Showing posts with label China. Show all posts
Showing posts with label China. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

Friday, October 13, 1911. Reactions to Revolution.

A company of Marines landed at Hankou, in Hubei, to protect the property and employees of the Standard Oil Company as the revolution in China started to spread.

Qing Dynasty Minister of War Prince Yin-chang secretly requested Japanese assistance in putting down the ongoing nationalist uprising.

Prince Arthur, Duke of Connaught and Strathearn, was sworn in as the new Governor General of Canada.

Ford Motors opened its first plant in the United Kingdom.

President William Howard Taft at the laying of the cornerstone for the Oakland City Hall, Oakland, California on October 13, 1911

Mendocino Coast, October 13, 1911.

'Mid the redwoods of Mendocino County, California, October 13, 1911.


Wendling (now Navarro), California, October 13, 1911.

Last edition:

Thursday, October 12, 1911. Revolution in China spreads.

Monday, October 12, 2026

Thursday, October 12, 1911. Revolution in China spreads.

Hubei provinces assembly voted to secede from the Chinese Empire and form a republic.  

Colonel Li Yuanhong announced the overthrow of the Qing dynasty and the cities of Hangkow and Hanyang were occupied by the rebels.


The Society of American Indians held its organizing convention, in Columbus, Ohio.


Last edition:

Wednesday, October 11, 1911. First MVPs.

Wars and Rumors of War, 2026. Part 8. Donald Trump, China's (and Russia's) greatest ally edition.

You will hear of wars and rumors of wars, but see to it that you are not alarmed. Such things must happen, but the end is still to come. Nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom

Matthew, Chapter 24.

Stupidity is a more dangerous enemy of the good than malice.

Dietrich Bonhoeffer

July 26, 2026

China v. Taiwan

The Houthis hit oil infrastructure in Saudi Arabia yesterday.

News reports hold that the administration has put on hold an escalation of the war due to a shortage of air defense munitions.  Savvy analysts, including yours truly, have been warning about that occurring for months, and not it's here.

So, in keeping with that, a prediction.

This is also likely a moment that Putin and Xi have been waiting for as well.  Our weapons stockpile has been built up over years, and now we've wasted it on a war fought for Israel and Trump's vanity.  Both Putin and Xi know that the next President, assuming at Trump 2028 coup to be unsuccessful, and assuming that we don't have another President before 2028, is much less likely to be a complete patsy and geopolitical dimwit.  

For Russia, that means Russia needs to fight on in hopes it can win before the next administration comes on.  For Xi, that means the time to invade Taiwan is. . . now.

July 29, 2026

Russo Ukrainian War

The U.S. Senate advanced Russian energy sanctions legislation Tuesday as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy visited the Capitol. The vote was seen as a tribute to the bill’s author, the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, on the day of his funeral, which was widely attended by politicos. 

Trump fell asleep during it as J. D. Vance seemed oblivious to the dozing octogenarian and Bessent looked nervous about it, but then he always looks nervous.

July 31, 2026

Israeli Hamas War

The Bored of Peas has supposedly worked out a peace plan in Gaza.  Sober analysts a 4th Grade level have severe doubts about it.

August 1, 2026

Russo Ukrainian War

Now Trump is backtracking and saying the US won't license Patriot missile production to Ukraine.

August 2, 2026

Russo Ukrainian War

Ukraine has run out of ballistic missile interceptors.  This comes at the same time that the US supply is seriously depleted due to Donald Trump's illegal moronic war against Iran.

King Donny should free up what remains of the US supply and give them to Ukraine, and start emergency production for the US.  As for Iran, we can solve that problem simply by pulling out.  Better yet, pulling out, putting every senior commander who agreed to fight in a clearly illegal war on trial, and impeaching Donald Trump.

Crisis in Ceuta

Not a war but requiring Spanish military deployment, a mass flood of immigrants crashed into the Spanish North African city of Ceuta.

About 50,000 North African immigrants stormed the city, leading to dramatic news footage and MAGA "see, it could happen here" claims.  Missed in the story is that 48,000 of them returned to Morocco within 48 hours.

