Counting Mayfield, Hill County Texas, ballots, 2/20/24.
November 3, 2026. 0000.
And so the fateful day has arrived.
Election Day, November 3, 2026.
And a fateful day it will be. The election of 2026 is the most important election since that one held on November 3, 1860. By the end of the day, if predictions hold, it will have taken a step back from fascism. The question will be how big of step back it will be, how much of a step in a new direction, and whether the step is so decisive that a major GOP/Fascist coup attempt can be averted.
I have my doubts.
What seems certain, if early predictions are correct, are that the Democrats, as disliked as they seem to be, will regain the House of Representatives. Polling seems to suggest that there may be a "blue wave" that swamps the GOP in the House. If that's correct, the House may have taken a major Democratic Party turn and a turn back towards real democracy. It seems likely that the Senate may be taken by the Democrats, but it's not likely that it'll be a "wave". But it's not impossible either. It'll take both to really arrest a Trump coup attempt, and it will take both to really being to turn the arch of history back towards democracy.
Another question is to what degree Wyoming participates in this. Wyoming is so ignored in the overall polls that, going into this day, we really don't know.
People who are of the betting persuasion would have placed their bets on Chuck Gray and Harriet Hageman right after the primary. But bets on Gray are much less certain now. Gray is widely despised and rightly so. The best thing that could happen to him, and for him, and for the state, would be to send him packing. He needs to become a real boy and get a real job. Lisa Kinney might be the person who symbolically does that for him, and to him, although if that's the case, she'll be a one term Congressman, elected solely to put an end in a carpetbagger's career, which would be a service to the state in and of itself.
A much better candidate, all the way around, is James Byrd. Byrd's chances of defeating Harriet Hageman are not as good as Kinney's are of defeating Gray, but they are real.
Otherwise, the big question is whether gadfly Rebecca Bextel of the "Constitution" Party, and Shawn Johnson of the Libertarian Party, draw enough votes to qualify both of those parties as "major" parties.
Bextel, who is engaged in a hopelessly naive campaign against Eric Barlow for the Governor's seat, comes across as a potty mouth, ignorant, Southerner, but there are right now enough potty mouth, ignorant carpetbaggers to perhaps give her 10% of the vote. It's ironic in that the Constitution Party candidate for the House isn't a Southerner or ignorant, but the Constitution Party is smart enough to mount up a Southern Mule when they see one, if it profits them. Their beliefs are genuinely wacky, and Bextel pegs out on the wacky meter, and the Wyoming Freedom Caucus is the Woodstock of wacky, so she is likely to draw at least 10%.
My guess is that Shawn Johnson will as well. Wyoming Libertarians aren't real Libertarians, so some disaffected Republicans can in fact feel comfortable voting for them. Some Anybody But Chuck Republicans' who can't stomach voting for a Democrat will vote for Johnson instead.
Overall, if this election broke the back of the two party system, which is unlikely, in Wyoming, it would be a good thing. The batshit crazy wing of the GOP should be in the Constitution Party. The flirting with anarchy wing of the GOP should be Libertarians. Would that we had an American Solidarity Party that was viable here. The Two Party System is moronic.
And, due to its failure, we have Donald Trump as President.
The next two years will not be easy. The best thing that could happen for the republic today is that there was such a blue wave that Trump could, and would, be impeached. That would allow the GOP to save itself, as spineless bastards like John Barrasso realized that they had to save themselves, his primary instinct, and moved towards the middle. Other GOP figures held captive by cowardice would as well. That would leave National Conservative chameleon J. D. Vance as President. Vance is actually conservative, extremely so, but with some sort of a philosophy. Trump is just about Trump. Vance also has a survivors instinct.
But will that sort of majority happen by the end of the day? Probably not.
Recovery takes years for many things. We are likely to start on that path today. A lot of us won't be around anymore by the time we probably get there. But a lot of us probably will.
04:10
The Tribune reports that 5,000 people have voted early in Natrona County. Only 1,500 did in the last election.
Absentee ballots with a postmark no later than 7:00 p.m. today will be counted. If races are close, this may make a difference.
