Friday, January 31, 2020

January 31, 2020. Sorting things out.

One of the Casper papers and one of the Cheyenne papers covered one of the small stories of human drama on their front pages on this day in 1920. That being the embarrassment of Miss Emily Knowles.


By "embarrassment" we mean, in the parlance of an earlier era, the fact that she was showing up in the United States without husband and with child in an era in which that no doubt put a stigma on her both where she was from and where she had arrived.  And, indeed, I'm not going into all of that as it gets into a discussion on morality that perhaps credits her era more than ours.


But the interesting things was, at least according to the papers, how well the situation was handled by all involved, and in an era in which there was no social support of an official nature, although there was plenty of a private nature.

Miss Knowles was described by the papers as a "girl", not a young woman, and therefore we have to presume that she was relatively young.  My guess is that her being referred to as a girl, however, means that she was in her late teens or early twenties. The father of her child was one former U.S. Army pilot, Pearly R. Spiker, of Baltimore, Massachusetts.

Mr. Spiker had served as an Army pilot during the Great War.  We are left wondering if he made it to France but he definitely made it to England where he became friends, the Cheyenne newspaper informs us, with Miss Knowles. As the paper relates, they became more than friends actually, and the infant Spiker resulted.

So what occurred?  A nasty divorce?

Well, I'm certain some harsh words must have been exchanged when the news arrived, and apparently it did arrive before Miss Knowles, as Mrs. Spiker was there to meet her. But that wasn't to confront her, but actually to beg to immigration authorities that she be allowed to enter the country.  Mrs. Spiker wished to adopt the infant and Pearly's brother Guy wanted to marry her sight unseen. Immigration authorities were perplexed but they did allow her in the country, placed in the care of another couple, which again suggests that Miss Knowles was fairly young.

So what happened?

The Spikers remained married.  Pearly Spiker was a steel worker and the Spikers operated a candy store, starting in 1922, out of their home in Baltimore.  They did adopt the baby, Alfred Ray, and raised him as their own.  And in fact, it turns out that Pearly confessed his affair to Cora upon his return to the U.S, and perhaps following the revelation of an infant, and Cora had been the one who sent for the girl and the infant.

In 1952 he retired and they moved to Florida.  Following his death, Mrs. Spiker, Cora, returned to Baltimore and lived with a daughter in Baltimore until her death in 1968.

Emily did marry Guy.  Cora Spiker had praised her morality upon her entry into the country (and vouched for her husband's as well), and perhaps that praise was well put, but the marriage to Pearly's brother Guy wold last only a year when Emily left him for another former soldier she'd met during the war.  The whole thing made national news as it played out.

Alfred Spiker fought in World War Two and became an engineer.  He died in 2000.

Friday Farming. Farming Airman.

United States Air Force photograph, Airman 1st Class Jonathan Whitely photographer)

It's January 31, 2020 and the European Union now lacks. . .

the United Kingdom.

Flag of the European Union.

That means quite a lot, but not as much as might be imagined as well.  For example, it doesn't change the ability of Brits to travel and work in Europe at all.  Trade also continues unabated and without penalty.

At least for the rest of the year, when that might change.

Germany won't expedite criminals to the UK now, however. That will change as Germany won't extradite to a country that's not part of the EU.

Thursday, January 30, 2020

Stepside

My father's 1956 Chevrolet pickup truck, the only one that he ever bought new.  I've bought two new ones in my lifetime.

The box on my 2007 Dodge 3500 has some rust and I need to do something about it. That's caused me to ponder truck boxes.

The 3500 has, of course, a fleetside box.  Dodge made stepside boxes at least up until 1980, although they were clearly on their way out then.  I'm not sure of the mechanics of it, but the stepside boxes Dodge had at that time appeared to be identical to the ones they had dating back to the 1950s and they may have actually been.  I can recall at least one crew cab third series Dodge D model, the ones they quit making in 1980 or so, being retrofitted with a long box stepside by somebody locally.

Indeed, I'm halfway tempted to do that to my 3500. . .  

assuming it'll fit, and I don't know that it would.

Why on earth would somebody even consider that?

Well, in pondering it, I'm not too convinced that the traditional stepside isn't just as useful as the fleetside.

Okay, what are we talking about anyhow.

1/2 ton Dodge pickup truck from early World War Two.  This truck is a classic stepside.

Stepsides are the type of pickup truck box every single pickup had until 1955, or maybe 1958 depending upon who you read, when Chevrolet introduced the Cameo and started pickups on the long trail (road?) to being ruined.  Ford followed suit in 1957 and the race was on.  The characteristics of the two boxes are quite distinct.


Military M715 Kaiser pickup, the last purpose designed military truck that was a stepside.  Dodge W300 crewcabs, some with stepside boxes and some that were fleetsides served contemporaneously with the M715, but had been designed as a commercial truck.

Stepsides are like the trucks pictured above. The box is truly a rectangle.  Outside of the box are fenders that cover the rear tires. The steps are the small metal pieces attached to the exterior of the box between the fender and the cab.  They do allow a person to step up to the box, or to mount things, like gasoline cans, to them.


