Showing posts with label Wyoming's boom and bust economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Wyoming's boom and bust economy. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Subsidiarity Economics 2026. The Times more or less locally, Part 8. $40,012,700,535,679.44

The National Debt at some point on August 21,

Republicans are flocking to decry it, after having participated in causing it.


They didn't cause it on their own, but they sure helped.  And Trump has spent money like a drunken sailor.

Part of the reason that Trump spends this way is that Trump drank deeply of Peter Navarro's economic kool aide.


Navarro believes heavily in tariffs and Trump, whose always liked the concept of tariffs, but who appears to no longer understand how they work, liked what Navarro had to say.

Tariffs have always existed as a means of boosting local businesses.  What they really are, is a species of sales tax.  The concept is to make stuff coming in expensive so that people won't buy it, and will buy something made locally instead.  That's about it.

The problem is that when you do that, you have to actually be making the things locally.  Tariffs might have made good economic sense if the US had started easing them in during the late 1960s when the post World War Two economy started to fade.  But we didn't, as we saw no need to.

By the 2020s, it's really a little bit late.  In fact, it's way late.  The world's economy is now highly integrated, surpassing the level that had only previously been obtained prior to World War One.  We don't have what people complained about, for example, in the late 60s and early 70s of cheap Japanese products taking the market (something that wasn't anywhere near the threat it was imagined to be).  What we have instead is an economy where anything serious has parts made all over the globe.  Nothing you are using, if has multiple parts, was "made in America".  It was made all over.

Given that, what tariffs really do is simply make everything more expensive.  It'd take at least a decade for high tariffs to "bring back manufacturing", if it can do that at all.

Whether it can ever bring in jobs is questionable at this point.  Since January 2025 the US has in fact lost manufacturing job, with about 75,000 departing . Trump likes to claim that new factories are springin gup all over the place.  In fact, a factory construction boom peaked in 2024, under Joe Biden, and has been crashing since.

It may just be that it isn't the late 1890s any more.

So all the Trump administration has really done is ineffectively switched income tax for a national sales tax.  It's hurting everyone, and it is largely illegal, resulting in a lot of the money being collected, having to be sent back out.

Congress can fix this, if it has the will. Republicans right now are pretending that they do, but with few exceptions, like Thomas Massie, they're rank cowards and voted for Trump's economic fantasies.  It may take a Constitutional Amendment to force the matter, which at a bare minimum should provide that save in the time of war and bona fide emergency, the budget must balance and retire a portion of any built up debt, with taxes to automatically rise to balance any budget that isn't balanced.

What needs to be done first of all is to get the budget under control.  That would technically be easy to do.  And part of that needs to be a sincere effort to eliminate the debt.  It's now completely impossible to do so rapidly, so it'll have to be done slowly.  

On expenditures themselves, the Federal budget breaks out this way:

Social Security: 22%

Medicare: 15%

Net Interest (on the national debt): 15%

Health (including Medicaid): 13%

National Defense: 13%

Income Security: 10%

Veterans Benefits and Services: 6%

Social Security is in trouble due to slow down in population growth.  Nothing can be done about that or should be.  Medicare is in the same boat.  

National Defense should be cut by 2/3s.  That can be done by eliminating the insane level of weapons expenditures and by going to a reserve based defense.  That'd help, but that won't accomplish everything, obvious.  Military retirement age should be changed so that thirty years rather than 20 are the qualifying number.  That'd help a bit.

Indeed, there are actually a fair number of Federal jobs that require twenty years in order to retire at some level.  Save for policing roles and military ones,. Fed retirement should require thirty years and only be capable of being drawn when you reach 60 years of age.

And yes, this is a crisis.

So, you might perhaps note, you are a Distributist.  Does this square with Distributism?

Overall it does.  At one time I would have considered tariffs a policy option to address foreign manufacturing, but nothing fails like failure and its obvious that isn't the solution to that.  Boosting U.S. manufacturing has to come some other way, and frankly technology is probably what would do it.  Technological revolutions tend to bring industry to where they occur.  Our problem here is that this is entirely in the hands of the super wealthy right now, who don't have your interest or that of the country's in mind.

