Showing posts with label Libertarian. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Libertarian. Show all posts

Friday, September 8, 2023

This is why we can't have nice things. "You can't vote for a third party". Oh yes, you can.

This view is precisely why American democracy is so screwed up

No Labels, no fables, no third-party betrayals

All Americans who believe in democracy must unite behind Joe Biden.

Robert Reich is here to tell you, along with every other Democratic pundit, that if you aren't voting for Joe Biden, you are a traitor to democracy.  Indeed, he states:

Let me be absolutely clear. Third-party groups such as No Labels and the Green Party are in effect front groups for Trump in 2024, and should be treated as such.

That's BS.

Let's be frank, the Democratic Party's love of democracy was rediscovered during the insurrection.  At that point, it suddenly realized that anti-democratic forces are bad.  Prior to that, and even now, what it really is for is rule by Liberal Ivy League Educated Judges. 

The Democrats regard voters as besotted fools.  They have for years, with it really becoming apparent following 1973's Roe v. Wade decision. They still feel that way. They hate the thought that courts can't descend from wooden walls and tell the peasantry what to think.

One of the things that they hate the most about recent years is that the Supreme Court has torn down some totally defective prior decision and told the people that they'll just have to figure things out for themselves. The Court, for example, hasn't "taken away" a non-existent "right to abortion". There was never one. The Court could have decided, on natural law principles, that abortion is contrary to the laws of nature on an existential basis and declared a right to life, but it didn't do that, in spite of all the howling.  It just said that people, through their state legislatures, have to figure this out for themselves.

The Democrats hate that thought, and for good reason.  It means that in many places, if left to their own devices, people would decide all sorts of things that Democrats regard as individualistic rights aren't. And the reason is plain. The driving force of the Democratic Party essentially believes that if you regard yourself as a feline asexual Bhutanese princess, you should be able to force everyone else to agree with you.  Most people just don't think that way, however.  

That doesn't mean that Trump should be elected, either. The GOP has abandoned democracy in favor of authoritarianism, and that always leads to disaster.  The dirty little secret as to why Trump has so much support in the rank and file of the GOP isn't because most Republicans believe the election was stolen, no matter what they say, but rather than they've grown so disgusted with the Democratic Party and establishment Republicans that they no longer regard Democrats or establishment Republicans as legitimate, and therefore don't think they should count.  Indeed, we have gotten to where we are at as the Democrats regard voters as unwashed vulgarians who should merely be entertained with the thought their votes mean something, the country club Republicans regard the electorate as mindless consumers whose opinions don't count, and a certain section of that electorate just has  had enough of it. 

In other words, the Democrats viewed the electorate as too stupid to influence anything, and the Republicans viewed them as Walmart customers only.

That this may mean the end of American democracy is both parties' fault.

That either of those parties would now have the gall to suggest that parties that actually reflect people's views shouldn't be voted for is maddening.  If we'd had parties that actually reflected people's views all along, we wouldn't be here now.  And the thought that the diversity of political opinion can be summed up with two choices is flatly bizarre.

The argument, by either party, that "you must vote for us or else it's Trump" is an argument of last resort.  The challenge for the Democrats isn't to present Biden as the only choice to Trump, but to give the voters somebody they feel comfortable with. Somebody who isn't 80 years old and hasn't gone so far to the left.  The challenge for Republicans, which may be a party that is now too far gone, is to give us somebody who will really do conservative, but not fascist, things rather than just say they will.

And frankly, the challenge for American democracy is to make a choice between Republicans and Democrats much, much less important. Why aren't there members of the Green Party and the American Solidarity Party in Congress?   Why do the Paul's run as Republicans when they're really Libertarians?  Why does Bernie Sanders "caucus" with the Democrats when he should be looking for a Socialist to join him? These are questions that shouldn't have to be asked.

Tuesday, January 3, 2023

The Libertarian Party on child gender "reassignment".

This is really remarkable:

Libertarian Party
@LPNational
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We categorically oppose all sex reassignment surgeries for children. It's child abuse, and no child can consent to such a thing.

The Libertarian Party, which we don't usually associate with calls for regulation, here is taking a stand for nature.

They are correct.  Allowing gender "reassignment" surgery for minors is irreversible in its effects, permanently damaging, normally regretted, and child abuse.

The fact that it's allowed at all is insane.

Friday, October 14, 2022

Why won't Harriet Hageman debate?

Wyoming doesn't need a coward. Wyoming needs a leader, Wyoming needs a voice, Wyoming needs people who are able to stand up to anybody and anyone.

Lynette Gray Bull.

The candidates for Wyoming's lone seat to the Congress, less Harriet Hageman, debated last night.

October 14, 2022

A debate of candidates for the U.S. House, save for Harriet Hageman, occurred last night.

Hageman was castigated by the other candidates for her failure to appear, which is either rude, arrogant, or cowardly.  At least one candidate called her actions cowardly.

Hageman needs to be heard from on her failure to debate, and not with the excuse that she has other more effective means of communicating with Wyomingites. So far, more or less, her campaign has been limited to the fact that she supports now subpoenaed Donald J. Trump no matter what, whereas Liz Cheney has the courage of her convictions.  Other than having united herself to Trump no matter what, there's nothing really known to distinguish her from Cheney, but the voters really haven't heard much from her otherwise in a widespread way.  Public forum's she's attended to date have been principally populated with Hageman Fans/Cheney Haters, so that does not suffice.

How do we answer the question posed in the title of this post?

Well, the short answer is because Harriet Hageman has said "no" to a debate, but that obviously doesn't suffice.

Lawyers, which Hageman is, generally are regarded as liking to debate, or at least being comfortable with it.  Indeed, a common unthinking reply to "why should I become a lawyer" or "why did you become a lawyer" is 1) well I like to debate, and to get paid for debating, or the related 2) well I like to argue, and to get paid for arguing. . .   In truth, lots of lawyers like to do neither, but Hageman has boosted herself in her campaign by portraying herself as a wild vigilante jurist gunning down the horrible agents of Federal repression.

Harriet Hageman stopping agents of the United States Fish & Wildlife Service.

Truth be known, as a native Wyomingite, a lot of the big evil enemies she cites as having been taken on by her in her role as Litigator of the Golden West are agencies I like.  I have a hard time hating, for example, the United States Fish & Wildlife Service.  And the two times I've encountered her in a legal setting since 1990 didn't involve the Federal Government at all, although one did involve the super wealthy, who happened to be her client.  But I digress.

My point is, here, that abstaining from debating requires some sort of reason, and the reasons are few.

Before we look at those reason, we should consider something.

Hageman hasn't campaigned on any issues at all.

Her campaign was based solely on attacking Liz Cheney for voting to impeach Donald Trump and then going on to be his opponent in Congress.  Cheney stood on principles and on that, Hageman used the opportunity to advance herself, and successfully, so far.

In the process, for months she was actually very reluctant, unlike her opponents in the House race, to say that Trump won the election, which he didn't.  When pressed, she took refuge in having "questions".

Missed in that response is that it's a lawyer witness answer.  It's the classic Clintonesque "It depends on what the meaning of is, is."  It's a hair-splitting dodge.  Literally every single person on Earth can claim to have questions about the election as life is uncertain, and a person can harbor doubts about literally anything human's do, which doesn't mean they're reasonable.  A person can have questions if the sun will explode today, if you will die of a heart attack tonight, if your Welsh Corgi will suddenly remember he descends from wolves and rip your throat out, or whatever.