Fleetside boxes, on the other hand, are flat on the exterior and have wheel wells over their rear wheels. All modern trucks are now fleetsides.

The popularity of the fleetside can't be denied and its certainly the case that hte first Chevrolet fleetsides are striking to the eye even how.  By extending the gunwales to the exterior of the wheels, moreover, a little more room was created within the box.

Indeed, my father, who had owned both, had no use for stepsides after fleetsides came in.  He didn't understand why anyone would want a stepside, and I've held that view for many years myself.

But I'm beginning to change that view.

I have owned a stepside, that being a heavy Dodge 1960s 4x4 truck. At no point did I find the capacity of the box really diminished and frankly I found the steps really useful. That truck had been fitted for external Jeep cans, which I also really appreciated, and the spare tire was carried externally as well, which was really handy.  Indeed, in thinking about it recently, it seems that those features may outweigh whatever extra carrying capacity I gain with a fleetside, which isn't really all that much.  

And perhaps its my imagination, but stepsides didn't seem to rust as much and, because of their construction, their boxes were really tough.

Hmmm . . . . 

I wonder if an old Dodge stepside box would fit?

Wednesday, January 29, 2020

When you went all the way to France, spent months there, and realized you forgot to get a souvenir for the folks back home just before boarding the ship. . .


Paris, lampshade made from flour sack, January 27, 1919.

Retirement Ages

I've posted two items on retirement ages here recently, one from the NYT's rosy "hooray. . . we can all work until we're 200 years old!" the other day, and then one that was referenced in regard to the Irish election.

So what are the average retirement ages in the world anyhow?

Well, you can find a big chart on Wikipedia and I'm not going to repeat it here.  If you look at it, however, the entire world is remarkably uniform in placing retirement between 60 and 65, although several countries provide 55 and up for women, interestingly enough.  Quite a few more advanced nations are raising their retirement ages, including the United States, but also including Ireland, Australia, Denmark, France and others.

Also worth noting is that earlier retirement ages, by nation, don't equate with wealth.  Actually, the opposite is generally true.  The same is true for young retirement ages for women.  That probably suggest that those younger ages aren't economically stressed as people are dying younger in those areas and categories.  So, while citizens of Bangladesh or Vietnam may be able to retire earlier than in the US, that isn't necessarily really a good thing for most Bangladeshis or Vietnamese, as their governments are likely banking on their not making it to retirement or living long in retirement.  Having said that, while the current life expectancy is a bit higher in the US, its not massively higher than either of those nations.

Those lower retirement ages also probably say something about the nature and extent of retirement in those countries as well as the standard of living.  I.e, they likely don't get much in retirement, but they aren't taking the RV in a trip to Banff either.

Of course, it also says something about birth rates, oddly enough, as well. 

I generally don't subscribe to the commonly cited thesis that a country needs to have a birth rate higher than the death rate, i.e., a perpetually growing population, in order to be economically sound.  That entire concept fails to take into account a lot of things, including the growth in wealth of societies over time and the impact of technology.  Like the Communist economic model, that thesis is based on a concept of perpetually frozen economic and technological conditions, which has never existed in the real world.  Indeed, since World War Two the entire world has evolved into what was basically once reserved for "first world nations" in terms of wealth and that trend is continuing to the extent that its one of the many things that worries people who like to be worried. 

But a feature of that is that governments don't do a very good job of determining tax structures to fit evolving economies, and they're always evolving.  The tax structure of most nations is still the ones that the Romans used; i.e., tax collectors take part of your income or party of your individual wealth.  That probably made sense in 20 AD or 220 AD but it's a pretty primitive way to do things in 2020 AD.

Indeed, while I think the entire concept of a Universal Basic Income is total folly (I have a dormant post on that which perhaps I'll get back around to), government funded retirement is a species of late Universal Basic Income which, unlike other types of UBI, makes a lot of sense in a lot of ways, ignorant columnists of the New York Times aside.  I note that as Andrew Yang had some original thinking on how he was going to fund his UBI concept and while I don't support it, showing that sort of original thinking would generally be a good idea here, and it'll become necessary as our undirected manic drive towards "progress" increasingly displaces younger workers.

Anyhow, as we don't think that way, the decrease in the premature death rate, which is really what the increase in life expectancy actually is, combined with the decrease in the first world birth rate, means that at least for the time being this is one area where people who worry about demographic collapse are somewhat economically correct.  When Social Security came in, during the 1930s, deaths from disease, accidents, wars, birth, and poor health were much much higher than they are today.  Given that, lots of people never made it to retirement.  Neither of my grandfathers did, nor did my father.  For that matter, one of my aunts didn't either.  Now, a lot more people make it to retirement and live for a long time while drawing their Social Security checks. That's a good thing, but the rise in retirement ages all around the world is because our good fortunes and good health don't fit the old economic model. 

Which is, I suppose, a good problem to have.

Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Today In Wyoming's History: January 28, 1920 Governor Carey, the 19th Amendment, and the Special Session

Today In Wyoming's History: January 28:  1920  The Special Session of the Legislature which approved the 19th Amendment was set to adjourn as Governor Robert Carey was set to sign the bill passing the 19th Amendment's ratification by Wyoming.


