Showing posts with label The COVID Recession. Show all posts
Showing posts with label The COVID Recession. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 15, 2022

Trudeau invokes the Emergency Act

It's the first time the 1988 Canadian statute has been invoked at that.

This due to the ongoing trucker's protest, which has been angering many, encouraging some, and gathering some support from Americans who are like-minded, but who likely would otherwise get angry if Canadians voiced an opinion on US politics, which they sometimes do, and usually not charitably.

The act gives the government extraordinary powers to address assemblies and the like.  It replaced the prior Canadian War Measures Act of 1914.

This protest, at least from an American prospective, has been hard to grasp, but it seems part of a general movement of a certain percentage of the population in the Wester world just having had enough of having their lives disrupted due to COVID 19. The fact that COVID 19 can in fact end lives, and that the protest is concentrated among those who have refused to be vaccinated, doesn't seem to matter to those who are protesting.  The entire matter has gotten tied up with general concepts of liberty and freedom, and at this part it's hard to sort out what's what with these matters.

In Canadian terms the protest, much like similar ones in the US, also have an undercurrent of populist and conservative disgust, or distress, about the general directions of their countries. This is harder to sort out, and in the US its highly populist rather than highly conservative.  How this sorts out in Canada is not clear.

At any rate, the protest, which came to be concentrated at border crossings, was beginning to have an impact on the economies of Canada and the United States, which is likely why this extraordinary action has been taken.

As of the last press here, which might be hopelessly obsolete, the Canadian government had cleared bridges into the US, but had not cleared the truckers out of Ottowa.

Wednesday, December 22, 2021

Pandemic Part 8. Enter Omicron

November 27, 2021

The new variant, dubbed Omicron right now, seems to be more infections.  It has multiple mutations.  Little else is known about it now.

It's appeared in Hong Kong.

New York has declared a state of emergency in anticipation of the new Omicron variant of the disease arriving there.

The US has banned flights from a collection of southern African nations.

The Dow dropped 800 points in a day and oil plummeted.

Nov 27, cont:

By the end of the day, I suspect a lot of global travel restrictions will be in place.  Having said that, my suspicion is twofold; 1) it's already broken out of Africa, as supported by reports of it having made its way into Belgium, Hong Kong and the UK; and 2) the US will be slow to really restrict travel in a way that will address the problem, justifying New York's reaction.

My added prediction is that it will turn out the vaccines are in fact effective at preventing it and/or reducing its severity in break through cases.  Nonetheless, this will have no impact on getting people to accept getting vaccinated.

Nov 27, continued part two.  Some observations

Only 35% of South Africans are vaccinated.  Not because they don't want to be, but because distribution of vaccines in the Third World in general, and Africa in particular, is poor.

This points something out, however.  As long as this is the case, and South Africa's percentages are higher than most of Africa's, these mutations are going to keep on keeping on and sooner or later it will be the case that there will be a variant that vaccinations are ineffective as to, assuming that this isn't the case for this variant, and we'll be taking a big step backwards.

In other words, there needs to be a full scale effort to address the situation in the developing worlds.

Secondly, without even checking it, and even as we are all at the point where we know of people who have died, there will be those in the first world who are going to claim that the Omicron variant is proof of some giant conspiracy.  It isn't.  Rather, we don't have this beat yet.

November 29, 2021

Japan has barred entry to all non-resident foreigners.

Anthony Fauci appeared on all three weekend news shows and stated that the Omicron variant will get into the US eventually, but current measures are buying time, which can be used to figure out how to react to it.

Very little is actually known about the new variant, other than it appears highly infectious.

December 1, 2021

All National Guard and Reserve members have been ordered to be vaccinated.

December 2, 2021

The disease is now in the US, which I predicted, FWIW, that it already was. The first person to be diagnosed with it was fully vaccinated and has a mild case. The Californian had travelled to South Africa.

The day prior, the first identified case in Canada had been reported.  It's undoubtedly fairly far spread in North America by now.

How effective vaccinations are against this variant is not yet known, but the suspicion is that they are at least somewhat effective.  They may be as effective as with prior variants, or less so, it's just not known.  With this being the case, this entry is interesting:

Governor’s Legal Action Leads to Pause in Federal Vaccine Mandate for Health Care Workers

CHEYENNE, Wyo. – Governor Mark Gordon welcomed a preliminary injunction issued today by the United States District Court, Eastern District of Missouri that halts implementation and enforcement of a rule from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) that would impose a vaccine mandate on healthcare workers. Governor Gordon and Attorney General Bridget Hill entered Wyoming in this lawsuit, challenging the federal mandate. 

“This is welcome news for Wyoming’s rural healthcare facilities, which are already facing staffing challenges without additional unconstitutional burdens being placed on their employees by the federal government,” Governor Gordon said. “Healthcare employees should not be forced to choose between vaccination and termination.” 

The proposed mandate required nearly every employee, volunteer, and and contractor working at a wide range of healthcare facilities receiving Medicaid or Medicare funding to have received at least a first dose of the vaccine prior to December 6, 2021.

In its ruling, the court agreed to preliminarily enjoin implementation and enforcement of the rule because arguments made by Wyoming and a coalition of other states have a likelihood of success on the merits. Wyoming and the coalition have argued that CMS does not have authority to issue the mandate, and that it would impact the ability of healthcare facilities to effectively care for patients.

“Because it is evident CMS significantly understates the burden that its mandate would impose on the ability of healthcare facilities to provide proper care, and thus, save lives, the public has an interest in maintaining the ‘status quo’ while the merits of the case are determined,” wrote the court. 

The ruling applies only to the 10-state coalition that, along with Wyoming, includes Missouri, Nebraska, Arkansas, Kansas, Iowa, Alaska, South Dakota, North Dakota, and New Hampshire. Today’s ruling is a victory for Wyoming and these states, but the case is not over. The Governor and Attorney General will continue their efforts to challenge the mandate through this lawsuit.  