Bulldog editor, or perhaps as he would have preferred Irish Wolf Hound editor, of the Tribune in its glory days, Phil McCauley.  Photo linked in from his 2009 obituary.

Unfortunately, in this day and age, there isn't the Fifth Estate muscle to really run that to ground. The Tribune in the days of Phil McCauley would have harassed her on that to the point of tears, but that didn't of course occur.  She had "questions".

Well, anyhow, only at the bitter end, after being endorsed by Trump, and pressed at a Casper Politics In The Park did she relent to fully selling her soul and saying the election had been stolen.  She handily beat Cheney on that topic alone, with her enthusiastic supporters believing that she believes what they believe, thereby feeding into their beliefs for her personal advantage.

One is reminded of the classic line from A Man For All Seasons when Richard perjures himself:

Sir Thomas More: Why Richard, it profits a man nothing to give his soul for the whole world... but for Wales?

She's been really quiet since the Primary.

This assumes, of course, that she knows the truth, which frankly is my assumption.

Since that time, and after the primary election, she received a letter from forty-one Wyoming lawyers asking her to stop lying about the election being stolen.  Quixotically branded the "Wyoming 41" by the Democratic primary candidate Steve Helling, who ran as a pro Trump Democrat (his campaign made next to no sense and received next to no support), they asked her, in a private letter, to quit lying.  Her reply was practically unhinged, accusing them of being part of a nationwide plot to discredit Trumpite candidates by holding them to their oaths.  The Wyoming 41 denied that, and frankly the accusation was absurd, and in turn wrote her back, this time with 52 signators on the letter.1   She didn't reply to that one.

And she's not replying much to anyone else in any really visible fashion.

Her current quietness may simply because she knows she's almost certain to be elected, and she just doesn't want to bother.  But if that's the case, what would it hurt. Sure, she may very well have no need to debate, but if that's the case, debating can't possibly hurt her.

Or maybe it can.

Lynette Gray Bull is a very effective speaker and preformed very well against Cheney two years ago.  At that time, she received 25% of the vote, and she'll receive more this time.  It's difficult to imagine her adding another 25% to defeat Hageman, but maybe Hageman is worried that in a debate that will bring the difference between the two into sharp focus, she might.3


Since the primary, the January 6 committee has resumed and Trump is going to receive a subpoena to go to the Committee. That will appear on prime-time television, and he'll look like a strange liar.  He's going to resist going, of course.  Maybe being Trump's anointed will have just as much cache a month from now as it now does, but it's not guaranteed.  

But beyond that, maybe Hageman's real career history and the issues that raises would also come up.  She's been an enemy by her own statements of the things most Wyomingites love.  An ally only of development and use, she's unlikely to be seen as a friend of hunters, fishermen and people who just love the outdoors.  A product of southeastern Wyoming, which has generally been a hard core "it's my property stay off" portion of the state, she may well fear what that would mean.

She has the social issues of course, with Gray Bull being much to the left of her, and presumably outside the main from where most Wyomingites are, but she might also recall, given her age, a Wyoming which really wasn't very conservative on those issues.  Maybe being pro gun doesn't mean much in a state where the Democrats are also pro gun.  Maybe the remaining social issues like abortion and gender issues don't have as much cache with rank and file voters as presumed.  Maybe just raising those issues, in a public forum, on a stage in which the one candidate has children and the other doesn't, where one candidate is young, and the other isn't, and where both affect Native items in their dress, but one is indigenous, and the other isn't, creates problems she doesn't care to have come up.

And maybe she's not confident in her in own debating skills in front of an audience that isn't canned against a debater who has no choice but to debate, and who is good at it.

Anyway it's looked at, it's inexcusable.  Hageman should debate.

Footnotes:

1. The fifty-two signatures actually reflects more than 52 lawyers actually supporting the overall effort, as some of the original "Wyoming 41" didn't sign the second time as their noted public roles with various institutions was causing those institutions to receive complaints. 

2.  If Grey Bull doesn't pull in 33% this time, I'd be surprised.  That would really be only a modest increase in her toll.  Imagining 35%, or even 40%, isn't unreasonable.

3.  Hageman has given Grey Bull a gift in that Grey Bull can now accuse Hageman of being an outright coward and Hageman can do little about it.  Calling somebody out for a verbal duel can't really be adequately responded to except by engaging in a verbal duel, at which point your prior decline amounts to an admission of sorts.

Friday, July 1, 2022

The 2022 Election Part IX. And they're officially out of the gate.


The Candidates, that is.

Registration to run closed yesterday, May 27, at 5:00.  So who is running?

Let's take a look

  • House of Representatives
The race that everyone has their eyes on, of course, because of Liz Cheney's principled stand on the insurrection.  That angered those who feel that she should have been more loyal to Donald Trump than the Constitution, and created an opportunistic effort by her fellow Republicans to replace her, aided by a national party that has remained freakishly in the former President's grip. . . so far.

Republicans for the House:

This race will likely decide who will occupy this seat, with it going pretty obviously to either Cheney or Hageman.

Liz Cheney.  The embattled incumbent.

Harrient Hageman.  Hageman, former Cheney supporter and Trump opponent who has switched on both in what Cheney has proclaimed as "tragic opportunism".   By and large Hageman's and Cheney's politics, to the extent that we can tell what Hageman's are, are identical, but for loyalty to Trump.

Robyn Belinsky:  Belinsky is a businesswoman from Sheridan who is billing herself as Wyoming's Marjorie Taylor Greene.  Why she's still running at this point is really a mystery as she has no chance whatsoever and what few hard right populist diehards who won't adopt Hageman are left will vote for Bouchard.

Anthony Bouchard:  Bouchard is a member of the legislature from Goshen County who has been in a lot of local political spats and who is a far right firebrand in the legislature and who is still running in spite of having no hope of getting past the primary.  He will still draw some votes, however, from those who are very much in this camp and have been his acolytes all along.

Bryan Eugene Keller:  He's a resident of Laramie County who has registered, but I don't know anything else about him.

Denton Knapp:  Knapp is a retired U.S. Army Colonel and a current Brig. Gen. in the California National Guard who is still, surprisingly, running.  His campaign at this point borders on being delusional.  He must be hoping that Hageman and Cheney will destroy each other, and then the electorate in the GOP will go for a moderate.  In other words, this campaign is delusional.

I can't predict this race anymore.  At one time I thought for certain that it would go to Cheney, but to my surprise the Trump loyalty thing matters to a lot more people than I would have guessed for reasons that tend to escape me, save for a fair number of people have really bought into hard corp populist thought. The ironic thing is that Cheney's top opponent isn't a populist, something that must be driving Bouchard nuts.

Democrats for the House:

At long last, perhaps waiting for the Republicans to destroy each other before registering, some Democratic contenders have appeared. They are:

Lynette GreyBull: GreyBull was the Democratic contender last time and, in spite of her defeat, did better against Cheney that probably would have been expected.  If Hageman is the contender, she'll do even better yet.