As we related here yesterday, Carey had initially been resistant to calling a special session of the legislature, but he ultimately acquiesced and it was in fact held.

Carey was the first person to serve as Governor of Wyoming who had been born in the state.  He continued his father's ranching operations and he was a banker as well.  Serving his first term as Governor, Carey had survived the fact that he had not served in World War One, a somewhat surprising fact that was used against him during his campaign.  He was a member of the Progressive branch of the GOP and had been a Progressive Party member, like his father, during its brief active period.

Elsewhere on this day, the Kingdom of Spain formed the Spanish Legion, which was modeled on the French Foreign Legion. Spain remained a colonial power with interests in nearby North Africa, and no doubt took note of the successful use of the French Foreign Legion in France's overseas affairs.  Unlike France, however, Spain was not successful in recruiting very many foreign born solders to its legion, and therefore its ranks were primarily filled by Spanish recruits.  Today, in order to join it, recruits must be either Spanish or from a former Spanish colony.



Monday, January 27, 2020

Some random observations on a Monday morning . . .

on which I'm once again up way too early.

http://paintedbricksofcasperwyoming.blogspot.com/2016/11/houston-sidewalks.html

1.  Twitter Tantrums.

I have a Twitter account and indeed I'll hit the tab to link most of my posts there (they aren't all linked in there). That's a species of shameless blog promotion.

Anyhow the political rants on Twitter are generally moronic and apparently dominated by people who have the absolutely most hardcore views on everything.  All the time I'll see rants that start off with "I can't believe that my (put in opposite camp here) Twitter friends believe . . ."

If you repeatedly post that "you can't believe" that a lot of people whose feeds you are on hold something, they probably can't believe that you believe the opposite, and there's probably a reason for that.

2. Twitter Tantrums 2. Confirmation bias.

I saw a Twitter Tweet today by somebody who is mad that Trump keeps noting that the economy is doing well and states "it isn't for me".

It likely isn't doing well for that person, and a lot of other people, as at any one time a lot of people aren't doing well for a variety of reasons. One reason it isn't doing well for everyone now is that there's been huge economic and technological developments over the last several decades that make it tough on certain sectors of the economy.  Perhaps a person can argue that Trump should address this, or that he isn't addressing it correctly, but frankly no President since 1945 has addressed this really adequately.  Personalizing it in this fashion doesn't prove anything, as the economy actually really is doing well in the context of how our economy works.

Indeed, while I have a lot of economic opinions including ones I think would address this, I don't see any major candidate of the left or right who has any really novel ideas about this.  The worst ones in fact come from the left where the left is reviving a morbid fascination with the dead corpse of socialism, which we know is a really bad idea.

Also, let's face it, the economy doesn't do well for some people because of their life choices.

This has really become a huge topic of denial in the United States, but its true.  If you go down an unemployable path and, to compound it, if you engage in conduct of certain types, you will not do well.  I'm reminded in this instance of the Art History Major who appeared some years ago at the Occupy Wall Street event decrying that she couldn't earn sufficient income to pay off her student loans.  Of course she couldn't.  That has nothing to do with the economy as there will never be an economy which pays really high wages to everyone in Art History. That's not a reason not to pursue it, but your economic expectations, and your expenditures, in securing that goal should take that into account.

On this finally, every news item that even slightly backs your view isn't ground shaking and sure to convince your opponents of anything.

3. On Death.

Yesterday basketball player Kobe Bryant and his young daughter lost their lives with a group of other people in a helicopter accident.

This sort of things impacts me in odd ways that it didn't use to.  I'm in that category of people who, when I hear such things, usually silently say a prayer for the victims of such tragedies.  At the same time, however, I don't like the endless up to the moment reporting on it.

That may be really personal to me.  I work on things all the time where people have died or been badly injured and the tragic nature of it is really evident to me.  When last week the news was reported that Selena Shelley Faye Not Afraid's body had been found not far from a rest stop in Montana it really bothered me, and it still does.

But what I'm commenting on here is the none stop news coverage, and that really may be just me.

I was out when this was first reported on and when I came home, my wife mentioned it.  Again, as with Not Afraid, I was shocked and said a silent prayer to myself.  But soon the television came on and it was non stop reporting on the event.  At 5:00 I redirected the television to the nightly local news, which because it is a weekend and because the channels are not really local anymore but Cheyenne channels, it was the Cheyenne news, which I'm not hugely interested in. But when that was over, it was redirected back.

Finally about 6:30, while I was working on something that a net outage had kept me from working on the day prior, I had to intervene with "that has to stop".  If you work with materials in which there's a constant flood of tragic death, television reporting on it over and over is just too much.

On comments, I'll note, this one was the best I've seen:

Father Dan Beeman
@inthelineofmel
I'm not a basketball fan. But I always felt a bond with
@kobebryant
because I knew that he shared in the Eucharist and loved the Catholic faith. We'll now share in the banquet of the Lord together in another way. Praying for his soul and for those he loved.
I'm not a basketball fan at all, but in all the stuff I heard, I didn't know that Bryant was a religious man, let alone that we were coreligious.  It's interesting, and Father Beeman's observation tends to be the way I look at such things.