A copy of the order granting the Motion for Preliminary Injunction may be found here

Wyoming is taking a three-pronged approach to fighting the federal vaccine mandates, filing three separate legal actions to challenge this federal overreach. These include:

·  Filing a lawsuit against the Biden Administration for imposing a vaccine mandate on federal contractors and federally contracted employees. Wyoming is currently awaiting a ruling on a request for a temporary injunction in the case. 

·  Filing a second lawsuit to halt the Occupational Safety and Health Administration emergency temporary standard which mandates vaccines on employees of private Wyoming businesses with over 100 employees. This also resulted in a pause on the implementation of the ETS. 

·  The legal action involving CMS, which seeks to prevent the Biden Administration from enforcing the mandate on healthcare workers. This is what the court stayed today.

-END-

It should be noted that the caption has a typographical error in it.  It should be "Governors'", not "Governor's"

December 3, 2021

Numerous Omicron cases have popped up around the country, including a case in Colorado.  

It's almost inevitable that Omicron is going to spread around the country.  Early reports have it as more infective than other variants or at least as infective as Delta and early studies suggest, but don't yet prove, that it is likely to be able to break through with the vaccinated more easily.  It does seem that break through cases are "mild".

The origin of the multiple mutation Omicron remains a mystery, but a leading theory is that it mutated in a single individual over a long period of time, as that individual was likely immune compromised and couldn't clear the disease.  The suggestion is that the person was likely HIV infected, which is leading some to point out the need to address HIV in southern Africa.

December 6, 2021

There were mixed messages on the weekend shows about the new Omicron variant.

There has been some suggestion that its less severe in its infections than prior variants, but that message is tampered by the fact that the observed cases have included a lot of breakthrough cases in South Africa.  It seems to be more infectious.

A Moderna representative on This Week termed its emergence "the worst possible scenario".

Modern and Pfizer are expected to have vaccines developed within three months.

Everyone is urging that the unvaccinated get vaccinated and that those who have not been boosted receive boosters.

December 8, 2021

Pfizer has stated:  

Although two doses of the vaccine may still offer protection against severe disease caused by the Omicron strain, it's clear from these preliminary data that protection is maximized with a third dose of our vaccine. 

It's also abundantly clear at this point that until that point at which a high percentage of  the population is vaccinated the disease will continue to mutate, and the pandemic will continue on.  This also makes it clear that populations in less developed parts of the world need to be vaccinated.

December 9, 2021

Pfizer announced that with the booster, its three shot (now) vaccine provides good protection against the Omicron variant.

New York and Maine have deployed some National Guard medics to facilities to deal with Delta outbreaks in those locations.

Mask mandates are now in effect in Denver.

December 14, 2021

1% of all US seniors have died from COVID 19.

The United States Supreme Court has turned away challenges of state mandates from three states.

40% of new cases in the UK are the Omicron variant.

27 members of the Air Force have been discharged for failing to follow the vaccination order. While I didn't see it in the article, this would presumably be a bad conduct discharge.

December 14, 2021 cont:

Governor Leads Coalition Penning Joint Letter to Defense Secretary over National Guard Vaccine Mandate Consequences

 

CHEYENNE, Wyo. – Governor Mark Gordon and four other Republican governors signed a letter to the Secretary of Defense today asserting that disciplinary directives to National Guard members serving in a state capacity “are beyond (the Secretary’s) constitutional and statutory authority.”

In the letter to Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, the Governors note that the Supreme Court has affirmed “that the National Guard is under the command and control of the Governor of each state unless those members are called to active service under Title 10.” The letter requests the Secretary reconsider directives that dictate whether training can occur, setting punishment requirements and requiring separation from a state’s National Guard for refusing to be COVID-19 vaccinated.

“Under Title 32 duty status, the Wyoming National Guard is under my command and control,” Governor Gordon said. “These directives are an overreach of the federal government’s authority.”

Joining Governor Gordon in signing the letter were Governor Pete Ricketts of Nebraska, Governor Kim Reynolds of Iowa, Governor Tate Reeves of Mississippi and Governor Mike Dunleavy of Alaska and Governor Kevin Stitt of Oklahoma. The full letter may be found here.

-END-

Frankly, as a former National Guardsman, I find the Governor's actions here simply appalling.

The National Guard is a reserve of the Army and Air Force, and are part of it.  You surrendered your liberty on this when you signed up, and that's just the way it is.

December 15, 2021

Canadians have been urged not to engage in non-essential international travel.

December 16, 2021

The University of Wyoming is keeping its mask mandate until mid-February.

December 17, 2021

Slightly over 100 Marines have been separated from the service for failing to receive vaccinations per orders.

December 18, 2021

Omicron has appeared in Albany County, Wyoming.  No doubt it's all over the state by now.

December 19, 2021

The Netherlands have entered a month long lockdown.

Harvard will be remote again for January.

December 21, 2021

The State of Wyoming is joining in a multi state appeal to the United States Supreme Court to resolve the legality of OSHA Coronavirus mandates.

President Trump, who earlier indicated he probably wouldn't get a booster, admitted before a crowd when asked by a Fox news personality if he had, that he did.  This elicited boos from the crowd.

December 22, 2021

The NHL is not going to the Winter Olympics due to COVID in an attempt to salvage the rest of its professional season, which is suffering due to ongoing Pandemic related cancellations.

Bill Gates cancelled his travel plans for the holidays.

President Biden addressed the nation on the new outbreak:

The longer the virus is around, the more likely variants form that may be deadlier than the ones that have come before.THE PRESIDENT:  Good afternoon.  I promised when I got elected that I’d always give it to you straight from the shoulder — the good, the bad, the truth.

So, as we head into Christmas weekend, I want to answer your questions about the rising number of COVID cases — COVID-19 cases.

And I want to start by acknowledging how tired, worried, and frustrated I know you are.  I know how you’re feeling.

For many of you, this will be the first or even the second Christmas where you look — across the table will be an empty kitchen chair there.

Tens of millions have gotten sick, and we’ve all experienced an upheaval in our lives.

But while COVID has been a tough adversary, we’ve shown that we’re tougher — tougher because we have the power of science and vaccines that prevent illness and save lives, and tougher because of our resolve.

