't mean, however that they did. Some nations that we assumed had done that in the past, like Imperial Japan and Nazi Germany, didn't.

It's always been assumed, and probably correctly, that the Soviet Union did.

Iran?  If they didn't, I can't imagine why they did not, but they may not have.

What is sure right now is that they haven't struck.  That doesn't mean they won't.  Using sleeper agents is usually reserved for what basically amounts to total war, and its risky.  Right now, all Iran really has to do is hang on until August or so, by which time if it hasn't surrendered, disgusted Americans will use the war against the GOP for being Trump toadies.  That appears likely to happen anyhow.  Use of agents might serve to simply make Americans mad, which could change that.

Strikes against economic targets, however, are another matter.  There's not an oil refinery in the US that a terrorist can't damage somehow and that would not only be potentially hugely disrupting, but it would require the domestic deployment of troops and drive up the price of oil like crazy.  It might also not so much anger, as opposed to scare, Americans.

What average Americans have to worry about is rogue individuals.  In a country in which its so easy to acquire arms, we're very open to attacks like that which happened recently in Austin, or in Australia.  The Trump regime would react to that by cutting into the 2nd Amendment.

Will that occur? Well it already has.  But even at that, it didn't happen during the Vietnam War, which might be the most comparable to what we're enduring right now.

Which doesn't mean that we shouldn't be worried.

But don't worry too much.  Donny, who lamented how many young men were being killed in the Russo Ukrainian War at one time, isn't concerned.  If you die, well, that's just one of those things.

The Washington Post reports that Russia is providing Iran targeting information.  

Cont:

King Donny has demanded an "unconditional surrender" by Iran, thereby completely removing any incentive the Islamic Republic has to enter into any sort of arrangement with the US whatsoever.

Generally, demand for unconditional surrenders are monumentally stupid and rarely work.  Such a demand in part caused the Third Reich and Imperial Japan to fight beyond the  point at which political forces in both countries would have ended those wars, and they (if we consider them to be two different wars) beyond the point at which they otherwise would have. Even at that, Japan's surrender actually turned out to have conditions imposed by Japan.

An unconditional surrender here would completely turn Iran's fate, and that of its Islamic regime, over to the United States.  Why wouldn't they just fight on?  This likely serves to strengthen the unpopular government.

It also puts the US military in a situation in which a ground invasion of Iran is practically mandatory.  Staging that will be difficult as the US is unlikely to gain the cooperation of Iraq or Turkey in that, and of course thanks to Donny's brilliant first term diplomacy, Afghanistan as a staging area it not an option.  Therefore it would appear a large scale maritime landing would be required.

Cont:

Well, the admiration is already trying to walk that back:

When he as commander in chief determines that Iran no longer poses a threat to the US and the goals of Operation Epic Fury have been fully realized, then Iran will essentially be in a place of unconditional.

Leavitt.

March 8, 2026

United States and Israel v. Iran

No end in sight.

Kurdish sources have apparently indicated that the US asked for them to take action against Iran, but they don't trust Trump so they declined.

United States v. Cuba

The administration is giving every indication that it intends to take unauthorized military action against Cuba next.

March 9, 2026

United States and Israel v. Iran

Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of the killed Supreme Leader, is the new Supreme Leader. So the attacks did not effect regime change whatsoever, so far.

The United States lifted a sanction on Indian oil allowing that country to receive it, in light of rising prices, thereby giving Russian an economic benefit in the war.

March 10, 2026

United States and Israel v. Iran

At least commentator holds Iran's new Supreme Leader is more extreme than his father.

Cont:

I had a very good call with President Putin. We talked about Ukraine which is the never ending fight…It was a positive call on that subject 

We obviously talked about the Middle East. He wants to be helpful…We had a very good talk, and he wants to be very constructive.

Trump.

At this point, even if you are the MAGAist MAGA of the MAGA, to not believe that the relationship between Donald Trump and Putin isn't weird, it's a willful decision.  The Russians are giving Iran intelligence against us and our reaction is to lift sanctions on their oil.

And Putin wants to be helpful.  Yeah, right.

Cont: 

Nobody seems to notice, but acts of terrorism against the U.S. have spread into New York and Canada.

March 11, 2026

United States and Israel v. Iran

Headline from the Casper Star Tribune:

US, IRAN DIG IN 

Which in Iran's case at least, was obviously going to occur.  Our President didn't realize that, as he's an idiot.

If He Only Had a Brain — Scarecrow Trump Says Tanker Operators Lack Guts

Sen. Roger Marshall on high gas prices: "Freedom is not free. Americans are gonna have to make some sacrifices."

Quite a statement in support of a war Americans didn't want launched by an oligarch who doesn't even drive.

Related threads:

In the event of conscription (and Trumpite insiders say the demented octogenarian is considering it) conscript ICE first, and then deploy them.

Last edition:

CliffsNotes of the Zeitgeist, 121st Edition and Wars and Rumors of War, 2026. Part 3. The War against Iran Edition and other Military Topics.