Additionally, our current President is addled and looks back with romanticism on the past . He's actively working to destroy American industry as a result.  Electricity is the future of transportation, not petroleum.  Wind, solar and nuclear are the future of power generation, not coal (Trump does support nuclear).  We need to really get with the program and we can do that through regulation.  Phasing out fossil fuels should be an economic priority for obvious reasons, and an environmental one for obvious reasons, and a defense one for obvious reasons.

August 22, 2026

Another Trump Call For Imported Beef Riles Up Wyoming Ranchers

This is really an example of ranchers and farmers being members of the Leopards Won't Eat My Face Party.

Why ranchers and farmers vote for Republicans is beyond me.  So they're getting screwed by Trump?

What did they expect?

U.S.-Canada trade talks collapse just before deadline for tariffs

Using debt to buy back debt:


We're in huge financial trouble.

August 23, 2026

Trade talks between the US and Canada ended and the countries are now in a trade war.  Canada has made it clear that the US is about to suffer through energy imports.

August 24, 2026

From the CST:


Well boo hoo, cry me a river.

I'm a cattleman and frankly we're amongst the most reliably stupid voters for the GOP there is.

Vinegar Hill posted this yesterday:

The GOP's useful idiots in agriculture.

An old friend of mine who is a rancher has been somewhat active in this year's election cycle.  He is, of course, a far right Republican.

I say of course as just about every rancher and farmer in Wyoming over the age of 40, and quite a few over the age of 35, are diehard right wing full blown MAGA Republicans.  Below the age of 40 things start to change a lot.  Most are Republicans, but a lot aren't diehard.  They're Republicans the same way everyone in Wyoming is a Republican, pretty much.  Generally conservative.

But above 40, they're in lockstep with Donald Trump.

My friend, this cycle, had a big Chuck Gray up near the DOT fence.  This wasn't too surprising as his grandson works for Gray.* **

Well, now, all of a sudden the noted friend is posting on the disaster of letting foreign beef into the country.  So are a bunch of other ranchers I know.

The Republican Party has been pretty much screwing ranchers and farmers since 1929.  It was the Democrats who save farmers and ranchers during the Great Depression.  Most small and mid sized ranches would have been utterly destroyed but for the Taylor Grazing Act.  

The Trump Administration, for its part, looks at farmers and ranchers the way the Democrats once looked at African Americans, people who could reliably be counted on to vote for the party no matter what.  In recent election cycles African Americans proved they were no longer reliable.  So far, people in Agriculture aren't showing any thought at all.

Indeed, they're showing cognitive disconnected.

This morning I've seen all sorts of complaints from ranchers about how they're getting killed in this economy, as noted.

And now Trump's bringing in below market cost foreign beef.

No shit.  YOU VOTED FOR IT.

Inflation, particularly of fuel, caused by Donald Trump's pet illegal war. The same with fertilizer costs.

WAKE THE CRAP UP.

The GOP is not coming to save you.  It's coming to screw you.

Indeed, trade talks just broke off with Canada.

Double digit inflation, caused by a massive rise in energy costs, is about to occur.

Footnotes:

Gray has more affection for Trump than Natalie Harp and Melanija Knavs combined.

The grandson is an interesting case in and of himself.  He's undoubtedly the first member of his extended family to go to university.  He's in law school right now.  He's also a diehard MAGA, and indeed, maybe even beyond that.  Now the question of how that happens is another matter.

The common myth, and it is a myth, about young people in conservative homes is that they go to college, where they lose all of their values, and their faith, emerging hardcore screaming liberals if not Bolsheviks.  This is, it is believed, because they're indoctrinated in college by leftist professors.

It's largely bull and in the scientific disciplines definitely bull.  Majors in geology, for example, aren't going to have time for liberal indoctrination.

For that matter, majors in English probably don't either.

So what's going on here.

Well, a person from a really conservative Protestant background may in fact find a lot of what they learn in college shocking.  The Earth isn't 5,000 years old.  Evolution isn't a fib.  Conquering the West wasn't bringing enlightenment to an oppressed people and, in fact, some of those being conquered where already Christian.  The US isn't bestowed by God with a new Israelite like mission, and for that matter, the modern state of Israel does some outright horrible things.