04:37
The United States Supreme Court rejected a request to review a coup attempt on California's mail in ballots. The coup working through the U.S. Attorney's office sought to require verification of citizenship for 20,000 California mail in ballots.
07:00
The polls in Wyoming are now open.
07:32
Wyoming Public Radio reports that absentee ballots must be received by 7:00 p.m., contrary to the item noted above. I think this is correct.
14:19
Guam's non voting U.S. House delegate seat flipped from the GOP to the Democratic Party with Democrat Alicia Anne Garrido Limtiaco defeating incumbent James Moylan. It appears the election for Governor flipped from Democratic to Republican, with the Republican Ada-Calvo team winning the race over the Democrat Terlaje-Perez team, although it's quite close and that result is uncertain.
While I hate to say it, neither result really matters much as Guam has no vote in Congress.
15:01
Apparently Guam's representative can introduce bills, vote in committees, and offer amendments.
17:44
The inside news must be really bad for Republicans. Trump is having a meltdown:
Trump cannot handle being blamed for failure, and yet he knows this is a referendum on him. At the Oval Office he's clearly being told that this is going badly.
He's also unstable and has his hands on the nuclear trigger. We're entering a very dangerous period.
18:00
First called race of the night, incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff retains his seat as senior Senator from Georgia.
I don't know if that's a surprise, or not, it's just the first to be called.
18:08
Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor of Florida won the Florida 14th district which had been gerrymandered to favor Republicans.
If this trend holds, it's going to be an extremely bad night for Republicans.
November 4, 2026
Donald Trump leading the GOP into the 2026 midterms.
It was an outright slaughter of Republicans across the nation yesterday.
Donald Trump asked the nation to pretend he was on the ballot. They did.
They completely rejected him, his cabinet, his family, his policies, and the Republican Party.
The slaughter was so vast it appears that even Trump won't attempt to challenge them. He probably is aware doing so will result in his impeachment.
The Democrats flipped Senate seats in Maine, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, North Carolina, South Carolina, Alaska, and even Texas, Susan Collins 30 year career in the Senate was put to an end. Dr. Annie Andrews prevailed over the poorly chosen Senator Darline Graham, the sister of the late Senator Lindsey Graham. Dr. Abdul El-Sayed won in Michigan.
Mississippi may be added to the toll, where as of this morning, only 50 votes separated what had been a safe Republican state.
In terms of Governor's races, which had been trending GOP for years, Democrats also reversed the tide. Keisha Lance Bottoms became the first black woman to be elected governor in U.S. history, taking Georgia. Gina Hinojosa ousted three term Trump lackey Gov. Greg Abbott. Dr. Amy Acton became the first woman elected governor of Ohio. The Democrats retook Nevada.
Locally, results were as predicted, but disappointing.
Harriet Hageman is now the incoming U.S. Senator. Given Wyoming's history, she'll be able to retain the seat a decade after she's dead, as Wyoming reelects incumbents no matter how bad they are. So we replaced one bad Senator with an even worse one, based on her history as a Congressman.
Her challenger, Byrd, took about 35% of the vote, which was underperforming in my view.
Chuck Gray, who is widely despised, took the House, but in a closer race. He still drew 55% of the vote, which is amazing. Lisay Kinney underperformed at 34%. Libertarian Johnson got the balance, 7.5%, vastly underperforming.
All this shows how Republican Wyoming remains. Wyomingites will blindly vote for the GOP candidate because he or she is the GOP candidate.
In terms of underperforming, Republican candidate Eric Barlow blew the doors off of carpetbagger Rebecca Bextel. Bextel did so badly that even the hopeless Democratic candidate took about the same number of votes that she did.
She should take that as a message.
Her Make Alabama Great again campaign did draw 17% o of the vote, to Casner's 15%. Barlow took 69%.
This means the Constitution Party will qualify as a Major Party in the 2028 election.
Proposition 1 failed, a major victory for common sense and an additional rebuke to the Wyoming Freedom Caucus.
Democrats did pick up a State House seat in Laramie County.