So, that — let me answer some questions that lay out the steps the Vice President and I are taking to prepare for the rising number of cases experts tell us we could expect in the weeks ahead.

First, how concerned should you be about Omicron, which is now the dominant variant in this country and it happened so quickly?

The answer is straightforward: If you are not fully vaccinated, you have good reason to be concerned.  You’re at a high risk of getting sick.  And if you get sick, you’re likely to spread it to others, including friends and family.  And the unvaccinated have a significantly higher risk of ending up in a hospital or even dying. 

Almost everyone who has died from COVID-19 in the past many months has been unvaccinated.  Unvaccinated.

But if you’re among the majority of Americans who are fully vaccinated, and especially if you’ve gotten the booster shot — that third shot — you’re much — you have much, much less reason to worry.  You have a high degree of protection against severe illness. 

And because Omicron spreads so easily, we’ll see some fully vaccinated people get COVID, potentially in large numbers.  There will be positive cases in every office, even here in the White House, among the unv- — among the vaccinated — among the vaccinated — from Omicron.

But these cases are highly unlikely to lead to serious illness.

Vaccinated people who get COVID may get ill, but they’re protected from severe illness and death.  That’s why you should still remain vigilant.

According to our doctors, even if you’re fully vaccinated, you should wear a mask when indoors in public settings.

Wearing a mask provides extra protection for you and those around you.  And I know some Americans are wondering if you can safely celebrate the holidays with your family and friends. 

The answer is yes, you can, if you and those you celebrate with are vaccinated, particularly if you’ve gotten your booster shot.

If you are vaccinated and follow the precautions that we all know well, you should feel comfortable celebrating Christmas and the holidays as you planned it.

You know, you’ve done the right thing.  You could enjoy the holiday season.

And thanks to the progress on vaccinations this fall, we’ve gone from nearly 90 million adults in July who had not even started their vaccination process to fewer than 40 million today.  Still too many, but down from 90 to 40.

All these people who have not been vaccinated, you have an obligation to yourselves, to your family, and, quite frankly — I know I’ll get criticized for this — to your country.

Get vaccinated now.  It’s free.  It’s convenient.  I promise you, it saves lives.  And I, honest to God, believe it’s your patriotic duty.

Another question folks are asking is: What can you do to make yourself and your family feel safer and be safer?  The answer is simple: Get your booster shot.  Wear a mask.

Our doctors have made it clear: Booster shots provide the strongest of protections.  Unfortunately, we still have tens of millions of people who are eligible for the booster shot who have not yet gotten it.  They’ve gotten the first two shots, but they’ve not gotten the booster.

Folks, the booster shots are free and widely available.  Over 60 million Americans, including 62 percent of eligible seniors, our most vulnerable group, have gotten their booster shots.

I got my booster shot as soon as they were available.  And just the other day, former President Trump announced he had gotten his booster shot.  It may be one of the few things he and I agree on.

People with booster shots are highly protected.  Join them.  Join us.  It’s been six months or more since my second shot.  If it’s been six months or more for your second shot — when I got my booster — you can get yours today if you’ve been six months or more since your second shot. 

Another question that folks are asking is: Are we going back to March 2020 — not this last March 2021, but March 2020 — when the pandemic first hit?  That’s what I keep getting asked.

The answer is absolutely no.  No. 

Here are three big differences between then and now: One — number one — the first one — more than 200 million Americans have been fully vaccinated.  In March of 2020, no one was fully vaccinated.  What that means is, today, as cases — a case of COVID-19 for a fully vaccinated and boosted person will most likely mean no symptoms or mild ones similar to the common respiratory viruses.

Over 200 million Americans should have the peace of mind that they did not have in March of 2020: They’re protected from hospitalization, and they’re protected from death.

Second point: We’re prepared today for what’s coming.  In March of 2020, we were not ready.  Today, we’ve spocktiled [sic] enough — we’ve stockpiled enough gowns, masks, and ventilators to deal with the surge of hospitalizations among the unvaccinated. 

Today, we’re ready.

And as I’ll explain in a few minutes, we’re going to be reinforcing our hospitals, helping them.

Number three, we know a lot more today than we did back in March of 2020.  For example, last year, we thought the only way to keep your children safe was to close your — close our schools. 

Today, we know more and we have more resources to keep those schools open.  We can — you can get 5- to 11-year-olds vaccinated — a tool we didn’t have until last month.

Today, we don’t have to shut down schools because of a case of COVID-19.  Now, if a student tests positive, other students can take the test and stay in the classroom if they’re not infected rather than closing the whole school or having to quarantine.

We can keep our K-through-12 schools open, and that’s exactly what we should be doing.

So, folks, let me summarize: We should all be concerned about Omicron but not panicked.  If you’re fully vaccinated, and especially if you got your booster shot, you are highly protected.  And if you’re unvaccinated, you’re at higher risk of getting severely ill from COVID-19, getting hospitalized, and even dying.

So, the best thing to do is get fully vaccinated and get your booster shot.

And, no, this is not March of 2020.  Two hundred million people are fully vaccinated.  We’re prepared.  We know more.  We just have to stay focused.  So that’s where we stand.

Now, let me tell you about the additional steps I’m ordering today to take on what is coming.  I know you’ve heard a lot of this in the news already this morning.

Three weeks ago, I laid out a COVID-19 Action Plan for this winter that prepared us for this moment.  Today, we’re making the plan even stronger.

First, we’re setting up our vaccination and booster efforts — we’re stepping it up significantly.  In the past two weeks, we’ve seen the highest vaccination rates since last spring.  And we aren’t as vaccinated, as a country, as we should be, though.  That’s why we have added 10,000 new vaccination sites on top of the 80,000 sites that are already we had — we already had in place, and even more will open in January. 

I know there are some parts of this country where people are very eager to get their booster, where it’s harder to get an appointment.  Excuse me.  (Coughs.)

So starting this week, I’ll be deploying hundreds more vaccinators and more sites to help get the booster shots in people’s arms. 