GreyBull, depending on who the Republicans choose in their primary, and how much they destroy themselves in the process, may actually have a chance.

Meghan R. Jensen:  Jensen is a young candidate from Rock Springs.  So far that's about all that I can say about her.

Steve Helling:  Helling is a long time lawyer in Casper and who also practiced in Colorado.  He's well known as a lawyer.

My prediction in this race is that GreyBull will win the Democratic primary again, to face off against whomever the Republicans chose.

Independent

Casey Hardison. This is a gadfly campaign as it is based on drug legalization.  Indeed, he has a case on appeal to the Wyoming Supreme Court right now for felony marijuana delivery.

It seems like we get these campaigns every election now.

  • Governor's Race.

This seat is now safe for Gordon, although former President D. Trump took a verbal swing at him the other day when being interviewed by KTWO radio.

Republicans for the Governor's Office.

Mark Gordon:  Gordon is the incumbent.  He's going to get the nomination, and he's going to win the General Election.

Harold Bjork.  Who Bjork isn't really clear, but he's started a Facebook and internet campaign for Governor.

Brent Bien:  

Rex Rammell:  Rammell is a perennial and unelectable candidate who ran last time and will again.  His views can be characterized as being on the fringe right/libertarian side.

Democrats for the Governor's Office.

Rex Wilde: Wilde previously ran for the Senate as a Democrat and has no chance.

Theresa Livingston:  Livingston previously ran for the State Senate and stands no chance.

  • Secretary of State

This race took an unexpected late turn when the current Secretary of State Buchanan, who had announced he was running, pulled out after putting in, for a second time, for an open seat on the bench.  Since his withdrawal, a host of Republicans have now filed for the office.  

Republicans for Secretary of State.

As noted, Buchanan's withdrawal has opened up the contest for Secretary of State.

Dan Dockstader.  He's a longstanding member of the Legislature who stands a good chance due to that service.

Tara Nethercott:  Also a member of the Legislature.  Nethercott has not been in the legislature long, but she was the subject of misogynistic attacks last session, which she weathered well. She also stands a good chance.

Chuck Gray:  Also a member of the legislature who has been frequently in the news due to his far right populist positions.  Gray clearly has his sights set on higher office and probably views this as a stepping stone.  His earlier attempt to replace Cheney drew little support.

Mark Armstrong:  Former candidate for the U.S. Senate.  His run for Senate drew very little support and his run for Secretary of State will fail.

Democrats for Secretary of State

Pathetically, none.

State Auditor

Kriti Racines. She's the incumbent and the only one running.  She's effectively won the race at this point, absent something bizarre occuring.

  • Superintendent of Public Instruction
Republicans for Superintendent of Public Instruction.

This race is also newsworthy as the incumbent, Brian Schroeder, is generally regarded as the least bad of the three names that were submitted to Governor Gordon when the prior occupant stood down.

Brian Schroeder. Schroeder is the presumptive nominee.

Megan Degenfelder.  She has an education background but who has been working in the petroleum industry, announced for Superintendent of Public Education.

She was once employed as the department's Chief Policy Officer.

Thomas Kelly:  Kelly was one of the three finalists who was not chosen for this office by Governor Gordon.

Jennifer Zerba:  Zerba announced late. She's from Casper and is an education professional, which is all I know about her.

Robert J. White.  White is from Rock Springs, which is all I know about him.

Democrats for Superintendent of Public Instruction.

Sergio Maldonado:  Maldonado is a longtime figure in Fremont County politics and is, I believe, also an enrolled member of one of the Wind River tribes.

  • Other interesting races
We'd often stop our tracking of races here, but there are some interesting races going on around the state, simply because these are interesting times politically.  

Nearly ever race in the state is overshadowed, by some degree, by the split in the GOP between arch populists, who have largely bought into the Trump "election stolen" myth, and traditionalist, who have not.  Ironically, the one candidate out there who is an establishment candidate for whom this figures the most is Harriet Hageman, who was a right wing establishment figure whose migrated to the Trump camp to take on a person she formally supported, that being Liz Cheney.  In that migration she reflects what could be regarded as the cynical choice some other well established national figures, like Ted Cruz, have made, or indeed even local ones, like Cynthia Lummis.  And as already noted, Lummis apparently figures in Trump's endorsement of Hageman, which might reflect ongoing animosity between Lummis and Cheney over Cheney's late decision in 2020 to run again for  the House as it appeared for a while that she would run for the Senate.

Anyhow, around the state, we see the following interesting races.
  • House District 57
Abandoned now by Chuck Gray, now features two Republicans running for the office and one Democrat. The Republicans are:

Republicans

Jeanette Ward:  Ward has lived in Wyoming for less than a year and was apparently recruited to his race by Gray. Gray is not a Wyoming native either, but Ward is most recently from Chicago, where she was a controversial school board member.  It would appear that she was recruited by Gray due to holding similar views to Gray.

Thomas Myler:  Myler is the marketing coordinator for Casper College and is on the School Board of Natrona County School District No. 1.

Democrats

Robert Johnson.
  • Natrona County Assessor
This race has been of much local interest as property matters have made the sitting assessor controversial.

Matt Keating:  Incumbent

Tammy Saulsbury:  Saulsbury formerly worked in the Assessor's office and ran against Keating last time. She's back to try again.

Tim Haid:  Haid is a new entry that I don't know anything about.

May 30, 2022

This past Saturday, Donald Trump appeared at a rally in Casper in support of Harriet Hageman.  He delivered a predictable speech there, according to press reports.

Perhaps the most notable thing about the rally was that it was opened by Frank Eathorne, head of the Wyoming GOP, which means that the party's head is openly taking a position in favor of one primary candidate against all the others. This is clearly improper.

Hageman spoke and according to press retirements gave a speech about Wyomingites being "fed up" with various things.  Paradoxically, one of those things was high gas prices, which Wyoming's energy sector depends on.  Consumers are tired of that, but oddly people in the state seem to feel that they should have a vibrant oil and gas economy and low prices simultaneously, which is impossible.  

High fertilizer prices for farmers was another thing that Wyomingites were reportedly fed up with, according to Hageman, but most Wyomingites know nothing about that whatsoever.  That would in part be due to a lack of regulation in agricultural land ownership contrary to some states like Iowa, which would require a distributist economic platform in this area that neither the Republicans or the Democrats are likely to endorse.

Hageman had a gaff in her speech which might symbolize the Freudian slip:

I am that person who will represent you, your fallacies

What this is really about, in some ways, was ironically summarized by Trump, when he said:

The entire Republican Party is united behind Harriet, she is endorsed by practically everyone, and most importantly, perhaps, she’s endorsed by me.

Trump's endorsement more important than the party's?

No doubt, to many, that's true. 

Of interest, contrary to expectations and fears, the event was hardly noticed in Casper outside of the Ford Center itself.

June 3, 2022

The Cheney campaign released its first television commercial.


June 4, 2022

The news has now broken that Bob Ide, who is running for a seat in the state Senate now occupied by State Senator Drew Perkins, was at the Capitol with Frank Eathorne on January 6. That doesn't mean that he was in eyesight of the riot like Eathorne was, but that topic is now being debated with a group maintaining that he was.

