Showing posts with label 2025. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2025. Show all posts

Thursday, January 1, 2026

New Year's Resolutions for Other People.


Some years I do this thread, other years not.  2025 was such a serious year, I'm tempted not to.

Maybe that's when you should.

I'm going to start of with a minor one.

Heather Cox Richardson, for goodness sakes pay some attention to the production values of your Vlog.  It's absolutely horrific and yes, it does matter.  Sitting in front of a coast map may be something you can get away with as a professor to your students, but frankly everyone else just wonders on to Erza Klein.

The ones with Joanne B. Freeman are the absolutely worst, not because you both don't have things that are serious to say, but because it comes across like two elderly professors in the faculty lounge who are annoyed with undergraduates.

You have good content.  Improve the production values.

Okay, now that we have that out of the way. . .


Cabinet members, invoke the 25h Amendment.

You know that Donald Trump is getting increasingly bat shit crazy and he's making everything worse.  The point at which he serves as razzle dazzle is over.  It's no longer safe.  Remove him.

And once he's removed, do a serious investigation into what his thing with Putin is.  It's weird, bare minimum, but is there more there?

Some will note, and indeed people already are, that if Trump goes Vance is in. This is true.Vance has his own dangers, but he's not likely to nuke Denmark.

Regarding Vance, Vance probably is who he always was, or so it seems to me, but his philosophical underpinnings have developed enormously, whether you like them or not.  It occurs to me that people who were charmed by Hillbilly Elegy were charmed by it as they didn't regard it as a call for action for a hillbilly class, but rather as a fun thing to lament over while sipping some weird tea based drink and watching Heather Cox Richardson.  Nope, it was a call to arms.


Vance, or whatever your name is, its time for you to be open about your beliefs.  Either the American public accepts them, which they probably do not, or they'll reject them and you can try to convince them.  

Also, reconsider their harshness.  It's easier to be Kevin Roberts if you are an academic.  In the real world, Pope Leo XIV makes a lot more sense.

Wyoming Freedom Caucus.  Go back to your homes and leave Wyoming alone.

John Barrasso.  Grow a spine and start backing Wyoming.

Chuck Gray. See item on Freedom Caucus.

Wyoming Democrats.  Be like what  you once were, moderate Republicans.  You're never getting anywhere running as the French Socialist Party.


Wyoming voters, quit screwing yourself.  I swear, the things you keep voting to support are so darned dumb it defines description.  Voting for politicians who will grab Federal lands would sell them in a heartbeat.  Coal is not coming back. Climate change is real and needs to be addressed.

And, if you are a new Freedom Caucus type voter, go home.  We'll even buy you a box set of the Dukes of Hazzard if you leave.

Members of the Evangelical Protestant right wing community (and maybe Evangelical Protestants in general). Read some history.  You guys are carrying out a historically discredited effort that's contrary to the Church.

Also, knock off the divorce doesn't matter thing.  It does.  

Last edition:

New Year's Resolutions for Other People, sort of.

Wednesday, December 31, 2025

The Madness of King Donald. The 25th Amendment Watch List, Seventh Edition. Night of Camp David

From Amazon:

Night of Camp David Kindle Edition

4.2 out of 5 stars   (863)

 “What would happen if the president of the U.S.A. went stark-raving mad?” Back by popular demand, The New York Times calls the 1965 bestselling political thriller by the author of Seven Days in May, “A little too plausible for comfort.”
 
How can one man convince the highest powers in Washington that the President of the United States is dangerously unstable—before it’s too late?
 
Senator Jim MacVeagh is proud to serve his country—and his president, Mark Hollenbach, who has a near-spotless reputation as the vibrant, charismatic leader of MacVeagh’s party and the nation. When Hollenbach begins taking MacVeagh into his confidence, the young senator knows that his star is on the rise.

But then Hollenbach starts summoning MacVeagh in the middle of the night to Camp David. There, the president sits in the dark and rants about his enemies, unfurling insane theories about all the people he says are conspiring against him. They would do anything, President Hollenbach tells the stunned senator, to stop him from setting in motion the grand, unprecedented plans he has to make America a great world power once again.

MacVeagh comes away from these meetings increasingly convinced that the man he once admired has lost his mind. But what can he do? Who can he tell?