In Natrona County people voted, apparently, for familiar names, even reelecting a 1,000 year old county commissioner and returning a 2,000 year old candidate to the Casper city council.
Turning back to the national results, Trump had the unmitigated gall to congratulate the Democrats and assumes they'll work with him. They ought to impeach him.
05:28
In really tight races, it looks like Cindy Holscher will become the Democratic Governor of Kansas and that Lauren Boebert has lost her seat in Congress.
06:31
Democrats took ever single statewide office in Georgia.
Every, single one.
To add to it, the winners were black Democrats. This hasn't happened ever.
A political party that is morally and intellectually bankrupt deserves the rebuke of the American people.
During the Revolutionary War, George Washington ordered his troops inoculated against Small Pox.
This week Pete Hegseth lifted the requirement that troops be inoculated for influenza for "religious" reasons.
The current GOP is heavily anti scientific.
Opposition to vaccinations has been in American history largely a thing of smaller Christian and non Christian sects which are fairly anti scientific, as opposed to the majority of Christians who have no objection to vaccination. However, when the far right of the country started to turn weird, listening to such medical lights as boob model Jenny McCarthy, that began to change a bit. Covid really made it worse as a significant portion of the country turned anti vax under the leadership of Donald Trump, who got the vaccine, but who recommended some really lethal approaches to the crisis as well.
Troops who don't get inoculated ought to just be given dishonorable or less than honorable discharges. That's what should have occurred to those who refused the Covid vaccine.
April 24, 2026
The war department stands ready for what comes next. Locked and loaded. May God continue to breast—bless our warriors each and every day and on each and every mission.
Hegseth.
Breast?
Okay, I get that it's a slip of the tongue, um, well, but it's an odd one.
May 12, 2026
The Aryan Nation, the Nazis, and the KKK are not far-right organizations. Those are far-left organizations, and they always have been. The KKK was created and started by the Democrats in the United States to prevent blacks from being able to participate in the political arena, if you will. So, I'm going to say they've never been associated with the right, they've always been associated with the left.
Harriet Hageman.
Hageman's no dummy and she knows this is crap, or has drank so much of the Kool Aide she'll spout stuff that's absurd.
Every one of these organizations is from the far right and any claim to the contrary is patently absurd. The claim about the Nazis, which I've seen before, comes from the party's very early, and frankly pre Hitler, days and its name, the National Socialist Party. The absurdity of that claim fails to realize that "socialism" in the context of nationalist parties doesn't necessarily mean Marxism, but "for society". In the case of the Nazis, way early on their did espouse Socialism but by the time they'd come to power they'd abandoned it in favor of autarky and the early socialist in the party were sidelined or expelled.
And the claim about the KKK being founded by the Democrats and therefore left wing completely ignores that originally the Republican Party was the left wing party, and the Democrats were a right wing party. The Democrats didn't evolve into the political left until the 20th Century and in the American South remained the conservative party into the 1980s. Hageman herself is old enough to have voted in Reagan's first run for the Oval Office and therefore should be well aware of that.
This is totally reprehensible.
Cont:
Reporter: What extent are Americans’ financial situation motivating you to make a deal?
Trump: Not even a little bit. I don't think about Americans’ financial situation.
May 13, 2026
So it turns out that Trump's advisors uniformly told him not to launch the war against Iran, but he did anyway, and the advisors, not wanting to be blamed for his stupidity, leaked. He wants them prosecuted for treason, and sycophant Todd Blanche is looking to to it.
The real crime here is Trump's, who launched an illegal war. With no declaration of war, every single Iranian killed in it has been the victim of some sort of crime, and every American who has died has been the victim of some sort of crime ultimately attributable to Trump as well.
Blanche is pathetic. When this is over, and it will be, his careers should be flushed down the toilet.
And then there's this:
PabloReports: Ted Cruz called you a parasite and disparaged your work as a bartender.
AOC: I think it’s funny that he’s been taking a government paycheck for 23 years but has the audacity to criticize someone who has come from a family that had to work their way up and earn their place here.
This is really becoming a Republican specialty around here. We get retired servicemen who come in after sucking on the government tit for 30 years, retire, and then start sucking on the other government tit, and then run for office on the "I hate the government" ticket.
