Ostensibly exploring the practice of law before the internet. Heck, before good highways for that matter.
Tuesday, November 24, 2015
Killing people and breaking things. . . and women in the service.
Monday, November 23, 2015
Lex Anteinternet: Toyota Landcruiser: The Prime Mover of the Third ...
Lex Anteinternet: Toyota Landcruiser: The Prime Mover of the Third ...: Moroccan troops with some sort of Toyota, United States Marine Corps photograph. Americans may have invented the Jeep , but based o...And now, it appears, there's a little competition in this category.
At least, anyone, in Iraq. The Iranian built Safir Jeep sized vehicle, a real throw back that's the size of the original Willys MB (if that big) and which retains a solid front axle (but which appears to have torsion bars rather than springs) is seeing use in the ongoing war in Iraq. The Safir is typically decked out with a rocket launcher or a recoiless rifle, something we stopped doing way back when we were still using the M38A1.
But, in the conditions in which they're fighting, it's probably pretty darned effective.
Election comparison and contrasts
As folks here know, Canada just had an election.
And we're having ours.
I can't help but be envious of the Canadian election practices a bit, although the reason they exist is that they have a parliament, not a congress like we do, and that means that their chief executive is simply a member of the party that takes the majority of the House. So, that means that their election is a nationwide house election, rather than a sort of single purpose election to a degree, like our Presidential election. You can't really vote, that is, for the Prime Minister unless you live in that "riding".
And that naturally makes for a fast election.
In contrast, ours now last for over a year, which is not really a good thing. And the staggered primaries man that some states have truly unnatural influence over a nationwide process.
This is something that could be fixed, and it probably really ought to be. Spending millions of dollars over the course of a year in a staggered series of elections is fatiguing in the extreme and it seems mostly to just wear the voters out, as well as giving undue influence to a few states, and the real die hard faithful of each party that live in those states.
Or, alternatively, we could go back to the old "smoke filled room" days when parties basically picked their candidates in the convention, without a lot of nationwide politicking (although there was certainly some). The candidates we got in those days were certainly no worse than the ones we get now.
Looking at house size, from Lex Anteinternet: More of the Stone Ranch
Lex Anteinternet: More of the Stone Ranch: This is posted over on our photo site, as Holscher's Hub: More of the Stone Ranch. It is an historic structure, but its the very astut...
Thanks, I have long been fascinated by how little space was needed only a few generations ago. Stage travelers probably were in a corner cot behind a curtain. Today a 1,200 sq foot home is sold as small, or as a starter home. Would have been more than spacious in the 1880s.
That's very true.
I know that the original occupants of the house had a family and raised several children there. At least one of their children went on to marry and raise another family there, after the stage days were over. As time went on the outbuildings and what not were put in, but they continued to live in the small house. I don't know when the house ceased to be occupied, but I think it was in the 1940s or 1950s.
This house is smaller then modern apartments today. But, on the other hand, it was stone, cut by an itinerant Italian stone mason, and it was probably really easy to heat in the winter with its small size. Likewise, the windows and stone construction probably would have made it tolerable during the summer.
Tuesday, November 23, 1915. Turned back at Ctesiphon.
British forces failed to break through Ottoman lines at Ctesiphon.
Sikh troops were deployed by the British to Matruah in response to Senussi attacks.
Last edition:
Monday, November 22, 1915. British turned back in Mesopotamia.
Monday at the Bar: Courthouses of the West: Fergus County Montana Courthouse, Lewistown Montana
Sunday, November 22, 2015
They aren't dogs

Monday, November 22, 1915. British turned back in Mesopotamia.
The Indian Expeditionary Force D, mostly made up of Indian units and under the command of Gen. Sir John Nixon, attacked a more powerful force of Ottoman troops under the command of Nureddin Pasha near the site of the ancient city of Ctesiphon, located on the Tigris southeast of Baghdad.
Both sides took high casualty rates, but the battle arrested British progress in Mesopotamia and forced a British withdrawal.
The French evacuated the Vardar region of Macedonia in light of the defeat of the Serbian Army.
While the fighting in Europe had much of the front news attention in the US, in Texas it was Villa's plight south of the border, and how that might spill into the US.
Larrabee State Park was created in Washington.