I’ve ordered FEMA — the Federal Emergency Management Agency –- to stand up new pop-up vaccination clinics all across the country where you can get that booster shot.

We’ve opened — (coughs) — excuse me — we’ve opened FEMA vaccination sites in Washington State and New Mexico recently as cases have increased.  And today, I’m directing FEMA to stand up new sites in areas where there is high demand.

These steps are going to help us add more — more and more booster appointments in over — just over the next few weeks. 

I also want to say a word to parents: If your children are not vaccinated, please get them vaccinated.  If you’re a parent -– understandably — who waited to see how the first shots went with other kids before getting your own kid vaccinated, you can stop waiting.  Six million children in our country ages 5 to 11 are vaccinated.  Get your children protected today — now.

And for those parents out there who have a child that’s too young to be vaccinated — that is under the age of five — I know this can still be a scary time.  But one thing — one thing you can and must do while we await vaccines for children under five: Get yourself fully vaccinated and boosted, as well as those around you — your children, your caregivers, your siblings.

It’s critical to mask up in public indoor places.

We know that our youngest children have only rarely been impacted by serious COVID cases — COVID-19 cases, but they can be further protected if they’re surrounded by vaccinated people.

And again, to folks who are not vaccinated: You may think you’re putting only yourself at risk, but it’s your choice.  Your choice is not just a choice about you; it affects other people.  You’re putting other people at risk — your loved ones, your friends, neighbors, strangers you run into.  And your choice can be the difference between life or death.

The longer the virus is around, the more likely variants form that may be deadlier than the ones that have come before.

Let me say again and again and again and again: Please get vaccinated.  It’s the only responsible thing to do.  And those who are not vaccinated are causing hospitals to overrun — become overrun again.

I just spoke to the governor of New York.  Every COVID-19 hospital [hospitalization] means someone with a heart attack, cancer, or other serious illness may not get that bed and that lifesaving care they need in the hospital.

Look, let me give it to you straight again: Omicron is serious, potentially deadly business for unvaccinated people.

Let me be clear: Thanks to the prior administration and our scientific community, America is one of the first countries to get the vaccine.  And thanks to my administration and the hard work of Americans, we led a rollout that made America among the world leaders in getting shots in arms. 

But uptake slowed this summer as vaccine resistance among some hardened.  Look, the unvaccinated are responsiblefor their own choices.  But those choices have been fueled by dangerous misinformation on cable TV and social media.

You know, these companies and personalities are making money by peddling lies and allowing misinformation that can kill their own customers and their own supporters.

It’s wrong, it’s immoral, and I call on the purveyors of these lies and misinformation to stop it.  Stop it now.

One of the other things that we know that has to be done is more testing.  Because Omicron spreads easily, especially among the unvaccinated, it’s critically important that we know who’s infected.  That means we need more testing.

And on that score, we are now [not] where we should be.

Yes, we have over 20,000 free testing sites.  Yes, we’ve used the Defense Production Act and spent $3 billion to greatly expand the number of at-home tests available for purchase online and at your local pharmacy.  And, yes, we’ve made sure insurance covers the PCR tests you get in a hospital or at your doctor’s office. 

But, starting next month, private insurance will all cover — also cover at-home testing so you can order a test online and get reimbursed.  We’re providing access to free at-home tests for those who may have insurance as well — may not have insurance, I should say, as well. 

But it’s not enough.  We have to do more.  We have to do better, and we will.

Starting this week, the federal government will set up emergency testing sites in areas that need additional testing capacity.  Before Christmas, the first several of these federal testing sites will be up and running in New York City with many more to come. 

This free testing is going to help reduce the waiting lines — the time you have to stand there and — and sometimes it’s an hour or more.

We’re going to continue to add federal testing sites where needed so that if you want an immediate test, there will be a place where you can go get it.

We also need to do better with at-home testing.  So, I’m announcing today: The federal government will purchase one half billion — that’s not million; billion with a “B” — additional at-home rapid tests, with deliveries starting in January. 

We’ll be getting these tests to Americans for free.  And we’ll have websites where you can get them delivered to your home. 

We have arranged for it to be easier for you to find a free COVID testing site near you on Google.  Just enter “COVID test near me” in the Google search bar and you can find a number of different locations nearby where you can get tested.

And we’re going to continue to use the Defense Production Act as we did earlier this month to make sure we’re producing as many tests and as quickly as possible. 

The bottom line is it’s a lot better than it was, but we’re taking even more steps to make it easier to get tested and get tested for free. 

Next, we are preparing hospitals for what’s coming.  Those 40 [million] unvaccinated adults have a good chance of getting COVID-19, and some of you will get very sick.  That will mean hospitals are going to get extremely stressed — extremely stressed again, both in terms of equipment as well as personnel to care for those who get sick.

That’s why my administration has stockpiled and pre-positioned millions of gowns, gloves, masks, and ventilators.  We used to call it PPP [PPE].  We’re ready to send them immediately to any state that needs more.

In addition, I have directed the Pentagon to mobilize an additional 1,000 troops to be deployed to help staff local hospitals and expand capacity.  That’s 1,000 military doctors, nurses, and medics.  We’ve already started moving — military — excuse me, medical teams.  They’ve already landed in Wisconsin and Indiana this week.

And this is on top of 300 federal medical — medical personnel that are now on the ground, having deployed since we learned about Omicron. 

Look, while we know staffing is the biggest need for our hospitals, some may need more beds as well.  We’re prepared.  I’ve directed FEMA to activate the National Response Center and begin deploying teams now to provide additional hospital beds.  We’ll begin to construct emergency capacity near hospitals, in parking garages, and nearby buildings to be ready if needed.

And the fuderal [sic] — the federal government is paying for all of this — period — all of it. 

Further, FEMA will deploy hundreds of ambulances and EMS crews so that if one hospital fills up, we can transport patients to beds elsewhere. 

This week, we will send dozens of ambulances to New York and Maine, because of the — because the COVID is spreading very rapidly, to help transport patients. 