In that sense, the Democrat running against Collins in Maine is really refreshing. He's given a speech about his combat service and then noted how he can't figure out how that's relevant to being a Senator. It isn't.
Recently I saw somebody post something in favor of Brent Bien here in Wyoming, noting that he's served in combat or dangerous conditions all over the world, and how that will make him ready to lead. Yeah, lead troops, not a state government.
We have a whole host of candidates from the He Man Government Haters Club running locally. They have a right to run, but while they're doing it, they shouldn't be draining their mommy. It's hypocritical.
June 22, 2026
Unqualified for her office Jeanine Pirro, U.S. attorney for the District of Columbia, said her office would prosecute individuals caught vandalizing the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool.
That would mean prosecuting Donald Trump, which should be done for a variety of reasons.
June 24, 2026
The ideology of the Mooslims is slightly different than the ideology of the Catholics. We have the Catholics and the Mooslims. Slightly different. But Venezuela has been great and Iran has been great.
Donald Trump.
Insulting in the extreme.
The ideology of Catholics, of which I am one, is the ideology of Christianity, as Catholicism is the first and original Christian religion It's more than "slightly different" than Islam.
This provides a good reason for those Catholics who support Trump to really question what they are doing.
June 26, 2026
Under President Trump the U.S. unemployment rate is at a historic low of just 4.3%. It was at a dismal rate of 3.4% under Biden.
Karoline Leavitt.
What the crap?
June 27, 2026
The new special edition passports with a glowering Supreme Leader Trump's image in them features the words, "Welcome! But be good".
Apparently some moron didn't realize that these were passports, not visas.
Related thread:
August 7, 2026
After an embarrassing display of conspiratorial lunacy, in which Rand Paul notably played a part, a panel of Republican dimwits voted to send a measure to the Senate floor to hold Dr. Fauci in contempt of Congress for refusing to answer their moronic questions.
The basic truth of the matter is that the GOP has become completely scientific and dimwit conspiratorial in nature. Basically, Flat Earthers, really. I'm sure the whole panel will hold an investigation soon on whether we really went to the moon, and decide we didn't.
Not really on ignorance, but on the perversion that surrounds everything Trump, Republicans have been more or less silent on Rep. Max Miller after having a fit about Graham Platner. Miller has been accused of abusing his wife by pouring boiling water on her and breaking the collar bone of his daughter. Even his father in law, who is in the Senate, has been reluctant to criticizes him.
That's your party of family values.
August 20, 2026
We have a spike in oil prices that I don't really understand
Scott Bessent.
Seriously?
September 16, 2026
Trust in vaccines for deadly childhood diseases including measles has fallen according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll found. Measles is on the uptake.
People who don't vaccinate their children for measles are, quite frankly, criminally stupid.
September 20, 2026
Yeah, sure the military asked for that. . .
September 24, 2026
"We almost have to go back to, what did medicine look like to the pioneer days in America?"
Republican Minnesota state auditor candidate, Dr. Scott Jensen.
Eee gads.
Oh, but it gets better, Sen. "Coach" Tommy Tuberville was holding forth on the Senate floor yesterday about the dangers of transvestitism and furries in commercial avaiation.
It’s possible that the pilot flying your plane could have a deranged fetish of dressing up like an animal.
U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville.
Maybe a Star Wars convention was in town?
Posted under fair use exception.
Tuberville says stuff all the time that's flat out stupid. How he was ever elected is a mystery, but frankly, he raises questions about Arkansas because of his routine idiotic comments.
Somebody else who routinely raised eyebrows before he was appointed to the government is Dr. OZ, who yesterday stated:
More than a third of people on Obamacare have never used the insurance policy once. If you were gonna pay your hard-earned money to buy insurance, would you ever use it? The answer is yes.
What an idiotic statement that was. You never want to have to use your insurance. Did Dr. Oz go into the office everyday thinking "golly, I hope I get to turn something in on my malpractice insurance today!"
Cont:
Sen. Jim Justice held a huge birthday party for his dog on Capitol Hill, wheeling it in with a small covered wagon.