The circus/carnival train owned by Con T. Kennedy was hit head on by the engine of a Central of Georgia passenger train east of Columbus, Georgia. The resulting crash resulted in at least 15 deaths of circus workers and perhaps up to 25, who were buried in a common grave.
Last edition:
Sunday, November 20, 1915. Villa in retreat. . . again.
Sunday Morning Scene: Churches of the West: St. Joseph's Roman Catholic Church, Shoshoni Wyoming
Saturday, November 21, 2015
A rather large window
Sunday, November 20, 1915. Villa in retreat. . . again.
Putting up a post that was made, and then lost;
Villa was in retreat again:
From this point on, Villa would, in fact, always be in retreat.
Supreme Leader of the Senussi in North Africa Ahmed Sharif as-Senussi ordered his forces to cross the Egyptian frontier to execute a military coastal campaign against the Allies.
An outpost southeast of Sollum, Egypt was attacked
The Endurance broke up and sank. The Aurora drifted across the Antartic Circle as ice trapping her began to melt.
Last edition:
Friday, November 19, 1915. Joe Hill executed.
Wyoming Fact and Fiction: Butch - Sundance, and the Wild Bunch
Friday, November 20, 2015
No, just go away
Friday Farming: Lex Anteinternet: The Poster Gallery: Posters from World War Two.
Thursday, November 19, 2015
Friday, November 19, 1915. Joe Hill executed.
Trade Union leader and member of the IWW was executed for the murder of John and Arling Morrison in Salt Lake City in 1914. His guilt continues to be contested, and Hill became sort of a martyr for trade union activism.
Hill was a Swede born as Joel Emmanuel Hägglund in an era when a lot of Scandinavian and Eastern European immigrants were fairly radicalized.
Hill may in fact have not been guilty of the murder he was accused of. Morrison, a former policeman and grocer, along with his son, was shot and killed by two men. Later that evening Hill arrived at a doctor's office with a gunshot wound and claimed it was sustained in a fight over a women. He refused to say more, even later. Evidence developed as late as 2011 suggest that Hill was telling the truth initially, and that he was shot by Otto Appelquist, a friend of his. Both Appelquist and Hill were lodgers of the Erickson family, and rivals for her attentions. Hill apparently told Erickson that Appelquist had shot him before going to seek medical attention, but he never revealed the details for his defense at trial, which is peculiar.
Hill, who was a songwriter himself, was famously memorialized in the balled "Joe Hill".
It's a bit much, frankly, particularly if he was shot by a fellow Swede over the affection of a Swedish American girl. That's drama, but not that sort of drama.
It's interesting that he never revealed the details of what would have been a pretty good alibi. Given the immigrant connection, he may have felt that he simply didn't want to get them in trouble.
Richard Bell Davies of the Royal Naval Air Service landed his Nieuport to rescue downed airman Gilbert Smylie in the first example of an air combat rescue mission.
He won the Victoria Cross.
The KING has been graciously pleased to approve of the grant of the Victoria Cross to Squadron-Commander Richard Bell Davies, D.S.O., R.N., and of the Distinguished Service Cross to Flight Sub-Lieutenant Gilbert Formby Smylie, R.N., in recognition of their behaviour in the following circumstances:—
On the 19th November these two officers carried out an air attack on Ferrijik Junction. Flight Sub-Lieutenant Smylie's machine was received by very heavy fire and brought down. The pilot planed down over the station, releasing all his bombs except one, which failed to drop, simultaneously at the station from a very low altitude. Thence he continued his descent into the marsh. On alighting he saw the one unexploded bomb, and set fire to his machine, knowing that the bomb would ensure its destruction. He then proceeded towards Turkish territory.
At this moment he perceived Squadron-Commander Davies descending, and fearing that he would come down near the burning machine and thus risk destruction from the bomb, Flight Sub-Lieutenant Smylie ran back and from a short distance exploded the bomb by means of a pistol bullet. Squadron-Commander Davies descended at a safe distance from the burning machine, took up Sub-Lieutenant Smylie, in spite of the near approach of a party of the enemy, and returned to the aerodrome, a feat of airmanship that can seldom have been equalled for skill and gallantry.
He'd earlier won the DSO.
