Showing posts with label The Law of Unintended Consequences. Show all posts
Showing posts with label The Law of Unintended Consequences. Show all posts

Thursday, May 7, 2026

The 2026 Election, 10th Edition. The Setting the stage for a Pyrrhic Victory edition.

 


We start off this edition with what might be a little light at the end of a tunnel:

GOP Senate Challengers Emerge To Take On Harriet Hageman In Primary

I'll note that the LinkedIn article is the first really good article on Skovgard's views that I've seen.  Personally, I'm favoring Mead.

And something to remember:

Hageman's Senate Run Reignites Criticisms Over Public Lands

And then there's this:

Wyoming Republican Party plans to buck law and endorse candidates ahead of critical primary

The GOP is really playing with fire here.  It's correct that as a private organization the government shouldn't tell it who it can and cannot endorse.  But then, the laws of the state shouldn't give a preferential position to a private organization, let alone a political party.  As a "major party" it has a role in nominating replacement for some positions and has pride of place in primaries.  When challenged in court, and it could be, this might be the first step towards an open primary in Wyoming.  That is, one with no parties noted at all.

In other races, the amount of money being violently hurled by Chuck Gray and Reid Rasner at the House race is simply nuts.  Weekly flyers now arrive, printed obviously by the same company, by both candidates, and television ads appear constantly.  Frankly Rasner's television ads are a little better than  Gray's, the latter of which basically amount to a swooning expression of love, albeit by a man who comes across as so angry its unhinged, and absolute fealty to Donald Trump.  Rasner has, in my view, less than zero chance of winning the seat, but if he has any success at all it will be due to his media blitz.  At any rate, both campaigns are largely self funded, which gives rise to the "well, it's their money" comment.  None the less, the expenditure of this sort of money is obscene and is reason enough that neither man should win office . . . any office.

The Star Tribune ran an article about the Democratic candidate taking on Art Washut, one of the best members of the Wyoming legislature.  Stewart McAdoo turns out to be a South Carolinian, so we'd put him in the carpetbagger category, and he's running on the predictable Democratic seas of blood support of infanticide.  

April 30, 2026

Protect Wyoming ran an ad this morning in the Tribune against Bill Allemand.

Hunters and fishermen should really oppose Allemand, who following the corner crossing ruling of the Federal Court sponsored a Draconian bill on hunting trespassing.   While he claims no present interest in it, he's from a well known Powder River Basin Wyoming ranching family, a region of the state that features very limited land access.  He's fighting a charge for drunk driving in Johnson County presently.

He's being challenged by Bar Nunn Mayor Peter Boyer, who got cross wise in a Bar Nunn town council meeting according to news reports.  Allemand quixotically adamantly opposed a proposed nuclear generator project north of the small Natrona County Casper bedroom community.  The WFC seemed to align with that opposition, showing it thinks so little that its only concept of the energy industry is grounded in fossil fuels.

Democrat Keenan Morgan is also running against Allemand.  Morgan and Boyer are from Bar Nunn, Allemand from Midwest.  The district covers a large amount of territory but uniquely features three small towns, Midwest, Edgerton and Bar Nunn, with Bar Nunn being by far the largest of the three.  House District 58 also includes a sliver of Casper and the large unincorporated area north of Highway 20/26 in Natrona County.

It'll be interesting to see how Allemand, who has a semi uncontrollable temper, reacts Protect Wyoming's advertisement.

May 1, 2026

Maine Gov. Janet Mills dropped out of the race for the Democratic Senate ticket.  A popular Governor, she was being upstaged by Graham Platner for the bid to replace 72 year old Susan Collins.  Mills is 77 years old, so the race shows the steadfast refusal of Boomers to know when the heck to get out and let the young have a place.  