The stupidest observation I saw was also on Twitter where somebody posted "I wonder how many soldiers died defending freedom yesterday".  I don't know the answer to that but I bet its easily discernible.  Chances are that it may well be none as on most days the answer is none.

The point of the crabby commentator is supposed to be that soldiers are dying unheralded and unknown while a man who is only famous for playing a game is mourned.  Well, that's a stupid point of view.  There is a lot of attention paid by Americans to American casualties for one thing, and it isn't the case, as the comment implies, that the only death worth noting are those which are due to heroic sacrifice.

Today In Wyoming's History: January 27, 1920. Wyoming Ratifies the 19th Amendment.

Today In Wyoming's History: January 271920   Wyoming ratified the Nineteenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution.

Women could, of course, already vote in Wyoming so the ratification of the amendment to the United States Constitution providing for the same was no surprise.  There had been a bit of an effort to convene a special session for this purpose in 1919, but Governor Robert Carey declined to do that, so ratification had to wait until Governor Carey ultimately called a special session of the legislature for 1920.

A “view” from the courtroom: “OK, boomer”

A “view” from the courtroom: “OK, boomer”

Sunday, January 26, 2020

Today's Mass was in celebration of Tet. . .

the Vietnamese Lunar New Year.

And that's because the east side parish has a lot of Vietnamese parishioners.  The second reading was in Vietnamese, and some of the hymns as well.

I'm not sure why, but with the news being far from encouraging, the Mass truly was.

The second reading was this one, from Corinthians.  A prayer, really, for Christian unity.
I urge you, brothers and sisters, in the name of our Lord Jesus Christ,that all of you agree in what you say,and that there be no divisions among you,but that you be united in the same mind and in the same purpose.For it has been reported to me about you, my brothers and sisters,by Chloe’s people, that there are rivalries among you.I mean that each of you is saying,“I belong to Paul,” or “I belong to Apollos,”or “I belong to Cephas,” or “I belong to Christ.”Is Christ divided?Was Paul crucified for you?Or were you baptized in the name of Paul?For Christ did not send me to baptize but to preach the gospel,and not with the wisdom of human eloquence,so that the cross of Christ might not be emptied of its meaning.

January 26, 1920. Hard Winters

The feeding of elk in Jackson Hole, frequently a topic today, was also a topic in 1920, and indeed was being discussed by the Department of Agriculture on this day with this release to the press.



Also discussed in the press was the murder of Natrona County rancher John J. Corbett, whose headquarters were apparently on Elkhorn Creek near the base of Casper Mountain.


Monday was off to a grim start.

Churches of the West: Former First United Methodist Church, Port Arthur, Texas

Churches of the West: Former First United Methodist Church, Port Arthur ...:

Former First United Methodist Church, Port Arthur Texas



This is the Ruby Ruth Fuller Building in Port Arthur, Texas.  It was built as a Methodist Church in 1915.

This church may frankly not belong on this blog, as I really question if Port Arthur can be considered the "West".  I highly doubt it.  I don't know where the West really starts, but it's somewhere west of Port Arthur. Still, this church is west of the Mississippi, so I've included it here.

All of which, I suppose, begs the question a bit.  If churches in Port Arthur are in the South (and there are a lot of churches in Port Arthur, are churches in Houston in the South also?  What about churches in Dallas.  Maybe.  Maybe some are in both the South and the West. What about churches in Oklahoma?

Well, we have no desire to create a vast new profusion of blogs, but perhaps we should add a few for this purpose.  We're pondering that, and have reserved the URLs to do it.  For the meantime, as this posting is at least geographically credible, we'll be content to post this one here.

Thursday, January 23, 2020

The Winners

What the moral? Who rides may read. 
When the night is thick and the tracks are blind 
A friend at a pinch is a friend, indeed, 
But a fool to wait for the laggard behind. 
Down to Gehenna or up to the Throne, 
He travels the fastest who travels alone. 

White hands cling to the tightened rein, 
Slipping the spur from the booted heel, 
Tenderest voices cry "Turn again!" 
Red lips tarnish the scabbarded steel, 
High hopes faint on a warm hearth-stone-- 
He travels the fastest who travels alone. 

One may fall but he falls by himself-- 
Falls by himself with himself to blame. 
One may attain and to him is pelf-- 
Loot of the city in Gold or Fame. 
Plunder of earth shall be all his own 
Who travels the fastest and travels alone. 

Wherefore the more ye be helpen-.en and stayed, 
Stayed by a friend in the hour of toil, 
Sing the heretical song I have made-- 
His be the labour and yours be the spoil. 
Win by his aid and the aid disown-- 
He travels the fastest who travels alone!

Rudyard Kipling, 1888.

