Thursday, April 25, 2024

Not a profile in courage.

From Twitter.

First:

Larry Wolfe@WYWolfe

So Barrasso and Lummis have joined the Pro Putin camp. Lummis makes the same tired argument that we can’t afford it. What is Barrasso’s excuse for abandoning his boss McConnell and instead lining up with the far right fringe of Senate crackpots?

8:51 PM · Apr 24, 2024

It is an excellent question, although probably rhetorical, as we all know why Sen. Barrasso did this, he's running to the right of himself to keep his job.  The Wyoming GOP has fallen to the populists, who are not conservatives, and who are definitely isolationist without a grasp on foreign policy.  We all know that.  And a lot of us know that Barrasso doesn't believe a lot of the things he claims to, which makes this situation, frankly, sad, but for the fact that when Russia quits bleeding Ukraine, if Ukraine doesn't win, American and European blood will flow next.

Barrasso knows that, too.

I used to see Barrasso frequently as a passenger in airplanes.  When I did, I always left him alone, even though I slightly know him, and knew his late wife a bit better.  I've wanted to speak to him, however, as I frankly can't believe that he believes a lot of the things he states, and I've wanted to tell him that.

Somebody did just that, however.   

Cleaned up to take out the awkward nature of Twitter:

Replying to @WYWolfe

drew@drew53430308

Was lucky enough to fly DEN-CPR with JB back in February, the VERY day they failed to move the bill. We were seated close to each other, and had to wait on the jetway in Casper for our carry-ons. So I introduce myself as “Lt Col so-and-so” and offer condolences about his wife’s passing, but then I mentioned the day’s failure, and how the rest of the week was a work session, hard to do from home…

I told him that the innocent civilians in Ukraine needed help, they needed our help to end the rapes and murders. I explained that America doesn’t abandon her allies on the battlefield. I explained that then, that very night, with a few phone calls he could fix it…

I looked him in the eye and told him he was one of the most powerful men on Earth, and that he alone could save lives, starting right then. I told him millions of innocents were counting on him, that this was his moment…

JB thanked me for my service, explained this was all JD Vance’s fault, and there was nothing he could do. Told me I didn’t understand how things work. I replied that I’d flown back enough dead and maimed kids to learn a lifetime’s worth of foreign policy.

Well, good for Lt. Col. Drew. 

Postscript:

There's good reason to believe that Barrasso is fighting for his political career this election against a surprisingly strong Reid Rasner.  Barrasso has had those in the electorate who were vaguely discontent with him for some time.  In retrospect, a lot of that opposition came from people who believe the "Uni Party" brand of nonsense in which anything the government spends is evidence that you are a RINO, unless of course the money is spent subsidizing highways, which is good.  The same people, of course, are hugely opposed to balancing the budget, although they don't realize it, as they'd have to be taxed at a fair rate, which they aren't in favor of.

Anyhow, with the strong rise of populism in the state Barrasso is in surprising trouble as he has a track records that isn't populist, but conservative.  Those who didn't like him in the first place trend that way, and the overall state GOP is now on a populist warpath, the fall of Liz Cheney being evidence of that.  So Barrasso is now campaigning as a populist.

The thing he might be missing is that for a long time there have been Republican moderates and true conservatives, the people that populists, who aren't real Republicans but rather are Dixiecrats, who weren't hugely fond of Barrasso either.  Dr. Barrasso also knew that, which was why he was pretty careful, usually, but not always, to take carefully thought out conservative positions.  Many in this same class weren't hugely satisfied with Barrasso, if not outright dissatisfied with him, and were held back from voting for a Democratic candidate only due to certain issues, such as right to life issues.  Irrespective of that, in 2018, the last time he ran, Barrasso take at the pools declined from a 2012 76% to 67%, which is the same percentage that Donald Trump took in 2016.  Democrat Gary Trauner took 30%.

Trauner ran for elective office several times and failed to win, but he was respected and stuck around in the public eye for a while after the 2018 election.  He's not involved in politics anymore, but his race is illustrative.  Barrasso had no real opposition in the primary, although some gadfly entrants did run.  This time he has real opposition.  Most of the old moderate Democrats became Republicans in the state long ago and by this time may be too disgusted by these recent developments to even vote in the primary, and those who do may abstain from voting in this race.  That might push things over the top for Rasner, as at the end of the day, Barrasso is at least partially counting on conservatives and moderate Republicans who aren't thrilled with him right now to vote for him.

And while the winner of that race will win, whomever it is may not have the level of support that they have in the past.  30% of the electorate was voting against him already, which was worse than Cheney did in 2020 and worse than Hageman did in 2022.

Related thread:

The 2024 Election, Part XVII. Standing on their feet or crawling on their knees.


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