A bigger question may be why Spain retains a city that you would figure should be part of Morocco, but it does.

Italy defensively suspended the EU's border-free Schengen arrangements with Spain.

August 10, 2026

Israel v. Hamas.

Israel had rejected the "Board of Peace" peace plan, refusing to enter into a peace deal with Hamas until it is definitely disarmed.

Another blow to King Donny.

August 17, 2026

Russo Ukrainian War

Both sides exchanged heavy missile and drone attacks yesterday.  A NATO jet on patrol shot down a drone that had strayed into Romania.  

August 18, 2026

Russo Ukrainian War

Robert Shaheiev, 49, formerly of the Ukrainian Navy who defected to Russia early in the war died in an explosion in Sevastopol.

Whether he was targeted or not, Ukrainian operatives have proven effective at hunting down figures in the Russian military that they find particularly responsible for various matters.  Shaheiev defected with a submarine.

Korean War

Donald Trump has signaled that the US is going to scale back it's participation in joint exercises with the South Korean Army.

What's going on here is terribly unclear.  The US has maintained troops in the ROK since the 1945 and the threat of North Korean invasion is very real.  

I should note that this isn't entirely unprecedented.  Jimmy Carter actually campaigned on the idea in 1976 and tried to implement a phased withdrawal, which was abandoned over conservative and military objections.  Since the 1980s, military support of South Korea has been very strong.

Trumps move comes at a time when the US is losing an illegal war with Iran and is having to pull naval assets out of the Pacific.  It also comes at a point at which the longtime Red Chinese goal of forcibly reunited Taiwan with the mainland is at its highest point. Combined with that, Trump's administration is packed with National Conservatives who have a sort of Neo Nineteenth Century view of where the U.S.'s foreign policy should be focused.

Given that, Trump's decision could be the result of his listening to National Conservatives, or it could be because or logistical situation is much worse than admitted.

It could also be because South Korea refused to participate in the illegal war, like every other nation on earth did.  Trump has not taken that well.  Nobody seems to be pointing out that South Korea did participate in the Vietnam War, which Trump did not.  Trump himself, at any rate, referenced South Korea's lack of willingness to get into the losing war with Iran.

Because of Trump's other actions, however, there's widespread commentary about whether Trump is a Russian asset and this is influencing him on the world stage.  As radical as that sounds, there are reason to raise this question.  Certainly no other President has hurt US interest, and just the US in general, more than Trump, and he's a fanboy of Putin.

We've noted it elsewhere, but we've been worried about a Chinese strike on Taiwan in the near future.  The combination of the failed Iran War and Trump's other actions make that inevitable . The question is whether that will come this Fall, or next Spring.

September 4, 2026

Russo Ukrainian War

In an attack Ukraine is an intentional Russian signal to the United States, Russia hit a Coca Cola plant in a drone strike.

Speaker of the House Mike Johnson has killed a House vote on Lindsey Graham’s Russia sanctions bill which passed the Senate in July, stating “We have to build consensus around that final product".

Oh, um, . . . not hat doesn't look a little weird. . . .  and doesn't raise any questions, um, like  Дональд Трамп — агент России?

What is it with this administration and Russia?  Why is Дональд Трамп a Russian asset?  Just stupidity and a like for flashy gold things?

September 20, 2026

Russo Ukrainian War

Ukraine launched a massive drone raid on targets in the Moscow region.

September 22, 2026

Pakistan v. Afghanistan

Pakistan conducted air raids into Afghanistan yesterday.

October 1, 2026

US in Iraq

The U.S. is now completely out of Iraq.

October 4, 2026

Russo Ukrainian War

Russia hit Ukrainian bridges over the past few days.  This appears to be an economic targeting.

Russia also indicated it would resort to the use of nuclear weapons to defend Kaliningrad if it needed to, which it would never need to, as nobody is threatening the Baltic city formerly known as Königsberg.

October 5, 2026

Russia

Darya Shipilova, patient 0 in what hopefully is contained quickly.  May the perpetual light shine upon her.

