Thursday, November 5, 2026

2026 Election Post Mortem, Part I. What happened and what happens next.

 


The Republican Party suffered such a major defeat on Tuesday that Ron Desantis, Governor of Florida and former GOP candidate for the Oval Office, characterized it as an "extinction level event".

He's not wrong.  

Trump's reaction?  He appeared at the construction site of the giant despised ballroom to sign a beam.  A pathetic desperate effort to secure a legacy.  Surely the nation won't rip down the "beautiful" overblown symbol of King Donald, would it?

A nation that rejected Trumpism at such epic levels will. This will come down, it will be destroyed, and the signatures, including Trump's will be melted into scrap.

When Donald Trump was nominated in 2016 I predicted here that he'd destroy the GOP.  I wasn't the only one.  Lindsey Graham, before he became a pathetic lackey who will always be remembered for his betrayal of the nation and his party, also did.  The one thing I didn't anticipate is that it would take so long.

What happened this week was an historic rejection of fascism in the United States.  The Republican Party on a nationwide level was a fascist party  It's now dead.  It deserved to die.  Nothing of the old GOP, the conservative party of the second half of the 20th Century, remained.  The party that had given the US Lincoln, Theodore Roosevelt, Taft and Eisenhower, was murdered by a demented, octogenarian, profligate degenerate while self serving wimps like John Barrasso stood by and watched.  The revived Democratic Party, shaking off its own Baby Boomer remnants, reemerged and has taken back over at historic levels.

There's a straight line from the now pathetic old demented man in the White House babbling about a large structure that will be destroyed and Ronald Reagan.  When Reagan came up in the wake of the failed Presidency of Jimmy Carter, the Democrats were still so strong that the thought was the only way that the GOP could resume a position in government was to court the white trash of the South, and they did so.  What had been the hard right of the Democratic Party, remaining there for historic reasons, started to move to the Republican Party  Dixiecrats whose primary characteristic was complete ignorance.  Following them were the Rust Belt Democrats, less ignorant but upset as they couldn't, and still can't, understand how a temporary post World War Two economy based on the rest of the world's industry having been destroyed couldn't last forever.  Trump, with a lifetime as a salesman and used to courting the ignorant, courted them, and they made him President, twice.  In the meantime, real conservatives were driven out of office, or like Liz Cheney, driven out of public life.  There was no place for them in the GOP. They left office, like Cheney, Adam Kinzinger and Chris Christie remain, but on the outside, exhiles, like escaped members of the CDP during 1930s and 1940s Germany.  Others, like John Barrasso and Cynthia Lummis, just sold their souls, with in the case of Barrasso only a dumb look on his face left to show for it.

Democrats, however, learned from their failures.  Nancy Pelosi is gone.  A new force has emerged.

Perhaps its best symbolized by a race in Colorado.  Lauren Boebert, white trash, lost to Eileen Laubacher, a retired two-star United States Navy rear admiral.  I.e., white trash lost to education.

It was about time.

That, perhaps, best symbolizes it.  

Trump won in 2016 as Rust Belt Democrats, Southern Dixiecrats, and the general middle class, were sick of being ignored on issues that impacted their daily lives.  Out of control immigration was a big part of that.  But so was the exportation of industry overseas and diminishing opportunity here at home.  Justice Anthony Kennedy's skipping through the law tossing rose petals in Obergefell contributed to the realization that American culture had become distressingly weird and immoral.  They were looking for somebody to pay attention to their worries.  They were looking for El Cid.

Thy got Donald Trump.

Trump was and is a huckster.  Without one single personal redeeming trait, the man who was to fix the economy and bring back a mythical 1950s that never existed, and restore Protestant Morality Lite to the country was himself a rich silver spoon salesman who had failed in business multiple times and had the personal morals of an alley cat.  So desperate for attention were they, that American voters chose a man who gave off every sign that he was nothing that people thought he was.

That was 2016.  He was widely unpopular then and was voted out in 2020.  The 2020 Democratic Party, however, suffered from the same senility the GOP still does.  Joe Biden was supposed to be a caretaker and the party did nothing to see to it that a succession plan for power was created.  Joe Biden's decision to run in 2024 shot the Democrats in the knees.  Trump came back, but this time, he was backed by the delusional, National Conservatives, Christian Nationalist, the Evangelical far right, and flat out fascists, all of whom had their own agenda and realized they could advance it through an increasingly feeble Trump.  