Platner is an oyster farmer and Marine Corps veteran who is a tender 41 years old, an age that would have been regarded as far from young in any era but the current one. As an oyster farmer from Maine this race is showing the interesting rise of some strong agrarian interests on the coasts, with Mary Peltola of Alaska, a Blue Dog Democrat, campaigning on the following:

 

It's Simple:

The fight for

Fish, Family, Freedom

depends on fixing the rigged system in DC

May 2, 2026

Teacher Brian Costello has announced his bid for House District 37, currently held by Steve Harshman who is running for Superintendent of Public Instruction.  Harshman is also a teacher.  He will be running against far right wing gadfly  Ross Schriftman and Democrat Betsy Erickson.

Schrifman is a Wyoming native.

Conicidentaly Protect Wyoming ran an add on Harshman in today's Tribune:


In House District 57 Luc Colgrove announced a bid for the seat occupied by Julie Jarvis and formerly occupied by Carpetbagger Jeanette Ward, who is trying to get the seat back.

May 3, 2026

About time:

Democrats are not OK with Boomers

Perhaps having learned their lesson with Joe Biden, the party’s voters are starting to reject older, establishment-bound candidates.

May 4, 2026

Democratic candidates announce legislative, county seat bids

All four Democratic state lawmakers will seek reelection. Democrats also have candidates for both commission seats, sheriff, county clerk and more.

Elsewhere I read an interview of Provenza.  Like me, she's been in both major parties, and has been an independent.

May 5, 2026

Statewide candidates split on Wyoming GOP’s plans to defy state law and make endorsements 

Some agree with the party’s decision and will seek out an endorsement. Others oppose a political party breaking election law.

This stands a pretty good chance of being the political equivalent of pulling the pin on a live grenade and then dropping it in your own foxhole.  There's a really good argument there that could lead to the state Supreme Court simply wiping out party dependent primaries under Wyoming's law, and creating a judicially mandated open primary.

Indeed, I hope that happens.

Part of what's amusing here is that Chuck Gray and Reid Rasner, both of whom assert their undying love for Trump whenever possible, are on opposite sides of this issue with Rasner claiming the "establishment" is trying to stop him.  Politicians are big on opposing "the establishment".  Gray likes the new provisions, Rasner does not, probably because Gray is bargaining on the WFC to endorse him with the Confederate Seal of Approval.  Gray was an original WFC Cornfederate, so Rasner is probably correct here that the "establishment" is trying to stop him, if the WFC is the establishment, which of course they'll deny that they are.

Ballow is frank she's opposed. She's been pretty quiet up until recently, but there's a good chance that she will secure the nomination.

May 6, 2026

Trump backed sycophants did well in Indiana where Trump intervened to punish Republicans who didn't vote for redistricting.  The result will help march the GOP right off the cliff its headed towards in theall.

This shows the extent to which the GOP is actually dead, replaced by a group of worshippers who follows the words of their leader, rather than reality.

In contrast, Democrats won big in special elections.

And we have this:

Yes, they are.  They're frankly really irritating.

May 7, 2026

Elissa Campbell is running for reelection in Wyoming House District 56.


Reid Rasner went to Gillette to speak this week at a meet and great at the city's Prime Rib restaurant and drew a whopping huge crowd of three people, according to the Tribune.

Three . . . pretty much tells you where that campaign is going.

At it he suggested that the 50/50 proceeds swap currently existing on public land rental proceeds be made 90/10 with the State getting the 90.  He claimed there's a lot of support in D.C. for this.  There isn't.  

Rasner has been dumping a ton of money into his campaign and apparently Chucky accused him of spending his mother's money.  I'm not a Rasner fan but that's ironic for Gray, who also is spending money that came in some form from his family.  Rasner denied the charge sort of, asserting that he's a highly successful businessman without really fully denying the claim.  Whatever the truth or distruth of it, it is circulating the internet now.  Anyway you look at it three candidates who should not get this office, Gray, Rasner and Freiss are dumping piles of money into it.

Albany County overwhelmingly approved a 6th Cent ballot issue.

And the Weston County Commissioners, to their credit, said nope to the three GOP picks for Clerk.