For services rendered in the aerial attack on Dunkirk, 23rd January, 1915:—
Squadron Commander Richard Bell Davies
Flight Lieutenant Richard Edmund Charles Peirse
These Officers have repeatedly attacked the German submarine station at Ostend and Zeebrugge, being subjected on each occasion to heavy and accurate fire, their machines being frequently hit. In particular, on 23rd January, they each discharged eight bombs in an attack upon submarines alongside the mole at Zeebrugge, flying down to close range. At the outset of this flight Lieutenant Davies was severely wounded by a bullet in the thigh, but nevertheless he accomplished his task, handling his machine for an hour with great skill in spite of pain and loss of blood.
He remained in the Royal Navy until retiring in 1941, at which time he joined the Royal Navy Reserve, taking a reduction in rank to Commander from Vice Admiral in order to do so. He retied a second time in 1944. He died in 1966 at age 79.
Last edition:
Wednesday, November 17, 1915. Fighting in Haiti and Egypt.
Wednesday, November 18, 2015
Today In Wyoming's History: Page Updates; 2015
Understanding Saudi Arabia
The Arabian peninsula, as the name would indicate, has been the home of the Arab people since ancient times. The Arabs were definable as such well before they came to be identified with Islam and indeed at the time of the rise of Mohammad. Indeed at the time of Mohammad's rise the Arabs practiced a variety of religions, including Catholicism, Gnostic Christianity, Judaism and various animist religions. They were not a united people by any means, which played into Mohammad's favor as he sought to unite them by force, where necessary. The peninsula, while it would become Islamic, did not tend to be united however, although there were occasional exceptions of a type.
Postscript:
From an article in today's New York Times:
Daesh has a mother: the invasion of Iraq. But it also has a father: Saudi Arabia and its religious-industrial complex. Until that point is understood, battles may be won, but the war will be lost. Jihadists will be killed, only to be reborn again in future generations and raised on the same books.
Mid Week At Work: Staff writers of the Irish World
The Irish World is an Irish themed newspaper in England.
I doubt that the writers typically looked like this, back in the 19th Century.
Tuesday, November 17, 2015
Wednesday, November 17, 1915. Fighting in Haiti and Egypt.
Marines under the command of Smedley Butler, who would become profoundly anti war later on, captured Fort Rivière, the last rebel stronghold in Haiti, resulting in 50 rebel casualties.
Senussi tribesman attacked the village of Sollum, Egypt where forces loyal to the Allies were stationed. Two Bedouin soldiers were killed and the telegraph lines sabotaged.
The British Red Cross hospital ship HMHS Anglia struck a mine in the English Channel and sank with the loss of 134 lives.
Last edition:
Tuesday, November 16, 1915. Coca Cola receives a patent.
Monday, November 16, 2015
Taking them at their word. The war aims of evil
Without consideration of traditions and prejudices, Germany must find the courage to gather our people, and their strength, for an advance along the road that will lead this people from its present, restricted living-space to new land and soil; and hence also free it from the danger of vanishing from the earth or of serving others as a slave nation. The National Socialist Movement must strive to eliminate the disproportion between our population and our area — viewing this latter as a source of food as well as a basis for power politics — between our historical past and the hopelessness of our present impotence.
And so, we National Socialists consciously draw a line beneath the foreign policy tendency of our pre–War period. We take up where we broke off six hundred years ago. We stop the endless German movement to the south and west, and turn our gaze toward the land in the East. At long last, we break off the colonial and commercial policy of the pre–War period and shift to the soil policy of the future. If we speak of soil in Europe today, we can primarily have in mind only Russia and her vassal border states.
The Big Speech: The North Atlantic Treaty
They are determined to safeguard the freedom, common heritage and civilisation of their peoples, founded on the principles of democracy, individual liberty and the rule of law. They seek to promote stability and well-being in the North Atlantic area.