Our doctors, nurses, hospital staffs have gone above and beyond during this pandemic.  The strain and stress is real.  I really mean it.  It’s real.  And we’ll have their backs though.  We have to let them know we have their backs. 

Finally, we’re making sure that COVID-19 no longer closes businesses or schools.  Last week, the federal court reinstated my administration’s vaccination-or-test — the vaccination-or-test rule for businesses with more than 100 employees. 

The rule requires employers with 100 or more employeesto protect their workers who are on site and indoors with a requirement that they be vaccinated or tested each week or go home.

These rules are going to keep workers safe.  And keep workers safe will help keep businesses open.  If people are vaccinated or tested, they are much less likely to get sick and less likely to spread it to others.  Customers are more likely to come in and shop because they know it’s a safe environment.

I know vaccination requirements are unpopular for many.  They’re not even popular for those who are anxious to get them. 

But my administration has put them in place not to control your life, but to save your life and the lives of others.  Over 400,000 Americans died from COVID this calendar year — and almost all were unvaccinated, almost all were preventable.

The rule is legal and effective, and it’s going to save thousands of American lives. 

We must also keep our K-12 schools open.  Look, the science is clear and overwhelming.  We know how to keep our kids safe from COVID-19 in school.  K-through-12 schools should be open.  And that safety is increased if schools require all adults who work in the schools to get vaccinated and take the safety measures that CDC has recommended, including masking.

I got Congress to pass billions of dollars in school improvements, ventilation, and social distancing.  Schools should be safer than ever from COVID-19.

And just Friday, the CDC issued test-to-stay guidelines, so schools can stay open and kids can stay in class even if a classmate tests positive. 

COVID-19 is scary.  But the science is clear: Children are as safe as — are — as safe in school as they are anyplace, assuming the appropriate precautions have been taken, and they’ve already been funded.

Let me close with this: I know you’re tired — I really mean this — and I know you’re frustrated.  We all want this to be over.  But we’re still in it, and this is a critical moment.  But we also have more tools than we’ve ever had before.

We’re ready.  We’ll get through this.

As we head into the holidays, I want us to all keep the faith.

I want to sincerely thank you for your perseverance, your courage, your countless acts of kindness, love, and sacrifice during these last two years. 

Throughout our history, we’ve been tested as a people and as a nation.  Through war and turmoil, we had to ask whether we’d be safe, whether we’d be okay, whether we’d be — get back to who we are.

We’ve always endured because we remember there is no challenge too big for America — I mean this from the bottom of my heart — no challenge.

We’ve come through better and stronger because we stay together as the United States of America.

That’s what we have to keep doing today.  We can do this together, I guarantee you.

May God bless you all, and may God protect our troops.  And happy holidays.  God love you all.  Thank you.

Q    Mr. President, on testing, sir, you said, “We have to do better.”  But public health officials have been saying, for months, you need to surge rapid test for just this moment. 

Is it a failure that you don’t have an adequate amount of tests for everyone to be able to get one if they need one right now?

THE PRESIDENT:  No, it’s not, because COVID is spreading so rapidly, if you notice.  It just — just happened almost overnight, just in the last month.  And —

Q    What’s your message —

THE PRESIDENT:  I’m going to answer his question.

Q    Mr. Pres- —

THE PRESIDENT:  And so, no, it’s not a failure, but the alarm bell went off.  I don’t think anybody anticipated that this was going to be as rapidly spreading as it did. 

And so, the question is: We had a lot of people who have access to a test, who could order them, could — could have their insurance pay for them, et cetera. 

But it all started — all of a sudden, it was like everybody rushed to the counter.  There was a big, big rush.  And I knew that was coming, so what I tried to do is meet with the companies and use the Defense Production Act to get a half a billion more tests and figure out how to get them to their homes, get them on the shelves in the store. 

I mean, so that — that’s what it’s all about.

Yes?

Q    Mr. President, what’s your message to Americans who are trying to get tested now and who are not able to get tested and who are wondering what took so long to ramp up testing?

THE PRESIDENT:  Come on.  What took so long? 

Q    That’s what — I’m hearing that from people who are trying to get tested now before the holidays. 

THE PRESIDENT:  Well, what took so long is — it didn’t take long at all.  What happened was the Omicron virus spread even more rapidly than anybody thought. 

If I had told you four weeks ago that this would spread by — a day-to-day basis it would spread by 50, 100 percent, 200 percent, 500 percent, I think you would have looked at me and say, “Biden, what are you drinking?”  But that’s what it did. 

Now, we don’t know what’s going to happen from here.  It looks — there’s some evidence that, in South Africa where a lot of this started, that it’s dropping off quickly, too.  We don’t know. 

But I do know that we’re not going to be in a position, like I said when we — remember we were having a problem with masks and gowns and the like?  I said, “I promise you.” 

Remember the critici- — I got questions from some of you.  “Why are you still paying for all these masks and gowns?  Why you stockpiling this?”  Because we don’t know.  It turns out we’re going to need them.

In the back, and then —

Q    Do travel bans work, sir, and will you reverse the travel ban now that Omicron is so prevalent here in the U.S.?

THE PRESIDENT:  I’m considering reversing.  I’m going to talk with my team in the next couple of days. 

Look, remember why I said we put the travel ban on: It’s to see how much time we had before it hit here so we could begin to decide what we needed by looking at what’s happening in other countries. 

And — but we’re past that now.  And so, it’s something that is being raised with me by the docs, and I’ll have an answer for that soon

Last prior installment:

Pandemic Part 7. The Litigation Edition

Wednesday, October 20, 2021

Supply Chain Disruption and Other Economic Problems


This past week was another one for which the weekend news shows are well worth watching.

Both Meet The Press and This Week dealt with the economy and what's going on with it. Part of what's going on is inflation, which, in spite of earlier Administration projections, is becoming a problem.

Part of that problem has been caused by "supply chain disruptions".  Both shows, both of which featured Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, agreed on this point. The problem seems to have been caused by people basically foregoing purchases of many things "during" the still ongoing pandemic, and then seeking to buy them all at once.  The Port of Los Angeles can't get all the stuff unloaded.  It's now gone to twenty-four hours per day operations, which surprises me actually as I would have thought it already had that.  

