Showing posts with label Armor. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Armor. Show all posts

Saturday, March 16, 2024

Thursday, March 16, 1944. Lucky Legs II


One of the most iconic photographs of World War Two was taken on this day in 1944, that being a rare combat action photograph.  The subject was M4 Sherman supported infantrymen on Bougainville.

From Sarah Sundin's blog:

Today in World War II History—March 16, 1944: US Air Transport Command begins airlift of 5th Indian Division from Arakan in southern Burma to reinforce besieged Imphal and Kohima in India.

The Japanese Indian Ocean Raid ended inconclusively with lackluster results, and Japanese atrocities.

The Tautoq sank the Shirakumo east of Muroran, Hokkaido.

M2HB being fired at Japanese installations on Manus Island, Admiralty Group.

US and British aircraft sank the U-392 in the Strait of Gilbralter.

President Roosevelt addressed Finland:

March 16, 1944

It has always seemed odd to me and to the people of the United States to find Finland a partner of Nazi Germany, fighting side by side with the sworn enemies of our civilization.

The Finnish people now have a chance to withdraw from this hateful partnership. The longer they stay at Germany's side the more sorrow and suffering is bound to come to them. I think I can speak for all Americans when I say that we sincerely hope Finland will now take the opportunity to disassociate herself from Germany.

 


The National Advisory Committee for Aeronautics, the predecessor of NASA, proposed a jet-propelled transonic research airplane be developed, which would leads to the "X" series research airplane projects.

Bell X-1, which would first fly in 1946.

Last prior:

Friday, February 16, 2024

Wednesday, February 16, 1944. Explanations.

Wyoming's Senator Mahoney was reported as having said that victory in the Second World War was closer than most imagined, and the country should be prepared to rapidly convert to a peacetime economy.

The optimistic Mahoney was a Democrat who served four terms as a U.S. as  Wyoming's Senator, first from 1934 to 1953 and then again from 1954 to 1961.  Orginally from Massachusetts, he moved to Wyoming in 1916 as a writer for the Cheyenne State Leader, which was owned by John B. Kendrick. When Kendrick became Senator, he accompanied him there as a staff member, and graduated from Georgetown with a Bachelors of Law in 1920.  He was considered as a running mate in 1944.  He lost his seat when Dwight Eisenhower won the Presidential election in 1954, but regained a position of Senator upon the suicide of Lester Hunt.

The prior day's raid on Monte Cassino already drawing controversy, Lord Chancellor John Smith appeared before the House of Lords and defended the raid.  He claimed that most of the destroyed abbey's structures dated to the 19th Century, and most of the artwork had already been removed.

German ground attacks at Anzio resumed, supported by Luftwaffe close air support.  Sarah Sundin, in her blog, reports this as the first use of Panther's in the west by the Germans. She also reports that mud defeated them.

New Zealand forces continued their attacks at Monte Cassino.

Goebbels went on the radio in Germany and exaggerated damages from an Allied air raid on Berlin that occured this day, in hopes that would draw the Allies off re bombing the city.

German forces trapped in the Korsun pocket launched their final, and somewhat successful, breakout attempt just before midnight.

Stalin replied to Roosevelt's letter of February 7 and stated that the Polish government was anti-Soviet and incapable of friendly relations with the USSR, and also that "The basic improvement of the Polish government appears to be an urgent task."

A Finnish diplomat arrived in Stockholm to receive peace terms from the Soviets.

 Commander Rieter demonstrating calculator for firing, atop of turret #3 on board USS Quincy February 16, 1944.

Monday, November 27, 2023

Saturday, November 27, 1923. Cairo Declaration, Australian advances, Poignant art.

It was a Saturday, and all the Saturday magazines were out. As we're dealing with 1943, they're still protected by copyright.  They all featured Thanksgiving themes, but the most recalled is that of the Saturday Evening Post, which featured a Rockwell with a picture of an Italian girl praying near rubble, wearing the wool mackinaw of an American Army 1st Sergeant.

The US, China, and UK agreed to the release of the Cairo Declaration.  It stated:

The several military missions have agreed upon future military operations against Japan. The Three Great Allies expressed their resolve to bring unrelenting pressure against their brutal enemies by sea, land, and air. This pressure is already rising.

The Three Great Allies are fighting this war to restrain and punish the aggression of Japan. They covet no gain for themselves and have no thought of territorial expansion. It is their purpose that Japan shall be stripped of all the islands in the Pacific which she has seized or occupied since the beginning of the first World War in 1914, and that all the territories Japan has stolen from the Chinese, such as Manchuria, Formosa, and The Pescadores, shall be restored to the Republic of China. Japan will also be expelled from all other territories which she has taken by violence and greed. The aforesaid three great powers, mindful of the enslavement of the people of Korea, are determined that in due course Korea shall become free and independent.

With these objects in view the three Allies, in harmony with those of the United Nations at war with Japan, will continue to persevere in the serious and prolonged operations necessary to procure the unconditional surrender of Japan.

Included in the "rising pressure" that declaration referenced were actions on New Guinea, where on this day the Australians, who didn't get a seat at the table in the Cairo Conference, began an armored supported advance at Wareo.


The Australian Army was using the Matilda tank, which had been a disappointment elsewhere, to great effect in New Guinea.  Its use took the Japanese by surprise.

The campaign in New Guinea, one of the major ones of the war against Japan, which was heavily borne by the Australian Army, went on until the Japanese surrender.  It was like the Marine action at Bougainville, albeit on a much larger scale, that way.

The Army-Navy Game was played at West Point.  Navy beat Army 13 to 0.

Angelo Bertelli was awarded the Heisman Trophy for his performance as Notre Dame's quarterback.  He was in Marine Corps bootcamp at the time.

Photo of eleven collegic football players, including Bertelli, who had joined the Marine Corps.

Badly wounded as a Marine Corps officer on Iwo Jima, his football career in the NFL was short after the war, ending in 1948.  His Marine Corps career lasted longer, as he remained in the reserves until 1957.  He died of brain cancer at age 78 in 1999.

As playing for Notre Dame would indicate at the time, Bertelli was Catholic and the child of Italian immigrants.

Tuesday, October 31, 2023

Sunday, October 31, 1943. Advances.