Ide takes the position that Wyoming should claim Federal lands within Wyoming, something the state disclaimed permanently at the time of statehood, and is otherwise in the far right.

Dr. Oz won his primary in Pennsylvania, which presumably means that the Democrat has an excellent chance of prevailing.

June 7, 2022

In a real contrast to a lot of what we've seen on the political scene this year, Liz Cheney received the endorsement of Northern Arapaho Business Council member Lee Spoonhunter and Lynette Grey Bull, a resident of the Reservation who is running for the Democratic nomination for a second time, was extremely gracious about it, praising Mr. Spoonhunter in the process.



June 13, 2022

So, as a result of the January 6 Commission, we now know that Hageman campaign advisor Bill Stephien did not support the "election stolen" myth when he was Trump's last advisor, and pretty clearly didn't think the election was stolen.  Indeed, his testimony was damning in regard to Trump.

Which raises two questions.

How does he reconcile his current work for Hageman with his conscience, in that light, and secondly, how does Hageman feel about having an advisor who was on "Team Normal", as he put it, as he wouldn't endorse the fantasy?

Hageman has stated that she thinks there's "honest questions" about what happened in the November 2020 election.  Stephien pretty clearly doesn't.  His testimony stated today that; “I didn’t believe that what was happening was honest or professional”.

Stephien was to have testified live, but his wife went into labor.  From a Wyoming prospective, you have to wonder what have occurred if he did.  Hageman has "honest questions", Stephien felt the whole stolen election scene wasn't "honest".

Frankly, I very much doubt that Hageman has any doubts whatsoever about who won the 2020 election, but took that position as it's the only thing that really distinguishes her from Cheney, politically.  The distinction is growing huge, however, ethically, given how clear it is that the stolen election story is a dog that doesn't hunt, and her own campaign manager doesn't believe it.

June 15, 2022

The Club For Growth has endorsed Harriet Hageman.  The PAC could be regarded as an economic libertarian oriented organization, particularly focused on reducing taxes.  The organization has apparently been unhappy with Cheney since well prior to the current election, but it's tapping into Trumpism in advertisements it intends to run in Wyoming.

June 16, 2022

While it took a few days, problems for Hageman have now developed in that her campaign manager, Bill Stephien, clearly never thought the Trump election was stolen and she's on record claiming she doesn't know who won the election.

In the Tribune today, a spokesman for Stephien made it clear that he stands by his views.  A Hageman spokesman came out and claimed that she stands by her "doesn't know" position.  Some in her camp are accusing Cheney of calling Stephien as a witness purposely to embarrass Hageman, the irony of that being that it concedes that she should be embarrassed.

June 18, 2022

The Natrona County GOP is apparently sick of things, based upon recent comments coming out of its higher levels.  Sidelined by the State committee, along with Laramie County, the second most populous county in the state is beginning to fight back.  It'll be interesting to see if Laramie County, the most populous state, joins them.

It's no secret to observers that Laramie County and Natrona County are far less Trump Territory than the rest of the state. Cheney signs are up everywhere in Natrona County, even though the county's Ford Center recently hosted the Trump loyalist.

News broke yesterday that the county GOP may seek to remove the state head, Frank Eathorne.

The draft, and it's only a draft, of a resolution they may consider next week reads as follows.

A resolution of the Natrona County Republican Party State Central Committee calling for the immediate resignation of Frank Eathorne as Chairman of the Wyoming Republican Party. 

Whereas it is the  stated goal of the Wyoming Republican Party to represent the values and vision of Republicans all over the State and to support Republican candidates to win and retain political office in Wyoming,

Whereas the current Chairman, Frank Eathorne has consistently failed to represent the values of the vast majority of Wyomingites and during his tenure has divided the Party and failed in his duty to support all elected Republicans,

Whereas it has come to light that Frank Eathorne consistently violated the sacred vow of marriage, engaging in indiscretions while on the job and in his personal life,

Whereas Frank Eathorne, while intoxicated allegedly threatened a woman while her 2-year old daughter was in the adjoining room - later dismissing his behavior as “gentleman-like”.  Eathorne then allowed the City of Worland to pay for the legal settlement even though he espouses personal responsibility and condemns government support of any kind,

Whereas Frank Eathorne later accepted over $100,000.00 in Government subsidies for his ranching operation and untold Federal mineral royalties and trespass fees while denouncing anyone else that may need support from the government,

Whereas Frank Eathorne has openly advocated for Wyoming to secede from the Union,

Whereas Frank Eathorne is a member of the “Oath Keepers” – an openly extremist group calling for a revolutionary war in the United States and partially responsible for the January 6th riot,

Whereas Frank Eathorne, during his tenure, has overseen the divide of the Party, the elimination of Natrona County delegates and the last minute unseating of Laramie County delegates while turning a blind eye to the transgressions of other Counties.

Whereas Frank Eathorne has repeatedly lied to the people of Wyoming as well as members of this Central Committee.   When asked about his involvement in the January 6th, 2021 insurrection, he repeatedly said that he went to the rally, walked down the street and retired to his hotel before any violence or destruction of property started.   Not only was he a member of the “mob”, he has done nothing to condemn the insurrection – an attempt to overthrow the election.

For these reasons, we, the members of the Natrona County Republican Party call for the immediate resignation of Frank Eathorne as Chairman of the Wyoming Republican Party and his replacement by the normal action of the bylaws of the State Central Committee.

The draft is as blistering critique of Eathorne, who has presided over a massive lurch to the far right of the Republican Party in Wyoming and whose has overseen the party's silencing of its largest county organizations and who has made the local party completely complicit in the effort to toss out incumbent Liz Cheney.

The fact that it was leaked suggests that some in the upper elements of the county party are trying to sideline it before it gets to a vote, probably by mustering howls of far right opposition to it.  There are some far right politicians in the GOP in the county itself, so this rise of the traditional party is not without opposition, no doubt.

Should the resolution pass, it will be a brave thing for the county committee to do.  Still, it's time that some in the GOP show that they're not in the stolen election myth camp and aren't participating in the destruction of democratic principals inside of the party itself.

On the current race, it's interesting to note that a lot of the hard right "stolen election" rhetoric has suddenly gone silent.  The January 6 committee hearings seem to be having an impact, most notably in the Hageman camp whose race is based solely on loyalty to Trump and therefore ipso facto to the concept that he didn't do anything wrong on January 6.  It's now clear that he acted either at least immorally on January 6, and perhaps seditiously.  Indeed, most likely seditiously.  And Hageman's own campaign advisor isn't having the story that the election was stolen, in contrast to Hageman, who claims not to know who won the election.

If the election wasn't stolen, and it wasn't, and if Trump acted seditiously, which it appears he did, Hageman actually has nothing to run on.  Her views don't vary from Cheney's at all on anything else.

Indeed, it'll be interesting to see if this makes long shot Democratic candidate Lynette Grey Bull viable, assuming she secures the Democratic nomination, which seems likely.  Grey Bull would lose again against Cheney, which she no doubt knows, but she has a chance against Hageman.

In 2020 Cheney took 68.56% of the vote in the general election, meaning of course that the people who now claim she's really a Democrat are just being silly.  Grey Bull took 24.58%.  Libertarian Richard Brubaker, who made it clear that he was really a Republican, took 3.75%.  Constitution Party candidate Jeff Haggit, with the Constitution Party being a far right party, took 2.92%.  If Hageman wins, it's certain that many middle of the road Republicans will reassess voting for their party in the fall. Grey Bull was a long ways from victory in 2020, but the GOP wasn't the mess then that it is now.

June 22, 2022

The Natrona County GOP Central Committee passed the resolution noted above, 48 to 35.

June 23, 2022

Wyoming's appointed Superintendent of Public Education Brian Schroeder is urging the state to cut its ties with Federal funding for school lunches based on a Federal directive requiring states to include discrimination based on gender orientation and identity as matters requiring investigation.

June 24, 2022

In a move that's likely to prove to be a mistake, the Cheney campaign is specifically advertising on how Democrats can switch to Republicans in order to vote for her in the primary.

This will reinforce the otherwise absurd claim that she's a "RINO".  Moreover, there are so few registered Democrats in Wyoming, the race would have to be neck and neck, with upset fence sitting Republicans switching over to Hageman or perhaps one of the other candidates on their own.

This would suggest that Cheney knows she's on the downside in the race right now, but that she figures she's pretty close to Hageman, and that the risk is worth it.

June 27, 2022

A debate of House candidates will occur this Thursday on PBS.

Out of safety concerns, its closed to the public and other media.

June 30, 2022

Wyoming Republican House Debate:


A fairly well done synopsis of things:



Last Prior Edition:


Recent Related Threads:


Saturday, June 18, 2022

Sunday June 18, 1972. The Libertarian Party convenes for the first time.

By Hdebug; original by Lance W. Haverkamp - This file was derived from: Libertarian Party Porcupine (USA).svg, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=98006127
 

The first Libertarian National Convention convened in Denver, Colorado. The party had been formed the previous year.

Often misunderstood, the party is not really a "super conservative" party as sometimes portrayed, and can in fact be extremely liberal on some things.  It was organized on a radical promotion of civil liberties, non interventionism and laissez fair economics.  It did grow out of dissatisfaction on the part of some Republicans with the direction of the Republican Party in the 50s, 60s, and 70s, and it has heavily influenced the Republican Party in recent years, creating part of the current GOP's bipolarism.

It has grown to be the third-largest party in the United States, although as noted there is a large element of the GOP which is effect libertarian at the current time to a large degree, although not on cultural issues where the Libertarians tend to be to the left of the Democrats in some ways.

The Watergate break in ran on the front page of the Washington Post.

A horrific air disaster occurred with a passenger jet crashed shortly after take off at Heathrow, the worst British air disaster up to that time.

It was that time of year:


Elvis Presley performed live on television giving a performance from Ft. Worth, Texas.

Wednesday, September 8, 2021

The 2022 Election Part IV. The Film Noir Edition

 A story broke by the New York Times, and rapidly circulated in Wyoming's media, recalls the old line that "truth is stranger than fiction", in this case recalling that type of fiction so memorably depicted as film noir.

It seems far right wing operatives, according to the press backed by Susan Gore's money, tried to infiltrate the Wyoming Democratic Party and even elements of the Wyoming GOP.

What the crap?

Some background.

This has been vaguely touched on here before, but now that its fully being reported on we can perhaps go a little more into depth as it doesn't sound as much like political paranoia.  We'll start with the relocation of money, specifically Gore money.

That is, the money from Gore-tex, via Susan Gore.

Eh?

We'll bare with us.

Gore-tex was the product of Robert W. Gore, a brilliant chemical engineer.  It's been hugely successful as a synthetic product and if you purchase outdoor products, it's hard to avoid.  The Gore family itself is notable for its brilliance.  Robert W. Gore was working for W. L. Gore, a chemical company, at the time he discovered or invented Gore-tex. That is, he was working for the company founded by his parents.

Robert Gore lived until 2020 and amassed a huge personal fortune.  One of his children, and one of his heirs, is Susan Gore.  It's hard to learn anything about Susan Gore, although its mentioned that at one time she was into transidential meditation.  Wyo file alleges that she lived in a community devoted to it in Fairfield Iowa, whatever that means.  She also was involved in litigation at one time regarding an attempt to adopt her ex husband in a move that the press claimed would somehow have increased her claim her share on the family fortune.

At any rate, at some point she moved to Wyoming and was a principal backer of the Wyoming Liberty Group.

The Wyoming Liberty Group is a libertarian organization that has an undoubted, and in many people's view negative, impact on Wyoming politics and the Republican Party.  One former significant member of the legislature told me with personal disgust that it saddened him to see how the state's legislature had been "bought", by which he meant bent to the wishes of the group due to its large financial resources.  That was early in its days but now the movement it got rolling has transformed the GOP which is divided between the old party hold outs and those who came up in the WLG days.  The current crop of House candidates, other than incumbent Elizabeth Cheney, reflect this with some strongly holding the sort of views espoused by the WLG.   

There are those who feel that the WLG's views have gone a long ways towards wrecking what was a uniquely Wyoming GOP (the Democratic Party wrecked itself) and frankly, the evidence is good that they've gone a long ways in that direction.  Almost all of the current House GOP candidates would have not gone far prior to the WLG. And frankly, in calmer times, a lot of the wharf and woof circulated in it would be regarded as absurd.  Indeed, as noted by Wyofile, at least one of its original supporters, Cale Case, abandoned it.

Now the New York Times is reporting that Gore money backed an effort to infiltrate the Democratic Party and even, if we want to call it that, the regular GOP.  It's bizarre.

They Seemed Like Democratic Activists.  They Were Secretly Conservative Spies.

Weird.

Wyofile has gone the NYT one better, and interviewed some of the principals impacted by this oddness, including Republicans.

Stun and dismay follow political espionage revelations

Now, in the interest of full disclosure, let us acknowledge that Wyo File is "liberal".  Moderately liberal, in the Wyoming context, but still liberal. None the less, it's article contains some great quotes.   Among them is this one from Cale Case, a conservative member of the legislature who was once one of the early members of the Wyoming Liberty Group who noted the following:

“I don’t really understand why you would try and infiltrate the Democrats,” said Sen. Cale Case (R-Lander), a longtime acquaintance of Gore and a former board member for her advocacy organization, the Wyoming Liberty Group. “They’re not driving the bus in this state, you know.”

Truly.

This reminds me, in some ways, of the Watergate scandal in that the Republicans had the election completely sewn up and still broke into the Watergate Hotel. Why?  

Indeed, this also calls to mind that the Republican Party in the state needs a solid Democratic Party to function. Without one, they split into two or more parties, and are now even spying on themselves.  If the Democrats don't take advantage of this, they'd be completely incompetent.

This has, however, been the year for political dementia, so who knows. The GOP is ripping itself apart with a good percentage of it still following lies that former President Donald Trump put out. So who knows what to expect.

What about the current crop of candidates, to they have any connection with the Wyoming Liberty Group?

Well, Chuck Gray has in the past, but perhaps because he's tacked his entire political career to the hard right.  He isn't from Wyoming and when he arrived this may all well have been under way. A failure in his first race, he was appointed to office when the holder died in office, and has held his seat since then.  As he's a member of the press, although he likely wouldn't see himself that way, he's interviewed members of the Wyoming Liberty Group in the past, which isn't surprising as they were basically fellow travelers in their views, at least at one time.  Indeed, he interviewed Maureen Bader, who was at one time one of their most active spokesmen, although she no longer seems to have any connection with them. Bader is a Canadian and had been active with a taxpayers association there, but she's also once been employed by the port authority in Vancouver, BC, which always struck me as odd for a libertarian.  But perhaps it isn't.

Indeed, before we look at the present candidates, this entire race has the atmosphere of the film genre we noted at the top of the thread, in more ways than one.  We have all sorts of sordid elements.  Spies and secret agents, politics, teenage lust, money, untimely deaths, outrageous accusations.  This isn't a recipe for sane politics, or even a sane election.  It's more like an episode of Pat Novak For Hire.

Well, who the heck is running right now?

Liz Cheney.  She's the incumbent and probable nominee, in spite of the heavy rightward leaning slate of candidates against her.

Robin Belinsky:  Belinsky is a business woman from Sheridan who is billing herself as Wyoming's Marjorie Taylor Greene and therefore predictably endorses the Trump's narrative that the 2020 Presidential election was stolen.

Greene is among the most disturbing of the Congressional Trump backers, so not only does Belinsky make a strong contrast to Cheney, it's one that isn't likely to get very far.

Anthony Bouchard:  Bouchard is a member of the legislature from Goshen County who has been in a lot of local political spats and who is a far right firebrand in the legislature.  Most recently, however, he's been in the news for the revelation that when he was 18, he got a 14 year old girl pregnant, and the drama that ultimately followed that.  This also revealed that he's originally from Florida, something that was pretty vague before.

Bouchard originally came into the public eye through a firearms organization he's central to.  He was also the first well known candidate to announce against Cheney.  He's firmly in the Trump camp and appeared, with Chuck Gray, at the Matt Gaetz rally against Cheney before all the drama hit.  

Bouchard is well known due to his prior political activities and therefore was likely to make it to at least the primary, which many in this crowded field will not.  Now, however, he's pretty damaged goods so that's a real open question.

Chuck Gray:  Gray is a hard right member of the legislature whose first appearance in the Wyoming political scene was an unsuccessful run at the seat he now occupies in the House.  He was appointed to that seat upon his predecessor's death and is a Natrona County radio personality.  

Gray and Bouchard were competing for essentially the same demographic and in some ways have had analogous political careers after having obtained office.  Gray's chances have been boosted by the revelations about Bouchard whereas before that he seemed to be in second position for that demographic.  

Gray has recently started advertising on Facebook quite a bit and is actually taking a fair amount of flak as a result.  His promises to "drain the swamp" have pointed out that a freshman Congressman's power is nearly nonexistent.

Bryan Eugene Keller:  He's a resident of Laramie County who has registered but I don't know anything else about him.  A Google search didn't turn up much either.  It's likely safe to say that Keller, absent something really surprising, will draw very few votes in the race.  My guess is that he won't last in the race until the end.

Denton Knapp:  Knapp is a retired U.S. Army Colonel and a current Brig. Gen. in the California National Guard.  He's from Gillette originally and claims to be generally fond of the Cheney and to respect her past role in Congress.  He had to move back to the state in order to establish residence in order to run.

Knapp received a lot of press when he announced he was running, but almost all of it boils down to "Retired Army Colonel. . . " which won't get him far.  In the last Senate Race one candidate was prominently noted to be a retired Air Force officer and that didn't take him anywhere.  Truth be known, while the country remains in a post war hagiographic era regarding veterans, a lot of that has become shallow acknowledgement and his long career in the service isn't likely to get him very far and may even hurt him in nativist Wyoming. Gone for thirty years?  Brig Gen of the California National Guard?  He'll have to come up with a lot more than that.

Knapp was until recently living in Orange County, and will have to reestablish residency in Wyoming in order to run.  This will also hurt him. After a thirty year absence and then a relocation to Wyoming, coming back just to run for Congress won't be well received.  In fact, it wasn't well received when Liz Cheney did that, which is why in her first race she took fewer votes than her two combined opponents in the primary. 

Bryan Miller:  Miller is the retired USAF lieutenant colonel who has twice run for Senate and lost.  Now he's trying the House against a candidate who is presumed to be embattled.

Miller is a strong Trump supporter and supports Trump's false claims that the election was stolen.

Miller's association with Trump's false claims makes him somewhat distinct from the other retired military officer running this election, Knapp.  There's something disturbing, beyond what is otherwise disturbing, about a military man supporting Trump's attempts to subvert the election.  My prediction is that Miller's campaign won't go far although he'll stay in until the end of the primary as he seems to have a very strong desire to be elected to office and there has become a perennial candidate.

Marissa Selvig: Mayor of Pavilion.  Selvig announced early and has a website, but has received very little attention thereafter.  She's disadvantaged to a degree as Bouchard and Gray have a bigger audience by default.

Selvig interestingly focuses on her dedication to the constitution, which she holds is the "second" most important document in the American system, the first being the Declaration of Independence.  The Declaration of Independence is a single purpose document with no post declaration legal import, so that's an unusual position.  Otherwise, her stated positions are conventional typical local Republican.

Selvig's campaign is unlikely to gain steam anywhere.  Her stated positions don't really serve to distinguish her from Cheney, and if she was to distinguish herself by going in the now trendy rightward direction, she'd be indistinguishable from Bouchard and Gray.

Darin Smith:  Smith is a businessman and lawyer in Cheyenne, according to the information he's put out.  He was the campaign manager for the failed Foster Freiss Gubernatorial run and his views reflect that.  Freiss was a backer of his but has recently passed away, which may have an impact on the funding of this race. He stands out in that he's less fanatic in his endorsement of the Trump election stolen myth while still endorsing it in a lukewarm fashion.

Smith's stated positions on his campaign site by and large are typical for the Wyoming GOP including the insistence that "we" need to get coal back on the market.  The problem with some of those positions is that they fail to acknowledge trends that have now passed a certain jump the shark level. Coal was declining, for example, under Trump.  Regarding Trump, Smith's campaign site has the "Take America Back" phrase on the first page, which is really slang for "I believe the election was stolen" to some ears, whether Smith means that or not.

Smith joins Cheney in being a lawyer, which none of the other candidates are, which means that he knows that a lot of the pro Trump rhetoric that's grounded in the Constitution and what not is legally baseless and he should know its factually baseless as well.  It'll be interesting to see if he, like Knapp, attempts to nuance his position on the 2020 election.

The thing that uniformly distinguishes all of these candidates from Cheney, except perhaps for Selvig and Keller, the latter of whom is a mystery, is that they're all backing Trump to some degree, with Knapp the least enthusiastic about it.  Indeed the irony of this race is that Cheney's stance has brought her a fair amount of support from rank and file Wyomingites while also bringing her the ire of the county parties.  Her original weakness was that she wasn't from here, which was a strike against her the first time she ran.  In that race, the two main opponents split the vote and she took office.  Since then she's risen in Congress and as a result of her stance, has risen in admiration in the eyes of a lot of people who were lukewarm about her before.  She's almost certain to win this race.

Other races? Well, there is one that has a competition, sort of, right now, and that's the Governor's Race.