Weston County Commissioners Reject GOP Picks To Replace Hadlock As County Clerk

The current system, it might be noted, required the party of the outgoing clerk to nominate three choices, and if the Commissioners can't pick one, the district court judge does from the outgoing person's party.  The GOP's recently fit over complying with state law raises the question of whether this is constitutional.  It likely isn't.  

Related threads:

Pollice Verso. The 2026 Political Negative Endorsement. The Don't Vote For List.

Last edition:

The 2026 Election, 9th Edition. The Sic Semper Tyrannus edition.*

Monday, May 4, 2026

Subsidiarity Economics 2026. The Times more or less locally, Part 4. Economics in the Dementia Ward.


May 1, 2026

We're constantly told that tariffs are good for everyone.  But then monarchs come and they're lifted.

He's lost his mind.

Cont:

May 3, 2026

Discount airline Spirit dissolves.

 It was a victim of high aviation fuel, something brought about by Donald Trump's illegal attack on Iran.


May 4, 2026


This has been in the news for awhile, but I haven't posted it yet.

Frankly, the impact of pipelines is mostly in their construction, to it's temporary.  At least for the state.  These pipelines tend to transport Canadian oil, so the impact is less than it might seem.

And the state has got to get over its addiction to petroleum.

Regarding petroleum, the U.S. is now exporting a record amount due to the war with Iran, which doesn't help U.S. citizens whatsoever, as it cause the price of the product to rise, and accelerates U.S. depletion of the resource.  Export of it, save for conditions in which the petroleum cannot be refined here, should be banned.

For that matter, as a resource that nobody contributed to putting in the ground, some thought should be given to nationalizing the resource in some fashion.

Some members of Congress are threatening to ban the import of Chinese electric vehicles as the GOP searches for ways to make a bad situation worse.

Last edition:

Subsidiarity Economics 2026. The Times more or less locally, Part 3. The Wharton Way.

Saturday, April 25, 2026

Court Watch, Part V.

 Expect a major hissy fit.


I think we can confidently assume this project is dead, and that some lesser more useful construction will take place after Trump is out of office.

The judge ruled that the plaintiff was likely to prevail as the administration likely lacks the authority they tried to exercise here.

They should refund the money and Trump should pay for this destruction himself.

April 1, 2026

Trump's executive order on mail voting is set to face legal challenges

April 2, 2026

From the CST:


Basically the judge decided the issues in the two matters weren't sufficiently identical for consolidation.

On other matters:
Lex Anteinternet: Courthouses of the West: Donald Trump attends oral...: Courthouses of the West: Donald Trump attends oral arguments in Trump v. Ba... : That's the birthright citizenship case. Trump's goi...
I posted this yesterday.

Courthouses of the West: Donald Trump attends oral arguments in Trump v. Barbara

Courthouses of the West: Donald Trump attends oral arguments in Trump v. Ba...: That's the birthright citizenship case. Trump's going to lose this case, which will be another example of the wheels coming off of h...

Donald Trump attends oral arguments in Trump v. Barbara.

That's the birthright citizenship case.

Trump's going to lose this case, which will be another example of the wheels coming off of his administration.  His presence at the Court will not impress anyone, let alone the Justices. Trump seems to have lost any sense that he's not that impressive to about 70% of Americans.

His attendance is, frankly, appalling.

Cont (April 1, 2026)

JUSTICE NEIL GORSUCH: Do you think Native Americans today are birthright citizens under your test and under your friend's test?

D. JOHN SAUER, U.S. SOLICITOR GENERAL: I think so. I mean, obviously, they've been granted citizenship by statute ...

GORSUCH: Put aside the statute. Do you think they're birthright citizens?

SAUER: No, I think the clear understanding that everybody agrees in the congressional debates is that the children of tribal Indians are not birthright citizens.

GORSUCH: I understand that's what they said. But your test is the domicile of the parents, and that would be the test you'd have us apply today, right?

SAUER: Yes, yes. So, if a tribal Indian, for example, you know, gives up allegiance to ...

GORSUCH: Are tribal members born today birthright citizens?

SAUER: I think so, on our test, if they're lawfully domiciled here. I'm not s—, I have to think that through, but that's my reaction.