Sound sort of familiar?

December 12, 2025


I'm reminded that as the Third Reich crumbled around him, Hitler concluded that the German people just weren't worthy of him.

And then there's this:
Q: Can you explain what's going on with the bandages on Trump's hand?

LEAVITT: We've given you an explanation. The president is literally constantly shaking hands.

Machinegun Lips Leavitt's statement is a dog that doesn't hunt.  At this point, it's clear that there's something going on.  The constant bruising on the hand suggest pretty strongly that Trump is frequently getting a picc line to his hand.  He's getting IVs, probably, but for what? 

He also recently had an MRI, and speaks of getting cognitive tests.  Somebody is monitoring him pretty closely medically, and Trump himself doesn't seem to know fully why.

Cont:

A blog entry on the same topic:

The Alarming Signs of a President in Decline

December 15, 2025

Trump's a complete a**hole.

cont:

Q: A number of Republicans have denounced your statement on Rob Reiner. Do you stand by it?

TRUMP: Well, I wasn't a fan of his at all. He was a deranged person as far as Trump is concerned.

December 17, 2025

The National Review

The president of the United States is a hateful raging lunatic with all the empathy of Jeffrey Dahmer.

A prediction:

I stated here before that Trump would only last 18 months in office.  He hasn't even made 12 yet, and his mind is complete mush.  He has a television address tonight I'm unlikely to watch, but my first prediction, not the one I created the subtitle for, is that it'll be full of rambling praise for himself and blame upon Joe Biden.

It'll also be jam packed with lies.

The bigger prediction, however, is this.  I'm going to restate the 18 month prediction as an outer date.  He's really declining rapidly.  He'll make it to 2026, probably, but my guess right now is not past the end of March.  Part of this will depend upon how close he gets us to war with Venezuela and how utterly unhinged he becomes regarding his domestic opposition.

My next prediction is that this will completely shatter the GOP.  The GOP is going to get pounded in the 2026 election and become utterly unglued.  It won't go away, but it'll take it three or four years to rebuilt itself into something.  

December 21, 2025

Trump: I took cognitive tests. By the way, not easy. The first question is like what is this and they show a lion, giraffe, fish and a hippopotamus. And they say which is the giraffe.

Hmmmm. . . 

I don't follow Rod Dreher because I think he slipped off the rails some time ago, but there's no real denying he's one of the real intellects of the National Conservatives/Christian Nationalist whom I think largely have the levers of power in the Trump Administration right now.  So I was surprised when I ran across something he posted on Twitter.

Dreher hasn't changed his views on things, and he defends Trump on some thing I think Trump is actually completely wrong on, such as the recently released National Security Strategy (which makes sense form Dreher's point of view, because of his beliefs), but regarding Trump himself, after his comments on Rob Reiner:

Something is very, very wrong with this man. A father and mother were murdered by their son, most likely, and Trump makes it about himself.

Its been obvious for years that something is deeply wrong with Trump.  Indeed, given his overall character, something has been wrong with Trump for decades, but his earlier character flaws are now being overtaken by his dementia.  

I note Dreher here as I think what we can begin to see pretty clearly is the move to replace Trump with Vance.  We predicted that Trump would be out within 18 months, and its starting to happen right now.

Dreher, who was one of the first Christian Nationalist and National Conservatives, is outright stating that Trump is mentally ill.  He's also attacking the MAGA public figures like Fuentes.  Erika Kirk is endorsing Vance for President in 2028.  Mitt Romney, whom conservatives regard as the last real conservative Republican candidate for the White House, is writing op eds urging taxation.

Now, not all those things are related, but some of them are.  It's clear that Republicans are beginning to maneuver for the 2028 election and they're leaving Trump behind.  Romney is old at 78, but he's not demented and he's younger than Biden was when he ran for reelection and he's younger than Trump, whose most radical MAGA base is urging to unconstitutionally run again in 2028.