Port of Los Angeles.

So, while nobody is putting it this way, this is in part what happens when your own country no longer makes anything itself and instead relies upon China to produce everything.

There's discussion of calling out the California National Guard to act as dockworkers, which would suck if you were in the Californian National Guard.

That's not all of it, however.  Added to this is the post Covid change in how American's view work.

There are presently 11,000,000 unfilled jobs in the United States.  These are jobs that were filled before the COVID Recession.  People aren't going back to work.

And laborers are also demanding better wages and benefits in order to do the work they're doing.

This represents a dual fundamental shift in the thinking of the American work force.  Part of it is old-fashioned, and part not so much.

As for better wages and benefits, following the Reagan Administration and the economic woes of the 1970s, American labor really faded from the scene as an organized entity.  Of course, we lost a lot of labor to overseas as well.  Now the remaining labor is fed up and taking advantage of the situation, for which it cannot be blamed.

The second part of this situation, however, is remarkable.  Forced out of work during the pandemic, stay homes, lots of people discovered that modern American work sucks. They don't want to go back, as their lives were better without the work.

Some of those who don't want to go back are truck drivers. The country is short 20,000 truck drivers right now.


In recent years the country has actually imported a lot of truck drivers, something the general public seems largely unaware of.  Anymore, when I read the names of people involved in truck driving accidents, I expect the drivers to be Russian, and I'm actually surprised when they are not.   What happened here overall isn't clear to me, but over the last fifteen years technology has developed to where it's much easier for trucking companies to keep tabs on their truckers while on the road and things have gotten safer. At the same time, this means, as it always has, but perhaps more so, that these guys live on the road.  According to Buttigieg the industry has an 80% annual turnover rate.

An 80% annual turnover rate doesn't sound even remotely possible to me, but that there's a high one wouldn't surprise me.  It's a dangerous job and contrary to what people like to imagine, it doesn't really pay the drivers that well as a rule, or at least fairly often.  Often the drivers are "owner operators" who own their own super expensive semi tractor and who are leasing it to the company they are driving for.  That in turn means that they're often making hefty payments on the truck.  I don't blame anyone for not wanting to do it.

I can blame the nation for putting itself in this situation, however.

Trucking is a subsidized industry, but people don't think of it that way.  Its primary competitor is rail. Railroads put in their own tracks and maintain their own railroad infrastructure. When you see a train, everything you were looking at, from the rails to the cars, were purchased by private enterprise. When you seem a semi tractor, however, it's always traveling on a public conveyance.


It's doing that fairly inefficiently compared to rail.  Rail is incredibly cheap on a cost per mile basis, and it's actually incredibly "green" as well.  It's efficient.  Trucks are nowhere near as efficient in any fashion.  Not even in employment of human resources.  Trains have, anymore, one or two men crews, the same as semi trucks, but they're hauling a lot more per mile than trucks are with just two men.

Well, sooner or later people are going to have to return to work.  When the money runs out, that's the choice you have.

But this isn't going to return to normal. Whether we'll stabilize soon in a new economy, and we better hope that we do, or keep on enduring this, which will be wiping out savings and destroying earning capacity, remains to be seen.  The current Administration will be a key to that. 

Biden can't be blamed for the current economic situation.  And people who seem to think that Trump did all things well should be aware that we'd be looking at this if Trump had won the election.  But what the government can do now is really screw things up for a long time.

Part of screwing things up would be to invest heavily in nonsensical "infrastructure" spending.  Right now in Congress there remains a massive infrastructure bill that would fund lots of construction in an economy in which there's a shortage of laborers, not a surplus.  Where are those workers going to come from?

Well, they'll only come with much higher wages, which is inflationary.

And frankly a lot of this spending is misplaced.  Spending on "roads and bridges" particularly is. That's part of the problem, not part of the solution to anything.  A "supply chain" based on highways was never a good idea, and its weakness is now demonstrated.  And frankly, roads and bridges are mostly a local problem.

Of course, it might be pointed out, the Federal government had a big role in causing those roads and bridges to come in. That's both true and untrue. When you look at big urban bridges, those mostly were local money.  States and cities that funded those bridges don't, apparently, have the money to maintain them, which is a local problem.

But Federal highway funding does certainly exist, having really started in small but significant ways as far back as the 19th Century. The Cumberland Road was authorized by Congress in the pre railroad days of 1806.  Others followed, and then rail received a lot of support when it was first going transcontinental. So it can be justly maintained that there's never really been a time when the US government didn't have a role in transportation.

It was the early 20th Century, however, when Congress started to encourage highways. It soon followed the automobile.  The Lincoln Highway was the first big national effort at that, as we've discussed on this site and elsewhere.

This is a monument to one of the founders of the Lincoln Highway, located along its successor, Interstate 80.  The art deco memorial was created in 1938, the "L" cement markers are markers for the Lincoln Highway that can be found here and there along its route.
While this blog started out with war memorials, it's covered quite a few trail markers over the years, and indeed I will now be adding that as a category here, meaning I have to go back and edit quite a few old posts.  This marker, however, is only the second one I've posted on any of my blogs to highways, the other being the Black and Yellow Road near Gillette.
This marker is quite elaborate and very nice, being both a suitable marker for the Lincoln Highway and a nice example of an art deco piece of art.
Wyoming has also commemorated the highway, the noted individual, and the marker, with its own highway sign.
All of this is located at the same rest stop on Albany County that the Lincoln Memorial is located at.  Of note, this marker was moved from its original location, which might have been one that was preferred by the individual commemorated by the marker.

The Lincoln Highway ran, at least in Wyoming, right astride the Union Pacific, the original transcontinental railway.  This isn't surprising either as that followed the route used by the 1919 Motor Transport Convey when it did an experimental cross-country trek showing that the nation's roads were, well, junk, at least in the west.  That experiment lead in no small part to the funding of the Lincoln Highway.  Be that as it may, the nation's roads were still too dicey to be used for real transcontinental transportation, as the Second World War demonstrated.  