It's like the last days of the Roman Empire.
Justice is a West Virginian Republican.
So, we had John Barrasso calling the Democrats "weird" last weekend. . .
September 25, 2026
Tommy Tuberville doubles down on stupid.
Tommy just causes me to unfairly bring to mind all the stereotypes I have about football coaches, a game I don't really like.
The anarcho-syndicalist CNT/FAI quixotically accepted four cabinet positions in the Republican government, the only time anarchists have participated in a national government, which frankly doesn't make a lot of sense.
France and Germany signed a peace treaty in which Germany withdrew all claims to North Africa and Morocco was partitioned between France and Spain. Germany took 107,270 miles of the French Congo. Germany ceded 6.450 miles of German Cameroon to FRance. This brought to an end the Agadir Crisis.
Troops of Nanjing warlord Xu Shaozhen(徐绍祯)massacreed approximately 4,500 Manchus.
This would become increasingly common during the 1911 Revolution.
The Philippine Commission passed the Philippine Sedition Act, making it a crime to "utter seditious words or speeches, write, publish or circulate scurrilous libels" against the occupation government or the United States.
Wandervogel, a self organized youth group, was officially organized in Germany. The organization protested against industrialization by hiking and otherwise being in nature It sought to revive imagined Teutonic values, and was nationalistic in outlook, although it did spread to some other countries, including France.
The organization was folded into the Hitler Youth, along with the Boy Scouts, in 1933.
The primary organizer of the movement, Karl Fischer, would see service with the Germany army during the Boxer Rebellion and remained in China thereafter He was a prisoner of the Japanese during World War One. He returned to Germany at some point thereafter and died in 1941 at age 60.
António de Oliveira Salazar and the Goebbels family (latter By Bundesarchiv, Bild 146-1978-086-03 / CC-BY-SA 3.0, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5419081)
As readers here know, I had long felt that Trump would get an 18 month run and then be deposed via the 25th Amendment, placing J.D. Vance at the helm and positioning him for a Presidential run in 2028. My prediction proved to be wrong, although I still feel it likely that the 25th will be applied post election at some point.
What I didn't take into account was the complete dependency of some in the cabinet on Trump, such as the NatCons and Evangelical Right, and the dog like loyalty that some of his inner circle have. Loyalty which is beyond normal loyalty, and in which in some cases crosses over into weird.
And hence we get, as this article, quoting from the New York Times, relates:
Numerous administration insiders confide that he’s raging at naysayers and negative press. They’re also leaking that he’s “increasingly cloistered with a small group of acolytes” like Natalie Harp, as the Times puts it. The result:
As the elections approach, Mr. Trump is feasting on a media diet of fawning press coverage, disparaging clips about his perceived enemies, and helpings of flattering photos and “A.I. slop,” as one official put it.
Just as his supporters, with the cooperation of his enemies, caused, or allowed for, Portuguese dictator António de Oliveira Salazar to be fed encouraging news about how well everything was going, after he had in fact been deposed, Trump's narrow circle is doing the same. The Salazar Effect is in full force.1. This explains how he cites the stupidest material as fact. That's what his acolytes are telling him. He really believes the polls are good, and that everyone loves him. The big difference is that Salazar had already been deposed.2.
Trump remains in power.
And hence this is incredibly dangerous. Salazar for all of his many failings, did love Portugal and he was a man of actual faith. Trump appears to only love Trump and is and was a dedicated sexual libertine. Salazar, who was not a populist, did have an actual political philosophy. Trump doesn't.
Which takes us to Joseph and Magda Goebbels.
Herr and Frau Goebbels famously went to death in the bunker with Adolf Hitler, and in the same way, suicide. Worse yet, they murdered all of their children who were in the bunker with them. The Goebbels adults couldn't imagine a Germany without Adolf Hitler and stayed with him in the end, taking the same trip out of life that he did3
Trump appears to not only be subject to the Salazar Effect, but the Goebbels effect as well. That is, his loyal circle is willing to go down in the bunker with him, fighting to the point of hopelessness, and believing that some miracle will deliver them from their fate.