GORSUCH: I'll take the yes. That's alright.

Gee Louise, this administration is really something. 

It turns out that Trump left after Justice Jackson pretty much eviscerated the solicitor, D. John Sauer, who was sent to argue this.  Sauer's career really ought to be over for such a lame argument that was so obviously legal deficient.  He's a former Missouri solicitor and, more important, one of the lawyers who was willing to represent Trump in the past.

April 14, 2026

Trump predictably lost his defamation suit against the Washington Post.

And perhaps something will happen on Gray's ignoring Wyoming's voter confidentiality laws.


April 17, 2026

An attempted end run to fund the garden shed was again blocked by the Federal Court.

April 21, 2026

Kash Patel has sued The Atlantic claiming that an article that claims he has an alcohol problem is defamatory.

April 22, 2026

April 25, 2026
This is sad, but not unexpected, news.

The thing that really gets me here is the remarkable photograph of the three principal female figures in this contest on the abortion side.  There they are, sharing a good laugh, while supporting infanticide.

Abortion is flat out murder, there's no two ways about it.  Something about this made me look up the ages of the women in the photograph.

Burkhart was born in 65 or 67. . . apparently people aren't really sure.  Anthony in 66-68.  Lichtenfels, whom I once knew, probably around 61-62.  So they all grew up in the 60s and 70s when abortion was really gaining ground.  It certainly did that.  A huge number of babies are murdered in the Western world, including the U.S., every day.  The seas of blood on that score outstrips anything the Nazis or Soviet Communists did.  It's part of what's corrupted the United States and given us our current era.

What I wondered about generationally doesn't pan out, however.  Support for abortion is pretty strong across generations in this country, although obviously not so strong that the legislature here doesn't keep trying to legislate against it.

What the legislature needs to do is to work to repeal the health care self determination provision of the state constitution that paranoid far righters got inserted into it several years ago.  If they did, we wouldn't be having this argument now.

Last edition:

Court Watch, Part IV.

Thursday, April 16, 2026

A Fossil Fuel Free Future is Here.

This was obvious, but will remain unrecognized for quite some time, for the same reason that coal is almost dead, but people don't grasp it.


Average people's ability to really grasp an existential change in something is pretty poor as a rule.  It's not so much that people choose to live in the past as it is that they have no grasp that the past of their younger lives and of their parents lives, the latter of which a lot of people hold to in a sort of mythical way, evolves.  We see that a lot in the U.S. right now.

The entire imaginary economy of Donald Trump is one that's grounded in a mythical 1970s, when he was young and clubbing and men lusting after girls in their teens was basically okay, du e to the sexual revolution.  MAGA, for its part, imagines a mythical 1950s economy, not understanding why the economy of the 1950s was the way it was.  In both instances, and particularly in regard to the 1970s economy, things were not as rosy as imagined.

Coal has been dying ever since the Royal Navy went to oil for ships.  We've discussed that before here:

Coal: Understanding the time line of an industry

Coal is not coming back.  In fact, it's demise is accelerating.  Lot of the globe, including China, in spite of what a demented Donald Trump thinks, is racing towards renewables.  Trump can't really imagine it as he's 80 years old and in the 70s there weren't very many big windmills, although even then there was a push towards renewable power.

Indeed, that push was started by the Arab Oil Embargo and people have been working on the technology ever since.  Now renewables are cheaper than fossil fuels for power generation.  Only nuclear can compete.

Every since the 70s engineers have been working on electric vehicles as well. Their day has arrived.

And Donald Trump started a war that will accelerate the pace of this change, rapidly.  Trump might end up being recalled as the greenest President ever, accidentally.

The change just won't be a switch to clean electrical power, and that switch is rapidly coming and no amount of John Barrasso and Harriet Hageman calling for the mythical "clean coal" will stop it.  It's also going to be a switch away from the sort of vehicle based economy we have now.  People aren't going to stop owning cars, but already a younger generation really isn't all that enamored with them.  Self driving vehicles, as much as I hate the idea, are coming in. With them will come self driving semi tractors and more importantly, in my view, remotely driven electric trains.

