Ostensibly exploring the practice of law before the internet. Heck, before good highways for that matter.
Thursday, December 18, 2014
Hollywood lets North Korea win.
We know know that the childish Stalinist theme park, the North Korean Clown College Republic, was responsible for the recent hack of Sony
I haven' frankly followed this much, as I don't care about Hollywood's secrets. But I do agree its bad that a government is targeting an American business, although if you have to be targeted by anyone, a government that's clearly not long for this world and which will fall relatively soon, leaving a reluctant South Korea to fix things, is the one you want to be targetd by.
Anyhow, for all it likes to pretend to be on the forfront of everythign, the movie industry proved to be real chickens here. The hack turns out to be because North Korea can't stand to be the target of a joke, even though, it should realize, the country itself is a pathetic international joke. Mad at the Dear Leader being the target of satire, it went after Sony, who made the film. Sony's now pulled the film, after certain chain theaters indicated that they wouldn't show it out of fear that North Korea would target them.
Well, so North Korea wins and looks like a serious international pirate.
Some day soon I'm fairly certain that China will make a Godfather like deal with South Korea. That deal will basically be something like this. China will suggest to South Korea that if it invites the U.S. military to go home, China will take care of the North Korean government, which will then go into retirement, and the border will open. My guess is that this will happen in less than five years, and certainly no more than ten. An advancing China doesn't want an embarrassing Stalinist reminder next door, Russia doesn't want a reminder of what Communism in its infancy was really like, South Korea doesn't want a dangerous neighbor constantly threatening it, and truth be know the U.S. would just as soon go home.
In the meantime, the cutting edge movie industry has thrown North Korea a bone. It shouldn't have.
Restoring Diplomatic Relations with Cuba
And with the People's Republic of China.
Shoot, up until just after Pearl Harbor, we also did with Nazi Germany.
And we had them with the USSR from 1933 until the USSR collapsed in 1990.
So, it's about time we had renewed relations with Cuba.
Not because we think Cuba's government is nifty, but rather because we don't like it.
We broke relations with Cuba when Fidel Castro, whom we edged up on liking beforehand, declared himself and Cuba to be Communist. At the same time, we imposed a trade embargo on the country. The thought was that isolating the country like that might bring it back around.
Well, it hasn't worked and there's no sign that its going to. But it has made dealing with our little Communist neighbor difficult and its brought about a lot of misery for people who have cross border affairs between our nations.
Time that the relations be reestablished. And for that matter, the trade embargo should go as well. Chances are a lot better that an increased stream of American tourists and money will operate to undercut the isolated nation's Communist government a lot better than the ongoing shunning has been.
Now, I know that this will upset some, but these appear to be the incontestable facts of the matter. And continuing to lack diplomatic relations only serves to hurt U.S. interests on the island and to boost the respective interests of other nations.
And lifting the trade embargo would allow free trade between the US and Cuba to the benefit of both nations's people. That would seem to benefit the Cuban government as well, but chances are it really would not. If we seek to have Cuba change its government and liberalize, the best way to do that is increase U.S. tourism and trade to the island, which will boost the economic fortunes of the average Cuban. Once that occurs, they're going to want to exercise some freedom and will pressure their government into reform The reasons would be fairly simple, and while such arguments are not fool proof, the increased money in the hands of average Cubans, and the increased exposure to a society that lives with rights that benefit the citizens, will lead to the means and increased desire on the part of Cubans to have their own government reform.
That desire is already there, but the iron fist to the Castroist regime keeps the country from opening up. The general example from Communist countries is that the support for Communism is nearly always remarkably thin, and once the population has some means and independence, it begins to desire more. That hasn't worked, yet, everywhere. China doesn't have a democratic government yet, and neither does Vietnam, but they seem to be getting dragged by their populations that way. Cuba, which never really had a Communist movement comparable to that of Vietnam or China has a western population that's been constantly exposed to the United States by way of its close proximity to us, and to other western nations by way of tourism. Chances are high that progress would occur there much more rapidly.
Friday, December 18, 1914. Africa and the Great War.
German colonial troops took Naulila, Portuguese Angola.
The Sultanate of Egypt became a British protectorate.
Last edition:
Wednesday, December 16, 1914. Battle of Kolubara concludes. The Scarsborough Raid.
Wednesday, December 17, 2014
Tuesday, December 16, 2014
Wednesday, December 16, 1914. Battle of Kolubara concludes. The Scarsborough Raid.
Serbia prevailed in the Battle of Kolubara with the Austro Hungarians suffering 225,000 casualties, including 30,000 killed, 173,000 wounded and 70,000 taken prisoner, including 200 officers, and the Serbians losing h 22,000 killed, 91,000 wounded and 19,000 missing or captured.
Some Germans had to be wondering why they'd gone to war for Austro Hungary.