The first two years of Trump's administration has been flat out insane. So insane that it's been impossible for people, including members of the GOP, to ignore.  The GOP rank and file began to split between real conservatives and outright fascists.  Wyoming gives a good example.  In the Governor's race a Republican, Eric Barlow, faced off against a Dixiecrat who claims to be a Republican, but in the Constitution Party, Becky Bextel. 

But that was in Wyoming, the most Republican state in the union.  Elsewhere, everyone, including Republicans, just revolved.  Texas, which has been a national embarrassment for years, returned to the Democrats.  Maine tossed out Susan "I'm concerned" Collins.  Alaska, a heavily Republican state, appears to be going for Peltola.  A conservative region of Colorado kicked out Bobo.

As DeSantis said, the GOP is extinct.

So what will the Democrats do?

They'll sure do something.  They have to.

It won't do what Trump and his MAGA sycophants claim.  It's not going to transgender everyone up and its not going socialize the entire economy.* It is going to be much more left leaning than the GOP, however, while not being as left leaning as some seem to fear.

For immediate tasks, the Democratic Party is going to have to take on the war and the corruption of the Trumps.  It has no choice.  The out of control budget and the absurd illegal expenditures on complete crap like Trump vanity projects is going to be attacked.  The question now is whether the GOP remaining in Congress attempts to save itself, or engage in a Bitterender struggle.  

If the wounded members of the GOP in the 119th Congress realize what's good for them, they'll abandon Trump right now.  Smart Republicans still in office will take the path of Jan Smuts.  They'll abandon Trump right now and start to cooperate with the Democrats wherever they can, which won't be everywhere. Those GOP members in Congress who survived to go into the 120th Congress should blaze a new path towards the Democrats right now.  And plenty of them have taken this path before.  Deseret Mike Lee was once an adamant opponent of Trump's for example.  John Barrasso was once a moderate Republican and he can affect a dumb stare as John Thune moves to the middle just as easily as he can at John Thune as he lingers on the right.

The thing they really need to realize is that the GOP is completely dead.  Conservatives need to form a new party. They can call it the Republican Party if they wish, but it'll be a new party. Frankly, the GOP's brand is now so trashed that they'd be better off forming a completely new party.

The thing they cannot do is to try a series of one last charges in the name of Dixie and Donald Trump. Some are set to try that.  Democrats need to resist that at all costs and let Republicans know they do that, they'll pay for it in the 120th.

Democrats in the 120th need to get up and get moving.  I've noted some of the things they need to do already.  They also need to investigate certain things. They need to fully release the Epstein Files, name of the perpetrators and the victims included.  The whole thing needs to come to light.  They need to investigate the decision to bring the US into a war with Iran.  They need to investigate the decision to invade Venezuela.

They need to do whatever they can to to end the war against Iran.  We need to end the murder of people in cigarette boats off of South and Central America.  People responsible for these illegal acts need to be exposed. 

Funding for Trump vanity projects needs to end.  The Democrats need to use the power of the purse like a sword.  Don't fund what people don't want funded, wars most of all.

Pete Hegseth needs to be impeached.  Marco Rubio needs to be impeached.  Todd Blanche needs to be impeached.

Not one Trump appointment going forward should be approved.  Not one cabinet officer.  Not one janitor.  Approval of military commissions should simply cease.

In the next two years, one or more Supreme Court justice will die. Those spots should be left open.

If the votes are there, and they may be as Republicans move to save themselves, Donald Trump needs to be impeached.

An effort needs to be made to expand Medicare for all.  It might just pass. It's been promised, and the time is here.

And none of this can move at the speed of Baby Boomers.

Footnotes

*To my utter amazement, a well educated far right individual I know, who unfortunately is deep in the Trump Kool Aid, is now convinced the Democrats are going to do just that.

That's just stupid.

Related threads:

2024 Election Post Mortem, Part I. What the heck happened?



Tuesday, November 5, 1946. 1946 Midterm Election.

The GOP took control of both houses in Congress in the 1946 Midterm Election.

