Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Budgetary Confusion

Given that the Federal shutdown is the topic of the hour, perhaps its not surprising that there's so much confusion on various topics related to this.  But, because I think it important to the discussion, the following things are worth keep in mind.

1. How did the Federal Government shut down?

It has no budget. Congress hasn't passed one, and they haven't passed a continuing budgetary resolution to carry on in the absence of one.

2. Why did that cause a shut down.

There's no legislative authorization to pay anybody or anything.

3.  Does that really matter to me?

Probably.  One of the things people are surprised to find in a time like this is how broad the budgetary reach of the Federal government is.  Some things are no surprise at all.  For example, right now air traffic controllers are working for free. That is grossly unfair to them, as they have to work and they have to eat, their children have to go to school, etc., and there's no money coming in. Same with the BLM, which still has to monitor drilling, mining, and livestock raising on the Federal Domain.  But in other areas, people are finding that various local town and city projects, which seem very local, are suddenly shut down, as they rely on grant money.

4. Does that mean that these things should be budgeted?

Well something should clearly be.  Everything?  Well, that depends on your view.  The main parts of the government must be, really.  Peripheral things, well that's another topic.

5. So the government is shut down as we don't agree on what to spend money on?

No, not at all. The Government is shut down to due to an argument, more or less, over the Affordable Health Care Act.

6.  Huh?

Yes, that's right. This started as a GOP effort in the House of Representatives to defund or at least delay implementation of the Affordable Health Care Act.  To some extent its morphed a bit, as an argument, as at least in the Senate the GOP proposed to basically delay implementation and the Administration disagreed with that proposal, or the Senate Democrats did.

7. What does that have to do with the budget.

One of the oddities of the American political system is that Congress can pass an act which requires funding, but not fund the same thing. Budgeting has always been separate. So, you can get into a situation in which there's an authorization for a program, but no funds for it.

That itself is more common than a person might suppose.  For example, the Federal government at one time required industries under the jurisdiction of the Mining Safety Health Administration to have a certain number of people certified in training by MSHA.  However, Congress didn't authorize funding for that for years, so there was no training offered by MSHA.  In order to attempt to comply with the law, companies would send an employee to a similar course of training conducted by the Occupational Safety and Health Administration.  That wasn't really compliance, but it was as close as they could come under the circumstances.

Or, to give another example, very late during the Vietnam War, after the U.S. had withdrawn, Congress denied funds to provide for US forces to be active in the fighting late war.  This actually could have developed into a Constitutional crisis, but did not as the Administration at the time had low interest in becoming re-involved.  It's always been considered a given, however, that Congress can dispute the deployment of US forces in any one place by denying funding for any one military expedition, but Congress is always very reluctant to do that.

Here, however, we see something else going on.  The GOP members of Congress, or at least a fair number of them, strongly disagree with the implementation of the Affordable Health Care Act and are refusing to pass any budget.  Traditionally, they would have refused to fund the AHCA, if they disagreed with it. That would have caused the President to be presented with a budget omitting funding for the program and then he's have to decide whether or not to sign the budget (I suspect he would not).  Here, however, this started off as a refusal to pass any budget until the AHCA was taken up.

7. That's because the AHCA is so massively expensive, right?

Nobody really knows right now.  You can find estimates running both ways. This is more of a philosophical debate.

8.  And that has everything to do with the debt ceiling, right?

No, nothing at all

9.  Huh?

The debt ceiling is actually a complete different topic.  It is a statutorily created amount which prohibits the US from borrowing money above that amount.  It's perfectly possible to have an argument about the debt ceiling without arguing about the current proposed budget, or the AHCA.  Indeed, the only connection between the two is that passing a budget that isn't balanced creates the debt.

10.  So we're really arguing about balancing the budget?

No, not at all.

The current debate would actually make a great deal more sense, from a logic stand point, if the those who oppose raising the debt ceiling did so on the basis that a ceiling is a ceiling, and continuing to raise it is dishonest.  But that's not the topic.

11.  It isn't? Well what up with the debate on the debt ceiling?

The debt ceiling is basically being held hostage to the budget debate.  Last time it was debated the actual topic actually was whether or not we dare go over that dollar amount.  Now, however, its been sucked into the budget debate.