Those of you who have seen the film 1917 heard two lines of this poem quoted in the film, those being;
Down to Gehenna or up to the Throne, 
He travels the fastest who travels alone. 
Kipling's observation is an interesting one, but is it correct?  Kipling himself must have known that the greater meanings claimed for the poem were not without contest as he stated "Sing the heretical song I have made-- ".  Still, in at least one sense, the physical one, a competent person traveling by himself can make the best time, assuming that competency.  However, Desert monks aside, the trip to the Throne may be best aided with fellow travelers, and the trip to Gehenna frequently features company.


Wednesday, January 22, 2020

Mid week at work.


The Wall Street Journal and the Rosy "End of Retirement" Article. A repeating theme.


On one hand, you can read in the New York Times about how there's a growing number of while collar men in their 50s who have permanently dropped out of the work place.

And you can also read about how suicide in the US is growing, in part because of a sense of alienation with our cubicle society.  The BBC has published a recent article about how the youngest generation of the Japanese is building a "solo" culture in which people simply live alone.

Presidential candidate Andrew Yang warns that we're about to displace so many workers do to automation that we'll have to go to a Universal Basic Income because we're about to forcibly retire a bunch of the work force.

Well, the rosy Wall Street Journal, in contrast, comes out with this:

THE END OF RETIREMENTThe conventional wisdom—save enough to retire at age 65—won’t work for the generation starting their careers today, writes columnist John D. Stoll.t took about six years of annual asset reviews with my financial planner, Joe Mackey, to confront a big question. After I spent my entire adult life trying to save enough to quit working by 65, Mr. Mackey wanted to know what my rush was. 
“Do you even think you’ll want to retire?” I’m a 42-year-old writer with a job offering travel, intellectual grist and social connection. With few hobbies and an allergy for sitting still, it’s fair to assume my view of a comfortable retirement includes more work than quit. Maybe I’ll deliver the mail, write books or teach. 
People spend a lot of time wondering if they’ll have the means to retire, often ignoring the equally important calculation: Do they have the will to retire? A job, historically seen as simply a way to make money, is increasingly the source of the types of friendship and stimulation that are hard to find in bingo halls, on beaches or riding a golf cart. 
“When my friends and I talk about our futures none of us says, ‘When I’m 65 I’m going to retire and live on a farm and do nothing,’ ” says Kevin Frazier, a former legal assistant at Google who is now pursuing joint law and public-policy degrees at Harvard and the University of California, Berkeley. Mr. Frazier, age 26, watched his dad work a 30-year career at AT&T, but the one-employer tenure is no longer status quo.
There's more of of this blather on the linked in WST article.

Let's start with the comment of Kevin Frazier, now studying law at age 26.  That means he'll graduate at age 29, probably, more or less and enter a career that is now deeply imperiled and which, at least by the time he's in his 50s, will have seen a massive erosion of work to overseas sources (an Indian lawyer working out of his apartment in Delhi can review a contract just as well as an American one in the high rent office district of Denver) and for which Google analytics will be able to answer lots of legal questions.  It'll only take a competent person, a paralegal likely, to run the search and a produce an answer that would have taken two or three lawyers a couple of days of research and thousands of dollars to produce.

Of course, Frazier is an ignoramus, as in ignorant.  He doesn't know what practicing law is like and he doesn't realize that the profession as a massive substance abuse and personal problem rate for a reason.  And that's not going away.  In twenty years he'll have worked in three different firms and be hoping for enough income to buy a latte before starting work at 4:00 a.m.

I've essentially read the same analysis on this since I was a teenager.  Soon (probably twenty years out), they say we'll be living to 200 years old (an item in the article) and we won't want to be retire.

Well, being old is no treat.  The article notes the author is 42.  Within a decade he'll know that his clock is winding down.  No matter how healthy you are in your 40s, you won't be that way in your 50s or 60s.  And the ravages of age don't fall on only your ability to play whatever urban sport is in vogue in a gym, it falls on the minds of many as well.

Currently, the real trend is that white collar workers are just dropping out of the workplace as they age. There's no UBI, but they're not working.  Forced retirement due to one thing or another is common after 55, which doesn't mean its a comfortable retirement.  Only those in occupations that pay well and have really dedicated support staff can actually tolerate people working until they die.

Retirement ending?  It may be, but not in a nice way.  And that's not a good things.  Dignified work is ending too.

So, Frazier, at 65 will you be living on a farm "and doing nothing". Well, being on a farm is actually doing a lot.  But you won't be doing that at 65.  You'll be working part time in the local library for minimum wage wishing you had a farm to go to.

Tuesday, January 21, 2020

Meanwhile it appears Harry and Meghan will have to give up their royal titles. . .

which was a greater sacrifice than they apparently bargained for.

It makes sense, however.  No royal duties probably ought to equate to no royal titles.

It does raise a bit the old topic of Prince Edward, the youngest son of the Queen, who dropped out of his Royal Marine commando training and had a truncated military career.  Usually the male members of the Royal Family serve in the military for a period.  His service was very brief, and therefore he broke tradition by that act.  Having said that, the path he attempted to take was a very hard one, and he didn't give up his other royal duties.

Harry and Meghan, however, no longer will have those duties and they won't have public funding or royal titles either.  Presumably they're just Mr. and Mrs. Windsor now.  I'm not certain that, had they been aware of the full impact of their decision, they would have opted for that.  But frankly, it makes sense.