Democrat Lester Hunt secured reelection as Governor in Wyoming as did Democratic U.S. Senator Joseph C. O'Mahoney.

O'Mahoney

O'Mahoney would ultimately serve four terms, which were split, serving from 1933 to 1953 and then again from 1954 to 1961.  The Massachusetts born journalist and lawyer passed away in 1962 at age 78.

Incumbent Republican Congressman Frank A. Barrett beat Democratic nominee, John J. McIntyre, the State Auditor and Barrett's predecessor in Congress.  Barrett was a long serving Wyoming politician who oddly enough also died in 1962.

Last edition:

Friday, November 1, 1946. The ordination of Fr. Karol Wojtyla.

Sunday, November 5, 1911. End of the interim Mexican presidency.

Francisco León de la Barra's interim presidency in Mexico ended.

Italian Prime Minister Giovanni Giolitti announced the royal decree annexing the Ottoman Empire provinces of Tripoli and Cyrenaica (both part of modern Libya) to the Kingdom of Italy.

Roy Rogers (Leonard Franklin Slye) was born in Cincinnati, Ohio.

Last edition:

Saturday, November 4, 1911. Carving up Africa.

Tuesday, November 5, 1901. Ben Kilpatrick arrested. First U.S. Automotive Hill Climb, Japanese-UK Alliance, French Navy at Lesbos.

St. Louis police arrested Wild Bunch member Ben Kilpatrick in St. Louis for passing stolen money.

He'd be convicted and serve prison time until 1911, after which he was released and resumed his criminal career  He was killed during a robbery by a Southern Pacific Express messenger who clubbed him with a mallett during a March 1912 train robbery near Sanderson, Texas.

Kilpatrick's brains blew out of his head and stained the walls of the rail car.

The first automotive hill climb in the US occurred at West Orange, New Jersey.  Interestingly, such events were already popular in Europe.

The British cabinet voted in favor of a Japanese alliance with Japan.

The French Navy seized the Turkish Island of Midilli (Lesbos) in order to compel the Ottoman Empire to pay debts owed to France.

Last edition:

Monday, November 4, 1901. No dissing the Philippine Commission and the Wandervogel.

Sunday, November 5, 1876. Dodge leaves Ft. Laramie bound for Ft. Fetterman.

Troops under the command of  Colonel Richard Dodge left Ft. Laramie headed up the Platte on the Bozeman Trail towards Ft. Fetterman, gateway to the lower Powder River Basin,.as part of a renewed campaign against the Sioux and Cheyenne.




Bear Face (Mato Ite) returned to Standing Rock after trying to convince non treaty Sioux Bands to come in.

Last edition:

Friday, November 3, 1876. The corrupt South Carolina election.


The 2026 Election. 28th Edition. The Count (before the coup).

Counting Mayfield, Hill County Texas, ballots, 2/20/24.

November 3, 2026.  0000.

And so the fateful day has arrived.

Election Day, November 3, 2026.

And a fateful day it will be.  The election of 2026 is the most important election since that one held on November 3, 1860.  By the end of the day, if predictions hold, it will have taken a step back from fascism. The question will be how big of step back it will be, how much of a step in a new direction, and whether the step is so decisive that a major GOP/Fascist coup attempt can be averted.

I have my doubts.

What seems certain, if early predictions are correct, are that the Democrats, as disliked as they seem to be, will regain the House of Representatives.  Polling seems to suggest that there may be a "blue wave" that swamps the GOP in the House.  If that's correct, the House may have taken a major Democratic Party turn and a turn back towards real democracy.  It seems likely that the Senate may be taken by the Democrats, but it's not likely that it'll be a "wave".  But it's not impossible either.  It'll take both to really arrest a Trump coup attempt, and it will take both to really being to turn the arch of history back towards democracy.

Another question is to what degree Wyoming participates in this.  Wyoming is so ignored in the overall polls that, going into this day, we really don't know.

People who are of the betting persuasion would have placed their bets on Chuck Gray and Harriet Hageman right after the primary. But bets on Gray are much less certain now.  Gray is widely despised and rightly so.  The best thing that could happen to him, and for him, and for the state, would be to send him packing.  He needs to become a real boy and get a real job.  Lisa Kinney might be the person who symbolically does that for him, and to him, although if that's the case, she'll be a one term Congressman, elected solely to put an end in a carpetbagger's career, which would be a service to the state in and of itself.