12. Well clearly we must raise the debt ceiling, right?

Probably at least through the end of the year, but raising it every time it comes up is dishonest. At some point, the debt actually has to be addressed.

13.  That's impossible, isn't it?

No, not in the abstract it isn't.  The New York Times ran an article last year showing how even minor adjustments can actually result in a balanced budget.  But neither political party is willing to take the steps necessary to do that. Even the steps discussed are only bandaids.

Balancing the budget, however, is not rocket science.  But it does cause pain.  Simply put, the Federal Government would have to cease funding a lot of the peripheral things it now funds.  Or people have to decide that they do want the Federal government to fund those things.  If they decide that, and indeed in any event, the Federal government is going to have to take in more tax revenue. There's no way to raise the boat of the economy up to where it will ever pay for expenditures at this level.  Even reducing expenditures significantly just wont derive that result.

That doesn't necessarily mean that you need to raise income taxes, and if you do, it doesn't mean you need to raise them on everyone.  There are all sorts of other taxes. But, taxes are taxes. And expenditures are expenditures.  The government is borrowing an absurd amount of money and it really shouldn't be, as that can't go on forever.

14. And that's what the debate will center on the next couple of days, right?

I doubt it.

Thursday, October 10, 2013

The Big Speech: Solzhenitsyn's Harvard Address

Solzhenitsyn's famous Harvard Address.

I don't think this is public domain, so I can't post the speech itself. But this legendary speech was regarded as ground breaking and shocking when delivered.

Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Mid Week At Work


Aftermath of Winter Storm Atlas II

Aftermath of Winter Storm Atlas II: As of today, five days following the storm, there are still downed trees, and piles of leaves, everywhere, all over town.  Some folks have p...

One Year in the Indian Wars: 1890

Actions with Indians, 1890 - 890XAA.pdf

One Year in the Indian Wars: 1880

Actions with Indians, 1880 - 880XAA.pdf

One Year in the Indian Wars: 1876

Actions with Indians, 1876 - 876XAA.pdf

One Year in the Indian Wars: 1868

Actions with Indians, 1868 - 868XAA.pdf

One Year in the Indian Wars: 1860

Actions with Indians, 1860 - 860XAA.pdf

One Year in the Indian Wars: 1850

Actions with Indians, 1850 - 850XAA.pdf

One Year in the Indian Wars: 1840

Actions with Indians, 1840 - 840XAA.pdf

Tuesday, October 8, 2013

The Wyoming Cheese Steak

Everyone has heard of the legendary Philly Cheese Steaks, that sandwich made with steak, onions, peppers and melted cheese.  People even debate which ones are the best, in those places where they're offered for sale.  Well, a sandwich of that type can also be made from deer or antelope, so here we debut the Wyoming Cheese Steak.



Hoagie rolls are, of course, an essential ingredient.  We butter them lightly, and then put them in oven on broil to toast them. Watch that carefully, and don't place the bread on the highest rack in the oven, or you'll have charcoal brickets instead.


Frying pan on the left contains sliced onions and green peppers, being fried in olive oil.  On the right, here we see sliced deer steak (venison to those who prefer to use that name), but antelope, I think, works even better.

Put on the steak, onions, peppers and cheese (provolone works best, but Swiss will do also) and but back in the grill to melt.  Taste great!

Sunday, October 6, 2013

Boo Hiss Apple

Apple makes a fine product in the Iphone, no doubt about it.

But why can't they wait to release updates to Itunes and the Iphone until they actually have the bugs worked out of the programs?  I live in fear of their updates.

I probably ought to elect simply not to update either, but I'm afraid that if I don't, my systems will no longer be supported by the existing greater programs, so I do. But about half the time, the updates are really buggy.  Usually what they mess up, like the most recent updates, is the systems ability to support Podcasts.  Right now, for example, it's not transferring them to the phone, and it's not allowing the transferred ones that have been transferred since the most recent updates to play.  A while back, however, some bug in their update caused my phone to act as if it was plowing through data, when in fact it wasn't. 

Why do they do that?  Have they been infiltrated by North Korean operatives?  Have the last ancient Nazi war criminals found refuge in Apple, where they work to reverse the results of World War Two through disruption of our communications systems?  Are Apple employees secret Trotskyites?  Do the deeply buried operatives listed in the Verona files now find work in their dotage at Apple?

Well, whatever it is, I wish they'd knock it off.