Darya Shipilova, a 28-year-old researcher at an anti-plague lab died following suspected exposure to a “particularly dangerous infection.” which people believe is likely pneumonic plague.  Some 200 people are under observation for exposure to the highly infectious disease which might have killed the young woman due to a lab accident.

Some fairly knowledgeable people assert that there's reason to believe that this may be a weaponized variant of the disease, which the Soviets were working on prior to the collapse of the Soviet Union.  Adam Kinzinger is urging all flights out of Russia to be halted.

God grant that this be contained, whatever it is.  

We would note that no country has reacted by banning flights so far.  We might also note that with Trump in office the US is extraordinarily impaired in reacting to a threat like this.  MAGA still continues to believe that COVID 19 was no sort of a threat and it's unlikely that Donald is going to react until it really turns out to be a weaponized virus that starts killing a lot of people.

October 6, 2026

Yemeni Civil War

Yemeni government forces retook the Bab el-Mandeb Strait up to the city of Mocha.

October 11, 2026

Russo Ukrainian War

Over the last couple of days Donald Trump entered into some sort of deal to supposedly purchase Russian diesel fuel.  We reported on this on another thread:




Sigh. . . 

As noted, this isn't going to do anything to the price at the pump and quite frankly it's unlikely any Russian diesel gets here.  The whole idea is amazingly dim.

What it does do, however, is make the United States openly declare assistance to Russia, which is completely inexcusable.  People are negatively reacting and Trump, who hates criticism, lashed out at Zelensky in defense, claiming he could have ended the war on many occasions and that Ukraine needs a new president.

It's the United States that needs a new President.  Like him or not, that man of multiple names would be leagues better than Trump.  Trump should be removed via the 25th Amendment, or if the numbers are there, impeached in January.

October 12, 2026

Russo Ukrainian War

Trump is claiming the warring parties have agreed to an "energy ceasefire".

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said today that he “didn’t know about it. We learned from the media" while the Kremlin stated that ”contacts are ongoing”.

So, no ceasefire.

Ukraine has been hitting refineries as well as  Russian data centers, which caused this interesting observation by Adam Kinzinger:

Weird.  Most of my haters have disappeared in the last 24 hours.  What happened?

Oh…. Russian data centers went bye bye

Related threads:

King Donald's War, Part 10. "If any question why we died, Tell them, because our fathers lied." Donald Trump, the killer edition.

Last edition:

King Donald's War, Part 10. "If any question why we died, Tell them, because our fathers lied." Donald Trump, the killer edition.Labels: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,


Additional Labels:

Monday, September 7, 2026

Tuesday, September 7, 1976. Mao dies.

Chinese Communist leader Mao Zedong died at age 82.

Like all real Communist leaders he was responsible for seas of blood being shed, in his case in China.  His long rise to power featured a very prolonged contest with Chiang Kai-shek, whom he outlived by one year.  

Last edition:

Monday, September 6, 1976. The defection of Viktor Belenko.

Sunday, September 6, 2026

Monday, September 6, 1926. Chiang Kai-shek enters Hankou.

The Kuomintang and the Chiang Kai-shek's National Revolutionary Army, which were essentially the same thing, captured the port of Hankou in Hubei province.

There are real reasons why, in recent years, Chiang has seen a reappraisal of his reputation.  He truly was a major unifying force in warlord era China, and one which, in spite of his later opposition to them, the Chinese Communists would not have prevailed.  His failure to win the later civil war can be debated as to cause.  The country today may bear a closer resemblance to what he envisioned than to what Mao did.

3,000 mourners turned out to observe Rudolph Valentino's funeral train arrive in Los Angeles.

It was Labor Day in the United States.

Last edition:

Sunday, September 5, 1926. British fight at Wanxian.

Saturday, September 5, 2026

Sunday, September 5, 1926. British fight at Wanxian.

The British intervened at Wanxian with bluejackets and marines to rescue the hostages on the Wahnsien and Wantung.  A bombardment by the Royal Navy destroyed more than 1,000 buildings in the city, killed 250 Chinese soldiers and 100 civilians.