A much better candidate, all the way around, is James Byrd.  Byrd's chances of defeating Harriet Hageman are not as good as Kinney's are of defeating Gray, but they are real.  

Otherwise, the big question is whether gadfly Rebecca Bextel of the "Constitution" Party, and Shawn Johnson of the Libertarian Party, draw enough votes to qualify both of those parties as "major" parties.

Bextel, who is engaged in a hopelessly naive campaign against Eric Barlow for the Governor's seat, comes across as a potty mouth, ignorant, Southerner, but there are right now enough potty mouth, ignorant carpetbaggers to perhaps give her 10% of the vote.  It's ironic in that the Constitution Party candidate for the House isn't a Southerner or ignorant, but the Constitution Party is smart enough to mount up a Southern Mule when they see one, if it profits them. Their beliefs are genuinely wacky, and Bextel pegs out on the wacky meter, and the Wyoming Freedom Caucus is the Woodstock of wacky, so she is likely to draw at least 10%.

My guess is that Shawn Johnson will as well.  Wyoming Libertarians aren't real Libertarians, so some disaffected Republicans can in fact feel comfortable voting for them.  Some Anybody But Chuck Republicans' who can't stomach voting for a Democrat will vote for Johnson instead.

Overall, if this election broke the back of the two party system, which is unlikely, in Wyoming, it would be a good thing. The batshit crazy wing of the GOP should be in the Constitution Party.  The flirting with anarchy wing of the GOP should be Libertarians.  Would that we had an American Solidarity Party that was viable here.  The Two Party System is moronic.


And, due to its failure, we have Donald Trump as President.

The next two years will not be easy. The best thing that could happen for the republic today is that there was such a blue wave that Trump could, and would, be impeached.  That would allow the GOP to save itself, as spineless bastards like John Barrasso realized that they had to save themselves, his primary instinct, and moved towards the middle.  Other GOP figures held captive by cowardice would as well. That would leave National Conservative chameleon J. D. Vance as President.  Vance is actually conservative, extremely so, but with some sort of a philosophy.  Trump is just about Trump.  Vance also has a survivors instinct.

But will that sort of majority happen by the end of the day?  Probably not.  

Recovery takes years for many things.  We are likely to start on that path today.  A lot of us won't be around anymore by the time we probably get there.  But a lot of us probably will.

04:10

The Tribune reports that 5,000 people have voted early in Natrona County.  Only 1,500 did in the last election.

Absentee ballots with a postmark no later than 7:00 p.m. today will be counted.  If races are close, this may make a difference.

04:37

The United States Supreme Court rejected a request to review a coup attempt on California's mail in ballots.  The coup working through the U.S. Attorney's office sought to require verification of citizenship for 20,000 California mail in ballots.

07:00

The polls in Wyoming are now open.

07:32

Wyoming Public Radio reports that absentee ballots must be received by 7:00 p.m., contrary to the item noted above.  I think this is correct.

14:19

Guam's non voting U.S. House delegate seat flipped from the GOP to the Democratic Party with Democrat Alicia Anne Garrido Limtiaco defeating incumbent James Moylan.  It appears the election for Governor flipped from Democratic to Republican, with the Republican Ada-Calvo team winning the race over the Democrat Terlaje-Perez team, although it's quite close and that result is uncertain.

While I hate to say it, neither result really matters much as Guam has no vote in Congress.  

15:01

Apparently Guam's representative can introduce bills, vote in committees, and offer amendments.

17:44

The inside news must be really bad for Republicans.  Trump is having a meltdown:


Trump cannot handle being blamed for failure, and yet he knows this is a referendum on him.  At the Oval Office he's clearly being told that this is going badly.

He's also unstable and has his hands on the nuclear trigger.  We're entering a very dangerous period.

18:00

First called race of the night, incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff retains his seat as senior Senator from Georgia.

I don't know if that's a surprise, or not, it's just the first to be called.

18:08

Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor of Florida won the Florida 14th district which had been gerrymandered to favor Republicans.

If this trend holds, it's going to be an extremely bad night for Republicans.