They are resolved to unite their efforts for collective defence and for the preservation of peace and security. They therefore agree to this North Atlantic Treaty :
Article 1
The Parties undertake, as set forth in the Charter of the United Nations, to settle any international dispute in which they may be involved by peaceful means in such a manner that international peace and security and justice are not endangered, and to refrain in their international relations from the threat or use of force in any manner inconsistent with the purposes of the United Nations.Article 2
The Parties will contribute toward the further development of peaceful and friendly international relations by strengthening their free institutions, by bringing about a better understanding of the principles upon which these institutions are founded, and by promoting conditions of stability and well-being. They will seek to eliminate conflict in their international economic policies and will encourage economic collaboration between any or all of them.Article 3
In order more effectively to achieve the objectives of this Treaty, the Parties, separately and jointly, by means of continuous and effective self-help and mutual aid, will maintain and develop their individual and collective capacity to resist armed attack.Article 4
The Parties will consult together whenever, in the opinion of any of them, the territorial integrity, political independence or security of any of the Parties is threatened.Article 5
The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all and consequently they agree that, if such an armed attack occurs, each of them, in exercise of the right of individual or collective self-defence recognised by Article 51 of the Charter of the United Nations, will assist the Party or Parties so attacked by taking forthwith, individually and in concert with the other Parties, such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area.Any such armed attack and all measures taken as a result thereof shall immediately be reported to the Security Council. Such measures shall be terminated when the Security Council has taken the measures necessary to restore and maintain international peace and security .
Article 6 (1)
For the purpose of Article 5, an armed attack on one or more of the Parties is deemed to include an armed attack:- on the territory of any of the Parties in Europe or North America, on the Algerian Departments of France (2), on the territory of or on the Islands under the jurisdiction of any of the Parties in the North Atlantic area north of the Tropic of Cancer;
- on the forces, vessels, or aircraft of any of the Parties, when in or over these territories or any other area in Europe in which occupation forces of any of the Parties were stationed on the date when the Treaty entered into force or the Mediterranean Sea or the North Atlantic area north of the Tropic of Cancer.
Article 7
This Treaty does not affect, and shall not be interpreted as affecting in any way the rights and obligations under the Charter of the Parties which are members of the United Nations, or the primary responsibility of the Security Council for the maintenance of international peace and security.Article 8
Each Party declares that none of the international engagements now in force between it and any other of the Parties or any third State is in conflict with the provisions of this Treaty, and undertakes not to enter into any international engagement in conflict with this Treaty.Article 9
The Parties hereby establish a Council, on which each of them shall be represented, to consider matters concerning the implementation of this Treaty. The Council shall be so organised as to be able to meet promptly at any time. The Council shall set up such subsidiary bodies as may be necessary; in particular it shall establish immediately a defence committee which shall recommend measures for the implementation of Articles 3 and 5.Article 10
The Parties may, by unanimous agreement, invite any other European State in a position to further the principles of this Treaty and to contribute to the security of the North Atlantic area to accede to this Treaty. Any State so invited may become a Party to the Treaty by depositing its instrument of accession with the Government of the United States of America. The Government of the United States of America will inform each of the Parties of the deposit of each such instrument of accession.Article 11
This Treaty shall be ratified and its provisions carried out by the Parties in accordance with their respective constitutional processes. The instruments of ratification shall be deposited as soon as possible with the Government of the United States of America, which will notify all the other signatories of each deposit. The Treaty shall enter into force between the States which have ratified it as soon as the ratifications of the majority of the signatories, including the ratifications of Belgium, Canada, France, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and the United States, have been deposited and shall come into effect with respect to other States on the date of the deposit of their ratifications. (3)Article 12
After the Treaty has been in force for ten years, or at any time thereafter, the Parties shall, if any of them so requests, consult together for the purpose of reviewing the Treaty, having regard for the factors then affecting peace and security in the North Atlantic area, including the development of universal as well as regional arrangements under the Charter of the United Nations for the maintenance of international peace and security.Article 13
After the Treaty has been in force for twenty years, any Party may cease to be a Party one year after its notice of denunciation has been given to the Government of the United States of America, which will inform the Governments of the other Parties of the deposit of each notice of denunciation.Article 14
This Treaty, of which the English and French texts are equally authentic, shall be deposited in the archives of the Government of the United States of America. Duly certified copies will be transmitted by that Government to the Governments of other signatories.Understanding Syria
I've never done one titled "Understanding Syria", and hence this thread. But I've nearly done so early on when the civil war in Syria began to get serious attention here in the U.S. That thread from 2013 entitled And Now Syria focused on whether the US should become involved or not, but as it addressed the situation in that unfortunate land and gave some explanation of its background. Given the ongoing deterioration, and the fact that the situation in Iraq and Syria is now much different than it was then, I'm repeating a bit of that below.