Brian Piccolo, famous running back born on this day in 1943, and who died in 1967 of testicular cancer.
Today in World War II History—October 31, 1943: Over New Georgia in the Solomon Islands, US Navy F4U Corsair accomplishes first night air radar-guided victory, shooting down a Japanese G4M1 bomber.
Sarah Sundin, whose blog also reports that on this day the US rendered all airfields in southern Bougainville inoperable.

The IS-2 was accepted into Soviet service.  Nearly 4,000 of the Soviet heavy tank were built.

The Red Army severed the German rail link to Crimea.

The U.S. Army took Mondragone in Italy.

The Tuna Canyon Detention Center in California, which had held over 2,000 Japanese, German, and Italian immigrants, and Japanese Peruvians was closed as the inmates were transferred to different facilities.

The U-306, U-584 and U-732 were sunk in the Atlantic.

Sunday, September 24, 2023

Saturday, September 24, 1943. Being patient.

The Red Army took Boryspil.

The Germans finished repairs on the Möhne river dam, which had been damaged in a British bombing raid on May 16.

Wednesday, July 12, 2023

Monday, July 12, 2043. Axis victories at Prokhorovka and Kolombangara.

By Bundesarchiv, Bild 101I-219-0553A-36 / Koch / CC-BY-SA 3.0, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5410458.  German (probably SS) soldier examining destroyed T-34 at Prokorovka.

The II SS Panzer Korps and Red Army 5th Guards Tank Army fought a protracted engagement at Prokhorovka resulting in large numbers of German and Red Army tanks fighting each other over a four-day period.  The first day was critical, although the details are murky, something that's common for the Battle of Kursk.

German armor numbers vary from 240 some tanks to 900 some tanks, that latter number being very unlikely.  Over 600 tanks were deployed by the Red Army.  It was a Red Army counterattack, not a German assault.  AT the end of the day, German forces still held a critical topographic feature, Hill 252.2.  The Germans had advanced on neighboring terrain.  July 12, and the following few days, resulted in a German tactical defensive victory in the engagement, upsetting Stalin, who briefly considered making command changes as a result.  Having said that, the battle served to arrest German advances in the area, and it resulted in huge German armor losses, as well as Soviet ones. The Soviets could afford to lose more tanks.  Havintg said that, Germans, on this day, lost somewhere between 40 and 80 tanks, and the Soviets probably around 300 to 400 tanks.  German manpower losses of all types were around 800, whereas the Soviets were over 5,000.

The battle is one of the largest tank engagements in history.  It is also unfortunately shrouded in myth and suffers from having been fought between two dictatorial regimes, making it difficult to really know what actually occured in the battle.  This is particularly true with the Red Army, which did not tend to exhibit candor about its battlefield losses.

Of some interest, this particular battle featured three well equipped SS armor divisions whereas in Sicily the Germans presently had one armored division and one Panzergrandier division, both of which were good.  Of course, the primary Axis force at this time in Sicily was Italian, consisting of 200,000 Italian troops, although the Germans would soon commit additional forces.

Canadian troops on this day, in Sicily.

The Axis scored another tactical victory in the Battle of Kolombangara off of the island of that name when the Imperial Japanese Navy sank the USS Gwin, but lost the Japanese cruiser Jintsū, the only Japanese loss. 

 USS St. Louis (CL-49) and HMNZS Leander (75) firing during the Battle of Kolombangara

The Japanese were "running the slot" to resupply their ground forces, and at this stage of the war were superior at nocturnal naval engagements.

The United States Army Pharmacy Corps was established.

Friday, July 7, 2023

Wednesday July , 1943. Slow Progress at Kursk, Progress at Mubo, Captured arms for Finns, Bishop of Iceland, Social Pressure in Oregon.*

Il-2s at Kursk. By RIA Novosti archive, image #225 / Fyodor Levshin / CC-BY-SA 3.0, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=15577237

It was day two for the Battle of Kursk. The Germans suffered substantial tank losses due to IL-2 action.

Ground forces highly valued the work of aviation on the battlefield. In a number of instances enemy attacks were thwarted thanks to our air operations. Thus on 7 July enemy tank attacks were disrupted in the Kashara region (13th Army). Here our assault aircraft delivered three powerful attacks in groups of 20–30, which resulted in the destruction and disabling of 34 tanks. The enemy was forced to halt further attacks and to withdraw the remnants of his force north of Kashara.

 Glantz and Orenstein 1999, p. 260.

I'd be skeptical of the number claimed in that entry, but the problem faced is an obvious one. Indeed, the Germans were attacking a salient that was defended in depth, and their air force wasn't what it had once been.  The tactical problem is similar to that which is faced by Ukraine today.

The Wehrmacht's 9th Army, commanded by Walter Model, made only small gains on the Central Front.  Hoth's 4th Panzer Army nearly broke through Voronezh Front defenses around Syrtzevo but Soviet armored counterattacks prevented this from occurring.

The Australians bombed Mubo, New Guinea and captured Observation Hill thereafter.

The Finns passed out captured Russian arms to civilians for home defense.


Jóhannes Gunnarsson, SMM was consecrated as the Catholic Bishop of Hólar, Iceland in Washington, D.C.  He had been appointed to be head of the Catholic Church in Iceland the prior February.  He occupied the position until 1967, when he resigned as he was facing ill health.

Born in Reykjavik, he had been a Catholic Priest since 1924 and was the first Icelandic Catholic Bishop since Jón Arason, who was beheaded with his two sons by King Christian III in 1550. 

Christianity had come to Iceland in the form of the Latin Rite with Irish monks, who inhabited the island prior to Scandinavian conquest, and then with Irish slaves held there, although it seems some early missionary activity may have occured well before the Althing adopted it for the island in 1000. It remained a Catholic country until King Christian III of Denmark and Norway forced it on those countries following a civil war in Denmark.  A civil war over the issue occured in Iceland, where Catholic opposition to Lutheranism was put down by royalist forces.  Catholicism was outlawed after that and the formerly Catholic island became a Lutheran one, with those refusing to convert forced into exile.  Oddly, Latin remained the language of the Church of Iceland, however, until 1686.

The Catholic Church reappeared officially in 1855.  The Church has grown quite a bit in recent years, but remains small.  The Lutheran Church on the island had been in the very conservative branch until after World War Two, when it went over to the liberal branch thereafter.

Women in Oregon applied social pressure to war work:

"No work, no woo" pledge, 1943

Rudolph Foster, age 70, Chief Clerk of the White House Executive Offices since 1897, passed away.

*This was mistakenly run as the July 6 series of events for 1943.  Nope, this all happened on July 7.