Monday, January 20, 2020

Today In Wyoming's History: January 20, 1920.

Today In Wyoming's History: January 201920  Bert Cole, who was the pilot in the incident that resulted in the loss of the life of Maude Toomey on the January 14, was already back in the air, piloting for a stunt.







I'm frankly a little shocked. That seems awfully soon.

Virginia ratifies the Equal Rights Amendment. Or actually it doesn't.

On January 15 Virginia passed legislation ratifying the Equal Rights Amendment.

National Woman's Party cartoon. The constitutional amendment referred to in this cartoon is the 19th Amendment extending suffrage to women.

Which pretty much means nothing, legally, given that the expiration date for the amendment expires in 1982.

The Equal Rights Amendment, the ERA, was first drafted as a proposed amendment to the US Constitution, in its earliest form in 1921 by the National Woman's Party, a political party that had come up in the Suffrage era.  The text was revised by the head of the party, Alice Paul, in 1923 and again in 1943.  That text was basically used by Congress when Congress passed by Congress in 1972.  It reads:
Section 1: Equality of rights under the law shall not be denied or abridged by the United States or by any state on account of sex.

Section 2: The Congress shall have the power to enforce, by appropriate legislation, the provisions of this article.
Section 3: This amendment shall take effect two years after the date of ratification.
Alice Paul of the National Woman's Party raising a glass of grape juice in celebration of the passage of the 19th Amendment granting women suffrage in 1920.  Paul lived a long life and died in 1977.

The original Congressional act had a fairly typical seven year time period in which for the states to ratify the amendment.  Wyoming passed the ratifying act on January 24, 1973, making it the third state in the union to ratify it.  It failed to gain a sufficient number of state ratifications, however, in that period so Congress, by that time heavily Democratic in the post Watergate era, extended the deadline to 1982.  By the end of that period the proposed amendment had only secured 35 out of the necessary states and the original act died.

That legislative death hasn't kept there from being state action since 1982, although the 1982 extension itself raised real Constitutional questions in the first place.  

Since 1982 three more states have passed ratifying acts, with Virginia being the latest, bringing the number of states now up to a pointless 38.  Four states, however, have rescinded their ratifications, bringing it down to a pointless 33, maybe.  Backers of the ERA claim that pre ratification rescissions are invalid, although they seem less bothered by post deadline ratifications.  In truth, there's no good reason to suppose that a state can't rescind its approval of a Constitutional amendment prior to it becoming law, in spite of claims that this is a legally deficient process.  Indeed, the four resicinding states all rescinded prior to 1979, with two of them doing so prior to 1975.  One state's rescision, Kentucky, was vetoed by the Lt. Governor of that state in the Governor's absence, which itself raises Constitutional questions as it hasn't been determined if a Governor can veto anything on a proposed Constitutional Amendment.

So what's all this mean?

Well it means that the ratification is invalid and mostly just a show of support for the old text.

And now what?

Well, the whole thing will go to the United States Supreme Court in a messy procedure in which the Court will be asked to sort out the Constitutional dog's breakfast this situation creates.  The questions are numerous, including whether or not a state can ignore the passage deadline (it can't), whether or not a state can rescind its ratification (it can, but probably only before the deadline as well), whether a Governor or person holding a state's chief executive role temporary can veto anything on a proposed Constitutional amendment (probably not) and whether Congress can validly extend the deadline in the first place.

That last matter might not seem to be an issue, but it is.  The time limits on the ratification of Constitutional Amendments exists for a reason and part of that reason is making the making an original action valid in time.  Extending out deadlines creates a situation in which the passing legislatures in the early ratification may no longer hold the same view later on.  Seven years is a fairly typical period for a Constitutional amendment.  Ten years could have been a valid period, but if you get out to twenty or more the process may be void on its face.

Moreover, in this case, extending the deadline did not receive the Constitutionally required 2/3s majority necessary to pass a proposed Constitutional Amendment, and so it was passed simply as a law.  The better legal position, therefore, is that the deadline actually expired in 1979.  This doesn't really matter here, however, as no states ratified the act between 1979 and 1982.

Or maybe it does, of the state's that passed the amendment prior to the original deadline passing, 24 of them referred to to the original deadline in their ratification.  That may mean that they voted to ratify by that date, and not approve an endlessly open ratification process.

None of which answers the question of whether the ERA, in 2020, should be passed into law at all.

In 1972 the proposal was a radical one in context, which is why it failed to ultimately pass.  The nation was reeling in a period of radicalism brought on by the late 1960s and all that era entailed.  The "Women's Lib" movement was at its height and interestingly later younger feminist have retreated from much of what that movement then sought.  But as radical as it was, much of what its backers then proposed would not have comported with later developments.

Indeed, even at the time its backers claimed that its impact would be nearly non existent in numerous ways.  It wouldn't require, for example, that women serve in combat in the military and it wouldn't require women to be conscripted, if there was conscription. Opponents of the ERA claimed that it would do both, and lead to "unisex" public bathrooms.  Since that time social engineers in the government have operated in support of their theories within the military and women do serve in combat roles in spite of a nearly universally held view within the services that its a bad idea and bathrooms have become a matter of odd American public debate.