WWI vintage poster for Middle Eastern relief.Some time ago I wrote an item here on what seemed likely to be an intervention in Syria's civil war.And now, its being debated in Congress.I'll applaud the President for submitting this to Congress. Just last week or so it appeared that the President was set to simply order the Navy to conduct strikes against Syria, in retaliation for the Syrian government using chemical weapons on its own people, without bothering to bring in Congress, but the British Parliament turned that around. That only occurred as Parliament was being asked by Prime Minister David Cameron to support the upcoming U.S. strike. Parliament said no. That caused the President, in what now seems to be a miscalculation, to seek authorization from Congress. Right now, to my surprise really, Congress doesn't seem likely to grant that authority. As a result, there's some discussion on the President ordering the strikes anyway, which would be a massive political miscalculation. Of our allies, there's a movement in Canada to require their PM to follow Britain's lead and submit the question to Parliament, which would likely vote no. France appears to be the only country that is likely to support us, but probably for historical reasons that we have a very dim appreciation of.
Bedouin riding through Roman triumphal arch, Palmyra Syria, 1939.In Congress views on this topic are split three ways. One camp wants to authorize the President's proposal, which is to make a limited strike over a 90 day period in retaliation for the government's use of chemical weapons on civilians. Another wants to stay out of the war entirely. A third will vote no as, ironically, it wants to jump into the war, topple the government and create a new one we, we think, will like better.That's basically John McCain's position, or at least that's his position by implication. But do we dare to suppose that's realistic? And if it is not, do we dare get into this thing at all? Do we even understand Syria?
Straight Street in Damascus. This street is so old its mentioned in the New Testament.Americans tend, to an almost charming degree, to believe the diametrically opposed beliefs that the United States is the best country in the world and that every other country is just like us. What country may be the best in the world is a subjective matter, but objectively, not every nation and not every people are just like us. Far from it.Most nations in the world, or at least most successful ones, are "nation states". A nation state is a country made up of one nation. This notion, or rather this fact, is so contrary to our own experience that generally we don't really grasp what it means. Indeed, in our pledge of allegiance we even state that we are "one nation, under God."
"Syrian" (almost certainly Lebanese) children playing in the streets of New York City. There is a huge global diaspora of Lebanese. According to some, the Lebanese diaspora is the most successful, in terms of business and wealth, in the world. The Lebanese are distinct for a variety of reasons, including that at the time of the formation of their country Maronite Catholics made up a majority of the population.Perhaps, over time, the American "nation" has become just that, but most stable countries in the world have been formed by nationalism, and that nationalism long ago separated out the borders of the country along cultural boundaries. This appears to be changing in the modern world, but it's still largely the case. That is, France is a country for the French. Italy is a country that united in the 19th Century in an effort to combine all the Italians, and some who were sort of Italians, into one country. Germany united in the 1870s as a confederation of German principalities.
Roman temple for Emperor Diocletian, a figure frequently noted for persecution of early Christians.Conversely, the Austro Hungarian Empire flew apart in the early 20th Century partially because the constituents of that empire no longer wanted to be ruled by a common government. Hungary, Austria and Czechoslovakia became separate countries, with that process rolling along right up until almost the present day, as Czechoslovakia, made up of the Czechs and the Slovaks, split into two separate countries, each of which is a nation state. We witnessed something similar to this in Yugoslavia in the 1990s, when a country made for the "south Slavs" busted up along ethnic lines that essentially only they could discern.Not all modern countries are nation states, of course. The United States, for example is not. And countries that share a common origin to that of the US are not. That is, Canada and Australia, also nations that were formed via the immigration from many parts of the Europe and even the globe aren't. The United Kingdom isn't, although in the true European fashion the various nations that make up the UK; IE., England, Scotland and Wales, have remained nations rather than blending to a surprising degree. And as noted, this was so much the case for Ireland, once part of the UK, that it violently departed.A person could legitimately ask, of course, what the heck this has to do with Syria, but it has a great deal to do with it. Syrian isn't a nation state. And not only isn't a nation state, it isn't like the US or Canada in which the various ethnicities mix fairly readily. They don't mix.A person might find that surprising, and many Americans apparently don't realize this at all. We keep hearing about "they Syrians" but who are they? A person with an ear for history might presuppose that the Syrians of today are the Assyrians of old, but they'd only be very partially correct.