Saturday, June 17, 2023

Something to consider.

 


An awful lot of photographs we see of German Panzerkampfwagen VI Tiger Ausf. E tanks, i.e, "Tiger Tanks", are just like this.

Badly disabled.

The tank, while overly mechanically complicated, was a very fearsome weapon and universally acknowledged to grossly outmatch the American Sherman and to at least be a peer to peer match for the Soviet T-34. And yet, a lot of them were destroyed.

The point?

Well, several, but here's one.  Even good tanks get destroyed in battle.

Saturday, June 10, 2023

Two Observations

 1.  The same political party that found that breaking into an opponents' headquarters for political advantage was beyond the pale, and impeachable, now holds, to a large degree, that prosecuting a former President is an act of political terrorism.

Richard Nixon must be spinning in his grave.

History will find the GOP, and in particular those candidates who cannot bring themselves to condemn Trump for his actions, cowardly and trace this moment as the one at which the demise of the GOP became fixed.

2.  Ukraine is going to lose a lot of armor in its offensive.

Everyone loses a lot of armor in armored offensives.  That, in and of itself, doesn't mean they're fighting poorly or that the armor is bad.

Wednesday, May 31, 2023

Monday, May 31, 1943. You can crack that tank.

The Army put out its weekly summation of the war news, with helpful tips on taking on tanks.



The tank illustration really is interesting, as I've sometimes wondered about the topics noted, particularly causing the tank to button up.  German armor, like American armor, did not normally fight buttoned up as the visibility is so poor.

Expecting an infantryman to have a Molotov Cocktail, however, seems like a bit much.

Sarah Sundin reports:
Today in World War II History—May 31, 1943: British ships begin naval bombardment of island of Pantelleria between Tunisia and Sicily, adding to the aerial bombardment started May 18.
 Archie Andrews, of comic book fame, appeared on the radio for the first time.

Saturday, April 22, 2023

Thursday, April 22, 1943. The end of the Axis in Tunisia.

The Battle of Longstop Hill commenced in Tunisia.

Bringing down the wounded at Longstop Hill.  Note Churchill tank in the background.

Churchill tanks played a critical role in the battle, which ended on April 23 and oddly contributed to the Allied war effort in an odd way.  A Churchill disabled a Tiger I, Tiger 131, which was then captured and heavily studied.

Tiger 131.

Of note, in this late stage of the war in North Africa armor upgrades were becoming a significant factor.  Earlier much of the fighting had been done with late pre-war tanks, but now it was being done by tanks developed during the war itself, including the new heavy tanks.


The Luftwaffe sustained a disaster as a flight of massive Messerschmidt Me 323s were hit by Allied aircraft just as their fighter escort had move out of the way to allow a German flight of Ju52s to pass by.  Fourteen of sixteen of the aircraft were shot down by the RAF and the South African Air Force.

The Battles of Bobdubi and Mubo commenced between Australia and Japan on New Guinea and Allied forces commenced an offensive in this theatre of the war.

Australian troops during the offensive.  Note the US pattern leggings and M1928 Thompson submachine gun.

Tuesday, April 4, 2023

Wars and Rumors of War, 2023, Part 3. Spring Storms.

 February 25, 2023

America and our friends need to finish waking up from our holiday from history, welcome Finland and Sweden into NATO by this summer, and make significant investments in military modernization and our defense-industrial capacities that are commensurate with the major challenges we face.

Mitch McConnell.

February 26, 2023

The much respected Institute for the Study of War reports:

UK, French, and German officials are reportedly preparing a NATO-Ukraine pact that falls far short of the protections Ukraine would receive from NATO membership and appears to reflect a desire to press Ukraine to accept a negotiated settlement on unfavorable terms.[1] The Wall Street Journal reported that the exact provisions of the pact are undecided, but the officials indicated that the pact will provide advanced military equipment, arms, and ammunition to Ukraine, but not Article V protection or a commitment to station NATO forces in Ukraine—falling short of Ukraine’s aspirations for full NATO membership. The officials stated that the pact aims to provision Ukraine so that Ukrainian forces can conduct a counteroffensive that brings Russia to the negotiating table and deter any future Russian aggression. The Wall Street Journal noted that these officials expressed reservations about the West’s ability to sustain a prolonged war effort, the high casualty count that Ukraine would sustain in such a prolonged war, and Ukrainian forces’ ability to completely recapture long-occupied territories like Crimea, however. The Wall Street Journal contrasted these officials’ private reservations with US President Joe Biden’s public statements of support—which did not mention peace negotiations—and with Central and Eastern European leaders’ concerns that premature peace negotiations would encourage further Russian aggression. Russian President Vladimir Putin has given no indication that he is willing to compromise on his stated maximalist goals, which include Ukraine’s “neutrality” and demilitarization—as well as de facto regime change in Kyiv, as ISW has consistently reported.[2]

February 28, 2023

China v. Taiwan

The Central Intelligence Agency reports that China has ordered its military to be prepared to invade Taiwan by 2027, but may be reconsidering that in light of lessons learned in the Russo Ukrainian War.

China, the CIA reports, is considering providing weapons and munitions to Russia, but has not made up its mind on that.

March 2, 2023

Iranian Insurrection

CTP assesses with moderate confidence that the Iranian regime is tolerating a country-wide, coordinated campaign to poison Iranian school girls. Social media users documented incidents of chemical poisoning at 26 girls’ schools throughout the country on March 1 alone.[1] Hundreds of Iranian schoolgirls have reported respiratory and neurological poisoning symptoms since November 2022, many of whom have required hospitalization.[2] The first reported incident occurred on November 30, 2022, in Qom City, Qom Province when 18 Shahed Razaviyeh Secondary School students reported experiencing nausea, coughing, difficulty breathing, heart palpitations, and lethargy.[3] Initial poisoning cases primarily affected female high school students in Qom. In recent weeks, however, poisoning cases have spread across Iran and have also targeted elementary, middle school, and university students, as well as less frequent incidents at boys’ educational facilities.[4] CTP recorded a significant increase in poisoning cases on March 1, with students from at least 26 schools falling ill. Most poisonings on March 1 occurred in Tehran and Ardabil Provinces.[5] It remains unclear why these cities appear to have been disproportionately targeted.

Simply monstrous.

March 3, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

Russia is accusing Ukraine of a cross border incursion in  Bryansk Oblast.  Ukraine denies the charge.