Faced with that onslaught, young people are in fact faced with the choice of accepting that Pastor Jim back at his own do it yourself Evangelical Church is flat out wrong on a lot of stuff, and Mom and Dad are ignorant, or concluding that everything they're being taught is a fib.

Most will conclude, to some degree, that Pastor Jim is wrong on a lot, and that Mom and Dad are ignorant on a lot of stuff.

Now, I'll note, this shouldn't impact member of the Apostolic faiths at all, but in the US some Apostolic Christians are heavily Protestantized and have bought in, through ignorance, to a lot of what the Evangelical far right believes.

Anyhow, a lot of this is about to collapse on an enormous scale, as we'll soon see.

**There was a good Republican candidate running against Gray, Christensen.  He had worked for the BLM.

Well, we're getting instead a Californian who worked for his daddy's radio station.

He's completely correct.  

Cattlemen and farmers will sit around in gatherings and support Trump on every other horrible thing he does, and then they're surprised when he turns on them.

Now they can share the pain they helped bring about.

On Canada, the Canadian government is absolutely furious over demands that were made of the country, including that Canada abandon the use of French and that it agree to mirror the US's trade polcies.

One Canadian figure called the demands "insane".

This administration at this point is so stupid on these matters its indescribable.

August 25, 2026


It's pretty clear that the Trump administration has no idea whatsoever as to what it's doing.

Last edition:

Subsidiarity Economics 2026. The Times more or less locally, Part 7. The jackass in a tin barn edition.

Friday, August 21, 2026

Subsidiarity Economics 2026. The Times more or less locally, Part 7. The jackass in a tin barn edition.

We weren't really ready to start a new one of these, but Chuck Gray has been in such rare form recently as it starts to look like he's going to lose in ten days and his dreams of a carpetbagging political career be crushed, that it mandates it.

Gray, as Secretary of State, sits on a variety of state boards and has been using that position to attempt to advance his campaign for higher office, any higher office, all along.  Generally in the global warming is a fib camp, he at one time was okay with development projects of all types but now is anti "woke wind".  Lots of people don't like the viewscape and land use aspect of wind and solar farms, and he's hoping to tap into that dislike, but he's such a disagreeable pissant he can't seem to say it that way.  Nor can he explain his prior positions.

The real gem in this is that he almost voted to preclude use of an access road to a power substation that provides power to farmers on the basis that it might receive electrical power from solar farms or wind farms or provide power to data centers.


When the State treasurer noted that this meant, he changed his vote, but had to blame the whole thing on somebody else.

Data centers are now big in the news around here, and for good reason.  Gray is opposing them as he figures it's good politics.  Put a gigantic strip mine in over the same area, and he'd be all for it.  It's difficult to tell from one moment to the next if Republican candidates this year are members of the Flat Earth Society or Greenpeace.

Gray is particularly disgusting.  He's consistently rude and nasty.  It's difficult to understand why anyone would vote for him, unless they're really duped.

I wonder how this news works for people like Gray:

Huge 500-MW Solar Project Wants To Build Natural Gas Power Plant Near Glenrock

Some other economic news:

Wyoming’s First Nickel Discovery Heads Into High-Tech, High-Stakes Drilling Phase

August 9, 2026.

Casper Couple Proves You Can Make Award-Winning Wine In Wyoming


August 14, 2026

Oil supply disruptions due to King Donny's war are predicated to last well into 2027 if not through it.

Diesel is up over $5.00/gallon here locally. There's no way on earth prices like that don't cause a rise in the price of everything else.

And, related to that:

Zoinks! Gas Is $6 A Gallon In Muddy Gap — That's 42% Higher Than Wyoming Average


And in another energy story:

Black Hills Energy wants to hike electric rates 32% in northeast Wyoming


August 20 2026

The US debt is now an unsustainable and unconscionable $40T.

cont:

An Open Letter to Scott Bessent: Why You're Wrong and I'm Right

But you're the one with power, so your error is dangerous


August 21, 2026

Why the US economy is ringing alarm bells


Bessent was sent out yesterday to try to calm fears, but ended up being ridiculed.  The US is buying back bonds which did help stabilize the bond market, at least for now.