There's no reason that railroads can't be controlled like giant model train layouts.  Model trains already provide the model for it.  We're not far from that day.

That day is coming now whether Donald Trump, Harriet Hageman, John Barrasso, or people with an emotional tie to fossil fuels like it or not.  Your livelihood depending on it won't matter either.

It's already happening.

Tuesday, March 31, 2026

King Donald's War, Part 2. Just a few Marines. . .

 

U.S. Marines land at Da Nang, March 8, 1965.  It was just a few. . and then some airmen. . . and then the perimeter had to be protected. . . and soon, 50,000 U.S. troops were dead.

March 31, 2026

King Donny can't figure out how to get out of his war. The Iranians can't and won't surrender.  The Iranians won't leave the Straits of Hormuz  alone.  The NATO countries, several of which have been threatened by King Donny with the use of military force, have replied to his request for naval assistance with variants of "fuck you and the horse you rode in on" and are perfectly happy to watch the US, which they don't like under Trump, and Israel, which they generally don't like, stew in the fat of Donald's juices.

Faced with this, the more rah rah, let's engage in a Protestant Crusade against Islam crowed, and the more sober military minds who have read history, are causing Marines to be deployed.  Chances are, they aren't equally enthusiastic about deploying them, as the results of that will be a full scale and even more illegal war than the one we're currently in.

The economy, meanwhile, is turning to a steaming pile of shit, like everything else Donald touches.  The stock market is supposedly the only thing the legacy seeking King Donny pays attention to, which probably means that his oligarchic connections are being hurt and calling him up on his cell phone telling him to get out before the wreckage matches that of the East Wing.  King Donny, meanwhile, probably doesn't want to be remembered as the idiot who got 20,000 ground troops or more killed.  So, as of yesterday, he's thinking of surrendering by simply pulling out.

Overnight, the Iranians targeted Diego Garcia with missiles but not reached their targets for one reason or another, including their being intercepted.  Diego Garcia was not previously thought to be within range of Iranian missiles, and it still might not be, given that they didn't hit.  Or it may be, or it may be that Iran has improved the capabilities of their missiles over the last couple of weeks.

Iran is busy destroying Middle Eastern oil infrastructure.  The economic impacts will last for years.

March 21, 2026, cont:

Iran and the US/Israel exchanged attack nuclear facilities today.

March 22, 2026

Trump announced that if Iran does not open the Straits of Hormuz within 48 hours the US will commit a war crime and start to destroy power plants.

This would be flat out an illegal at, it serves no military purpose whatsoever.

March 23, 2026

King Donny claimed this morning that the US and Iran were in productive talks, so he was suspending offensive operations for several day.

Iran called BS on the claim.

Nobody really knows what's going on, but my guess, and it would guess, is that King Donny is going to claim there was a secret deal to end the war and call it over.  My additional guess is that somebody got to him.  Maybe the military, maybe the top (lap) dogs in the GOP, or maybe another oligarch, but somebody.

cont:

President Trump’s hopes that an Israeli plan to ignite an internal uprising against Iran’s theocratic government could bring the war to a swift end have so far been dashed.

cont:

Listening to the weekend shows makes it plaint how much trouble Trump is really in.  None of the people you'd expect to be present on all three were present on the two I listened to.  Scott Bessant was on Meet the Press sounding like a complete fool.  Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy drew the short stick for This Week and sounded like he regretted it.

Bessant was downright insulting to the host, even if he sounded like a buffoon doing it.

What's increasingly clear is that sometime yesterday somebody or something got to Trump.  The war isn't going the way he believed it would, and now he want out.  He's just looking for a cover story to get out.  The problem he faces is that none of the cover stories for getting into it will square with that, so he's in a bind.  The strategy being tested is the claim that he made a deal, even if the Iranians are denying  that they're close to making a deal.