This may be a false flag operation.  The irony of it is that a country really can't complain of a cross border incursion after having committed a cross border invasion.

There is pretty good evidence that Ukraine has carried out some special operations in Russia.

March 5, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

Russian forces are gaining, slowly, around Bakhmut, but will not encircle it. The real question at the moment is when the Ukrainians will withdraw.

Having said that, there's a real chance that any victory gained by the Russians there will be Pyrrhic.  In a war of attrition, which Russia seems to have opted for, both sides attrit, but rarely evenly.  With 97% of its forces committed, there's a real question of whether the analogy is the winter of 1943 . . . or the winter of 1917.

March 7, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

President Zelenskyy vowed that Ukrainian forces will not retreat from Bakhmut which, unless he has intelligence indicating that the Russians are spent, would seek to be a risky and unwise proclamation.  

Russia is devoting inordinate forces to taking the city and has had a terrible time doing so.  It's main strategic value may simply be in sapping up Russian strength.  Presently its wasting the Wagner Group there, which in my view may be intentional, simply getting rid of a difficult presence in a way that benefits it, but it's also deployed airborne troops there.  Ukraine is using elite elements in the fight, which may prove to be a mistake as well.

Taking the city is necessary for a further Russian advance, but it may have spent so much taking it, that it can't advance.

Russian camera phone footage showing the execution of Ukrainian POW Tymofiy Shadura has outraged Ukrainians. The man, appearing to be injured and smoking a cigarette, says Slava Ukraini! just before Russian soldiers murder him with automatic rifle fire.  Apparently the video was thought likely to scare Ukrainians, but instead it's uniting them.

One of the many images made of the 40 year old Sadura as he faced down his captors. Based on images released from his family, twenty years ago, as a young man, he served as a Ukrainian paratrooper.  The name is actually a Polish last name.

This shows the extent to which the current Russian Army is truly the heir to the Red Army.  The Red Army had practiced murder from day one and during World War Two became a huge armed mob, with rape and murder of civilians part of its lasting legacy.  The modern Russian Army continues to behave in this fashion, showing, to its shame, that the Russians have not learned the lessons of history.  The Russians (and Poles) detest the Russians due to their barbarism and the horrors afflicted upon them by the Russians.  In the Second World War, which the Russians look back at as their defining moment, the Red Army's actions helped deter Axis troops from surrendering, although their own barbarism had a role in that, and helped contribute to the months from January through May, as the Red Army reached Eastern Europe and Germany, being the bloodiest of the war.

In a bad move sort of way, Ukraine has begun to use white crosses on their armored vehicles to identify them. This symbol has a long history of being associated with Ukraine, apparently, but in some instances it's applied as the Balkenkreuz, which Nazi Germany used during World War Two.  Not a good look.

In a sign of how extensive Russian attrition is, the Russians 1st Guards Tank Army may be reequipped T-62s to replace losses.  The Russians have taken 800 T-62s.  In fairness, they've worked on upgrading them. They're also deploying 1950s vintage BTR-50s.

Now, about those M-60s. . . 

North Korea vs South Korea and the United States.

North Korean Commie Princess, Kim Yo Jong, speaking for the Stalinist Theme Park in reaction to a B-52 demonstration earlier this week, proclaimed and stated:

We keep our eye on the restless military moves by the U.S. forces and the South Korean puppet military and are always on standby to take appropriate, quick and overwhelming action at any time according to our judgment

North Korea only exists as China, and to a lesser extent Russia, prop the Communist monarchy up.  One more reason to tell the Chinese and Russians to pound sand on about everything.

March 7, 2023, cont.

Russo Ukrainian War

A Russian television propagandist reports that the British are now so short of food, due to the war, that they are now serving squirrels in restaurants.

Given that the UK doesn't depend on Russia for food at all, or Ukraine for that matter, this is wildly absurd.  Food shortages due to the war have been mostly felt in Africa.  A person would be tempted to pose the question of how dense a person has to be to believe something like this, but then we'd be forced to recall that some people listen to the likes of Marjorie Taylor Greene.

March 7, 2023, cont.

Russo Ukrainian War

The Georgian parliament passed a law regarding "foreign agents" which has been regarded as pro Russian by the populace, resulting in protests outside of the parliament which resulted in Molotov Cocktails being thrown.

March 8, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

While the headlines on it are inaccurate, the New York Times is reporting that the Nordstream pipeline was blown up by an anti Putin group that may have included Russians, may have included Ukrainians, or may have included both.

Effectively, this was an anti Putin strike, not a Ukrainian one.

If the NYT is correct.  No governmental intelligence agency has joined stated it agreed with the NYT so far.

If correct, it would have been a strike against a major Russian financial asset.

March 9, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

Russian forces have captured all of eastern Bakhmut across the Bakhmutka, with Ukrainian forces having completed a controlled withdrawal from eastern Bakhmut.  Following this, Russia launched a massive drone and missile assault.

Georgia's parliament withdrew its foreign agent bill after large-scale public protests.

It might be worth remembering that the current Ukrainian government basically came into power following large-scale public unrest, taking out a government that leaned towards Russia.

March 10, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

Russian forces have advanced north of Bakhmut.

March 11, 2023

Russia v Moldova

U.S. intelligence reports that Russian operatives are working towards staging protests in Moldova as a pretext towards an overthrow of the government there.

Why now may be the question.  Moldova's breakaway Russian supporting Transnistria borders Ukraine and contains one of the largest ammo dumps in the world. It's hard not to notice this.

March 13, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

Sergey Grishin, a Russian oligarch who recently criticized Putin, died at age 56 of “circulatory problems in his brain" making him another Putin opponent to die mysteriously since the beginning of the Russo Ukrainian War

Andrey Botikov, creator of the Russian Sputnik V vaccine, also mysterious died a few days thereafter.

March 14, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

What I've been urging for some time is now going to happen.  M60 tanks are going to Ukraine.

Not regular ones, however, but rather engineer M60 Armored Vehicle Launched Bridges (AVLBs), which have no gun.

It's also receiving M88 tank retrievers, a very heavily armored, but ungunned, retriever platform that shares a chassis with the M60.

March 15, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War/Belorussian Revolution

It has been confirmed that anti-government Belorussian partisans made a drone attack several weeks ago on a Russian A50 surveillance aircraft at a Belorussian air base.

March 16, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

A Russian Su-27 caused an American drone to crash in the Black Sea yesterday. The two aircraft may have collided.