People have been wondering about the appeal of Democratic Socialism all of a sudden.  I think this states it pretty well:


I'm not for all of those things.  I'm not for a universal basic income, or universal childcare.  But the point is very well made.

And this:


First of all, beef prices have nothing to do with Joe Biden.  Secondly, the "thank you for our attention" line is stupid.

The real stupidity here is that American agriculturalist support the GOP, which routinely hurts them.  Ranchers and Farmers are solidly members of the Leopards Won't Eat My Face Party.

Last edition:

Subsidiarity Economics 2026. The Times more or less locally, Part 6. The screwworm edition.

Friday, July 31, 2026

Subsidiarity Economics 2026. The Times more or less locally, Part 6. The screwworm edition.

Exports of petroleum products and capital goods jumped to record highs reducing the U.S. trade deficit. 

The capital goods item is interesting and I haven't seen it explained. That is a positive trend, if sustainable. The oil exportation one is not as it depletes a diminishing resource at the expense of U.S. consumers. A lot of it seems to be related to AI exports, which isn't necessarily good, aircraft production, and war related purchases.  If all that is correct, it won't be sustainable at the current levels, probably.

Screwworms have reappeared in Texas after a sixty year hiatus.  The Trump administration is blaming the Biden Administration, as that's its default thing to do, but the Trumpistas lifted protections that were in place and allowed importation of Mexican cattle via ports in a probable attempt to lower beef prices. This is likely to have the opposite effect.  It's a more likely cause, although there were concerns about animals moving across the border illegally during the Biden Administration.

Mexico itself was screwworm free as of 1991.  Somehow that got reversed one way or another, and now the problem is back.  Given that, it probably was coming back no matter what.  It is a major crisis.

Nobody has cited the weather, but it is spread by a fly, and that may very well have resulted to the spread of the flies range.

Inflation is up to 4.2%.

cont:

Reporter: Are you concerned, Mr. President, about the latest inflation number which came out this morning?

Trump: No, I love it. I love the inflation.

Johnson is already saying that's not what he meant.

June 14, 2026

Indeed, this would be horrible news:

Wyoming Outfitters, Hunters Say Screwworm Would Be Wildlife Disaster If It Hits State


And Carney continues to press for the new reality of American unreliability.

A global rupture’: Carney calls for Canada-EU unity before G7 summit

Canada’s prime minister has warned that the ‘rules-based’ global order is ‘breaking down’ amid superpower dominance.

June 19, 2026

Those of us in the livestock industry should pray for rain.  We also ought to realize that voting for climate change deniers like Harriet Hageman is basically putting a knife to the through our our children, and then cutting their arteries.

Wyoming Ranchers Pray For Rain As Drought, Demand Push Beef To Record High Prices

Drought?  Get real.  This isn't a normal drought.

June 22, 2026

Senate overwhelmingly passes sweeping bipartisan housing affordability bill

A rare distributist bill.  It bans private equity acquisition of homes.

It will be challenged 

Senate overwhelmingly passes sweeping bipartisan housing affordability bill

June 26, 2026

West Texas is at $69.53.

June 30, 2026

The 1.5-gigawatt Prometheus Hyperscale data center will now all be in Natrona County on the Falls Ranch property owned by Texas billionaire carpetbagger Russell Gordy.

Trump called the housing bill that passed both houses "a big yawn".  He's holding it hostage in hopes it makes congress pass the antidemocratic SAVE Act.

July 1, 2026

ABC reports that  President Trump has earned more than $1 billion from his cryptocurrency ventures while in office.

July 2, 2026

Grand Teton National Park employees unionize


July 9, 2026

Wyoming coal company wins federal money to extract critical minerals from Powder River Basin

July 14, 2026

Illegal tariffs being refunded pushed the June federal budget deficit up to $120 billion.

July 15, 2026

Headline in the CST:

Low US birth rate may create future housing glut

Also a headline in the CST:

Out of reach:  Research: More young Americans can’t afford to buy a starter home

In truth, the two headlines actually aren't contradictory.  An era of declining population will come, and that will cause a housing glut. And that's all a good thing.