Related to that, Vance is only in the administration as he wants to run in 2028.  He's tainted with his association with Trump and the stench that creates is getting worse and he knows it.  He's also the only real National Conservative who stands a chance of being elected in 2028.  Indeed, there were never any others who stood a chance.  Marco Rubio is a conservative, but not a National Conservative.  Elise Marie Stefanik is a conservative, not a National Conservative, as well.  Marjorie Taylor Greene, who doesn't stand a chance, is a far right wing populist.  Kevin Roberts, who is behind the scenes and somethat close to Vance, is definitely a National Conservative but he has no chance.  Stephen Miller is loathsome.

So now we're seeing the jockeying for position, but we're seeing more than that.  Some Republicans are finally outright condemning Trump over things he says.  Massie and Rand Paul are outright defying him with no real consequences.  Republicans who don't want to be part of a 2026 and 2028 bloodbath are bailing out of Congress.

Behind the scenes, there has to be a raging debate about how much longer the GOP lets Trump carry on.  He's been the functional equivalent of World War One naval dazzle camouflage which has served their interests well. . .up until now.  Now he's drawing fire.  He falls asleep in public.  He rambles on and sounds rough, while making statements that are often downright weird.  He insults vast numbers of people for petty reasons.  He's causing inflation in many areas of the economy through his beliefs on taxes, while destroying the economy for those who supported him in other areas.  

And he's on the verge of getting us into war.

While all that's going on, of course, his administration has now gone so far in trying to keep the government's files on perverted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein secret its reached the absurd level. Everyone knows that Trump and Epstein were friends.  The lingering news story has served to remind people that Trump has a sexual track record which necessarily raises questions, given his association with Epstein, as well as John Casablancas.  Old information that was re-released from the Epstein files serves to remind that one of Epstein's teenage victims ended up as a contestant in one of Trump's pageants.  Trump sent Epstein, although he denies it a hand drawn birthday card featuring what appears to be the immature body of a teenage girl, with his signature drawn across where the reproduction organs are, and with a poem emphasizing enigma and shared secrets.

MAGA victims of TDS of course still desperately want to believe that there's no there, there, but something is there, if only the names of people who may have participated in the abuse of up to 1,000 girls and who are significant figures.  Maybe Trump isn't listed amongst them, but there's some reason his administration is trying to desperately to keep this stuff secret.

My guess would be that Vance has no idea what it is.  But Vance, Kirk, Roberts and Dreher all know that if Trump rides things out to 2028 his increasing dementia combined with the risk of scandal is just too high.  If this blows up, and its starting to, it'll wreck the GOP so completely there won't be one in 2028.

Kirk and Dreher are preparing the groundwork now.  Mentioning that what Trump is doing is vile is part of that.  Mentioning that Vance should run in 2028 is as well.

Vance will be sworn in as the President before June.

December 22, 2025

These things are just  nuts:

cont:

We need Greenland for national protection. They have a very small population…They say that Denmark was there 300 years ago with a boat. Well, we were there with boats too I’m sure.

Donald Trump. 

The United States isn't 300 years old. . . 

And that small population comment is just the sort of thing a New Yorker would say . . . 

And then there's this gem. Trump wants a fleet of twenty five battleships built.  Battleships have been obsolete for decades.

Everyone knows they're nuts, and yet they allow him to just charge on with this lunacy.

The man is not well, and they know it.

cont:

It appears the battleships will not be battleships.

Still, Trump's absolute megalomania in which everything must be named for him is clearly a sign of mental illness.

December 23, 2025

We’re bringing down drug price by 1000%, 1200%, 1300%, 1400%. A drug that sells for $10 in London is costing $130 in New York. We are bringing it down to $20. You can do your own math. But it’s 2000%, 3000%

Donald Trump. 

December 26, 2025

A Christmas rant from somebody who is clearly mentally unhinged:


By this point, it's clear that Trump, if not full blown insane, goes into fits of raving insanity.  We should all be scared as there may come a day when he goes from ranting into action.  

The real question at this point is why the cabinet has not removed him.  His unfitness for office, or anything else, is completely apparent, so there's a reason behind that.

The reason might be J. D. Vance.

In spite of Trump's propagandized reputation, Trump isn't a lot of the things he's claimed to be.  He's not smart, he's not an economic genius, he's not a conservative, and he's not a recognizable Christian.  He is a good salesman, or was, who has made his name into a brand. He's also a self serving narcissists. As part of his branding, he's managed to convince a fair number of people that he is what he clearly isn't.