Russia, which tends to be as dense as a box of rocks about the capabilities of Western equipment, lied and said the drone just suddenly veered off and fell in the sea, apparently wholly unaware that the drone photographed the SU-27 and we'd have the film footage.

D'uh.

Russia is trying to recover the drone presently.

An interesting aspect of this is the release of jet fuel by the Su-27 near the drone.  It may be just me, but I'd fear that the drone's engine would ignite the fuel and send the Su-27 up in a big ball of flame, but apparently not.

Russia v. Moldova

A Russian document detailing plans to co-opt Moldova has been released.

March 16, cont.

Russo Ukrainian War

The headquarters of the Russian FSB, the state security service, in Rostov is on fire.  Prior to commencing to burn, it exploded.

Rostov was originally within Ukraine until the Soviet Union took it following Ukraine's incorporation into the USSR.

Polish security forces have arrested agents working for Russia in Eastern Poland.

March 18, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

The International Criminal Court has issued an arrest warrant for Vladimir Putin connected with the kidnapping and forcible relocation of Ukrainian Children.

In future years, this will be one of those "why didn't other countries" do anything stories.

China's leader will be meeting with Putin this week.

Slovakia and Poland are sending Mig-29s to Ukraine.

March 21, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

Ukrainian drones destroyed a load of Russian cruise missiles at a Crimean port yesterday.

Russia is going to hold an informal UN session on the children its kidnapped to present its story related to the same. This is interesting in that it must be feeling the heat due to this horrible crime.

By all appearnces, the much feared Russian spring offensive has more or less petered out.

March 21, cont:

Ukraine took delivery of its first batch of South Korean K2 Black Panther tanks today, as well as South Korean K9 self propelled howitzers.

South Korea has been active in exporting the K2, which has only been in existance for ten years, making it a very new main battle tank.

The US announced that it was supplying Ukraine with M1A1 Abrams tanks rather than M1A2s as the former can be delivered by fall.

March 22, 2022

Russo Ukrainian War

China's leader Xi Jinping visited Putin yesterday and put out a stillborn peace plan that pretty much only Moscow is interested in.

Japan's PM visited Kyiv.

Dima Nova (Dmitry Svirgunov) of the Russian electronic music group Cream Soda, author of Aqua Disco, which was used as a protest song against Putin and the invasion of Ukraine and which criticizes Putin's expensive mansion, is reported dead due to drowning,  having fallen through ice on the Volga.  

This does not, in any way, appear to be related to Putin.

T-55.

Russia is now taking T-54/55s out of storage.

For those who aren't familiar with armor, the T-54 was the first signficant Soviet tank to enter service after World War Two, which it did in 1948.  They are the most mass produced tank in history, having remained in production in the USSR until 1981 and in Poland until 1983.

Ukraine has used some T-55s during the current war itself in an uparmored, upgunned variant. 

Russian resort to T-54s is shocking in that it could be logically presumed that they're long obsolete in the most armored military on earth. Their use would imply that losses of armor have been massive or that they intend to resort to sheer numbers.  The tank is not competent to use against at least Korean Black Panthers or American M1 Abrams.  

At the time of its introduction, the M26 Pershing was more or less the equivalent American tank, soon, in the early 50s, to be replaced by the M47 and M48.

March 24, 2023

United States in Syria and v. Iran

Groups affiliated with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps struck a US compound in Syria, killing five servicemen and a contractor. The strike was conducted with a drone.

In retaliation, the US conducted airstrikes on the opponents facilities.

March 31, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

The Turkish government has approved Finland's request to join NATO, so Finland will be part of NATO.

April 2, 2023

Russo Urainian War

Poland is working on opening a production facility for Korean Black Panther tanks. The Korean tank is rapidly supplanting the Leopard as the go to modern Main Battle Tank in the export market.

Ukraine has placed under hourse arrest Ukrainian Orthodox Metropolitan Pavel under suspicision of cooperation with the Russians.

Isreal in Syria and v. Iran

Isreal struck targets east of Damascus in air raids which were locations for Iranian backed militias.

April 3, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

Pro war Russian blogger Vaden Tartarsky, a Russian demographic that has had a real role in the current conflict, was killed in a cafe explosion when he was speaking in St. Petersburg.  A video showed a gift of a bust, effectively a trojan horse, being given to him shortly before it detonated.

ISW is attributing the attack to Russian infighting.

April 4, 2023

US v. ISIS

Khalid ‘Aydd Ahmad al-Jabouri was killed in a U.S. airstrike yesterday.  He had planned terrorist attacks in Europe.

Last Prior Edition:

Wars and Rumors of War, 2023, Part 2. The Gathering Storm.

Wednesday, March 15, 2023

Monday, March 15, 1943 A Wyoming Federal Reservation, Germans retake Kharkiv

Today In Wyoming's History: March 151943  Franklin Roosevelt used executive authority to proclaim 221,000 acres as the Jackson Hole National Monument, the predecessor to today's Grand Teton National Park.  Governor Hunt threatened to use the Highway Patrol to prevent Federal authority on its grounds.  Congress, for its part, refused to appropriate money for the monument. 

Demonstrating how Wyoming really hasn't changed much, the move was hugely unpopular in Wyoming, or at least was politically unpopular.  

The history of the reservation dated back to 1924 when John D. Rockefeller, Jr. purchased a collection of ranches and amassed 37, 117 acres in the valley. The area was always spectacularly beautiful, but ranching conditions were generally poor.  Rockefeller's intended purpose from the onset was to donate the land to the Federal Government, something which of course appealed to him but much less to locals who were scraping by in industries derived from the region's natural resources.  In 1929 Rockefeller's initial donation of land went forward on a reduced basis, with only the Grand Teton National Park coming into existence.  The donation was smaller as Wyoming's Congressional representation opposed the larger donation, leaving Rockefeller with 32,000 acres and an annual tax bill of $13,000.

In 1942 Rockefeller informed Secretary of the Interior Harold Ickes that if the project did not go forwad, he would sell the land.  This resulted in President Roosevelt's Federal reservation.

On March 19, Wyoming's Congressman Frank A. Barret introduced a bill to return the land to National Forest status.  In Congress, he based his argument on preserving the grazing permits in the former Federal domain that was part of the reservation.  Teton County Commissioner Clifford Hansen, who would later become Governor, and whose Mead family contributed a later Governor and other significant state politicians, also spoke against, although he was directly impacted, holding grazing permits in the area.