Syrian Bedouin, 1939.Assyrians do indeed living on, in some fashion, in the DNA of many Syrians today, but modern Syria isn't he Assyria of old. Even by the time of Christ what is now Syria had come under the influence of some foreign populations, namely the Greeks, which is why Syrian actually fit so seamlessly into early Christian history. The coastal region of what was in very modern times Syria was at that time, as now, Lebanon, and that area had its own ancient populations that contributed to its nature, namely the Phoneticians, who may have descended from the Philistines.
Syrian gypsies.As noted, Syria was a region of the Middle East whose population took rapidly to Christianity, and there have been Christians in Syria ever since the 1st Century. Christianity took so rapidly to Syria that Damascus was where St. Paul was headed in order to persecute the Christians when he had his Epiphany. And that also tells us that there were Jewish populations there at that time as well, but there were throughout the Middle East at the time. Christians were first called that in Syria, Antioch to be precise, although that city is now in Turkey, on the Syrian border.
Ruins of Crusader era church in Syria, 1939.Like the rest of the Middle East, Syria was invaded by the Arabs during the early Islamic period, and like places where there was a strong Christian presence, the Arabs were never able to fully supplant the native Christian population. This has very much been the case in Syria. Today, Syria is made up of Islamic populations, Christian populations, often in their own areas, Alawites (a minority Moslem group), the Druse and some Kurds. None of these groups has much in common with the other, except by the exent to which the minority groups, the Christians, Druse and Alwaties fear, and have reason to fear, the majority Moslem Arabs.
Representatives of the Orthodox in the US, following the Russian Revolution. In addition to Maronite Catholics, Syria has populations of Antiochean (Syrian) Orthodox. Contrary to the way history is sometimes imagined, Roman Catholic Crusaders, upon taking Antioch, restored the Antiochean prelate to his seat.The Ottoman Turks occupied and governed Syria for eons, until the Ottoman Empire disappeared due to World War One. France received Syria, with which it had strong historical ties, as sort of a consolation prize for helping the British defeat the Turks during the Great War. France occupied Syria from 1918 until 1946, keeping it through several changes in the French republican government and even into the Vichy period. Syrian troops served the French in World War Two, both in the Vichy cause and the in the Free French cause. In some ways Syria was the French consolation prize for its role in the Middle East in World War One, as the French also fought the Ottoman's there, but it also recognized that France's role in the region existed for historic reasons going back to the Crusades. Many of the Christian Kingdoms of the Crusading period saw significant French colonization and a recent work by a British author has made the point that during this period not only were a majority of the residents Christians (and were well after the fall of the Crusader kingdoms) but that in some areas, but not all, they were basically French colonies. French trade with the region kept on keeping on in to modern times, and its worth noting that about the only government that appears inclined to get into Syria now is France.
The British High Commissioner for Palestine, left, and the French High Commissioner for Syria, right, with young lad in middle, 1926.Anyhow, while the French have a pretty poor record in regards to the success of their 19th and 20th Century colonies, in terms of becoming modern states so their experiences must be used as examples with caution, Syria did have the benefit of both Ottoman and Syrian administration and that doesn't appear to have lead to a real concept of forming a modern state really. If France was unable to do it in 20 years, I don't think we'll be able to in ten or fifteen, or whatever period we'd be willing to invest in the country if we got in full bore. And to suppose that the Syrian rebels are going to create a parliament and recognize civil liberties without European or American boots on the ground is absurd. The French, we might note, had the benefit of being successors to the Ottomans, which meant that the Syrian population wasn't really inclined to be hostile to a foreign overlord, as they now will be under any scenario.