The Valentina film The Son of the Sheik was released, making the release of the film a posthumous one.


Last edition:

Tuesday, August 31, 1926. Non aggression pacts and spiffy caps.

Monday, August 31, 2026

Tuesday, August 31, 1926. Non aggression pacts and spiffy caps.

The Soviet Union and Afghan government signed a Pact of Neutrality and Non-Aggression.

General Yang Sen seized the SS Wanhsien for a second time in a week, and captured a second ship. The HMS Cockchafer lacked sufficient bluejackets to intervene, so it radioed for help.


The general would subsequently join the Kuomintang that year and side with Chiang Kai-shek following the latters expulsion of the Communists.  He became a figure in the Nationalist Chinese Army and ended up in exile in Taiwan.

He was also an avid mountaineer.

A polygamist, he had 22 daughters and 21 sons born between 1912 and 1960.  He died in 1977 at age 93.

Shakeups were occuring in Greece due to the recent overthrowal of the military government there, including the sacking of the Army Chief of Staff, Major General Ptolemaios Sarigiannis.


He was imprisoned by the Germans during World War Two and served a role in the post war Greek government.

Last edition:

Monday, August 30, 1926. The end of Italian voting.

Sunday, August 30, 2026

Friday, August 30, 1946. Aircraft to Nationalist China.

The United States agreed to sell surplus military aircraft to the Chinese Nationalist, which brought to an end negotiations that were being conducted by Gen. George C. Marshall between the Chinese Communists and the Nationalist.

It's really doubtful those negotiations would have borne fruit anyhow.  They might have bought time.

At any rate, by the end of the year the US, under Marshall's influence, had suspended supplying the Nationalist in an effort to pressure them into negotiating with the Red Chinese.

The French created the German state of Rheinland-Pflaz.

The film The Killers was released.

Last edition:

Saturday, August 24, 1946. Portents and changes.

Monday, August 17, 2026

CliffsNotes of the Zeitgeist 151st Edition. Дональд Трамп. Нелегалы? Donald Trump, Moscow's man in the White House or just really stupid (probably really stupid)?



Is Donald Trump a Russian agent?

I don't think so, but it's no longer an irrational thing to ask.  Indeed, it has to be at least slightly pondered.

Yesterday Trump announced that the U.S. Army is scaling back on joint exercises with the South Korean Military.  More specifically:


I just think that this shows Trump to be really dumb, something I've been maintaining for awhile. 

But still, consider that North Korea is supplying troops and arms to Russia in Ukraine.  At least at one point, he apparently promised to stop the CIA from monitoring Kim Jong Un (my guess is that the CIA would continue to do it even if ordered to stop).  He's praised the North Korean despot repeatedly.

But then, he's done the same with Putin.  

And the fact of the matter is that he couldn't have done more to harm the US in the globe than he has, even if he was a paid agent.  He's wrecking the US economy, he's destroying our relationship with our allies (our real allies), he's threatened to seize territory belonging to our allies.  He's refused to give Ukraine the full amount of weapons it needs to defend itself, which aids Russia, and he's gotten us into a war which is depleting our supply of air defense munitions at an alarming rate and taxing the abilities of our Navy.

China will take advantage of this.

In order to successfully invade Taiwan, China needs relatively calm weather conditions, which only occur in that region in the spring and fall. Spring is gone, but fall is coming right up.  The war with Iraq that Trump illegally launched will still be going on in October and our supply of anti missile missiles will not have increased a bit by then.  It will likely have have grown worse.  The morale problem in the Navy (assuming its limited to the Navy, which is not a safe assumption) will be worse by October.  

Consider this.

Right now, the US can't be reliably counted on to contest a Chinese invasion of Taiwan at all.  Donald Trump could easily just say "oh, well, we're busy, and things and stuff" and let it happen. Frankly, I'd give less than 50% odds the US would actually attempt to counter a Chinese resumption of active hostilities against Taiwan, and unlike 1949, when the Republicans rallied to "Who lost China?"  the current GOP would just roll over like a wet dog if that occured.