The bill passed both houses of Congress, but Roosevelt issued a pocket veto that contained a memorandum stating:
The effect of this bill would be to deprive the people of the United States of the benefits of an area of national significance from the standpoint of naturalistic, historic, scientific, and recreational values,
Campaigning by conservationist deterred any further legal effort to abolish the reservation, and its being opened to grazing in 1945 due to wartime conditions somewhat allayed local fears.  In 1950 the controversy was resolved through S. 3409 which merged the monument and neighboring national park, but also provided: no further extension or establishment of national parks or monuments in Wyoming may be undertaken except by express authorization of the Congress."  This did not prevent later wilderness designations, which have continued to be opposed in ways that can be argued to be short-sighted.


The Third Battle of Kharkiv resulted in a German victory.

By Bundesarchiv, Bild 183-J22454 / Zschäckel, Friedrich / CC-BY-SA 3.0, CC BY-SA 3.0 de, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5434453

The heavily photographed German victory saw German troops reenter and take the city, including a spearhead featuring the SS.

By JonCatalán(Talk) - Own work (Original text: I created this work entirely by myself.), Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=6646109

The Red Army lost 45,219 men as killed, or missing, in action and another 41,250 were wounded.  The Germans lost 4,500 killed or missing from the SS Panzer Corps, and 7,000 wounded.  The Soviets could afford to lose more, of course, but the battle demonstrated that even at this mid-point in the war, the Germans could afflict outsized casualties upon the Soviets and still make significant advances.

Bundesarchiv, Bild 101III-Zschaeckel-189-13 / Zschäckel, Friedrich / CC-BY-SA

The German victory set the stage for the Battle of Kursk, which exhaustion precluded them from advancing on at this time.

The 517th Parachute Infantry Regiment, which was sometimes attached to the 82nd Airborne and the 11th Airborne, but which was often an independent combat team, was formed.  The unit fought in Italy, southern France, and Belgium during the war, and was slated to be deployed against Japan when the war ended.

Today In Wyoming's History: March 151943  The French Line ship Wyoming sunk by the U-524.

The submarine USS Triton was sunk by the Japanese off of Kairiru,

Friday, February 24, 2023

Wars and Rumors of War, 2023, Part 2. The Gathering Storm.

We're only on to Feb 1 and already on to the second edition of this thread for 2023.


The reason is simple enough, the last version is already so long that certain features, such as the spell check, aren't working for new entries.  It's easier and more convenient to put up a second edition.

The big news remains, of course, the war in Ukraine.  Now a year old, the drama saw an anticipated Russian walk over turn into a monumentally expensive military disaster, with the Russians suffering battlefield defeats and being pushed out of much of what they'd taken in the first weeks of the war.  

Right now, the battlefield is nearly static, recalling the long stretches of World War One where neither side had the ability to defeat the other.  What seems to be really going on, however, is that the Russians have taken a page out of the Soviet Union's playbook and have been buying time with bodies, sending in convicts and conscripts to soak up Ukrainian munitions while they build towards a resumed offensive which is expected to start soon.

The Ukrainians know this, and are trying to prepare for it.  Part of that preparation is the acquisition of modern Western heavy weapons, which have not yet been provided to them. Western military analysts have been critical of the West for this, but frankly, early in the war nobody saw the Ukrainians being in the position they now are in.  

So a race is on, in which the West scrambles to provide modern main battle tanks, and Ukraine asks for any new system, including F-16s, which it thinks it can get and needs, against a Russian build up based on lessons learned and a larger army.

What should be clear is this.  Putin cannot negotiate, at least not unless he fears a disaster that will remove him from office completely.  Ukraine cannot give in.  It's easy to figure out what a Russian victory would be, but harder to figure out how Ukraine can force a battlefield conclusion.

Having said that, Ukraine might be able to push Russia out of Ukraine entirely, and if I were their strategist, which I'm not, advance across the frontier to the western bank of the Don, which would give the country some security and perhaps something to cause a coup in Russia.  But if they are going to do so, they'll have to achieve that in the next several months as it fights a country whose population has 100,000,000 more souls than it does.

Slava Ukraini.

February 1, 2023, continued:

An announcement from the Canadian government:

Today, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau spoke with the President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

The Prime Minister expressed Canada’s ongoing solidarity with the Ukrainian people as they continue to fight Russia’s brutal invasion while facing Russian strikes on civilian targets. The two leaders discussed Ukraine’s military, humanitarian, and financial needs, as well as the recent announcements of significant new support to Ukraine. They also spoke about how Canada and like-minded partners could continue working together to meet Ukraine’s needs due to Russia’s ongoing illegal and unprovoked invasion.

The Prime Minister and the President talked about the upcoming somber anniversary of Russia’s invasion on February 24, and the Prime Minister reaffirmed Canada’s support for Ukraine for as long as it takes. Prime Minister Trudeau welcomed President Zelenskyy’s diplomatic efforts toward a just peace, and the two leaders discussed ongoing engagement with the Global South.

The leaders agreed to remain in close and regular contact.

Canada recently announced it would send four Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine, out of an inventory of 112, of which 82 are the combat model and the rest an engineering model.

A couple of things.

The Canadian Army doesn't have a lot of tanks, but its only really likely to need its tanks if Ukraine goes down in defeat and Russia turns its gaze on other territory it once ruled.  Regarding Leopard 2 tanks in general, the British paper the Guardian notes:

There are over 2,300 Leopard 2 tanks available or in storage in 13 Nato countries, according to the IISS, whereas there are only 227 Challenger 2 tanks in the British entire army.

2,300.

The Ukrainians are basically asking for about 300, or at least 100.

There's plenty of them around, although some countries, the Guardian notes, have let theirs deteriorate to such a state they're pretty much unusable. Spain is in that category.

The US has 2,300 M60s in storage. They're not being used at all.  A lot of them are probably not serviceable, but a lot of them could be made serviceable.

Also, Justin Trudeau came into office with a pledge to withdraw Canadian forces from their commitments in the Middle East. This isn't the Middle East, and of course the United States made a dog's breakfast out of its withdrawal from Afghanistan about two years ago.  But it's interesting how events tend to dictate what countries do, as opposed to countries opting how events will proceed.

Canada, FWIW, has a pretty large Ukrainian Canadian population, that being people of Ukrainian heritage.  It's estimated to number 1,359,655 people.