In May 1945, of course, two major elements of the Red Army were contesting to be the ones to put an end to Hitler, and in the west German armies were racing to surrender to the British, Canadians and Americans (less so to the French, whom they rightly feared would be less forgiving). There was no saving the Third Reich and lots of Germans were mostly interested in saving themselves. Even in the east, where the Wehrmacht still fought hard up until the last few days, that was mostly to attempt to allow people to get out of the way of the Red Army. We're seeing that now with some Republicans, who are distancing themselves from Trump.5 Even Chuck Gray wants to talk about the economy, which the Republicans ruined, rather than how he was endorsed by Der Fibber. J.D. Vance has been sent afield on a comedy tour, but seems to have little enthusiasm, or talent, for it.6Rubio, for his part, seems to be trying to go into hiding.
And so we are now in a really dangerous phase. The best evidence is that Trump is raging at events, just as Hitler did. He's collapsing into his safe secure bunker. At recent campaign events he hasn't been that welcome. The crowds are small, and they've started to heckle him. Some candidates don't want him showing up at all. He cancelled events this week, most likely as he couldn't endure it anymore. In the bunker his aids tell him what he wants to hear.
On November 3 he won't be hearing what he wants to hear.
How will he react then?7
Footnotes:
1. We've used the term before, but we have not defined it. The Salazar Effect is the telling to a demented person lies about how well things are going, in order to keep that person calm and satiated.
2. The Trump's have a family history of this. This is exactly what was done with Fred Trump when he became demented with Alzheimer's.
3. While its almost impolitic to note it, at least in West Germany most Germans adapted to life without the Nazis very quickly, and had even started to prior to the German surrender. Only about 10% of the German population actually became Nazi Party members and the most the Nazis ever secured in a national election was 38% of the vote. The great mass crime of the Germans, therefore, was in putting up with and accommodating themselves to the Nazis even when the horrors of Nazi rule were evident and even as it lead Germany into destruction.
It's interesting to note in context that about 30% of the American population registers as Republican. Trump secured about 49% of the popular vote in 2024. Support for Trump is at a record low. The great mass crime of the Republicans, anyhow, is quite similar to that of the Germans in Nazi Germany. However, that also suggest that they'll get over Donald Trump very quickly.
5. In keeping with the theme, we'll start calling this the Speer Effect, after Albert Speer. We're going to start seeing GOP Republicans who claimed they were never with Trump all along. This also brings up the Michael Jackson Effect. As soon as its safe to do so, we're going to see a lot of MAGA's whip around on the other MAGAs.
6. One thing I didn't account for in my 18 month prediction is that one of the cabinet members, Marco Rubio, would have no interest at all in seeing Vance become President. The only reason that Rubio is in the cabinet at all is that he thought that would propel him to the White House in 2028. He doesn't want Vance, probably, to be running for reelection in 2028 and he sure doesn't want his political career to end as being Vance's Vice President.
7. I've used the analogy of the Battle of Berlin here a lot. To carry through with that, however, November 3 is just the equivalent of the Red Army reaching the suburbs of Berlin. It's not winning the whole battle, but it makes it obvious who will win. The problem is whether or not rational heads will prevail at that point and Donald Trump either ushered out or fully put in his room with his jammies on and the tele turned to News Max, or whether his inner circle tries to defend to the last man and use ever means possible to steal the election.
I'm guessing it'll be the latter.
November 2, 2026.
Donald Trump, who did not serve in the military and who was not conscripted due to shin splints, claimed this past week he could have won the Vietnam War in a week by targeting Ho Chi Minh City, which is Saigon.
Trump also claimed a Dallas paster stated "He is the strongest leader, and he will take us as Christians to the promised land" to which Trump replied; "And I've done that. I've done that."
November 3, 2026, Election Day
We're giving serious thought to changing the name to the Trump Reflecting Pool
Donald Trump on the reflecting pool, which he still insists was vandalized.
cont:
And now the real rage begins:
We are about to see a major meltdown.
A major meltdown by a man with his finger on the nuclear trigger.