Believing that lie won't be too much to ask diehard Trump fans to do.  They'll believe anything.  But it is too much for independents and some not wholly convinced Republicans to do.  The next part of the problem will be that petroleum prices will take months or even years to go down.  That showed up on Meet the Press in which a Trump voter called Trump "a worthless piece of shit".

cont:

Pete, I think you were the first one to speak up. You said, 'Let's do it.'

Trump.

Pete is now the designated fall guy.  He better start looking for a new job.

March 24, 2026

In spite of King Donny's declaration that the United States was in talks with Iran, which Iran denies, as Donny is an outrageous liar, the war continued on yesterday, unabated.

Cont:

According to the NYT, the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia is pushing Trump to continue the war.

We seem to just be regional suckers to the Middle East.

March 25, 2026

In addition to the Marines already deployed to the Middle East, 1,000 troops of the 82nd Airborne are being deployed to the region, all for a war that King Donny claims was won several days ago.

Pakistan, which it self as been at war recently with Afghanistan, volunteered to host talks between the U.S. and Iran.  The U.S. has agreed to attend, Iran, has not.

Trump claimed yesterday that Iran gave the United States a very big oil related present, but he wasn't going to say what it is.

Um. . . . 

March 27, 2026

King Donny extended his deadline in which for the US to commit an additional war crime by destroying electrical power sites.  He claims negotiations are going well.

Some negotiations probably really are occurring, but it's not clear at all what they are.  As they won't result in an end to an Iranian nuclear program, effectively what the US is doing is looking for a way out a la Paris Peace Accords.

On the other hand, Tehran increased its grip on the Straits of Hormuz yesterday, so the entire story of Iran negotiating may just be another Trump lie.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy, a real president, visited the Middle East yesterday as his country is helping several Middle Eastern countries counter Iranian drones.

March 28, 2026

The Houthis entered the war by firing ballistic missiles at Israel.

Donald Trump is now babbling on this topic nearly every day, and not making a lick of sense any time he does so.  As if that's not enough, his cabinet lavishes praise on him in a way that will quite frankly be used against their reputations, and that of the country that they purport to serve, forever.


March 30, 2026

The illegitimate administration sent Iran the same list of 15 demands in the form of demands to be accepted to end the war.  Iran told the U.S. to stuff it, and presented its own demands, also pointing out that it doesn't trust the US enough to enter negotiations.

Listening to the weekend shows and other soundings out there, it's increasingly clear that Republicans feel uneasy about the situation developing with King Donny.  A common theme now is, "well, we should have done this years ago, um, and are now, um, and well, we have to see it through".

None of those things are anywhere near true and they know it.

We are getting increasingly close to the commitment of ground troops.  Even some of the stalwarts that apologize for Trump's dementia on a nearly daily basis re now saying that requires Congressional approval.  Well, Trump isn't going to ask for approval.  He's just going to do it, if he does, and he probably is going to.

This is an election season, and those in Congress in the GOP should be made to answer for this illegal delegation of force to a demented octogenarian.

cont:

Reports hold that Russia shared satellite images of Prince Sultan US base in Saudi Arabia with Iran right before their attack that injured our troops. Ukrainian intelligence has confirmed it.

And Trump. . . well he's letting a ship of Russian oil offload in Cuba, which is otherwise being embargoed (blockaded?) by the U.S.

Odd, eh?

March 31, 2026

Iran hit a fully laden Kuwait oil tanker in port in Dubai.

Trump yesterday indicated that he might just abandon the Persian Gulf with the Straits of Hormuz closed.

Republicans desperate to excuse a war that's not going to end soon, and which right now looks as if it'll either require a decades long American ground presence in an illegal war, or an inglorious American retreat, either of which feature a major recession, if not depression, in the near term, are parading a series of bs excuses for what demented Don did.

The reality of it is quite simple.  Bibi wanted to take Iran out while the US could be duped into going along with it.  Only Bibi and Vlad seem to have any pull over King Donny, although for different unknown reasons.  Anyhow, this is a war for Israel, that's what it's for.