February 2, 2023

Israel-Hamas

Israeli aircraft hit Hamas targets in Gaza following a rocket attack.

Russo-Ukrainian War

Careful watchers of the Op Ed page might note that there's been a growing theme in the last couple of weeks of defeatist "Ukraine can never win" type of opinions being published by pundits. Boiled down, the general gist of them is 1) yes the Ukrainians have managed to hold off the Russians so far, but the Russians have an infinite capacity to absorb losses and 2) they're going to ultimately win through sheer attrition and 3) therefore, NATO support is just prolonging the suffering.

Probably all of these commentators have been against NATO support for Ukraine since the onset, for different reasons. Some are likely America Firsters, others highly fiscally conservative, and some probably Russian sympathizers. The message, however, is all the same, and this will keep up for a while in anticipation of the oncoming Russian offensive.

Historically, it might be worth remembering that the "lesson of history" that "Russia always prevails" is not supported much by actual examples.   If we go back a bit, the opposite seems to be the case.

Russia lost the Crimean War, which lead to an unsuccessful effort to modernize the Russian state.  It also lost the Russo-Japanese War.  It also lost against the Germans in World War One, leading to a complete collapse of the Russian government and revolution, replacing the existing regime with a democratic one which was in turn replaced by a Communist one.

It was on the winning side, of course, in World War Two, but its victory in that war has been so heavily mythologized that it became misunderstood.  In reality, the USSR started off as a German ally, taking part of Poland and the Baltic States, but being fought to a standstill by the much smaller nation of Finland.  Its status changed in 1941 when it was attacked by Nazi Germany, but it was not able to arrest German progress without massive American and British aid.  Had the Western Allies chosen to ignore the Soviet Union, which they really could not have, it's not really known what would have occurred.  Lenin bargained away Poland, Belorussia and Ukraine to the Germans in 1917 in order to retain control of Russia itself, and it may well have done the same in World War Two but for Allied assistance.  Germany's land lust was vast, but it never intended to take all of Russia and in fact it never occupied very much of it, most of its success being in the lands just mentioned.  Moreover, the Soviets were able to rely upon the Belorussians and Ukrainians, for the most part, to fight against the Germans.  People the USSR regarded as non-Russian nationalities made up to 45% of the Red Army, with Ukrainians making up over 60% of the Red Army on the Ukrainian Fronts.  Jewish soldiers in the Red Army, regarded as a separate nationality, were more likely to be decorated for combat than Russians.

Looked at that way, the current war is the first time the Russians have fought a war in which their army has been more or less ethnically homogeneous since the Russian Civil War.  Moreover, the actual history of Russian wars is that the Russians can endure a long war and then collapse into revolution.  The Crimean War saw Cossack revolts. The Russo Japanese War led to the 1905 revolution.  World War one lead to the complete collapse of the Russian state.

Ukraine can win, but it has to be given the means to do so, and very soon.  If Ukraine could be adequately armed this month, and that is what it may take, the oncoming Russian spring offensive could end up a disaster.  When Russian armies experience collapse, which they never did during World War Two, it usually leads to a downfall in the Kremlin.  

February 3, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War.

Ukraine is reporting that Putin has ordered the Russian forces to  capture Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts by March 2023.

The particularly concerning thing about this is that it's very doubtful that new armor will be deployed in Ukraine by the time of the Russian offensive.

Russians have been seeking passports in mass numbers. Russia has suspended issuing them, and now Russians are seeking foreign passports.

China

China has been overflying the United States with a spy balloon.   The US pondered shooting it down, but concluded its intelligence gathering abilities are limited, and it would be more dangerous as a falling object.  

Yesterday it was over Montana.

February 4, 2023

China

A second Chinese spy balloon has been spotted, this one headed for an overflight of South America.

Secretary of State Blinken cancelled an intended visit to China over this.

Frankly, there's no good reason for the US not to have shot this down over southern Canada, if Canada would have allowed for it to happen, or for the Canadians to do it.  Likewise, while it was over Wyoming or Montana, it should have been shot down.  The junk it's carrying would have hit nothing.

Russia

The US is seeking to expel the Wagner Group from Sudan and Libya.

Feb 4, cont.

China v. US.

Perhaps for the first time since World War One, a US aircraft has shot down a balloon.

February 6, 2023

China v. US.

The Administration has announced that it was discovered that the Chinese flew spy balloons over the US during the Trump administration, but apparently they were not detected at the time.  The revelation was dismissed by Trump as "fake disinformation". The Biden Administration offered to brief the Trumpites.

At any rate, the news that the Chinese have been able to pull this off over the past several years undetected is not good news.

Additionally, with the past week or so a U.S. Air Force general has stated that he's fairly certain there will be a war between the United States and China over the defense of Taiwan.  Interestingly this has been a sort of Republican rallying point even though some sections of the GOP are willing to abandon Ukraine.  While perhaps not obvious to everyone, a Ukrainian victory would perhaps serve to delay that, and delay might serve to prevent it.

As for the balloon itself, there is speculation that this was an intentional provaction designed to demonstrate that the US couldn't react, and would do so ineffectively.  If so, it probably partially succeeded in demonstrating that, given as the US was so slow to shoot it down.

February 9, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War.

Ukraine's president, asking for more arms for the country yesterday, also asked for admission to the European Union.

February 11, 2023

China v. US and Canada

Two more balloons have now been shot down, one over norther Alaska and one over British Columbia.  The US shot them both down, the latter via a Canadian request.

The balloons have not been affirmatively identfied as Chinese, but seeing as China is a 19th Century imperial power and balloons a 19th Century surveillance aircraft, it seems likely.

China has become a full blown menace. Where this is headed seems fairly obvious.

February 12, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War.

There are suddenly a lot of voices coming out of Russia suggesting that it won't be able to launch its anticipated spring offensive due, in part, to manpower losses.

Russia has been taking combat losses like crazy the past couple of weeks, and while its made slight gains, they've been very slight and are comiing at a huge cost.

Ukraine has destroyed a Russian  BMPT Terminator in combat. The much vaunted autonomous combat vehicle was overblown to start with and unlikely to amount much, as has been the case with all prior attempts to deploy weapons of this type.

Lithuanian supplied Bofors L70 anti-aircraft guns have arrived in Ukraine.  Ukraine itself is presssing for Western fighter aircraft.

February 12, cont:

And now another object shot down, this one over Lake Huron.