Things moved by train.

Following the war, however, President Eisenhower sought to change that with the Defense Highway system, which the nation's cynics, myself included, have always maintained was just a thin excuse to get highway funding done, as in the 1950s, with the Red Army on everyone's mind, you just didn't vote against a thing like that.  So we got interstate highways and with them, you got a teamster supplied nation.  You also got an annual bill as, unlike the railroads, they were public conveyances that had to keep being paid for by somebody.

So now we have them well established, but the days of Convoy are over, and the driver is as likely to be a displaced Ukrainian baker as a cowboy hat wearing part-time farmer.  In 1964 the Willis Brothers sang Give Me Forty Acres To Turn This Rig Around.  The drivers didn't get heir 40 acres, but a lot of them have apparently gotten sick of the job.

And it even, apparently extends down to local hauling.  Massachusetts called out the National Guard to serve as school bus drivers, a call-up that would suck nearly as much as being called out to be a dockworker.

Electrifying the rail system, however, would be a really good idea.  I don't see anyone purposing that, however.  If you don't have drivers for trucks, well haul things by train, and start funding that as part of the infrastructure bill.  That would more or less take us back to the hauling infrastructure that existed before the mid 1950s, but in a more modern, clean, and more efficient way.

Probably not going to happen.

Predictably Buttigieg, who is just back to work from being off for family leave, is pushing Biden's "paid family leave" as a partial solution.  That's doubly wrong.

Paid family leave, of course, is paid for by employers.   Indeed, in some unionized occupations this has been a recent point of negotiations, which is fine.  That's where that belongs.  Otherwise, what it amounts to is compulsory employer subsidization of forced female employment.

Nobody, of course, will say that, even though it's completely true.

The official line on this left wing concept is that.  Make employers pay employees family leave when they have children, or adopt a child, or sometimes something else.  Usually this has been spoken of in regard to female employees, but in the new false genderless era in which the science of baby making has been lost and babies suddenly materialize out of the ether, and human reproductive organs are simply toys, like the Atari control stick or something, its male or female.  Then, having secured family leave, the parent doesn't have to make the painful decision on whether to return immediately to work after having had, or acquired, the child, or staying home with the infant.

All that of course is a completely erroneous way of looking at this topic.

To start with, people want to stay home with their infant as they love their infant.  Prior to the second half of the 20th Century the forced industrial bargain was that men didn't get to stay home, but women could.  Prior to industrialization people simply lived with their families, as nature would have it.  The industrial revolution couldn't tolerate that, so men, the stronger part of the couple, was drug out and away from home to work and "be the breadwinner" while women still largely stayed home with their families, save for poor women who worked as well.  Mid 20th Century feminism, however,r bought hook line and sinker into the industrial line, probably not too surprisingly as all left wing thought in the early 20th Century was heavily industrial in its outlook, and thought that happiness meant being in the work place.

Turns out it's not, and COVID laid the lie bare.

Anyhow, that old fable keeps on keeping on in liberal circles, so they keep pushing this industrial idea.  The basic gist of it is "get to work, female wage slave, and leave that waling infant at home or in the collective child warehousing center. . . "

Now, nobody wants to say that, and most don't even think it, but that's the reality of it.  So is this:

Kay (momma of two)
@jacelala
I don’t want to work. I want to be home with my baby and I can’t afford it. I hate that. I hate it so much.

Now, thanks to COVID 19, a lot of women have effectively voted with Kay (momma of two) with their feet. They aren't coming back. And forced infant warehousing funding isn't going to change that.

But to the extent it did, and for various reasons it would somewhat, it'd be inflationary.  People would take the leave, employers would pay for, and pass the cost of a non-working employee on to the consumer.  The Transportation Secretary probably didn't realize that, although he should have as he received a taxpayer subsidized period of time off from working.  Somebody paid for that.

Well former Mayor Pete wants to "build back better".

Or maybe President Biden does. That's part of the sale pitch for the infrastructure bill, the future of which is now in doubt.

Okay, so be smart about that.  And so far, we've indicated what one of those smart things is.  Rail transportation, and electric rail transportation at that.

Another smart thing, or in the vernacular "better" thing, would be not relying on a 19,270 nautical mile transportation run to a Communist country with a government that's destined to collapse sometime in the next tent to twenty years.

We only buy from China, we'd note, as the country's leaders from both parties, from the most part, have engaged in a quiet policy of exporting jobs to wherever basic production is cheapest, and its cheapest, right now, in China.

It's not cheapest in China as China has any sort of free market economy.  It has a command economy that is at least somewhat analogous to Lenin's NEP.  Given as it and depress wages to achieve its goals, it's cheap.

The US population has no vested interest in propping up the Chinese command economy at all.  There's a basic human interest in seeing that everyone, everywhere, receives a fair wage. That can only come from one of the various free market systems.  Therefore, if we're not going to make it here, we ought to buy it from folks who adhere to that basic system. Preferably, we ought to buy stuff from people working in that basic environment who also have the same basic set of economic, labor and environmental rules we do. That would be fair trade.  

That's not what we're doing.

I'll skip how we could assure that, but we could assure that. Various administrations just rather didn't, as they were okay with cheap costs, not matter what that meant.

If we had done that, a lot of our manufacturing base would never have left. And the part that did would probably have gone south, to Mexico, and probably further south than that as well.

Mexico's achieved a modern middle-class economy, but you have to wonder if it would have achieved it earlier if a true fair trade policy had been the policy of the US.  Mexico's economy may have now been much like ours, and for that matter, the rest of Central America's might be better.

And we wouldn't have a giant bottleneck at the Port of Los Angeles now.  For that matter, we might not have a giant immigration crisis going on either.

Which I suppose bring us to our having depressed wages through a policy of ignoring illegal immigration now kicking us in the teeth.

This has been going on for quite some time with the net result that we now have 12,000,000 illegal aliens in the country.  This is a separate topic, but it's bound to be the case that somebody will say that if we have 11,000,000 unfilled jobs and 12,000,000 illegal aliens, what that shows is that we need an even more unsustainable immigration rate. Quite the opposite is true.