Kurds, a stateless people, are native to a region encompassing parts of Turkey, Syria, Iraq and Iran. The Kurds are actually responsible for the final stages of the spread is Islam, not the Arabs, and have given it an enduring memory of a unitized theocratic state and the false myth of enduring a Christian invasion. Ironically, not all Kurds are Moslems today, nor have they ever been.On French administration, one thing worth noting is that the French came to the conclusion that it wasn't possible to rule Syria as a single political entity, and they ultimately created districts on ethnic lines. Lebanon exists today for that reason. The Alawites and the Druse also had their own regions. We always seem to think that any country we step into makes sense as a nation, and that would go counter to the modern experience of the Middle East in general, and Syria in particular. That is, why Syria at all? For that matter, why Iraq? It probably makes more sense that these countries be busted up into their ethnicities, which do not mix. But we won't do that. And whoever we prop up isn't going to want to do that either as no government ever desires to become less powerful and control less country. In other words, the Kingdom of Sweden might have been willing to recognize that Norway wanted to be its own country in 1903 without fight, but Syria isn't going to do that with any of its minorities. For that matter, even the highly civilized United Kingdom fought to keep disenchanted Ireland in the group form 1918 to 1922, and I doubt that any Middle Eastern nation would do less.
Druse refugees, 1925. The Druse are an Islamic sect despised by other Islamic groups. They live in Lebanon, Israel and Syria today. Early opponents of the Turks, and allies of the British in World War One, today they are closest to Israel.Regarding the ethnicities, examination of the sides in Syria ought to really give us pause. Syria has some really distinct ethnicities.By and large, Syrian Christians are afraid of the rebels, as they fear that a rebel victory will mean their end, and in my view it probably would. Alawites feel the same way. We (the US) feel that because the government is brutal, we should depose it, but should we depose it in favor of a probable bigger brutality? I just can't see a way out of this mess that doesn't leave us with blood on our hands in one way or another.On that, it's interesting to note that some 20 years ago or so the Syrian government crushed another rebellion, and that's come up in this context from time to time. But, what of that rebellion? It was by hard core Islamist. Had it succeeded, Syrian would be an Arab Iran today. The crushing of the rebellion was brutal. That's inexcusable. But had it not been crushed, the result would have been grim for us. Do we even want to have to be associated with the results of a civil war there today, given that any result is grim from our prospective?
Indeed, when we look at the overall state of the Middle East, I think its' general folly to view any of the existing political entities as likely to be permanent. No government there looks stable long term, and those that do are challenged by demographics. That being the case, it might be best to view the Middle East today the way we viewed Eastern Europe prior to WWII. A mysterious backwater that hopefully will muddle its way out of the mess its in on its own. One thing we can be thankful for is that with changes in technology, the Middle East is becoming less and less significant economically or in terms of material resources, so we might actually hope for a day when it can conduct its regional spats without us having to be too afraid of the results.A lot of what I wrote about back in 2013 remains true, but the situation there, and in Iraq, is now so far gone that it cries out for international action, and has been so crying out for months and months.
Postscript
When we posted this one year ago, it probably looked like we were engaging in a rather paranoid example of Realpolitik. Well, events here have really born us out. Those who were cheerleading for intervention in Syria last September, when we posted this, would have effectively handed Damascus to the Islamic State, which proved to be sufficiently powerful as to be able to expand its old fashioned religious war, with modern weapons, into Iraq and nearly topple that government. The Presidents reluctance, therefore, to intervene in Syria proved wholly justified. Indeed, it now appears inevitable that we will soon be committing air assets over Syria and bombing the same enemy that the Syrian air force is.
Make no mistake, Assad is not in the warm and fuzzy category of leader, and Syria deserves better. But Syria also isn't Ireland, whose rebels will adopt a parliament and immediately become a model of democratic behavior. It has a long way to go, and we best be careful lest it become part of the Islamic State, or something like it.
Now, France has been attacked either by ISIL or ISIL's confederates and sympathizers. Floods of Syrian refugees have hit Europe. The country is nearly destroyed and has been reduced to an insane land of conflict, with the only really semi functional parts being those thing slices so firmly controlled by one side or another that some semblance of a remote normalcy exist.
What could have been avoided earlier on no longer can be. The western world has no choice but to address the chaos in Syria, and that can only be done militarily. That's because Syria is effectively a wild lawless land which is part of the Islamic State, a state in reality if not in recognition. And the Islamic state will murder anyone who is not a Sunni with its same radical views, and it will export its war everywhere. It must.
























