Sunday, June 15, 2025

Subsidiarity Economics 2025. The Times more or less locally, Part 7 and Cliffnotes of the Zeitgeist, 91st Edition. Reality is hard.


We start, where we left off:

June 13, 2025

Trump signed a Congressional resolution counteracting California's prohibition on the sale of petroleum vehicles after 2035.

It appears that a TACO moment is coming up.


The messaging here is really spastic.  Illegal immigrants in cities are violent criminals, unless they work in the hospitality industry, in which case they're good, long time workers, which is also true of farms, even though the DHS has a plan to raid farms with National Guardsmen to remove them.

Eh?

Of course, regarding agriculture, which I'm very familiar with, this is all an unintended consequence of the Bracero Program, which started the process of taking American laborers out of the fields, all of which raises a larger question.  

Will Americans return to the jobs occupied by foreign workers, and what sort of pay will it require, if they will, to cause them to do that?

And, as that tweet predicted, the  Trump administration directed immigration officers to pause arrests at farms, restaurants and hotels.

We have a more indepth look at this story coming up, maybe, but Trump has repeatedly received  a hard dose of reality on his pet theories, or the pet theories of those who backed him in his rise to power.  Indeed, the entire group of MAGA theorists are getting repeated lessons on being locked into the past in a very distinct way.  To reverse things, back to, say, 1958 requires massive disruption on a scale that the country, for the most part, isn't willing to endure.

This has given rise to the Trump "TACO" nickname, Trump Always Chickens Out.  It's probably not really a good idea to goad him too much on that.  Reversing course in disastrous policies isn't really "chickening out" but it does mean that Trump supporters and insiders have to now really turn a totally blind eye to what's going on.

What does that do, however, to people like Peter Navarro, who radically advocated for tariffs?  And more than that, where does it leave people like Tom Homan who are radically in favor of mass deportation?  Indeed, to a very large degree it was illegal immigration and the concept that American jobs had been stolen by migrants, or exported overseas, that brought Trump to power.  Without those issues, much of what he stood for is gone.

Indeed, Holder denied he'd heard anything about any changes yesterday when it came up.  Authorities raided two California farms earlier this week, and the now open plan is to try to deport 3,000 illegal immigrants per day.  White House officials at first denied there were any changes as well, but now it seems that, indeed, their are.

Loyal Trumpites have consistently excused his changes in the menu.  It'll be interesting to see if they have changed their views here as well.


Last edition:

Subsidiarity Economics 2025. The Times more or less locally, Part 6. “Rarely has an economic policy been repudiated as soundly, and as quickly, as President Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs.”


Cliffnotes of the Zeitgeist, 90th Edition. Parade and Protests.

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