The point is not to debate that, but to point out that if the ERA passed today, there'd be nothing for the text to do in the context of what it originally proposed to do. Subsequent legislation achieved the same goals.

Which doesn't mean that the text would be without impact.  It would be, in the form of litigation on what "on account of sex" means.

Originally it obviously meant on account of gender, and the definition of gender was the biological one that science supports, male and female.  The vast majority of the original proponents of the ERA, and the legislators who voted for it, would have had no other meaning even remotely in mind. But in the current era that's not how it would be taken at all.  Various groups would argue that "sex" meant gender as they self identify it, or maybe even the physical act of sex.  Indeed there's already been an argument by two feminist scholars that the original ERA no longer fits the bill and a new one should be drafted with uses a term with something like "gender in all its expressions", which is vaguely coded language that would enshrine the currently popular concept that gender is self identified rather than biologically identified as a Constitutional principal.

No matter what a person feels about those things, the lessons of 1919, and also of 1973, demonstrate why on most issues its better to let things actually get sorted out legislatively rather than amend the Constitution. The 18th Amendment which provided women the right to vote everywhere, can be pointed to as a success, as there were many states in which women still couldn't vote in, in 1919, and nobody would hold that opinion now except for an extremist.

Regions in North America that allowed women to vote in 1917.  By 1919 there's be more white on this map, including Mexico which had extended the franchise in its post revolution constitution by that time.

Prohibition, on the other hand, also from 1919 gives us an opposite example.

Lots of states had gone dry by 1919, all on their own.  When Prohibition came into law, however, in 1920 full scale opposition to it was already rolling and advanced.  The Constitutional Amendment seemingly served to fire a spirit of brazen resistance to it, and because of what was occurring at the time, it was wholly unnecessary.  Had Prohibition not become the law of the land, the trend was that it was becoming the law of most of the states and that it had really widespread support.  Making it a Constitutional Amendment all but killed that support very rapidly.

Roe v. Wade provides another example.  While no Constitutional Amendment was involved, the constituionalization of an issue badly has lead to a massive decline in respect for the Supreme Court as well as the odd idea that the Court itself is a national Oligarchic Panel.  If anything the removal of what was a legislative issue from the legislatures has lead to decades of bitter dispute and the retreat of one side, the left wing side, into the courts in a fashion that's inherently anti democratic and not very well respected among a large amount of the nation's population.

Which is not to say that the same thing would happen in regard to the ERA. Rather, what I'm saying is that the history on women's equality actually did play out the way Prohibition would probably have but for the Constitutional Amendment requiring it.  There's nearly no legal inequality between women and men now save for jobs that are absolutely gender defined.  Over the past 47 years these issues in terms of the law have been worked out themselves.  So passage of the ERA now would serve at most to do nothing at all, or at worst to be used for things it was never intended to be used for.

Critics may point out that there's still social inequality, although like many fin de siecle debates the degree to which this is true is very overstated.  But that brings up another point which is the Roe v. Wade one.  While there are very much issues that need to be addressed by way of the Constitution, it pays to be very careful about those as the constitutionalization of an issue serves to fire up a spirit of resistance which more conventional laws do not.  The resistance here would likely not be massive, but then the need for the ERA at this point isn't great either.

Sunday, January 19, 2020

Will the bad news never cease?

Forget the impeachment, forget the imbroglio about Ukraine, forget Vladimir Putin scheming to make himself Russian Czar for eternity.

There's really serious bad news out there.

Taylor McGregor is leaving her position as a sports announcer for AT&T SportsNet in Colorado to take up one as a reporter for the Marquee Sports Network in Chicago, where she'll cover the Cubs.  She covered the Rockies in Colorado.



Will the tragedies never cease?

For those unfamiliar with McGregor, the tall blond sportscaster combined Kate Upton quality good looks (it's my blog. . . I can say that) with really excellent sports delivery.  Indeed, it was that delivery that makes her a great sportscaster. 

McGregor is one of Keli McGregor's daughters.  Keli McGregor was the president of the Rockies and died of a heart attack, due to an undetected viral infection, at age 48.  Taylor was 17 years old at the time.  Since that tragedy she went on to the University of Arkansas where, as in high school, she was a standout athlete in her own right.  At about the time of her graduation she was seeing baseball player Ty Hensley who was about to break out into the major leagues, but never really did.  Hensley plays with the Utica Unicorns now.

Hensley's star may have faded, although he's still achieved something I never will in actually being a professional baseball player, but Taylor's has risen.  After graduating she was located as a sportscaster in Casper Wyoming for awhile where it was obvious that she was headed for a lot more than broadcasting local sports.  Indeed, I've noted that before.

What a radical shift from not even all that long ago.  The other television channel, KTWO, was for some time the only local television station and its news department was a big deal when I was a kid.  Locals, for whatever reason, welcomed it when they got competition, but now they're back to being the only local broadcast station.  Both stations, for some time, have had the feeling to them of being training grounds for television news folks who are moving on to elsewhere, however, with those younger broadcasters being of varying qualities, sometimes great (like sportscaster Taylor McGregor who is now back in her native Denver and broadcasts particularly for the Rockies, at which she is excellent) and sometimes not so much.