November 4, 2026

Donald Trump leading the GOP into the 2026 midterms.

It was an outright slaughter of Republicans across the nation yesterday.

Donald Trump asked the nation to pretend he was on the ballot. They did. 

They completely rejected him, his cabinet, his family, his policies, and the Republican Party.

The slaughter was so vast it appears that even Trump won't attempt to challenge them.  He probably is aware doing so will result in his impeachment.

The Democrats flipped Senate seats in Maine, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, North Carolina, South Carolina, Alaska, and even Texas,  Susan Collins 30 year career in the Senate was put to an end.   Dr. Annie Andrews prevailed over the poorly chosen Senator Darline Graham, the sister of the late Senator Lindsey Graham.  Dr. Abdul El-Sayed won in Michigan.

Mississippi may be added to the toll, where as of this morning, only 50 votes separated what had been a safe Republican state.
 
In terms of Governor's races, which had been trending GOP for years, Democrats also reversed the tide. Keisha Lance Bottoms became the first black woman to be elected governor in U.S. history, taking Georgia. Gina Hinojosa ousted three term Trump lackey Gov. Greg Abbott.  Dr. Amy Acton became the first woman elected governor of Ohio.  The Democrats retook Nevada.

Locally, results were as predicted, but disappointing.

Harriet Hageman is now the incoming U.S. Senator.  Given Wyoming's history, she'll be able to retain the seat a decade after she's dead, as Wyoming reelects incumbents no matter how bad they are. So we replaced one bad Senator with an even worse one, based on her history as a Congressman.

Her challenger, Byrd, took about 35% of the vote, which was underperforming in my view.

Chuck Gray, who is widely despised, took the House, but in a closer race.  He still drew 55% of the vote, which is amazing.  Lisay Kinney underperformed at 34%.  Libertarian Johnson got the balance, 7.5%, vastly underperforming.  

All this shows how Republican Wyoming remains.  Wyomingites will blindly vote for the GOP candidate because he or she is the GOP candidate.

In terms of underperforming, Republican candidate Eric Barlow blew the doors off of carpetbagger Rebecca Bextel. Bextel did so badly that even the hopeless Democratic candidate took about the same number of votes that she did.

She should take that as a message.

Her Make Alabama Great again campaign did draw 17% o of the vote, to Casner's 15%.  Barlow took 69%.

This means the Constitution Party will qualify as a Major Party in the 2028 election.

Proposition 1 failed, a major victory for common sense and an additional rebuke to the Wyoming Freedom Caucus.

Democrats did pick up a State House seat in Laramie County.

In Natrona County people voted, apparently, for familiar names, even reelecting a 1,000 year old county commissioner and returning a 2,000 year old candidate to the Casper city council.

Turning back to the national results, Trump had the unmitigated gall to congratulate the Democrats and assumes they'll work with him. They ought to impeach him.

05:28

In really tight races, it looks like Cindy Holscher will become the Democratic Governor of Kansas and that Lauren Boebert has lost her seat in Congress.

06:31

Democrats took ever single statewide office in Georgia.

Every, single one.

To add to it, the winners were black Democrats.  This hasn't happened ever.
A political party that is morally and intellectually bankrupt deserves the rebuke of the American people.  

It is now time to make America good again.  

Republican Mayor Holt of Oklahoma City. 

Emergency Triad: MAGA Drowns Under a Blue Wave

Pop the champagne. Preserve the documents.


09:56

Mike Johnson, the worst Speaker of the House of all time, has indicated that he will not seek to be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress.

Frankly I doubt anyone wants him as House Minority Leader. At this point, he should resign as Speaker.

10:46

Vance starts to break away.


Vance was always against Trump's war, but he needed Trump.  Now he doesn't.  He's trying to position himself for 2028.

November 5, 2026

Amy Klobuchar was elected Governor of Minnesota.



That last headline should read "Outspoken Carpetbagging Republican from California who should go back to the Golden State".


Bobo lost in Colorado to Eileen Laubacher, a retired two-star United States Navy rear admiral.

That last race is pretty symbolic of what just occurred this week.  White trash lost to education.

Last edition:

The 2026 Election. 27th Edition. The Impending Clerico-Fascist Coup.


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