Mark Gordon:  Gordon is the incumbent, he'll run again.  He hasn't registered yet.

Gordon defeated a slate of hard right candidates in the 2018 election. Some of those candidates were pretty unhappy about the results with Foster Freiss being the most unhappy.  Given this we can expect some hard right Republicans to surface and challenge him, although he'll win reelection.

In fact, one such candidate has announced he'll run, but hasn't registered.

Harold Bjork.  Who Bjork is isn't really clear, but he's started a Facebook and internet campaign for Governor.  From what little y ou can tell about him, he's a self declared "conservative" who is running pretty far to the right of Gordon and who is strongly opposed to the now expired mask mandate.

Rex Rammell:  Rammell is a perennial and unelectable candidate who ran last time and will again.  His views can be characterized as being on the fringe right/libertarian side.

June 30, 2021

The Trib reports that Chuck Gray is receiving support from a PAC entitled "Protect Wyoming Values.   The Tribune reports the PAC is only backing Gray so far, and cites is supporter of MAGA, etc. and also disses Cheney.  The theme is that Gray represented Wyoming values and Cheney does not.

The Trib called the PAC "secretive", but it just hasn't reached its donor support disclosure date.

July 1, 2021

An already surreal political season became all the more surreal as arch right populist Anthony Bouchard went on the attack against arch right populist Chuck Gray.

Up until Bouchard announced his campaign against Liz Cheney, Bouchard and Gray had been fellow travelers including appearing jointly at such things as Gaetz's Cheyenne rally in opposition to Liz Cheney.  Both were on the Trump denial train and when both announced, they did so in the name of defeating Cheney for having voted to recognize, in essence, that the insurrection was just that and that Donald Trump bore some responsibility for it.

Bouchard announced first and Gray shortly thereafter.  I wondered how long they'd get along, and now we know.

Bouchard fell from grace, of course, when revelations about his sexual past were revealed which also more fully revealed him as a Floridian by origin.  Gray began to rise thereafter, competing for the same demographic. As he's done so, he's gained some support in extreme quarters, and Bouchard has drawn opposition from those same quarters.

Now Gray has drawn the support of Lin Wood, one of the Trump's supporters and a backer of  conspiracy theories regarding the 2020 election and Bouchard is demanding that Gray renounce him.  Gray hasn't actually commented at all, at any point, on Wood's support of Gray.  I don't know who Wood is, but Bouchard, in making this demand, is sounding like a politician who is much more conventional than he's been in the past.

Wood is backing the idea of a nationwide forensic analysis of the vote, which is completely pointless and which is based on the erroneous hope against hope that if this was done, it would be discovered that Donald Trump actually won the election.  Some go further and hope he'd be restored back to the Presidency. Former President Trump seems to have bought off on the thesis that is possible, which it is not.  That's completely incorrect on two fronts. There's absolutely no evidence whatsoever that the vote would come out any differently, although Gray has bought off on that thesis a bit by supporting the pointless Arizona recount, and secondly even if there had been an error, once the vote is certified by Congress, it's over.

On the latter point, some people seem to have a rather unsophisticated view of how elections, any election, actually works. They don't remain open for constant recounting  Once they're accepted, they're accepted, any existing errors or not. The 2020 election, therefore, is completely over.  Completely.

Wood apparently has a requirement that in order to receive his endorsement, for whatever that's worth, you have to buy off on this nationwide forensic waste of time and money. Bouchard says he won't do that, and he's now amazingly defending the integrity of the 2020 election.  More specifically, he's defending the integrity of Wyoming's election and come around to the "some problems" thesis with some other states, but he's not sounding like a populist firebrand on it.  Indeed, he now sounds extremely middle of the road.  Gray hasn't responded to his demands so far.

It'll be interesting to see what Gray does.  If he continues to ignore Bouchard on this, it makes him at least somewhat of a fellow traveler with real extremists, something he won't be able to escape later.  If he joins Bouchard, it elevates a struggling Bouchard back up a tad, although probably not much.  For that matter, now that this has occurred, it's a bit of a clean Bouchard break from being pretty extreme himself  My feeling is that it will be impossible for him to overcome the scandal, but Wyoming's formerly most well known fairly extreme candidate is suddenly sounding much less extreme. 

July 2, 2021

In a move that is sure to make her opponents howl, Liz Cheney has agreed to serve on the House insurrection select committee.

Long serving Natrona County law enforcement officer Gus Holbrook is retiring this month from his position as Natrona County Sheriff.  He's been in the Sheriff's Office since 1984.  An interim appointment will fill his shoes until the new Sheriff is chosen in November 2022.

July 10, 2021

The Green River Star ran an editorial specifically calling for candidates to disassociate themselves with Susan Gore and naming a few Wyoming politicians who have received funds from her in the past. That list included Chuck Gray and Anthony Bouchard.

July 13, 2021

Susan Gore released a statement terming the recent news story involving her "disinformatin" and an example of "character assasination".

July 16, 2021

Gray rose slightly more money than Bouchard in their efforts to unseat Cheney, while Cheney remains overall far ahead in fund raising.  Much of Gray's came from a single donor.

Figures for the other candidates have not yet been released.

July 17, 2021

Following up yesterday's item, it turns out that Gray's campaign is largely self funded.

This would mean that Bouchard's campaign continues to draw in donors at a rate above Gray's in spite of the earlier revelations regarding his early years in Flordia.  Gray also finds behind Darin Smith in this category.

Everyone falls far behind Cheney in the same category.

July 21, 2021

I saw the first television advertisment for the 2022 election, amazingly, last night.  Chuck Gray has a television ad he released.

The advertisement specifically aims at Cheney for her impeachment vote and attempts to associated Gray with the extractive industries, while also citing his conservative legislative record.

A Trump spokesman announced he's meeting with Wyoming campaigns in anticipation of endorsing a Cheney opponent.  The Gray and Smith campiagns indicate they've been invited to such a meeting. Bouchard and Knapp indicated that they have not been.  Knapp's campaign was only lukewarm in its endorsement of the former President's claims the election had been stolen and of course Bouchard has been hampered by the Floridda revelaation.

July 22, 2021

The Club For Growth has issued an anti Cheney ad attempting to lable her as a "Clinton Republican".

The claim, frankly, that Cheney isn't conservative, is bizarre.

July 26, 2021

Both Gray and Smith have ads running on the Olympics.

Both are very similiar, taking the position that Trump was good for Wyoming and Cheney did a bad thing by voting to impeach Trump.  The interesting thing about the logic is that they don't even address the January 6 insurrection, perhaps because they really can't.  Irrespective of that, that's their basic point.  At some point these campaigns will therefore have to directly addresss the insurrection, and either adopt the counterfactual version of events, or simply take the position that it doesn't matter, or perhaps that Trump had no role in directly getting it rolling and is not to be blamed for failing to take steps to address it once it commenced.

Of course, they're betting that for Wyoming's voters it doesn't really matter, which is an interesting aspect of this race in and of itself.

Of course all of this means that the state is in for a brutally long campaign seaso which will seem like it will never end.  Cheney hasn't even really begun to spend her huge war chest, and her opponents are starting to advertise in television.  For the numerous people who really don't like politics, this race may simply prove to be just too much.