I guess that gives Casper bragging rights really.  Just like we do over the small number or pro players from here or who played here at one time.

Sigh.

But watching Rockies baseball will never be the same.



Pope Emeritus Benedict XVI and Cardinal Sarah weigh in on Priestly Celibacy

And in doing so they are taking an extraordinary step in counseling the current Pope, Pope Francis.

Its obvious no secret by this point that many "conservative" Catholic leaders are unhappy with many things regarding the current Pope and for that matter a lot of "conservative" Catholic laymen are as well.  This varies enormously by individual, but early on most conservative Catholics, which is a very wide definition that includes traditionalist but which isn't limited to them, were willing to give Pope Francis a break on most things but that has worn pretty thin by this point in many quarters for a variety of reasons.

This seems to be one of them, but grasping it is a bit difficult from a long historical view.

Many conservative Catholics are distressed by what seem to be a move towards married priests to some degree, maybe only regionally in South America.  Pope Benedict and Cardinal Sarah, both of whom I deeply respect, are obviously in this camp.  They've apparently written in a new book that they are both authors of (since I wrote this its been announced that Pope Benedict's name will be removed as an author) urging that the celibacy rules for priests not be changed.

I am pretty conservative myself, and frankly I've been distressed by some of the murkiness in Pope Francis' statements here and there and I feel that Pope Francis really needs to get the German church in line.  But having said that, its important to note that priestly celibacy only applies in the first place to Latin Rite Catholics. Eastern Rite Catholics don't have that rule and it must be a bit upsetting to them to have Latin Rite Catholics arguing its an absolute must.  Likewise, the Orthodox also do not have that rule and while its continually rumored that we're closer to ending the schism between the East and West at any point since the 1490s, this debate must be at least off putting to some of them.

Additionally, there are married Latin Rite Catholic priests, almost always priests who were previously Episcopal or Lutheran clerics before converting to Catholicism.  Ironically, they're often quite vocal in support of the existing rule, but they're also quite conservative.  The point is here that those priests are regarded as good and loyal priest and they provide an example of married priests in the Latin Rite as well as an opinion we should listen to on what to do and not to do in changing the rule.

The rule on priestly celibacy has a long and complicated history.  St. Paul addressed the topic in urging early Christians who could abstain from sex to avoid marrying for the sake of Christ, but he didn't require it and St. Peter, who was the first Pope and who at least had been married and may still have been when he was martyred, did not require it either.  Be that as it may, efforts at requiring it were being made as early as the 4th Century.  A proposal was made at the Council of Nicea to require priests to be unmarried but the Council rejected it.

By the 1130s it was a formal rule of the Latin Rite and had come in as the Church was concerned about the development of an European priestly class which was starting to look as if the offices would be inherited. The Church stepped in at that point and created the rule, therefore, which operated to stop that from developing but it took some time before it was fully complied with. The Church reaffirmed the rule at the Council of Trent, at which time the separating Protestant denominations were rapidly abandoning it.

It has served the Latin Rite well since then.  A sort of noble priestly class was avoided and, moreover, in the prior eras in which resources were tight it both attracted men who were hard working and intelligent but who wanted to avoid the burdens of married life, which were greater in numerous ways, and it kept the situation from developing in which married priests were essentially beholding to benefactors.  A good example of the latter is the situation that developed in the Church of England where that very much occurred and where the priesthood became one of the occupations of minor nobility, a situation that long term has contributed to the decline in that church.

So why change it now?

Well, traditionalist and conservatives can give that answer, but whatever it is, and there are real arguments for not changing it, it must be remembered that the conditions that it originally addressed are no longer there.  There's no risk of an inherited priestly class coming into existence now and, indeed, the situation in which sons may follow fathers into the priesthood, which does exist in the Eastern Rite and the Orthodox churches, would frankly be a welcome one now.

And that's because the distractions of careers, money and sex are now much greater in a richer and more disoriented society.  Lots of people can't quite hear the call, I suspect, over the yells that they should seek wealth and career, etc.  They do later, but by then, if they are married, the call comes usually too late.  We see some of those men entering the priesthood late in life as widows, and a few others switching to the Byzantine Rite, but there would obviously be many more if the rule wasn't there.

Which means some thought should be given to it.

The same process lead to the restoration of the Permanent Deaconate in the Latin Rite which had otherwise fallen into disuse in that rite.  Originally thought of as a way to address Priest shortages i Latin America, it's become a way for deeply religious men, mostly married men, to serve the Church without being Priests.  Indeed, as Deacons may not marry if their spouse dies they are as a rule almost all married at the time of their ordination.  The restoration of Deacons was new and even felt odd when it occurred but now they are highly included in the Church and the result has certainly not been a disaster.

There would have to be some restrictive rules on this, I'm sure. But they may already exist in the Eastern Rites. The Eastern Rites are doing well and we would do well to learn by them.