But he is useful for certain elements that back him.  Once he's gone, the NAM, the NatCons, and the Dixiecrats really don't have everything in common by a long shot.  Vance is a NatCon, not a Dixiecrat, and people like Miller might fear Vance coming in.

The mass defection from the Heritage Society suggests, however, that Vance may have lost his shot.  If Trump is going to be retired people have to support Vance.  The NatCons are falling apart.  

December 31, 2025

Trump announced today that his dumbass triumphal arch will start construction in two months.

This likely needs to go up quicker than planned as the terminal limits of Trump's sanity/end of office/natural life are beginning to roar up into his view.  This will add to the pile of rubble that will need to be hauled off and dumped in the Potomac when he's gone.

Related threads:

Our Petty, Hollow, Squalid Ogre in Chief

 

Our Petty, Hollow, Squalid Ogre in Chief

2028 Election, Part I. The Preview of Coming Attractions Editions.

Last edition:

The Madness of King Donald. The 25th Amendment Watch List, Sixth Edition. The demented panicked Octogenarian edition.

Wars and Rumors of War, 2025. Part 10 (the final edition for 2025). The Gunboat Diplomacy Edition.

You will hear of wars and rumors of wars, but see to it that you are not alarmed. Such things must happen, but the end is still to come. Nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom.

Matthew, Chapter 24.

I spent 33 years and four months in active military service and during that period I spent most of my time as a high class muscle man for Big Business, for Wall Street and the bankers. In short, I was a racketeer, a gangster for capitalism. I helped make Mexico and especially Tampico safe for American oil interests in 1914. I helped make Haiti and Cuba a decent place for the National City Bank boys to collect revenues in. I helped in the raping of half a dozen Central American republics for the benefit of Wall Street. I helped purify Nicaragua for the International Banking House of Brown Brothers in 1902-1912. I brought light to the Dominican Republic for the American sugar interests in 1916. I helped make Honduras right for the American fruit companies in 1903. In China in 1927 I helped see to it that Standard Oil went on its way unmolested. Looking back on it, I might have given Al Capone a few hints. The best he could do was to operate his racket in three districts. I operated on three continents.

Smedley D. Butler, War Is a Racket

December 21, 2025

United States v. Venezuela

Thee U.S. Coast Guard seized a second tanker transporting Venezuelan oil.

United States and Jordan v. ISIL

Jordan confirmed it helped the U.S. in the airstrikes in Syria against ISIL.

December 22, 2025

United States v. Venezuela

The US will be seizing, if it has not already, a third tanker.

December 23, 2025

Russo Ukrainian War

Lt. Gen. Fanil Sarvarov,  head of the Operational Training Directorate of the Russian Armed Forces General Staff, was killed by an explosive device placed under his car in Moscow.

December 24, 2025

Russo Ukrainian War

Ukrainian forces withdrew from Siversk in the eastern Donetsk region after heavy fighting with Russian forces.

December 26, 2025

United States v. ISIS in Nigeria

The US hit ISIS affiliated targets in Nigeria yesterday.

Islamist attacks on Catholic Nigerians has been going on for a long time and has received very little attention in the US, outside of Catholic circles associated with Nigerians, but suddenly under the Trump Administration, it is.  The attention is long overdue, but a person has to suspect that it comes out of NatCon circles and from Catholics inside the administration, rather than some personal concern from President Trump himself.  Indeed, in announcing the strikes the mentally declining illegitimate chief executive stated:

Tonight, at my direction as Commander in Chief, the United States launched a powerful and deadly strike against ISIS Terrorist Scum in Northwest Nigeria, who have been targeting and viciously killing, primarily, innocent Christians, at levels not seen for many years, and even Centuries!

The many years and evcen centuries statement demonstrates a massive deficit in historical knowledge.  Th is has been going on for many years, the vast majority of Christians on the plant are Catholic and there's been many examples of brutal killing of Catholics, very notably by Muslims, for centuries. 

The strikes were carried out by ship to shore missiles.

Which groups were hit is unclear, but the largest IS-linked group in Nigeria is the Islamic State West Africa Province while the smaller group known as Lakurawa has sought to establish a base in north-western Sokoto state which was where the strikes were targeted.

