Murders in New York have dropped to their lowest level in over 40 years, city officials announced on Friday, even as overall crimes increased slightly because of a rise in thefts — a phenomenon based solely on robberies of iPhones and other Apple devices.
There were 414 recorded homicides so far in 2012, compared with 515 for the same period in 2011, city officials said. That is a striking decline from murder totals in the low-2,000s that were common in the early 1990s, and is also below the record low: 471, set in 2009.Interesting, isn't it? To listen to the news, you'd think we were awash in a sea of violence. But, in actuality, violence is down everywhere in the United States, indeed, everywhere in the Western World. And there seems to be no statistical correlation at all between what people traditionally argue for, such as ignoring the 4th Amendment restrictions on search and seizures and gun control, and this phenomenon. On the other hand, our perception that the world is extremely violent has everything to with the media focusing on what violence is around, and on the common erroneous assumption that we must live in the worst of all times (Holscher's Sixth Law of Human Behavior).
Hmmm. . . is that the essence of civilization? That sort of argument is quite fascistic, actually.
“The essence of civilization is that you can walk down the street without having to look over your shoulder,” Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg said.
I'd think the essence of civilization is that you love your neighbor. That's what brings about civilization. There have been societies that had low levels of civil violence that none of us would want to live in. For that matter, societies like Saudi Arabia today are like that, but not too many of us would wish to live in them.
Sign of the cyber times, I guess. Folks who stole Ford automobiles in earlier eras, now still Iphones. Maybe that's progress in and of itself.The Police Department said thefts of Apple products had risen by 3,890, which was more than the overall increase in “major crimes.”
Another telling set of statistics. What does this tell us? Well, about half of all people who are murdered in New York are murdered by a primitive implement. They'd be dead if there were no firearms at all. Probably quite a few of the remaining also would be.Of the 400 murders in 2012, 223 were gunshot victims, 84 victims were stabbed to death, 43 died of blunt trauma and 11 died of asphyxiation. More of the 400 homicides occurred on a Saturday than any other day, followed by early Sunday morning. More occurred between 2 a.m. and 3 a.m. than any other time. People were more likely to be killed outside than in. Nearly 70 percent of the victims had prior criminal arrests, the police said.
People seem to kill each other on the weekend. That seems odd, but it's the time when a lot of people are out and about. So perhaps it isn't particularly when you consider that 70% of the victims had criminal records. Recidivism being what it is, this would suggest that a lot of people get killed because they choose to associate with a criminal element and, in all liklihood, quite a few of them are engaging in some sort of criminal activity.
Again, that suggests the current debate about what to do about "gun deaths" or homicide is probably off the mark, at least as to New York City, and probably everywhere, more murders occur in the big urban areas than anywhere else. It seems a lot of people who have been involved with crime, hang out with criminals, and that can go wrong. There's nothing a person can regulate or ban that's going to address that. On the other hand, overall crime is going down, so these deaths are too, which is a good thing.
Same story. People mad enough to kill, or motivated to kill by greed, revenge or drugs, kill. Seems pretty obvious.The likelihood of being killed by a stranger was slight. The vast majority of the homicides, Mr. Kelly said, grew out of “disputes” between a victim and killer who knew each other.
Left out of this, of course, are events like Newton Connecticut. But if we throw them in, what do we have? That said events are extremely rare, and are almost exclusively committed by somebody with a severe and obvious psychological impairment that we're ignoring as a society.
So, do we think this information will enter our current analysis?
Probably not. It's not what we mistakenly believe, and it's not what a lot of people want to believe.