The Imperial German Navy raided the British ports of Scarborough, Hartlepool, West Hartlepool and Whitby causing hundreds of civilian casualties.
The British were enraged against the Germans for the raid, and the Royal Navy for failing to prevent it.
Last edition:
Sunday, December 13, 1914. Austro Hungarian troubles.
Monday, December 15, 2014
Air Transportation
I really like aircraft.
Anyhow, as anyone who has ever stopped in this blog at all knows, I'm apparently interested in transportation topics, as they show up a lot. Recently I've been summarizing changes in transportation over the past century or so, and have discussed walking, water transportation, equine transportation and rail. Here we'll look at one of the most revolutionary changes in how we get around. It's one I've discussed here frequently, but its certainly worth taking another look at.
Trains were the fast transportation, and the basic means of interstate transportation, for most Americans after some point in the late 19th Century up in to the 1950s. Now we wouldn't think of trains as fast, but they're a lot faster than equine transportation and water transportation, and prior to the Interstate Highway system, they were a lot more convenient and even more practical than automotive transportation, which tended to be local as a rule. Now, as we know, for long distance transportation, aircraft are the default means of transportation for most people, with automobiles being a close second. In much of the country, you couldn't board a passenger train if you wanted to. And, with FeEx and the like also shipping by air, what the U.S. Postal Service started with air mail has become a major factor in mail and packages, paying a bit of a premium for shipping by air, of course.
Early Air Transportation
During this entire period, it should be noted, the first device that was thought of in terms of commercial air travel wasn't idle. Air ships, like aircraft, had received a big boost during World War One, and just as big aircraft were used for the first time as bombers, so were airships. The Germans in particular developed and dominated this technology, with Zeppelins, giant airships filled with explosive hydrogen, being used, as dangerous as they were, as bombers. Zeppelins were even used to bomb London, although the Germans did that with Gotha bombers as well.
Following the war, Zeppelins kept on keeping on and were being sued for trans Atlantic air travel out of Germany. Serious thought was given to switching the craft to Helium, which doesn't explode, but this proved impossible after the Nazis took over Germany, as the U.S., which controls the globes Helium market, wouldn't allow export to Germany. Hence the airships continued on full of explosive gas.
Aircraft, coming on strong, would have taken out airships as a means of trans Atlantic air travel anyhow, but the explosion of the Hindenburg on May 6, 1937, ended airships day as a commercial carrier forever. Occasionally revived in concept, airships have never gone away, but their lasts really major world role came on during World War Two, when U.S. Navy blimps patrolled for submarines off of the Atlantic. Even at that, however, light private aircraft used by the Civil Air Patrol had a pretty major role.
And then came World War Two.
But before going there, let's summarize the first 45 years of air travel. Basically, what the story is, is as follows"
1. Airships got really rolling around 1900, but they didn't expand into passenger or commercial service right away.
2. The airplane was invented in 1903.
3. Visionaries could see commercial air travel as being viable by 1913.
4. By the 1910s militaries around the globe were developing military aircraft.
5. The first passenger, and mail, service started in 1915.
6. It isn't really possible to separate mail service from passenger service early on, and mail service got really rolling in 1918.
7. Passenger service got rolling in the 1920s as World War One vintage bombers were redesigned for passenger service, and then real passenger planes were introduce in the 1920s.
8. Air disaster lead to air innovation, and the Douglas DC 3 came in during the mid 1930s.
9. Over water air flight opportunities were picked up by Pan American who soon expanded into luxury transoceanic flight.
10. Elsewhere, such as in Europe, the story is largely the same, but with the market for aircraft already being international.
Before we look at that, however, we have to look at two other areas, private and light air transportation, and a brand new aircraft, the helicopter.
As already noted, light aircraft had become big in the United States starting with the Curits Jenny. The US had a well developed private aviation community prior to World War Two, and indeed the country harnessed that population for anti submarine efforts during the war, in the form of the Civil Air Patrol.
The Jet Age
Still relatively expensiveness, jet air travel none the less totally supplanted long range train travel in the United States by the early 1970s, a process that had started off with big piston engined airliners like the Constellation. Railroads discontinued passenger service most places, save for those places where local commuter rail continued to be viable. Intrastate air travel and regional air travel also became more common, with turboprop aircraft being common there. In most states local air travel became an option for at least business travelers.
Deregulation of the 1980s really ramped up air competition and the market became unstable but highly competitive. Air prices steadily dropped and left us with the situation we have today, in which air travel has never been cheaper, or more uncomfortable.
Also in this age, but for a different set of reasons, the helicopter really came into its own. An oddity in some ways when first developed, it proved itself during the Korean War and became an indispensable military tool by the Vietnam War. Soon after the Vietnam War, one of the primary uses of the Army helicopter was carried over to civilian life, and the medical "dustoff" which sent in the Medivac UH-1 "Huey" became a familiar site, with other helicopters, in the United States. Now medical helicopters are in almost every town, and helicopters in all sorts of local uses, from traffic reporting to pipeline flying, are quite common.