The current line is that we've been fighting Iran for 47 years.  No, we haven't been.  Iran has been a bad actor for 47 years, but we haven't been fighting them for nearly five decades.  Moreover, most of Iran's anger with us, as illegitimate and wrong as it is, is vicarious anger over US support for Israel.

I'm not saying that US support for Israel is wholly wrong, but it has frankly been often beyond what it likely should have been, and that's been the case since Israel became a country.  It has a right to exist, but it doesn't have a right to unqualified US support, and support that has not involved American Allies that are in the region, to the the extent which it has.  Anyhow, Iran's hatred of the US is largely due to US support of Israel, which is 100% what this war is about.  Netanyahu saw a chance to take out, he thought, a decades long enemy, and took it.  Unfortunately for him, he forgot about what an unreliable ally the US really is and that Trump's thoughts tend to be farts in windstorms.

The other major claim is that Iran was going to turn into a nuclear power and we needed to stop it.  If that's the case, that was clearly going to involve a ground invasion.  You can't bomb nuclear material into non existence.  Trump may stupidly have thought he could cause the Iranian regime to fall in this fashion, which if so was flat out dumb, but he's not a very advanced thinker and his experience is in real estate, not realpolitik.  He didn't cause an Iranian uprising and he didn't even get the Kurds to move on the government.  

So here we are.

Concluding this war successfully will require a Vietnam War level of military participation and two decades to complete.  At some point Congress will have to get involved.  As Americans have no stomach for such an enterprise, what's much more likely to happen is a largescale conventional invasion of the country after a series of aerial war crimes, followed by substantial US troop deaths, followed by an inglorious withdrawal and retreat.

In other words, we're likely to lose the war.

Not before it expands into the US however.

We have every reason to believe that Iran has sleeper cells in the US. What hasn't happened that much yet, however, are proxy attacks here.  That's coming, and it'll come in more than one form.  We aren't ready for it, and we're not going to get ready for it.  Further, both China and Russia will assist Iran on this where they can get away with it.

Along with that, we're going to see inflation and a recession within the next few months at a level we have no experienced since the 1970s.  We'll be lucky, quite frankly, if we don't experience a depression.

So, welcome to King Donald's Forever War.

cont:

The maximum level of outright stupidity that is constantly demonstrated by this illegitimate administration is really on display today with Pete Hegseth. For example:

The president was clear this morning in his Truth that there are countries around the world who ought to be prepared to step up on this critical waterway as well. Last time I checked there was supposed to be a big bad Royal Navy that could be prepared to do things like that.

This is an illegal war on the part of the US, dumbass, and you don't get to declare war for other countries.

As far as President Trump and boots on the ground, I don't understand why the base wouldn't have faith in his ability to execute on this. Look at his track record.

Seriously? Where to begin.  Cutting spending. . . nope, didn't happen.  Avoid wars. . . nope, didn't happen.  Make America Great Again. . . more like sending it into the dumpster.

What he's shown himself to be really good at is not getting the Epstein files released, although even there, there are enough cracks to raise the question if he was one of the rich men raping teenagers.  It's not proven, but there's enough there to wonder.

cont:


I have a suggestion for you: Number 1, buy from the US, we have plenty, and Number 2, build up some delayed courage, go to the Strait, and just TAKE IT,'

'You'll have to start learning how to fight for yourself, the USA won't be there to help you anymore, just like you weren't there for us.'

And so, the TACO signals he's retreating.  

Iran, apparently, will be the victor.  People died for nothing whatsoever.  Those serving in the military were made suckers.

As we all were. Everything is more expensive, people are dead.

Cont:

A really sober analysis by Adam Kingzinger

One Chokepoint, $120 Oil, and a Broken Alliance System: What Comes Next in Iran

A breakdown of the economic, diplomatic, and military dimensions of a crisis with no clean exit.

To put it bluntly, we are really up shit creek without a paddle.  At no point since the end of the Cold War have we been in this dire of situation, and it's all due to one demented billionaire.

This is going to end very badly.

Last edition:

Wars and Rumors of War, 2026. Part 5. Trump's forever war. King Donald's War, Part 1.