“Iran lobbed 200+ missiles at Israel yesterday and we’re really worried that Israel will use this as an excuse to start a war”
What that lacks in intelligence, it makes up for in consistency: no matter what they are forced to endure, it’s somehow always the fault of the Jews.
Fr. Joseph Krupp on Twitter, with the quoted text paraphrasing the meaning of two Arab officials worrying that Israel will respond.
We should note that the Iranian assault was itself a response to the Israeli targeting the consular section of the Iranian Embassy in Syria to kill a senior member of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard. Attacking an embassy is classically regarded as an act of war.
Of course, Iran and Israel have been in a shadow war for years.
Israel should not have done that. But the Iranian response was inept. Since they engaged in it, there's been a lot of commentary to the effect that Israel should not respond.
Really? To an assault like that? That's asking for a lot.
Basically, where this is at is here, by analogy. If Japan, on December 7, 1941, had lost all of its aircraft carriers and none of the ships in Pearl Harbor had been sunk, or even seriously damaged, would Japan have been allowed to come back with, "well there, we certainly taught you a lesson, now let's not overreact".
I doubt it.
Lots of people are hoping Israel doesn't respond, and it might not. Iran should certainly hope that, as its airborne offensive capabilities have been proven to be worthless against Israel and there's now an open question about what its defense capabilities are like. If it can't stop a serious Israeli counterstrike, it's fresh meat for the dogs in the neighborhood. "Oh look. . . Iran is bleeding. . . "
What this also shows is what Ukraine could do if it was provided with enough air defenses to take on Russian strikes. Russia's capabilities in this area really aren't much better than Iran's, and indeed, they're using Iranian drones.
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