July 29, 2021

Gray and Smith have reported met with Donald Trump in a bid for his endorsement. The meeting was invited by Trump.

Just by observation, on the item on the commercials noted above, a lot of people's reaction to them is that its too early for televsion ads and they wish the candidates would knock it off. The Olympics commercials are probably the first exposure to the campaign that a lot of people who don't regularly follow politics have received.

August 1, 2021

A huge rally in Texas, featuring, amoung others, Willie Nelson, propsoes to "vote them out", those being the Republican legislators who have been backing a bill in Texas that imposes voting restrictions.

Something that hasn't been hugely noticed by a lot of people, although it is commented on in the political blogosphere, Texas is about to flip back to Democratic.  It'll be "purple", in the unfortunate American political coloration scheme, with heavily Republican areas, but the shift seems certain.  It'll technically be a shift back to Democratic but not really, in right left terms, as when it was Democratic it was part of the Southern Democratic system, with that party being very conservative, and of course also being very white.  Texas was one of the Southern states which shifted to the GOP following the elections of Carter and Reagan.

Since then its marched on to massive urbanization and accordingly has very heavily Democratic pockets.  The loss to the GOP, when it comes, will be extremely significant.

Former President Trump has amassed a $102,000,000 war chest so far in advance of the 2024 elections even though its very uncertain whether or not he'll be running.  We can presume that if the inevitable toll of advancing years hasn't caught up with him by then, he likely will be.

Trump's ongoing legacy is now beginning to seriously concern Republicans in Congress behind the scenes as they're beginning to worry about something we've predicted here, his ongoing legacy will mean they'll lose ground in the House.

August 4, 2021

The Protect Wyoming Values PAC which has been backing Chuch Gray turns out to have one contributor, according to its recenty filings, and that is Gray's father.  This according to an article published in the Tribune.

There's not prohibition on a single donor, or family donor, PAC of course.

Gray has been seen in the past as the primary contender against Bouchard in the right wng race to unseat Cheney.  It's been noted that Gray has had a larger warchest but its aslo been noted that donations to his campaign have been primarily from himself.  Bouchard, for his part, has been silent since the news of his early Florida years broke.  Right now, Darin Smith seems to be rising in this category.  Smith and Gray are waiting to see which of them Trump will endorse.

August 8, 2021

The upcoming 2022 election spilled into the current legislature when the two best known populist far right candidates had a spat in a legislative committee.

Gray, more or less freshly back from Arizona were a completely pointless audit of the 2020 election results has been going on spoke in a committee meeting about his desire to take away the review of ballot results from county clerks, long the practice in Wyoming, and to hand it over statutorily to the State Department of Audits, a state agency that has had no prior role in this area.  He wanted the Legislative Service Office to draft up a bill to that effect.

The suggestion largley met with a cold reception but it met with a particularly blistering one from Anthony Bouchard, who defended Wyoming's election machines and who declared that there's no problem with election integrity in Wyoming.  The embattled Bouchard, who has very much moved towards the center since the news of his early Flordia years surfaced, further stated; “I’m sick and tired of hearing about it. Why don’t we go to your clerk and audit your election and see if you were duly elected?  Because the problem we are having by talking about this here is you are making everybody think that we have a problem here in Wyoming. That is wrong to our clerks. That is wrong to our state on elections.”

He added; “Quite frankly, I’m disgusted that you’re pulling this election issue because you are running for office here"

Gray, who obviously wasn't prepared for the attack from Bouchard, got off the weak reply that Bouchard was "talking about himself", at which point the committee chairman shut the exchange down.  Gray asked if he could reply and was effectively told no and that he could take his debate with Bouchard outside the chamber.

Other committee members, it might be noted, were also hostile to the bill, with one highly critical of Gray's suggestion this wouldn't add costs to the state's budget.

Setting Gray and Bouchard aside, sort of, Bouchard and the other critics of the proposal, which failed 7 to 2, with Gray's vote presumably one of the two in favor of it, were absolutely correct that Wyoming has had no election problems.  Bouchard is also basically correct that Gray has made the false claims of massive voter fraud in 2020 an issue, although I suspect that Bouchard would have maintained something like that in regard to the election elsewhere at least early on as he launched his campaign over Liz Cheney's vote to impeach President Trump.

What we're partially seeing, however, is that Gray has attempted to elevate himself in the competition for the same demographic that Bouchard represents, and seemingly had strongly backing him before the news of his Florida teenage years surfaced.  Gray is one of now three candidates that the Trump organization has been looking into, with interestingly one of them being an undeclared candidate.  My guess is that Darin Smith will receive that endorsement and Gray's sun will begin to set.  His campaign finance sources so far have proven to be largely family money, which suggests that he's not drawing much support from around the state.  Additionally, the core of Bouchard's support has stuck with him in spite of the scandal.

August 10, 2021

The Park and Carbon County Republican Parties have voted to rescind recognizaing Liz Cheney as a Republican and urge that she be removed from committee assignments, even while acknolwedging that they can't expel her from the party.

The move varies from ineffective to self defeating, as if she actually is removed from assignments, the wide ranging implications vary from hurting the state to potentially really hurting the GOP in the House.  There's a high likelihood that the ongoing hearings on January 6 are going to reveal facts which will hurt the GOP at the national level.

Enrolling in a party is a subject of state law, so the resolution, which is the form of a letter to Cheney, really has no legal effect.  It quotes the "you're fired" line from President Trump's television show The Apprentice, which probably serves to show how Trump-centric the entire matter is, even as one Carbon County Republican claimed that the move had little to do with Trump himself, a fairly absurd claim under the circumstances.  Backers of the move claimed it would likely spread to other counties, which is probably correct, but it won't spread to all of them, so it may also serve to increase the growing devide in the party.

Free membership in political parties, it might be noted, is a typical feature of western democracies, so as a rule there is almost never the ability to expell a person from any party. For that reason, the parties themselves, while self defining, also are fluid as to what they stand for.  The ability to expel members from parties tends to be a feature of minor parties or parties in single party systems.

August 11, 2021

And now Fremont County's GOP has joined Park and Carbon Counties' in the "not my rep" letter.

August 20, 2021

Patagonia is withdrawing its murchandise from sales at the Jackson Hole Ski Resort due its hosting a Trump fund raiser featuring Marjorie Taylor Greene.

Corporate action in politics has been increasing in recent years, often meeting with public criticism, but it isn't new to Patagonia which has long had a politiclally liberal stance and a pro environmental stance.  Chances are that this will be met with verbal hostility in Wyoming, but it can be predicted that this will make little difference to Patagonia. The action may make a difference to the Jackson Hole Ski Resort to some degree, however, given that it caters to tourist, many of whom are much less likely to look favorably upon Greene or Trump that the average Wyomingite.

August 30, 2021

An editorial on Sunday condemned Wyoming legislators promoting voting fraud story lines as hurting the State of Wyoming, specifically naming Chuck Gray amongst those doing so.

September 8, 2021

At least according to rumor central, Harriet Hageman, a far fight Wyoming politician who unsuccessfly ran for Governor in the primary in which Gordon prevailed, is going to announce against Cheney and will receive the Trump endorsement.  She resigned her local position as head of the RNC just today.

Prior Threads:

The 2022 Election, Part III. Everyone throws their hat in the ring.