Islamist groups in Nigeria have acted against Muslims as well as Catholics, but while that is noted, their repression and brutality is principally directed at Catholics.

The intervention seems justified and generally welcomed but now that it has commenced, the US will have to continue as this is a very long running problems and a day of missile attacks is not going to stop things immediately.

December 27, 2025

United States v. ISIS in Nigeria

In something that's obvious, but interesting in the world of Trump claims/lies/fantasies, Nigeria indicated it was open to the new military relationship with the US being ongoing and indicated that defeating Islamic extremist in the country will take some time.

It'll take a long time.

It's a worthwhile endeavor, but I wonder how the MAGAs that believed that Trump was going to end US involvement in foreign wars will justify it.  Most MAGAs believe in isolationism, and the NAR folks include groups which, in their ignorance, don't realize that Catholics, the Christians in peril in Nigeria, and which are the original Christian denomination, are actually Christians.

On the strikes:

US targets ISIS with multiple strikes in Nigeria

U.S. cruise missiles miss targets in Nigeria

December 28, 2025

Russo Ukrainian War

Russia attacked Kyiv with ballistic missiles and drones yesterday, a day before scheduled talks between the Ukraine and the United States., killing at least one person and wounding 27.

It'll be interesting to see what effect this has on the talks given the participation of the unreliable and demented Donald Trump.

Thailand v. Cambodia

The fighting parties signed a new armistice in their border conflict.

The origin of the border fight dates back to the 1950s and is over undefined and unagreed to areas of their common border.

December 31, 2025

Saudi Arabia v. Yemeni separatists

Saudi Arabia bombe the Yemeni port city of Mukalla on Tuesday after a weapons shipment from the United Arab Emirates arrived for separatist forces.  A warning to the UAE followed.

United States v. Venezuela.

The Central Intelligence Area hit a Venezuelan dock with drones.

Last edition:

Wars and Rumors of War, 2025. Part 9. The Neville Chamberlain Edition.

Going Feral: Rep. Bill Allemand arrested for drinking and driving

Going Feral: Rep. Bill Allemand arrested for drinking and driving: Rep. Bill Allemand arrested for drinking and driving : Wyoming Freedom Caucus member allegedly admitted that ‘he drinks while driving for an...

Rep. Bill Allemand arrested for drinking and driving

Rep. Bill Allemand arrested for drinking and driving: Wyoming Freedom Caucus member allegedly admitted that ‘he drinks while driving for anxiety,’ Johnson County Sheriff’s Office report says.

I suppose its an example of Schadenfreude, but Allemand is a an enemy of sportsmen and public lands, as well as being a central figure in an effort to kill a proposed industrial project north of Natrona County's Bar Nunn.

He's notably a Wyomingite, albeit one who spent most of his working life in Kansas, whose positions on things match the Freedom Caucus's, anti public lands, anti nuclear for some reason and pro whatever goofball thing the Freedom Caucus is for.  In his first run for office he was downright nasty to his opponent, and frankly the residents of his House district are not to be admired for voting for him in that election.

During the last legislature he sponsored a bill to really jack up the penalties for trespassing while hunting.  On that, it's notable that he's from a large ranching family in northern Natrona County, although he's not a rancher himself.

The drinks "for anxiety" comment suggests that he probably should be pitied, however, and that he might have some sort of a problem.  

Anyhow, if he goes, and he might have been on the way out due to his role in torpedoing the project north of Bar Nunn anyhow, it may be a good thing for public lands users and sportsmen, depending upon who replaces him.

Natrona County Rep. Allemand charged with DUI in Johnson County

Tuesday, December 30, 2025

Subsidiarity Economics 2025. The Times more or less locally, Part 13. Disassociation.

December 12, 2025



From the Casper Star Tribune.

The Democratic bill to extend the credits failed.
Senate blocks Obamacare tax subsidy extension, all but ensuring spikes for Wyoming consumers: Sen. John Barrasso of Wyoming called tax subsidy extension a “disaster” and lobbied for a Republican health savings account proposal that also failed.

So did a moronic Republic bill for health savings accounts. That was no sort of plan.

The evidence is too well established to ignore.  A national health care system needs to be established and frankly it would not be that difficult.  It'll be interesting to see if this brings it about, as the populist contingent that opposes it, including here in the state, is about to lose its insurance.  This is, quite frankly, a disaster.

It's a disaster that the GOP hopes will kill off the AHCA and there really isn't any serious proposals to replace it. They want it dead, as it's "socialism", even though it isn't.  The Health Savings Account concept was just pablum and everyone is well aware that it'd achieve nothing at all.

Which brings me back to this point.  The difference between right wing populism and left wing populism is nearly non existent.  The ox that will end up being gored here is that of the street level right wing populist, who can be, and in some instances was, left wing populist.  

Speaking of average folks:


Also from the CST.

December 13, 2025


December 14, 2025



The Federal government terminated the collective bargaining status for the union that covers TSA officers, the American Federation of Government Employees, as to TAS officers.

The union, which covers the employees of other agencies as well, has over 300,000 members, probably none of whom will caste a vote for the GOP next year.

We also have Chuck Gray sounding like a broken record:


Gray's in a bit of a spot as he'd hoped to use the Secretary of State's office as a springboard to something else.  It's not looking like that will pay off, as Bill Barlow is clearly in the lead for the Governor's office and Gray can't think of anything to say that doesn't sound like it's from the junior edition of the MAGA playlist, which is rapidly becoming a set of moly oldies.  To make matters worse for him, he's now so acclimated to absurd name calling that he can't stop it, as in:

We should be deeply troubled by the efforts of Gov. Gordon and other insider politicians to jam through woke wind projects that violate so many of our core principles as Wyomingites. 
"Woke wind projects"?  

I know what he means, of course, which is that as the Federal Government backed wind under Biden, and as global warming is a fib, and as Joe Biden is responsible for all of the ills in society, it's the dreaded evil "woke".  Gray has used this sort of rhetoric so often, however, that if a cafe burns his toast I'm sure that he reflexively calls the short order cook a liberal, let wing woke Marxist.

Gray's career in Wyoming politics is probably shot.  Barlow will get the Governor's office, Hageman won't run for it as she knows that, so she'll keep her office, Lummis is the Wyoming sphinx, rarely saying anything, and she'll keep her office.  Gray will be lucky if he doesn't draw opposition and lose his.

On wind, all the fossil fuel true believers were dead set against it but now oil is hovering around $60.00 and it appears that the Federal Government might be pushing to depress the price.  A well placed GOP politician told me the other day that the administration wants it at $30.00/bbl next year, which would wipe out domestic production and throw Wyoming into an oilfield depression.

On a different note:  


December 16, 2025

US payrolls fell by 105,000 people in October, and then rebounded to add 64,000 in November.

Sort of a mixed message there, assuming that such figures coming out of the US government are trustworthy.

Cont:

Well, apparently those who are schooled in this kind of data view this as a pretty negative jobs report.  The economy is cooling, and the unemployment rate is up.

December 17, 2025

Feds, Wyoming greenlight new helium plant, among world’s largest: The Dry Piney helium production and CO2 sequestration project would rival ExxonMobil's neighboring Shute Creek plant near LaBarge.



December 21, 2025


December 22, 2025.

Jim Beam is ceasing production from its principal facility for all of 2026.

The price of oil in Wyoming today:  $43.73.  Below the price for further exploration. . . by a huge margin.

December 23, 2025

Rogue Brewing in Oregon has shut down and filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy.

December 24, 2025

Headline in the CST:

Gordon awards $100 million
in matching funds to
BWXT nuclear fuel facility
And the story:

Gordon awards $100M to northern Wyoming nuclear fuel manufacturer: The state-backed grant will support BWXT's proposed TRISO fuel manufacturing facility in Gillette.

December 25, 2025

The price of oil today is $58.0/bbl.  Wyoming's oil is at $43.90.

December 28, 2025

The news that so many simply refuse to believe:
As part of this:

Wyoming coal is projected to have its second worst production year since its peak in 2008. Economists say the decline will likely continue, putting the state’s economic future on shaky ground.
We've discussed this trend line before, but to put it bluntly, it's going to decline into oblivion.

December 30, 2025

Related threads:


Last edition:

Subsidiarity Economics 2025. The Times more or less locally, Part 12. Don't look . . . everything's just fine edition.