But let's assume that the US attempts to do something.  We are still probably able to counter a Chinese seaborne effort, but we aren't going to be in very good shape to counter a missile offensive.  

Crossing the Taiwan Strait is a massive military undertaking.  Even right now China can probably not pull it off.  But it can try it, and if it does, the US can't endure a protracted aerial campaign.  Its not even showing the ability to do it with Iran, and that war will still be going on.

But let's take it one more step.  Can the US fight a sea and air war against China, an air war against Iran, and a ground invasion by North Korea of South Korea?

It's questionable.  And all those countries know that.

And Putin knows that if that occurs, U.S. aid to Ukraine is over.

The Second World War saw Nazi Germany allied to Imperial Japan and democratic Finland.  Wars make strange bedfellows.  All of these countries have relations with each other, and you can bet they're talking.

So, do I think the American President is some sort of odd agent in Russian employment?  Дональд Трамп.  Нелегалы?  No, I don't, but I do think he's stupid, and that stupidity is having disastrous consequences that are about to get much, much worse.  Much worse by October of this year, or perhaps the spring of next year.  Indeed, waiting it out would make strategic sense for China, while hitting in October would make political sense.

Creepy

Trump's relationship with Natalie Harp is approaching being creepy.

We can assume that Harp is an adoring sycophant, as to be employed by Trump, you have to be.  But still.  She apparently wrote him, stating:" You are all that matters to me." and "I don’t ever want to let you down."

Trump calls her “sweetie".

Okay, that doesn't mean that he's obtaining favors from her, but given Trump's track record, it's going to raise questions.  Trump is rumored to have had an affair with Playboy tart Karen McDougal some 20 years ago, when he was 60.  60 isn't young (trust me, I'm 63) but it isn't old either.  That's the same age he was when he reportedly had a one night stand with Stormy Daniels.  He'd been married in the American context to Melanija Knavs for two years at the time.  So if he quit cheating, we have to assume that at age 60 he was fornicating with women prostituting their image for pay (which he denies) twice and then suddenly reformed.  

Maybe.

Well, being a lech at age 60 isn't the same thing as being one at 80.  Harp is 35 and the 45 year age gap would be super creepy and just flat out too creepy for any woman of that age to engage in who wasn't um, a professional.  Besides, at this point it's fairly well established that Trump has an incomitance problem and stinks a lot of the time.

No, Harp is just another creepy fan of Trump's, seeing something in him that isn't there.

And, speaking of creepy.


Nancy Mace has been weird for a while, but she's rocketing to the bottom.

And even creepier.

A Trump speech from two days ago in front of policemen:
Every day I come to the White House, people are thanking me: ‘Thank you, sir. Thank you, thank you, sir,'

You know these young, beautiful girls. These young, beautiful girls. These young, beautiful girls in the White House. You know they come in. Now I'm not supposed to say beautiful, but what the hell?

These young, these gorgeous, beautiful girls — they want to be safe, and they come, 'Mr. President, may I speak to you? Thank you, sir. Thank you’ — I said, ‘Why are you thanking me?’

’Because a year and a half ago, I was afraid to leave. I was afraid to open the door of my apartment, and now I walk to the White House every morning, and I have absolutely no fear.’
Donald Trump.

That never happened, and it's really creepy.  Young beautiful adoring women are coming to Donald Trump and thanking him for making things safe. . . no, they are not.

Some predictions

Well, with all that cheery news, what can we say?

Just this. Things are about to get a lot worse.  As we progress into the fall the oncoming electoral disaster for the GOP is going to become more and more of a crisis for Trump, and he's going to start doing anything he can to steal the election if not outright suspend it.  A war we are losing will still be going on.  The economy is going to start tanking.  Trump's mental state will continue to visibly decline.  Republicans in Congress will continue to do nothing, if not outright support the subversion of democracy.

Related threads:

Donald Trump is a Russian Asset. Дональд Трамп — агент России.




Last edition:

CliffsNotes of the Zeitgeist 150th Edition. Why Karoline is departing. Donald Trump's Weird Obsession with monuments to himself. The Invincibly Ignorant.