July 20, 2026

The illegitimate demented fool occupying the White House as Congress is too cowardly to boot him out, is attempting to raise tariffs on Canada 50%.

Yet another dumb ass diversion

It'll fail in the courts.

July 22, 2026

Trump approved a 30 year deal with Saudi Arabia that will provide the it with a civilian nuclear program and potentially open the door to uranium enrichment in the kingdom.

The Saudi's likely want this as they know that oil is a finite resource, which we seemingly do not, and they know that global warming is not a fib, which the GOP does not.

What an irony, however. Nuclear deal with a theocratic Islamic state while we're at war with another nearby theocratic Islamic state for having a nuclear program.

And, an interesting examination of petroleum prices:


July 24, 2026

The Trump administration is imposing new tariffs of 10% and 12.5% on 60 trading partners, including the European Union, on the pretext of lax enforcement of forced labor bans.  

It comes right as the 10% tariffs expire and it'll be challenged in court, and fail.

It's really difficult to believe that an administration that won't release all the Epstein files, which involved a sort of child sexual labor, is concerned about forced labor.  This is absurd but fits into the Navarro economic model Der Fibber has bought into.

July 30, 2026

Coal and the Wyoming Congressional Delegation. They always have your back:

July 31, 2026

Growth fell in the second quarter, despite the AI business spending boom.

Cont:

The Trump administration announced it will end the Medicare Part D subsidy program in 2027.

Last edition:

Subsidiarity Economics 2026. The Times more or less locally, Part 4. Economics in the Dementia Ward.

Friday, June 5, 2026

Subsidiarity Economics 2026. The Times more or less locally, Part 4. Economics in the Dementia Ward.


May 1, 2026

We're constantly told that tariffs are good for everyone.  But then monarchs come and they're lifted.

He's lost his mind.

Cont:

May 3, 2026

Discount airline Spirit dissolves.

 It was a victim of high aviation fuel, something brought about by Donald Trump's illegal attack on Iran.


May 4, 2026


This has been in the news for awhile, but I haven't posted it yet.

Frankly, the impact of pipelines is mostly in their construction, to it's temporary.  At least for the state.  These pipelines tend to transport Canadian oil, so the impact is less than it might seem.

And the state has got to get over its addiction to petroleum.

Regarding petroleum, the U.S. is now exporting a record amount due to the war with Iran, which doesn't help U.S. citizens whatsoever, as it cause the price of the product to rise, and accelerates U.S. depletion of the resource.  Export of it, save for conditions in which the petroleum cannot be refined here, should be banned.

For that matter, as a resource that nobody contributed to putting in the ground, some thought should be given to nationalizing the resource in some fashion.

Some members of Congress are threatening to ban the import of Chinese electric vehicles as the GOP searches for ways to make a bad situation worse.

May 7, 2026

Headline:

Trade Court Rules Trump’s 10% Global Tariff Is Illegal

A panel of federal judges found that President Trump could not legally impose the tariff on most imports.

No surprise whatsoever.

Anyhow, now this money will have to be refunded too. And Mad King Donny still hasn't refunded the money owed from the last such ruling.

May 13, 2026

Inflation rose to 3.8% last month with the fastest rise in prices in three years, caused by an illegal war with Iran which the demented Mad King Donny has no idea how to end.

Mad King Donny has gone to China.  It'll be a disaster. The best possible result would be if he just gets lost over there, thinks the Chinese babes are cute, decides to marry one, and stays.

June 4, 2026

Casper's car radio store, Car Tunes, is closing after forty years.

And now this:



As an Agrarian, I really hate this.

June 5, 2026

And another one I hate:

If we're going to be Socialist in regard to coal, which we shouldn't be, why not just nationalize the industry?  I ask this seriously, as now we're spending public money on a dying industry.

And not one that's just dying, the rest of the world is racing beyond fossil fuels while the ancient leaders of the United States continue to believe its 1954.

With this pathetic news, we'll start a new edition of this thread.

Last edition:

Subsidiarity Economics 2026. The Times more or less locally, Part 3. The Wharton Way.