Private aviation, however, has taken a pounding since its glory days of the 50s and 60s. By the 1970s law suits had taken their toll on the industry and Cessna even ceased offering light planes for awhile. Federal intervention through statutory relief allowed it to reenter the market, but there's no doubt that lawyers and lawsuits pose as great of threat to light aviation as flak guns did to Allied bombers during World War Two, I'm sorry to say.
So this is basically where we are today. In less than a century, given that early aircraft were both dangerous and really not practical for much, we've developed a wholly new means of transportation. That means of transportation had an incredibly rapid evolution, much the way, I suppose, personal computers have in our own age. They displaced the train for long distance travel to a large extent, rendering the massive US rail passenger fleet obsolete. They've become, moreover, a common tool of our daily life, and had been a not uncommon avocation for many who just liked flight. Costs of air travel, except for the cost of being a private pilot, have decreased enormously, while at the same time its become faster and more uncomfortable.
Sunday, December 14, 2014
Saturday, December 13, 2014
Sunday, December 13, 1914. Austro Hungarian troubles.
The Austro Hungarian Army held back the Imperial Russian Army at Limanowa, but lost 12,000 casualties doing so. The Russians suffered 30,000 casualties.
The Austro Hungarians withdrew from Belgrade.
Last edition:
Saturday, December 12, 1914. NYSE fully reopens.
Wednesday, December 13, 1899. British victory in the Cape Colony.
General French routed Boer troops advancing into the Cape Colony toward Noupoort.
French would go on to be the commander of the BEF in 1914 and 1915. He died of bladder cancer at age 72 in 1925.
Last edition:
Monday, December 11, 1899. The Battle of Magersfontein.
Jeans and Offensive Marketing
With the possibly relatively rare example of univeralists beliefs, which seek to incorporate all faiths of all types into a universal truth, and primitive religions that are basically animist in nature, a basic tenant of any faith would be that it is a "true religion" and indeed the True Religion. Indeed, it wasn't all that long ago that this was sufficiently understood so as to be incorporated into the an ironic line of dialog into a popular film, The Magnificent Seven. Now the concept of that is so vague that its being used in this fashion with the marketers counting on some vague recollection but not one sufficiently clear as to cause righteous indignation. It's frankly pathetic.
And its all the more pathetic when realized that this is undoubtedly directly offensive to all the of the monotheistic religions, each of which would maintain that they are the true faith. Here, again, the marketers benefit from the diluted nature of any strong understanding of beliefs in Western society, as the majority of people in Western society are some variant of Christian, and Christians have become used to being picked on in this fashion so that they don't generally react. One can only imagine what the reaction would be if a person marketed jeans as "True Islam" jeans, or "True Judaism". There would be an uproar, and justifiably so. But, as Islam and Judaism do both maintain that they are the true faith, calling something "True Religion" doesn't vary much from that, really.
Well, things like this should make for a good test of Harrop's thesis that we might be entering a post materialistic age. If we are, and if the numbers are as high as she maintains, then at some point people begin to buy jeans based on their quality and price, and not the clever marketing. Jeans marketed in this fashion can only appeal to a consumerist materialistic society, as its some weird sort of image that's being actually purchased, rather than the real product. As for me, I hope this product fails.
Friday, December 12, 2014
Saturday, December 12, 1914. NYSE fully reopens.
Save for bond trading, the New York Stock Exchange fully reopened.
Last edition:
Friday, December 11, 1914. Victory in the Pacific
Lex Anteinternet: $40/barrel?
Lex Anteinternet: $40/barrel?: Driven by Saudi Arabian efforts, the price of petroleum oil is falling through the floor. When I last checked, it was down under $70...Now under $60/bbl nationwide, and at $53/bbl in the state.
And still dropping.
Thursday, December 11, 2014
Friday, December 11, 1914. Victory in the Pacific
First Lord of the Admiralty Winston Churchill declared the Pacific won for the Allies.
Last edition:
Thursday, December 10, 1914. Austro Hungarian retreat.
The end of consumerism?
Early in it she poses the possibility of a shift to this sort of view in a significant percentage of the population, noting a slow start to the typical Christmas big retail season:
Certainly, some of this frugality is a hangover from the economic trauma of six years ago. The recession smashed Americans’ comfort with debt, belief in real estate and faith in an ever-more prosperous future. Many feel the sting of stagnant wages. Even winners in this strengthening economy seem to be holding back.
But a more fundamental change may be afoot, a change in belief systems. Americans may be moving into an era of post-materialism. If so, retailing faces a whole different ballgame.