February 13, 2023

China v. US and Canada

The Aerodrome: Why Canada didn't shoot down the "unidentified" ob...:  An excellent thread on NORAD and the strategic considerations that went into it and the modern RCAF: Why didn't Canada shoot down the o...

One of the things he points out in this post is that the F-22, which Canada does not have, is one of the few aircraft capable of performing in the fighter role at such a high altitude.


The Meet the Press interviews on this were interesting.  A Congressman who is up to speed stated that he doesn't think the second and third objects are likely Chinese.  They may very well not be, and its always possible they weren't threats at all.

It's been pointed out ot me by a highly knowledgable person that the reason we may be picking up so many of these now is that NORAD has adjusted its radar screening to pick these up. The Congressman made the same point.  We have traditionally been looking for Soviet or Chinese ICBMs and Soviet aircraft, not slow moving balloons.

Finally, a commentator made the point that we may call these balloons, but they're really drones.

On a goofball level, lots of people are launching speculation on whether they indicate an alien invasion, meaning alien from outspace as opposed to alien from another country.

I also saw somebody quote Noam Chomsky, to the effect that government and elites need to keep people distracted in order to carry out their agenda.  Frankly, I don't know why anyone quotes Chomsky on anything whatsoever, other than linquistics.  Feeling that the government and elites in this country are so coordinated that they have a plan to keep us distracted while they do whatever deeply evil nepharious, and right wing, plot against the working me of the 1930s is crediting everyone with a lot more organization and foresight than they deserve.  Anyhow, that person thought the whole thing was a false flag operation.

Get a grip.

Frank Luke, who won a Congressional Medal of Honor, posthumously, for balloon busing in World War One with his SPAD S.XIII.

Russo Ukrainian War.

The Institute for the Study of War credits Russia with a real information false flag, in the form of media propoganda designed to suggest back in December that they were ready for peace talks, when they were not.  This, the Institute maintains, delayed the supplying of armor to Ukraine.

There's no reason whatsoever to believe at this point that the Russians are aiming for anything else than the complete defeat of Ukraine.

February 14, 2023

Russia v. Moldova

Moldovan coat of arms.

Moldova has revealed a Russian plot, first revealed by Ukraine last week, to destabilize the small country and bring it into the Russian orbit.

Moldova is an independent country because of Russia, but not in the way a person  might at first imagine.  It was part of the Russian Empire after 1812 and then declared independence in 1918, and then joined Romania later that same year. The country is essentially Romanian.  The Soviet Union took the territory back in 1940 which was a principal cause of Romania joining Operation Barbarossa the following year. Following the Axis defeat, the USSR took it back, but it left again after the collapse of the Soviet Union.

That Russia continues to covet it is interesting. This appears to be at least partially in reaction to Moldova's efforts to move closer to the EU in the wake of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

February 16, 2023

British defense estimates figure that the Russians have potentially committed 97% of their Army to combat in Ukraine and have now sustained so many casualties that they no longer can engage in a sustained offensive.

If this is correct, and its a big if, it would likely mean the anticiapted spring offensive is not coming, and beyond that, the Russians might not be able to mount a sustained defense against a Ukrainian offensive.

February 17, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War.

Russians have put in excess of 6,000 Ukrainian children through reducation camps.

Marina Yankina, a Russian defense official whose role in the current war was with finance, fell, supposedly, from a 16 story building to her death.

Hmmm. . . . 

China v. US and Canada

The Aerodrome: Failed Balloon Run: It's now known that the U.S. Air Force did attempt to shoot down the Chinese balloon over Montana, using the F-22's cannons as the i...

February 18, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War.

The Wagner Group has sustained 30,000 casualties fighting in Ukraine.

Parts of the Belorussian defense industry are being taken over by Russia.

February 19, 2023

United States v. ISIS

February 20, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

Analysts increasingly believe that Russia is in its Spring offensive, but that it has adopted a World War One attrition style strategy where it simply throws men at the Ukrainians knowing that they are expending ammunition, and lives themselves, resisting them.  The strategy isn't to be rapid, but simply cause Ukraine to hemorrhage.

Ukraine is aware of this, which is why it is begging for modern weapons with which to launch its own more mobile offensive.

Russia has committed 97% of its army to combat at its strategy is not without risk.  It's performance has been abysmal and its using up its human resources.

Some, however, believe that the slowness of the Russian advance reflects wartime attrition, and that the Russians are actually deploying per doctrine, but without much armor.

China appears ready to start supplying Russia with weapons.  The US is warning China not to do so.  There's some speculation that China hopes to prolong the war as it does not wish to see Russia fail, and it wants the US to use up its weapons stockpile so that it has nothing with which to aid Taiwan in the (highly likely) event that China attempts to invade Taiwan.

President Biden is in Kyiv.

February 22, 2023

Russo Ukrainian War

Vladimir Putin suspended the START Treaty regarding nuclear weapons, the irony being that a country whose conventional weapons have been shown to be ineffective, and which is using them up at a prodigious rate, can hardly afford to engage in a nuclear arms race.

Putin did this in an epic length speech on the anniversary of the war he launched on his neighbor.  The speech was telling as he claims that he's not waging a war on the Ukrainians themselves.  This raises the question of to what extent Putin might actually be delusional.

NPR released an excellent edition of its podcast State of Ukraine on the one-year anniversary of the war.

Ukrainian newspapers have broken the news that they have a secret Russian document outlining Russian plans to absorb Byelorussia by 2030.

February 23, 2023

China v. United States and Canada

The Aerodrome: United States releases Chinese Balloon photograph ...:  


United States releases Chinese Balloon photograph taken from U2


 In this photo, you can see the U2's shadow.

Russia v. Moldova

Vladimir Putin renounced his 2012 guarantee of Moldova's territorial integrity.

February 24, 2023

Russia v. Ukraine, Byelorussia and Moldova

The UN passed a resolution calling for Russia to leave Ukraine.

Russian troops dressed in Ukrainian uniforms have been moved near Russia's border with Byelorussia in what appears likely to be staging for a false flag attack on that country, in an effort to expand the war.

Russia also appears to be staging for a false flag operation in Transnistria, the Russian enclave/breakaway region of Moldova.  The area houses one of the world's largest prestaged arms and ammunition stockpiles.

All of this suggests that Russia is set to attempt to expand, not contract, the war.

Prior Related Threads:

Wars and Rumors of War, 2023. The Bear and the Trident. The Russo Ukrainian War crosses the calendar year.