The giant immigration rate, legal and illegal, has had the impact of unnaturally depressing wages in the construction industry, farm economy and service industries. All of these industries would have had higher pay rates for decades but for the high immigration rate, with the wage depression being particularly true in the case of those working illegally.  It's not that Americans wouldn't have taken these jobs. .. we know for certain that Americans have been taking a lot of jobs they really didn't like, its that they wouldn't take them at the low pay scale that was being offered.

If those jobs had paid a basic American pay rate, Americans would have taken them. That would have meant that the economic impact would have been adjusted decades ago, with a probable result that average wages were higher and very high pay rates were lower, both of which would have been a net benefit, at least from distributist terms for the economy.  So here too we're dealing with decades of neglect, but not of road sand bridges that local governments could have addressed, if they needed to, but with a complete lack of an honest approach to the immigration system, one that would have brought many fewer people in, and have actually enforced the laws that were there.  This of course has also given us a massive humanitarian crisis, inflicted problems on our neighbors, and presented a massive moral dilemma for those now in power.  Building back better would probably mean looking honestly to the south towards our neighbors, rather than simply hoping to "out compete" a nation on another continent whose government will ultimately collapse but which right now has a command economy, but that doesn't even seem to have entered anyone's thoughts.

What also doesn't seem to be entering people's thoughts, at least around here, is that some things can be addressed locally.

We read an article elsewhere that beef producers in Nebraska are organizing to build a packing plant. Food prices, including meat prices, are up, but as usual, stockmen aren't seeing the benefit of it.

So why not cut out the middle man, the packing industry?  This can obviously be done, and elsewhere they are doing it.

And the state could help.

Rather than violently hurl money at fruitless lawsuits, which the state has been good at doing recently, why not instead have the state build a packing plant and organize it like South Dakota Cement or Dakota Mills?

Gasp, the reaction may be, that would be socialism!

Well, it need not be.  It could simply be an investment by the state in a cooperative effort with the ownership to be transferred to participating stockmen.  It'd be fairly easy to do.  We've addressed it elsewhere and this would be the time to do it.  Retail prices are high, ranchers don't see the benefit of that, cutting out the middleman would help.

But I'm sure we won't be doing that.

The legislature, of course, is going into a special session.  There it's going to look at illegal bills to address OSHA mandates on vaccination that haven't even come into effect yet.  A rational look at that would reveal that this will accomplish nothing, other than adding the expense of legal defenses of all sorts to the state's bills for taking an act calculated not to work.  Instead of doing what it's going to do, the legislature could look around and do something about the times we do live in, and try to take advantage of them.  But it won't, as those who want to protest the upcoming mandates will be fired up about that instead.

Wednesday, August 4, 2021

Casualties of the COVID Recession Part II

November 7, 2020

We start this entry off with some good news.  The unemployment rate has fallen to 6.9%

For years, 7% was regarded as statistical full employment.  So, in spite of some parts of the country reeling under the Coronavirus pandemic spiking in their region, unemployment is going down.

The ironies and oddities of this story are almost too thick to cut.  President Trump just went down in defeat in the General Election in part due to his handling of the pandemic.  While pollsters lost a lot of credit this election, it's generally been the case that going into the election it was felt that the strong economy, pre pandemic, would have carried him through the fall.  Assuming that's true, the economy did prove to be remarkably sound, as he maintained in the campaign, as it rebounded quickly, but just too late to aid him, maybe.

Additionally, part of the rebound is undoubtedly due to pandemic fatigue and that local Governors, who have been in control of individual state responses, do not have the political wills to shut anything back down.  Trump never wanted to.  That may have had a really pronounced human cost, however.

Anyhow, the economy appears to be recovering.

November 15, 2020

Guitar Center, a national musical instrument retailer, is filing for bankruptcy.

The company's debt problems have been long term and, therefore, this can't be directly tied to the pandemic.  Indeed, I'd have thought that the sale of musical instruments might have increased while people have been stuck at home.

November 17, 2020

Governor Gordon announced $500,000,000 in budget cuts. The move still leave the state in a deficit spending situation.

While almost all departments, including the University of Wyoming, received cuts, there were things that notable did not, including the Governor's clean coal program and the lawsuit regarding coal access to ports. These were probably left intact in hopes that they'd pay off in the future.

The remaining $300,000,000 deficit is attributable to K-12 education costs, which are constitutionally protected.

This deserves a separate thread, which will be posted later.

December 10, 2020

Not really directly related, but something that's related to something getting a lot use in the current era, the Federal Government launched anti trust litigation against Facebook.  48 states are also parties with the Federal Government in the action.

December 13, 2020

UCLA economists predict a gloomy economic winter followed by a roaring post vaccine spring in which the economy will go from bad to good, and remain good, for a period of years.

January 6, 2021

The price of oil hit an eleven year high following a Saudi Arabian agreement to cut their production of oil.

European stock markets climbed yesterday where as American ones fell following early indications that the Republicans had probably lost the Senate.

January 20, 2021

FedEx is cutting 6,300 jobs in Europe. The jobs are being lost as FedEx consolidates its purchase of a competitor, TNT.

January 30, 2021

Toys R US closed its last two stores in the United States.

July 22, 2021

We probably ought to start a new one of these, as we aren't in a recession anymore, but as this was the last general economic thread, we'll start here.

Ford has ceased production of its new Bronco line of 4x4s due to material shortages.

General Motors has ceased production of trucks for the same reasons.

Across the nation, at the same time, small employers of certain types are reporting that employees laid off during the pandemic are not returning to work.

July 27, 2021

Airlines are concerned about a lack of aviation fuel.  This has been caused by supply chain issues and an increased demand due to fire fighting requirements.

August 4, 2021

The CDC has reimposed a moratorium on evictions due to the pandemic.

The prior moratorium was statutorily imposed.  It's quite questionable whether or not the CDC  has the authority to unilaterally impose a moratorium.

Prior and related threads:

Subsidiarity Economics. The times more or less locally.


Casualties of the COVID Recession