Post-materialism is defined as a reorientation of values away from the big-ticket luxuries, such as fancy cars, and toward self-expression and quality of life. It could mean choosing more free time over working longer to support a big home.
This trend is strongest in rich countries, where the basics of food, shelter and security are taken for granted. The World Values Survey shows Australia having the highest proportion of post-materialists, 35 percent, followed by Austria, Canada, Italy and then the United States, at 25 percent.
Consumerism, what Harrop and others sometimes call "materialism", which is an apt description, wasn't always with us, in fact, in the form which we now see it, although it has been for about a century or so in the US, and the rests of the Western world to varying degrees. The super heated consumerism that we've had in recent memory, however, is really something that arose in the post World War Two world, although the roots of it were there before that. It's a complicated story, but if we look back into the 19th Century, what we tend to see is that almost all Western economic thought out side of Socialist thought. was highly family oriented and did not tend to acquisition oriented. This isn't universally true, to be sure, as in the unregulated economy of the industrial late 19th Century there were those who grew fantastically wealthy and exhibited a tremendous drive towards acquisition. But at every level, the thought that the function of people was to act as the purchasers of stuff was something that was not only not there, but which would have been regarded as highly offensive. Most common people viewed economic activity as a means of trying to support their family in a decent manner. Even socialism, which is highly materialistic in its world view, had this as its basic premise, albeit in a very materialistic manner.
It wasn't until after World War Two when this began to change in a significant manner. Consumerism was already there, but the goods starvation caused by the Great Depression and the Second World War created a post war consumer demand that was enormous in the US. Truth be known, it also created the same in Europe, but Europe was in such poor shape after the war this wouldn't really begin to express itself there until the late 1950s. The impact of the Depression and the war, combined with the American economic revival of the 40s and 50s, followed by the European economic recovery of the late 50s and 60s, caused a sort of one-two punch on how people valued goods and how they valued their own societies.
The real explosion in this view got really rolling in the 1970s, and in a manner that was highly ironic. The social upheaval in the 1960s seemingly espoused a very non materialistic view of the world, which at the same time rejected almost any traditional value. But that really didn't last very long and the youth trend of the 1960s towards rejection saw the commercial hedonism in advertising of the 1950s fully adopted by the 1970s. The same generational cohort that was responsible for the upheaval of the late 60s and early 70s very quickly adopted a hardcore consumerist, money generation ethos by the early 80s. Gordon Gecko's "greed is good" type of view was, ironically, a view espoused by many in the same generation that saw Woodstock as the pinnacle of their generations experience. Termed the "Me Generations" in the 1970s, this saw its expression in consumerist behavior in the late 1970s and has dominated American economic output ever since.
Consumerism/Materialism has received real criticism for a long time, and has been defined as a societal evil by its critics for years, receiving erudite analysis from everyone from hard left critics to the Popes at various times. And that consumerism or materialism pose real dangers to society really cannot be challenged. As recently analyzed in the Catholic Things You Should Know podcast, consumerism has given rise to a lack of attachment to goods and a lack of attachment to nearly everything by extent. It's been deeply challenged by moral theorist but its also been attacked by liberal economist as well. Environmentalist have also deeply attacked it, as it gives rise to a throw away culture that creates obvious environmental problems. And sociologist have been in the fray as well, noting that a consumerist economy seemingly erodes a societal attachment to any meaningful standards or thought and gives rise to a deeply unhappy population.
Before going on, let’s put in a good word for consumption. The lust to amass stuff associated with The Good Life is not entirely bad. It fuels the economy, and if budgets aren’t broken in the process, a splurge now and then can at least temporarily raise the spirits — doubly so when done in the company of other merrymakers.
Sadly, many of today’s shopping experiences do not raise the spirits. Picking up a cheaply made import at a big-box store on a drab strip is not quite the same thing as shopping for toys on a festive Main Street. Surely, the sameness of mall shopping has driven many a consumer online, where prices are transparent, the selection broad and traffic is zero.
Wednesday, December 10, 2014
Random Snippets. The Rocky Mountain News
I hope he does. I always liked the news much better than the Denver Post.
Thursday, December 10, 1914. Austro Hungarian retreat.
Nobel Prizes were awarded to German physicist Max von Laue, American chemist Theodore William Richards and Austro-Hungarian physiologist Róbert Bárány.
The Serbians reached the lower Drina, forcing most of the Austro Hungarian troops to retreat towards Bosnia.
The HMS Ark Royal, the Royal Navy's first aircraft carrier, was commissioned.
Joseph Smith III, the eldest son of Mormon founder Joseph Smith, and head of the conservative and more conventional Reorganized Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints (RLDS Church), died at age 82. He was a lifelong opponent of polygamy and denied his father's involvement in it, something rather difficult to do.
Last edition: