Wednesday, December 22, 2021

Pandemic Part 8. Enter Omicron

November 27, 2021

The new variant, dubbed Omicron right now, seems to be more infections.  It has multiple mutations.  Little else is known about it now.

It's appeared in Hong Kong.

New York has declared a state of emergency in anticipation of the new Omicron variant of the disease arriving there.

The US has banned flights from a collection of southern African nations.

The Dow dropped 800 points in a day and oil plummeted.

Nov 27, cont:

By the end of the day, I suspect a lot of global travel restrictions will be in place.  Having said that, my suspicion is twofold; 1) it's already broken out of Africa, as supported by reports of it having made its way into Belgium, Hong Kong and the UK; and 2) the US will be slow to really restrict travel in a way that will address the problem, justifying New York's reaction.

My added prediction is that it will turn out the vaccines are in fact effective at preventing it and/or reducing its severity in break through cases.  Nonetheless, this will have no impact on getting people to accept getting vaccinated.

Nov 27, continued part two.  Some observations

Only 35% of South Africans are vaccinated.  Not because they don't want to be, but because distribution of vaccines in the Third World in general, and Africa in particular, is poor.

This points something out, however.  As long as this is the case, and South Africa's percentages are higher than most of Africa's, these mutations are going to keep on keeping on and sooner or later it will be the case that there will be a variant that vaccinations are ineffective as to, assuming that this isn't the case for this variant, and we'll be taking a big step backwards.

In other words, there needs to be a full scale effort to address the situation in the developing worlds.

Secondly, without even checking it, and even as we are all at the point where we know of people who have died, there will be those in the first world who are going to claim that the Omicron variant is proof of some giant conspiracy.  It isn't.  Rather, we don't have this beat yet.

November 29, 2021

Japan has barred entry to all non-resident foreigners.

Anthony Fauci appeared on all three weekend news shows and stated that the Omicron variant will get into the US eventually, but current measures are buying time, which can be used to figure out how to react to it.

Very little is actually known about the new variant, other than it appears highly infectious.

December 1, 2021

All National Guard and Reserve members have been ordered to be vaccinated.

December 2, 2021

The disease is now in the US, which I predicted, FWIW, that it already was. The first person to be diagnosed with it was fully vaccinated and has a mild case. The Californian had travelled to South Africa.

The day prior, the first identified case in Canada had been reported.  It's undoubtedly fairly far spread in North America by now.

How effective vaccinations are against this variant is not yet known, but the suspicion is that they are at least somewhat effective.  They may be as effective as with prior variants, or less so, it's just not known.  With this being the case, this entry is interesting:

Governor’s Legal Action Leads to Pause in Federal Vaccine Mandate for Health Care Workers

CHEYENNE, Wyo. – Governor Mark Gordon welcomed a preliminary injunction issued today by the United States District Court, Eastern District of Missouri that halts implementation and enforcement of a rule from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) that would impose a vaccine mandate on healthcare workers. Governor Gordon and Attorney General Bridget Hill entered Wyoming in this lawsuit, challenging the federal mandate. 

“This is welcome news for Wyoming’s rural healthcare facilities, which are already facing staffing challenges without additional unconstitutional burdens being placed on their employees by the federal government,” Governor Gordon said. “Healthcare employees should not be forced to choose between vaccination and termination.” 

The proposed mandate required nearly every employee, volunteer, and and contractor working at a wide range of healthcare facilities receiving Medicaid or Medicare funding to have received at least a first dose of the vaccine prior to December 6, 2021.

In its ruling, the court agreed to preliminarily enjoin implementation and enforcement of the rule because arguments made by Wyoming and a coalition of other states have a likelihood of success on the merits. Wyoming and the coalition have argued that CMS does not have authority to issue the mandate, and that it would impact the ability of healthcare facilities to effectively care for patients.

“Because it is evident CMS significantly understates the burden that its mandate would impose on the ability of healthcare facilities to provide proper care, and thus, save lives, the public has an interest in maintaining the ‘status quo’ while the merits of the case are determined,” wrote the court. 

The ruling applies only to the 10-state coalition that, along with Wyoming, includes Missouri, Nebraska, Arkansas, Kansas, Iowa, Alaska, South Dakota, North Dakota, and New Hampshire. Today’s ruling is a victory for Wyoming and these states, but the case is not over. The Governor and Attorney General will continue their efforts to challenge the mandate through this lawsuit.  

A copy of the order granting the Motion for Preliminary Injunction may be found here

Wyoming is taking a three-pronged approach to fighting the federal vaccine mandates, filing three separate legal actions to challenge this federal overreach. These include:

·  Filing a lawsuit against the Biden Administration for imposing a vaccine mandate on federal contractors and federally contracted employees. Wyoming is currently awaiting a ruling on a request for a temporary injunction in the case. 

·  Filing a second lawsuit to halt the Occupational Safety and Health Administration emergency temporary standard which mandates vaccines on employees of private Wyoming businesses with over 100 employees. This also resulted in a pause on the implementation of the ETS. 

·  The legal action involving CMS, which seeks to prevent the Biden Administration from enforcing the mandate on healthcare workers. This is what the court stayed today.

-END-

It should be noted that the caption has a typographical error in it.  It should be "Governors'", not "Governor's"

December 3, 2021

Numerous Omicron cases have popped up around the country, including a case in Colorado.  

It's almost inevitable that Omicron is going to spread around the country.  Early reports have it as more infective than other variants or at least as infective as Delta and early studies suggest, but don't yet prove, that it is likely to be able to break through with the vaccinated more easily.  It does seem that break through cases are "mild".

The origin of the multiple mutation Omicron remains a mystery, but a leading theory is that it mutated in a single individual over a long period of time, as that individual was likely immune compromised and couldn't clear the disease.  The suggestion is that the person was likely HIV infected, which is leading some to point out the need to address HIV in southern Africa.

December 6, 2021

There were mixed messages on the weekend shows about the new Omicron variant.

There has been some suggestion that its less severe in its infections than prior variants, but that message is tampered by the fact that the observed cases have included a lot of breakthrough cases in South Africa.  It seems to be more infectious.

A Moderna representative on This Week termed its emergence "the worst possible scenario".

Modern and Pfizer are expected to have vaccines developed within three months.

Everyone is urging that the unvaccinated get vaccinated and that those who have not been boosted receive boosters.

December 8, 2021

Pfizer has stated:  

Although two doses of the vaccine may still offer protection against severe disease caused by the Omicron strain, it's clear from these preliminary data that protection is maximized with a third dose of our vaccine. 

It's also abundantly clear at this point that until that point at which a high percentage of  the population is vaccinated the disease will continue to mutate, and the pandemic will continue on.  This also makes it clear that populations in less developed parts of the world need to be vaccinated.

December 9, 2021

Pfizer announced that with the booster, its three shot (now) vaccine provides good protection against the Omicron variant.

New York and Maine have deployed some National Guard medics to facilities to deal with Delta outbreaks in those locations.

Mask mandates are now in effect in Denver.

December 14, 2021

1% of all US seniors have died from COVID 19.

The United States Supreme Court has turned away challenges of state mandates from three states.

40% of new cases in the UK are the Omicron variant.

27 members of the Air Force have been discharged for failing to follow the vaccination order. While I didn't see it in the article, this would presumably be a bad conduct discharge.

December 14, 2021 cont:

Governor Leads Coalition Penning Joint Letter to Defense Secretary over National Guard Vaccine Mandate Consequences

 

CHEYENNE, Wyo. – Governor Mark Gordon and four other Republican governors signed a letter to the Secretary of Defense today asserting that disciplinary directives to National Guard members serving in a state capacity “are beyond (the Secretary’s) constitutional and statutory authority.”

In the letter to Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, the Governors note that the Supreme Court has affirmed “that the National Guard is under the command and control of the Governor of each state unless those members are called to active service under Title 10.” The letter requests the Secretary reconsider directives that dictate whether training can occur, setting punishment requirements and requiring separation from a state’s National Guard for refusing to be COVID-19 vaccinated.

“Under Title 32 duty status, the Wyoming National Guard is under my command and control,” Governor Gordon said. “These directives are an overreach of the federal government’s authority.”

Joining Governor Gordon in signing the letter were Governor Pete Ricketts of Nebraska, Governor Kim Reynolds of Iowa, Governor Tate Reeves of Mississippi and Governor Mike Dunleavy of Alaska and Governor Kevin Stitt of Oklahoma. The full letter may be found here.

-END-

Frankly, as a former National Guardsman, I find the Governor's actions here simply appalling.

The National Guard is a reserve of the Army and Air Force, and are part of it.  You surrendered your liberty on this when you signed up, and that's just the way it is.

December 15, 2021

Canadians have been urged not to engage in non-essential international travel.

December 16, 2021

The University of Wyoming is keeping its mask mandate until mid-February.

December 17, 2021

Slightly over 100 Marines have been separated from the service for failing to receive vaccinations per orders.

December 18, 2021

Omicron has appeared in Albany County, Wyoming.  No doubt it's all over the state by now.

December 19, 2021

The Netherlands have entered a month long lockdown.

Harvard will be remote again for January.

December 21, 2021

The State of Wyoming is joining in a multi state appeal to the United States Supreme Court to resolve the legality of OSHA Coronavirus mandates.

President Trump, who earlier indicated he probably wouldn't get a booster, admitted before a crowd when asked by a Fox news personality if he had, that he did.  This elicited boos from the crowd.

December 22, 2021

The NHL is not going to the Winter Olympics due to COVID in an attempt to salvage the rest of its professional season, which is suffering due to ongoing Pandemic related cancellations.

Bill Gates cancelled his travel plans for the holidays.

President Biden addressed the nation on the new outbreak:

The longer the virus is around, the more likely variants form that may be deadlier than the ones that have come before.THE PRESIDENT:  Good afternoon.  I promised when I got elected that I’d always give it to you straight from the shoulder — the good, the bad, the truth.

So, as we head into Christmas weekend, I want to answer your questions about the rising number of COVID cases — COVID-19 cases.

And I want to start by acknowledging how tired, worried, and frustrated I know you are.  I know how you’re feeling.

For many of you, this will be the first or even the second Christmas where you look — across the table will be an empty kitchen chair there.

Tens of millions have gotten sick, and we’ve all experienced an upheaval in our lives.

But while COVID has been a tough adversary, we’ve shown that we’re tougher — tougher because we have the power of science and vaccines that prevent illness and save lives, and tougher because of our resolve.

So, that — let me answer some questions that lay out the steps the Vice President and I are taking to prepare for the rising number of cases experts tell us we could expect in the weeks ahead.

First, how concerned should you be about Omicron, which is now the dominant variant in this country and it happened so quickly?

The answer is straightforward: If you are not fully vaccinated, you have good reason to be concerned.  You’re at a high risk of getting sick.  And if you get sick, you’re likely to spread it to others, including friends and family.  And the unvaccinated have a significantly higher risk of ending up in a hospital or even dying. 

Almost everyone who has died from COVID-19 in the past many months has been unvaccinated.  Unvaccinated.

But if you’re among the majority of Americans who are fully vaccinated, and especially if you’ve gotten the booster shot — that third shot — you’re much — you have much, much less reason to worry.  You have a high degree of protection against severe illness. 

And because Omicron spreads so easily, we’ll see some fully vaccinated people get COVID, potentially in large numbers.  There will be positive cases in every office, even here in the White House, among the unv- — among the vaccinated — among the vaccinated — from Omicron.

But these cases are highly unlikely to lead to serious illness.

Vaccinated people who get COVID may get ill, but they’re protected from severe illness and death.  That’s why you should still remain vigilant.

According to our doctors, even if you’re fully vaccinated, you should wear a mask when indoors in public settings.

Wearing a mask provides extra protection for you and those around you.  And I know some Americans are wondering if you can safely celebrate the holidays with your family and friends. 

The answer is yes, you can, if you and those you celebrate with are vaccinated, particularly if you’ve gotten your booster shot.

If you are vaccinated and follow the precautions that we all know well, you should feel comfortable celebrating Christmas and the holidays as you planned it.

You know, you’ve done the right thing.  You could enjoy the holiday season.

And thanks to the progress on vaccinations this fall, we’ve gone from nearly 90 million adults in July who had not even started their vaccination process to fewer than 40 million today.  Still too many, but down from 90 to 40.

All these people who have not been vaccinated, you have an obligation to yourselves, to your family, and, quite frankly — I know I’ll get criticized for this — to your country.

Get vaccinated now.  It’s free.  It’s convenient.  I promise you, it saves lives.  And I, honest to God, believe it’s your patriotic duty.

Another question folks are asking is: What can you do to make yourself and your family feel safer and be safer?  The answer is simple: Get your booster shot.  Wear a mask.

Our doctors have made it clear: Booster shots provide the strongest of protections.  Unfortunately, we still have tens of millions of people who are eligible for the booster shot who have not yet gotten it.  They’ve gotten the first two shots, but they’ve not gotten the booster.

Folks, the booster shots are free and widely available.  Over 60 million Americans, including 62 percent of eligible seniors, our most vulnerable group, have gotten their booster shots.

I got my booster shot as soon as they were available.  And just the other day, former President Trump announced he had gotten his booster shot.  It may be one of the few things he and I agree on.

People with booster shots are highly protected.  Join them.  Join us.  It’s been six months or more since my second shot.  If it’s been six months or more for your second shot — when I got my booster — you can get yours today if you’ve been six months or more since your second shot. 

Another question that folks are asking is: Are we going back to March 2020 — not this last March 2021, but March 2020 — when the pandemic first hit?  That’s what I keep getting asked.

The answer is absolutely no.  No. 

Here are three big differences between then and now: One — number one — the first one — more than 200 million Americans have been fully vaccinated.  In March of 2020, no one was fully vaccinated.  What that means is, today, as cases — a case of COVID-19 for a fully vaccinated and boosted person will most likely mean no symptoms or mild ones similar to the common respiratory viruses.

Over 200 million Americans should have the peace of mind that they did not have in March of 2020: They’re protected from hospitalization, and they’re protected from death.

Second point: We’re prepared today for what’s coming.  In March of 2020, we were not ready.  Today, we’ve spocktiled [sic] enough — we’ve stockpiled enough gowns, masks, and ventilators to deal with the surge of hospitalizations among the unvaccinated. 

Today, we’re ready.

And as I’ll explain in a few minutes, we’re going to be reinforcing our hospitals, helping them.

Number three, we know a lot more today than we did back in March of 2020.  For example, last year, we thought the only way to keep your children safe was to close your — close our schools. 

Today, we know more and we have more resources to keep those schools open.  We can — you can get 5- to 11-year-olds vaccinated — a tool we didn’t have until last month.

Today, we don’t have to shut down schools because of a case of COVID-19.  Now, if a student tests positive, other students can take the test and stay in the classroom if they’re not infected rather than closing the whole school or having to quarantine.

We can keep our K-through-12 schools open, and that’s exactly what we should be doing.

So, folks, let me summarize: We should all be concerned about Omicron but not panicked.  If you’re fully vaccinated, and especially if you got your booster shot, you are highly protected.  And if you’re unvaccinated, you’re at higher risk of getting severely ill from COVID-19, getting hospitalized, and even dying.

So, the best thing to do is get fully vaccinated and get your booster shot.

And, no, this is not March of 2020.  Two hundred million people are fully vaccinated.  We’re prepared.  We know more.  We just have to stay focused.  So that’s where we stand.

Now, let me tell you about the additional steps I’m ordering today to take on what is coming.  I know you’ve heard a lot of this in the news already this morning.

Three weeks ago, I laid out a COVID-19 Action Plan for this winter that prepared us for this moment.  Today, we’re making the plan even stronger.

First, we’re setting up our vaccination and booster efforts — we’re stepping it up significantly.  In the past two weeks, we’ve seen the highest vaccination rates since last spring.  And we aren’t as vaccinated, as a country, as we should be, though.  That’s why we have added 10,000 new vaccination sites on top of the 80,000 sites that are already we had — we already had in place, and even more will open in January. 

I know there are some parts of this country where people are very eager to get their booster, where it’s harder to get an appointment.  Excuse me.  (Coughs.)

So starting this week, I’ll be deploying hundreds more vaccinators and more sites to help get the booster shots in people’s arms. 

I’ve ordered FEMA — the Federal Emergency Management Agency –- to stand up new pop-up vaccination clinics all across the country where you can get that booster shot.

We’ve opened — (coughs) — excuse me — we’ve opened FEMA vaccination sites in Washington State and New Mexico recently as cases have increased.  And today, I’m directing FEMA to stand up new sites in areas where there is high demand.

These steps are going to help us add more — more and more booster appointments in over — just over the next few weeks. 

I also want to say a word to parents: If your children are not vaccinated, please get them vaccinated.  If you’re a parent -– understandably — who waited to see how the first shots went with other kids before getting your own kid vaccinated, you can stop waiting.  Six million children in our country ages 5 to 11 are vaccinated.  Get your children protected today — now.

And for those parents out there who have a child that’s too young to be vaccinated — that is under the age of five — I know this can still be a scary time.  But one thing — one thing you can and must do while we await vaccines for children under five: Get yourself fully vaccinated and boosted, as well as those around you — your children, your caregivers, your siblings.

It’s critical to mask up in public indoor places.

We know that our youngest children have only rarely been impacted by serious COVID cases — COVID-19 cases, but they can be further protected if they’re surrounded by vaccinated people.

And again, to folks who are not vaccinated: You may think you’re putting only yourself at risk, but it’s your choice.  Your choice is not just a choice about you; it affects other people.  You’re putting other people at risk — your loved ones, your friends, neighbors, strangers you run into.  And your choice can be the difference between life or death.

The longer the virus is around, the more likely variants form that may be deadlier than the ones that have come before.

Let me say again and again and again and again: Please get vaccinated.  It’s the only responsible thing to do.  And those who are not vaccinated are causing hospitals to overrun — become overrun again.

I just spoke to the governor of New York.  Every COVID-19 hospital [hospitalization] means someone with a heart attack, cancer, or other serious illness may not get that bed and that lifesaving care they need in the hospital.

Look, let me give it to you straight again: Omicron is serious, potentially deadly business for unvaccinated people.

Let me be clear: Thanks to the prior administration and our scientific community, America is one of the first countries to get the vaccine.  And thanks to my administration and the hard work of Americans, we led a rollout that made America among the world leaders in getting shots in arms. 

But uptake slowed this summer as vaccine resistance among some hardened.  Look, the unvaccinated are responsiblefor their own choices.  But those choices have been fueled by dangerous misinformation on cable TV and social media.

You know, these companies and personalities are making money by peddling lies and allowing misinformation that can kill their own customers and their own supporters.

It’s wrong, it’s immoral, and I call on the purveyors of these lies and misinformation to stop it.  Stop it now.

One of the other things that we know that has to be done is more testing.  Because Omicron spreads easily, especially among the unvaccinated, it’s critically important that we know who’s infected.  That means we need more testing.

And on that score, we are now [not] where we should be.

Yes, we have over 20,000 free testing sites.  Yes, we’ve used the Defense Production Act and spent $3 billion to greatly expand the number of at-home tests available for purchase online and at your local pharmacy.  And, yes, we’ve made sure insurance covers the PCR tests you get in a hospital or at your doctor’s office. 

But, starting next month, private insurance will all cover — also cover at-home testing so you can order a test online and get reimbursed.  We’re providing access to free at-home tests for those who may have insurance as well — may not have insurance, I should say, as well. 

But it’s not enough.  We have to do more.  We have to do better, and we will.

Starting this week, the federal government will set up emergency testing sites in areas that need additional testing capacity.  Before Christmas, the first several of these federal testing sites will be up and running in New York City with many more to come. 

This free testing is going to help reduce the waiting lines — the time you have to stand there and — and sometimes it’s an hour or more.

We’re going to continue to add federal testing sites where needed so that if you want an immediate test, there will be a place where you can go get it.

We also need to do better with at-home testing.  So, I’m announcing today: The federal government will purchase one half billion — that’s not million; billion with a “B” — additional at-home rapid tests, with deliveries starting in January. 

We’ll be getting these tests to Americans for free.  And we’ll have websites where you can get them delivered to your home. 

We have arranged for it to be easier for you to find a free COVID testing site near you on Google.  Just enter “COVID test near me” in the Google search bar and you can find a number of different locations nearby where you can get tested.

And we’re going to continue to use the Defense Production Act as we did earlier this month to make sure we’re producing as many tests and as quickly as possible. 

The bottom line is it’s a lot better than it was, but we’re taking even more steps to make it easier to get tested and get tested for free. 

Next, we are preparing hospitals for what’s coming.  Those 40 [million] unvaccinated adults have a good chance of getting COVID-19, and some of you will get very sick.  That will mean hospitals are going to get extremely stressed — extremely stressed again, both in terms of equipment as well as personnel to care for those who get sick.

That’s why my administration has stockpiled and pre-positioned millions of gowns, gloves, masks, and ventilators.  We used to call it PPP [PPE].  We’re ready to send them immediately to any state that needs more.

In addition, I have directed the Pentagon to mobilize an additional 1,000 troops to be deployed to help staff local hospitals and expand capacity.  That’s 1,000 military doctors, nurses, and medics.  We’ve already started moving — military — excuse me, medical teams.  They’ve already landed in Wisconsin and Indiana this week.

And this is on top of 300 federal medical — medical personnel that are now on the ground, having deployed since we learned about Omicron. 

Look, while we know staffing is the biggest need for our hospitals, some may need more beds as well.  We’re prepared.  I’ve directed FEMA to activate the National Response Center and begin deploying teams now to provide additional hospital beds.  We’ll begin to construct emergency capacity near hospitals, in parking garages, and nearby buildings to be ready if needed.

And the fuderal [sic] — the federal government is paying for all of this — period — all of it. 

Further, FEMA will deploy hundreds of ambulances and EMS crews so that if one hospital fills up, we can transport patients to beds elsewhere. 

This week, we will send dozens of ambulances to New York and Maine, because of the — because the COVID is spreading very rapidly, to help transport patients. 

Our doctors, nurses, hospital staffs have gone above and beyond during this pandemic.  The strain and stress is real.  I really mean it.  It’s real.  And we’ll have their backs though.  We have to let them know we have their backs. 

Finally, we’re making sure that COVID-19 no longer closes businesses or schools.  Last week, the federal court reinstated my administration’s vaccination-or-test — the vaccination-or-test rule for businesses with more than 100 employees. 

The rule requires employers with 100 or more employeesto protect their workers who are on site and indoors with a requirement that they be vaccinated or tested each week or go home.

These rules are going to keep workers safe.  And keep workers safe will help keep businesses open.  If people are vaccinated or tested, they are much less likely to get sick and less likely to spread it to others.  Customers are more likely to come in and shop because they know it’s a safe environment.

I know vaccination requirements are unpopular for many.  They’re not even popular for those who are anxious to get them. 

But my administration has put them in place not to control your life, but to save your life and the lives of others.  Over 400,000 Americans died from COVID this calendar year — and almost all were unvaccinated, almost all were preventable.

The rule is legal and effective, and it’s going to save thousands of American lives. 

We must also keep our K-12 schools open.  Look, the science is clear and overwhelming.  We know how to keep our kids safe from COVID-19 in school.  K-through-12 schools should be open.  And that safety is increased if schools require all adults who work in the schools to get vaccinated and take the safety measures that CDC has recommended, including masking.

I got Congress to pass billions of dollars in school improvements, ventilation, and social distancing.  Schools should be safer than ever from COVID-19.

And just Friday, the CDC issued test-to-stay guidelines, so schools can stay open and kids can stay in class even if a classmate tests positive. 

COVID-19 is scary.  But the science is clear: Children are as safe as — are — as safe in school as they are anyplace, assuming the appropriate precautions have been taken, and they’ve already been funded.

Let me close with this: I know you’re tired — I really mean this — and I know you’re frustrated.  We all want this to be over.  But we’re still in it, and this is a critical moment.  But we also have more tools than we’ve ever had before.

We’re ready.  We’ll get through this.

As we head into the holidays, I want us to all keep the faith.

I want to sincerely thank you for your perseverance, your courage, your countless acts of kindness, love, and sacrifice during these last two years. 

Throughout our history, we’ve been tested as a people and as a nation.  Through war and turmoil, we had to ask whether we’d be safe, whether we’d be okay, whether we’d be — get back to who we are.

We’ve always endured because we remember there is no challenge too big for America — I mean this from the bottom of my heart — no challenge.

We’ve come through better and stronger because we stay together as the United States of America.

That’s what we have to keep doing today.  We can do this together, I guarantee you.

May God bless you all, and may God protect our troops.  And happy holidays.  God love you all.  Thank you.

Q    Mr. President, on testing, sir, you said, “We have to do better.”  But public health officials have been saying, for months, you need to surge rapid test for just this moment. 

Is it a failure that you don’t have an adequate amount of tests for everyone to be able to get one if they need one right now?

THE PRESIDENT:  No, it’s not, because COVID is spreading so rapidly, if you notice.  It just — just happened almost overnight, just in the last month.  And —

Q    What’s your message —

THE PRESIDENT:  I’m going to answer his question.

Q    Mr. Pres- —

THE PRESIDENT:  And so, no, it’s not a failure, but the alarm bell went off.  I don’t think anybody anticipated that this was going to be as rapidly spreading as it did. 

And so, the question is: We had a lot of people who have access to a test, who could order them, could — could have their insurance pay for them, et cetera. 

But it all started — all of a sudden, it was like everybody rushed to the counter.  There was a big, big rush.  And I knew that was coming, so what I tried to do is meet with the companies and use the Defense Production Act to get a half a billion more tests and figure out how to get them to their homes, get them on the shelves in the store. 

I mean, so that — that’s what it’s all about.

Yes?

Q    Mr. President, what’s your message to Americans who are trying to get tested now and who are not able to get tested and who are wondering what took so long to ramp up testing?

THE PRESIDENT:  Come on.  What took so long? 

Q    That’s what — I’m hearing that from people who are trying to get tested now before the holidays. 

THE PRESIDENT:  Well, what took so long is — it didn’t take long at all.  What happened was the Omicron virus spread even more rapidly than anybody thought. 

If I had told you four weeks ago that this would spread by — a day-to-day basis it would spread by 50, 100 percent, 200 percent, 500 percent, I think you would have looked at me and say, “Biden, what are you drinking?”  But that’s what it did. 

Now, we don’t know what’s going to happen from here.  It looks — there’s some evidence that, in South Africa where a lot of this started, that it’s dropping off quickly, too.  We don’t know. 

But I do know that we’re not going to be in a position, like I said when we — remember we were having a problem with masks and gowns and the like?  I said, “I promise you.” 

Remember the critici- — I got questions from some of you.  “Why are you still paying for all these masks and gowns?  Why you stockpiling this?”  Because we don’t know.  It turns out we’re going to need them.

In the back, and then —

Q    Do travel bans work, sir, and will you reverse the travel ban now that Omicron is so prevalent here in the U.S.?

THE PRESIDENT:  I’m considering reversing.  I’m going to talk with my team in the next couple of days. 

Look, remember why I said we put the travel ban on: It’s to see how much time we had before it hit here so we could begin to decide what we needed by looking at what’s happening in other countries. 

And — but we’re past that now.  And so, it’s something that is being raised with me by the docs, and I’ll have an answer for that soon

Last prior installment:

Pandemic Part 7. The Litigation Edition

Tuesday, December 21, 2021

Harry Dexter White and Pearl Harbor. Soviet Plot?

Harry Dexter White with John Maynard Keynes.
DATE: October 16, 1950


TO: The Director
FROM: Mr. Ladd
SUBJECT: ESPIONAGE - R


PURPOSE: To advise you of the positive identification of agent Jurist (the cover name of a Soviet agent operating in 1944 and named by [Venona project]) as Harry Dexter White, deceased. White was formerly the Administrative Assistant to former Secretary of the Treasury Morgenthau.


DETAILS: You have previously been advised of information obtained from [Venona project] regarding Jurist who was active during 1944. According to the previous information received from [Venona project] regarding Jurist, during April, 1944, he had reported on conversations between the then Secretary of State Hull and Vice President Wallace. He also reported on Wallace's proposed trip to China. On August 5, 1944, he reported to the Soviets that he was confident of President Roosevelt's victory in the coming elections unless there was a huge military failure. He also reported that Truman's nomination as Vice President was calculated to secure the vote of the conservative wing of the Democratic Party. It was also reported that Jurist was willing for any self-sacrifice in behalf of the MGB but was afraid that his activities, if exposed, might lead to a political scandal and have an effect on the elections. It was also mentioned that he would be returning to Washington, D. C., on August 17, 1944. The new information from [Venona project] indicates that Jurist and Morgenthau were to make a trip to London and Normandy and leaving the United States on August 5, 1944.
On the basis of the foregoing, the tentative identification of Harry Dexter White as Jurist appears to be conclusively established inasmuch as Morgenthau and White left the United States on a confidential trip to the Normandy beachhead on August 5, 1944, and they returned to the United States on August 17, 1944.
You may recall that Harry Dexter White was named by Whittaker Chambers in his statements as having been a source of information for Chambers in his work in Soviet espionage until Chambers broke with the Soviets in 1938. Chambers produced a handwritten memorandum that White had given him and our Laboratory established this memorandum as being in White's handwriting. The Treasury Department advised that parts of the material were highly confidential, coming to the Treasury Department from the Department of State.
In addition to the foregoing, Elizabeth T. Bentley in November, 1945, advised that she had learned through Nathan Gregory Silvermaster that White was supplying Silvermaster with information which was obtained by White in the course of his duties as Assistant to the Secretary of the of the Treasury.


RECOMMENDATION:
There is attached hereto a blind memorandum which has been prepared for the information and assistance of   setting forth this identification. There is also attached a memorandum to the Field giving them the new information from [Venona project] which establishes conclusively the identity of White as Jurist.


Attachment

I really like the Jimmy Akin's Mysterious World podcast.  I want to note that upfront, as I think these next two episodes, while really entertaining and interesting. . . well, they sort of lay an egg.

At least sort of.

Not completely.

Countdown to Pearl Harbor? (FDR, Advance Knowledge)

Pearl Harbor Conspiracy? (FDR, Advance Knowledge, Soviet Spy)

Now, before a person assumes too much based on the title, Akin isn't suggesting, as some have, even occasionally some serious historians, that Roosevelt knew about Japanese designs on Pearl Harbor and let the attack happen.  Indeed, the conclusion to the second one pretty much definitively smashes that concept in a very general way.

Rather, what this two part episode suggests, but never flatly states, is that Treasury employee Harry Dexter White used his position to bring about an American diplomatic stance that made the war with Japan inevitable, as that's what the Soviets wanted.

The evidence, however, just doesn't support that.

Well, at least not completely.

This isn't a new theory, by the way.  It's been around since at least the 1990s.

White was a Soviet agent.  That's perfectly clear.  There are those who will dispute that even now, but we can set that aside.  He might not have been a Communist, but he was a Soviet mole without a doubt.

Harry Dexter White was a brilliant economist who came to that profession somewhat late, entering university at age 30, by which time he had already served as an Army officer in World War One.  He ultimately obtained a PhD in economics at age 38, and then taught at Harvard.  Later, he came into the Treasury Department at a time at which, for PhD's in economics, you either taught or worked for the government.  He was a very valued employee there.

The administration of Franklin Roosevelt was the most left leaning administration that the United States has ever seen, and the administration was full, at the office level, of many hard left thinkers. While the Wilson Administration had suppressed the then growing radical Socialists movements after World War One, FDR's administration was not interested in this and his coming into power in 1932 proved to be a respite for those with really radical views.  By and large, the government didn't care that much whether lower functionaries were hard line leftists.  

And the country had quite a few of them. Socialism, and other radical left wing philosophies, had been growing in the US since the mid 19th Century and by the 1910s it was coming into its own.  It was very much in vogue in some circles in the 1920s, in spite of efforts of the government to suppress it, and it drew encouragement from the example of Soviet Russia, which was in actuality very poorly understood.  Its base was in the working class, of course, but it was also heavily represented by Eastern European and Southern European immigrants, and oddly enough young academics.  

White wasn't young, but he'd come to academia late. And, additionally, he was a first generation American of Jewish Lithuanian extraction, so he had a foot in both the academic community and the immigrant one.  His Eastern European parents had only been in the US for twelve years at the time of his birth, and they were a working class family.  As noted, he was undoubtedly a brilliant man.

While even to this day he has his defenders, its clear that he was recruited as a Soviet mole by Jacob Golos, who was successful in recruiting numerous other Americans to the same role.  White became associated in that role with Whitaker Chambers, whom he reported to. And whatever it was he personally believed, it is clear that he was highly sympathetic to the USSR, so sympathetic that on rare occasions he was willing to voice that sympathy, as when he once engaged in a restaurant argument with a colleague to whom he maintained that Soviets had successfully worked out a system that would replace capitalism and Christianity.  And he was willing to carrying his admiration of the USSR as far as espionage and theft.  If he wasn't a Communist, he obviously had deep sympathies for the Communists.

When Chambers came out of the cold, he reported White among those who were Soviet agents, which he did as early as 1938.  Chambers didn't think that White was a Communist and further thought that while he was a Soviet agent, he thought White thought he was manipulating the Soviets to his ends, rather than the other way around, a rather naive thing to believe, if he believed it, but one which may be very well correct.   

Chambers' 1938 accusations were wholly dismissed by the Government.  He'd repeat them in March 1945 at which time the State Department was reaching out to Chambers.  Chambers at that point indicated that White had brought Communists into the government, but that White himself was timid.

In November 1945 the news on White was corroborated by defecting American Communist courier Elizabeth Benchley.  The Truman Administration basically ignored this, however, and even at this late date White's career in the government continued on, although he was less influential than before, and his boss Morgenthau was replaced by Truman.  Real problems for White didn't develop until 1948, however, when he was called before the House Committee on Un-American Affairs. Following his testimony, he had a heart attack. Shortly after going to a farm he had bought to recuperate, he had a second one and died due to an overdose of a drug he administered to treat it.  His death came a mere two days after he testified and it might have been suicide.  He was one of two figures caught up by the HCUA at the time who died from mysterious deaths during the investigations.His untimely death, and the fact that the Army closely guarded the Venona secretes, not really trusting anyone, meant that here was room for years to portray him as an innocent victim of a false accusation, rather than what he was, an exposed spy for the Soviet Union.

Okay, why does all of this matter?

Well, White's role as a Communist agent. . . again he might not have been a Communist himself, certainly are critical in regard to his wartime role in the Treasury Department.  More than that, however, he was the principal architect of the Bretton Woods Agreement which governed the world's post-war economy up until the early 1970s.  He was also the principal architect of the Morgenthau Plan, which saw the future of Germany as split into regions, deindustrialized, and made agrarian.

It can't be said that White's recommendations on the Morgenthau Plan and the Bretton Woods agreement were Communistic, so if he was himself heavily sympathetic to the Communists, it didn't fully show in that work, at least not in an openly obvious way.  It's known that he was passing information to the Soviets, but based on his actual work, he didn't seem to be really openly aiding them much in his work product during the war.

Well, what about accusations that he did before the war?

I'm not really seeing it there in an effective way either, although he may have tried a bit.

This is based on the claim that the Soviets developed an Operation Snow which was to attempt to get the United States and Japan into a war against each other.  The thought is that this would alleviate the Soviet fear of fighting a two front war, should Japan come in against the USSR. And, in spite of those who nay say that, the Japanese Army in fact wanted to do that, even though the wisdom of taking on the USSR at the same time that the Japanese were unable to defeat China was obviously pretty questionable.

Anyhow, Stalin did worry about this, to be sure.  And the NKVD could have hatched a plot to try to get figures in the American government to aid them in some fashion here, but the evidence is pretty sketchy, even if such journals as Time and The Wall Street Journal have published articles acknowledging the effort and, in the case of Time, even crediting the Japanese attack on Pearl Habor to White.

Claims about Operation Snow come from one source, a figure formerly in the KGB, who claimed to be part of it.  It's possible that he had the knowledge on it, but based on what we otherwise have come to learn about White's role as a mole, this claim is on a narrow strand.  What that source claimed is that in 1941, prior to the commencement of Operation Barbarossa, the Soviets were working to reestablish their spy contacts with American agents. Those contacts had been disrupted by Stalin murdering everyone.  Anyhow, the claim is that a new contact reached out to White and vaguely suggested that it would be in the best interest of the US and the USSR if Japan was aggressively isolated.  White, this claim asserts, stated that his own thinking aligned with this.  You have to do a lot of reading between the lines here from there.

White did issue a memo on his views on what to do regarding Japan prior to Operation Barbarossa.  It came, however, in the context of the Roosevelt Administration becoming increasingly aggressive with Japan in any event.  That memo was, moreover, oddly anti-British, a peculiar position to take in regard to a country that was, at the time the supposed meeting occurred, the only major power fighting the Germans.  A person could rationalize that a Japanese attack on the US would mean that the Soviets would only have to fight the Germans, but what would the point of alienating the British be?  While a person might claim that this would refocus American eyes from the Atlantic to the Pacific, there was never going to be a war in which the Soviets weren't going to be glad to have the British fighting the same enemy.

Indeed, it would be frankly more likely that, if the Soviets had a plot, the point was to distract the Japanese, rather than to actually provoke them into a war.

At any rate, White's first note was rejected and therefore not influential.  A second one some months later, however, is more problematic.

Some weeks prior to Pearl Harbor the Japanese signaled that they'd be willing to evacuate China and northern Indochina under an agreement with the United States, if they were allowed to retain control of Manchuria.  Roosevelt in fact leaned away from this, and that did result in a White memo to Morgenthau which in turn issued to Roosevelt under Morgenthau's signature. That resulted in an ultimatum to Japan to withdraw from China.

Having said that, there's also evidence that the Japanese offer wasn't understood in the context of what was being offered in regard to northern Indochina.  Moreover, by that time the US had already taken a really hard line on Japan in China. A compromise regarding Manchuria in fact would have been problematic, even if Roosevelt was considering it.

And of course White was one man, with apparently mixed motives.  His suggestion may have been influential, but he wasn't the one conveying it.  Did he have such influence over Morgenthau by that point that Morgenthau would do what he wanted?  Moreover, did they both have influence over Cordell Hull?  That's pretty problematic.

And that one man aspect of it, at the end of the day, is the significant thing.  White was a lieutenant of Morgenthau's, and Morgenthau wasn't a Communist and didn't know that White was.  And neither of them set foreign policy, Cordell Hull had a bigger role in that, and the President the ultimate role.


So, did White "cause" Pearl Harbor.  No.

Did he influence the road to war at all?

That's really hard to say.  

White isn't an innocent figure in the Cold War story.  He was highly influential on the Morgenthau Plan and he did have a major role in it.  Somebody at the Treasury Department didn't like it, and it was leaked. Was it a Communist document?  Well no.  But it did propose, basically, to disestablish Germany as a state, and split into regions, something that was to the Soviet Union's advantage, but something that was also not outside of the desires of many others.

He did have a role in holding up wartime financing to the Nationalist Chinese, even at the time they were fighting our common enemy, the Japanese. That's more problematic to say the least.   The only reason to have done that was likely due to his Communist sympathies.  So he could indeed act with Moscow in mind.

And he definitely acted with Moscow in mind in supplying currency plates to the Soviet Union. That has been described as "outright larceny" and it definitely operated against American interest in all sorts of ways.

So in the end, the most we can probably say is that he was part of a group of Communist or Communist sympathizers, within the Treasury Department who pushed it in a certain direction, but there were lots also pushing.

Leaving us back where we started.  The war with Japan was brought about as the US was drifting towards war anyway, and wanted to get Japan out of China.  That goal was shared by a lot of people, and White's role in pushing in that direction, even if done at secret Soviet urging, was hardly the final factor.

Sunday, December 21, 1941. The Long Short Days.

Today is the Winter Solstice, the shortest day of the year in the Northern Hemisphere.  It'd be another long day for the United States and the British Commonwealth, however.



The Japanese landed troops at Lingayen Gulf and Lamon Bay in the Philippines.

Wake Island was heavily bombed.

The Kingdom of Thailand entered into a formal alliance with the Empire of Japan.

Off of Portugal the Battle of Convey HG-76 raged as German U-boats and Allied ships sought to amke progress and destroy each other.  Meanwhile, a British Swordfish torpedo bomber sank the German U-451 off of Morocco, from which only one crew member survived.

The Red Army and the German Army begin a week of close quarter fighting in Kaluga.

German and Romanian units commenced murdering Jews in the Bogdanovka concentration camp.  In two weeks they would kill 30,000 individuals.

Winston Churchill sent birthday wishes, late, to Stalin, whose actual birthday was December 18. The note states:
I send you sincere good wishes for your birthday and hope that future anniversaries will enable you to bring to Russia victory, peace and safety after so much storm.
As noted in Today In Wyoming's History: December 21:

1941  $5,077 collected in Sheridan Wyoming war relief drive. Attribution.  Wyoming State Historical Society.

The Chicago Bears beat the New York Giants in the NFL Championship.

Peetie Wheatstraw, whose real name was William Bunch, died when a car he was a passenger in was hit by a train. At the height of his popularity, the bluesman was 39 years old.

The Man Born To Be King, a BBC dramatization of the life of Jesus, premiered on the British Broadcasting Corporation Home Service.

The Home Service started airing in 1922, and was later replaced as Radio 4.

Monday, December 20, 2021

Friday, December 20, 1946. Release of It's A Wonderful Life.

 


It's a Wonderful Life premiered on this day in 1946.

This is jumping the line in our 100 years ago and 80 years ago threads, and this won't become a regular, but this year, this anniversary might be worth mentioning.

The release, FWIW, was in New York. The general release would come on January 7.  The film didn't really acquire its current classic status until a failure to renew the copyright in 1974 led to it being frequently run on television.  Irrespective of that, it is a classic, although one that I tend to find makes me a bit sad.

On the same day a 1944 Soviet secret cable that had been intercepted by the US was revealed to have contained the list of scientists working on the Manhattan Project.  As the Venona Files would reveal, Soviet penetration of the US government was extensive.

British Prime Minister Clement Attlee announced that the British government was prepared to grant Burma its independence.

Sugar Ray Robinson won his first professional boxing title.

Saturday December 20, 1941. First combat mission of the Flying Tigers, German winter clothing drive


On this day in 1941, the American Volunteer Group, the "Flying Tigers", flew their first combat mission.

This really surprised me as I thought the band of aviation soldiers of fortune had been in China in combat prior to December 7.  Obviously not so.  I also thought it was immediately folded into the United States Army Air Corps with the arrival of the war.  Also, not so. That would wait until July, 1942.

This I ran into first here:  

Today in World War II History—December 20, 1941

More can be read about this mission here:

20 December 1941

As also listed there, the Japanese landed on Mindanao, Borneo, Celebes and the Moluccas.

And they sunk a freighter off of Cape Mendocino, California, a frightening thing for coast residents.  It was, of course, a submarine attack.

Ernest King was appointed CiC of the US Navy.

Lindbergh wrote Hap Arnold and volunteered to serve in the U.S. Army.

Goebbels commenced a winter clothing drive for German troops, an effort which was disguised as a patriotic home front type of thing, but which likely fooled few.

The Belgian government in exile declared war on Japan.

And another letter home.

Tuesday December 20, 1921


 

Blog Mirror: Justices will take up cases on arbitration, locomotives, and Congress’ war powers

 

Justices will take up cases on arbitration, locomotives, and Congress’ war powers 

Blog Mirror: Pearl Harbor: Preparing for Radio Blackouts

 

Pearl Harbor: Preparing for Radio Blackouts

Sunday, December 19, 2021

Friday December 19, 1941. Royal Navy Disasters, German Ground Reversals, Japanese Advances, Gardens and Censorship.

Italy achieved what was amounting to a rare naval victory when it attacked two Royal Navy battleships at Alexandria, Egypt, and disabled them, using three manned torpedoes, dispatched from a submarine.  The HMS Valiant and HMS Queen Elizabeth were badly damaged in the bold attack, and the HMS Jervis, a destroyer, was as well.

The HMS Queen Elizabeth.

Because of the way the HMS Queen Elizabeth settled, it had the illusion of remaining afloat, something that was maintained until she could be dry docked and repaired.

HMS Valiant.

The Valiant was a sister ship, both being of the Queen Elizabeth Class.  She'd be reassigned to the Pacific later in the war.   Both British battleships would return to action, but it would take more or less a year to accomplish.

All the Italian frogmen survived and were made Prisoners of War.

On the same day, the British HMS Neptune was sunk by mines off of Tripoli.  The HMS Aurora and HMS Penelope were damaged.  The following day, the HMS Kandahar was hit and had to be scuttled.

The bold and unconventional Italian attack, and the successful minefield laying, reversed the naval balance of power in the Eastern Mediterranean in favor of the Axis.

It also somewhat cuts into the myth that there were no naval surface actions during the war.  In fact, there were a lot of them, and at this stage of the war the naval battle in the Mediterranean remained a heavily surface campaign.

Walter von Brauchitsch was relieved as Commander in Chief of the Germany Army.  Hitler replaced him with Hitler, a tipping point in the war for a variety of reasons.  With this, the German Army's bargain in which it supported the rise of the Nazis in exchange for Nazi support for the Army was essentially betrayed and shown to be worthless, as the Nazi co-opting of the Army was effectively complete.

Moreover, it showed an increasing strain in the German war effort as the dawn of realization that not only had Operation Barbarossa failed started, but it was obvious that the Soviets were not only not defeated, but they were beginning to reverse German fortunes for the first time in the war.  The obvious fear that Germany had overstretched herself and now the decline would become general was developing.

Von Brauchitsch was effectively retired by the act and never received another command.  He was imprisoned after the war on war crimes but died in a British military prison before he could be tried.

Hitler, who was already Commander in Chief of the Wehrmacht, would remain CiC of the Heer for the rest of the war.

The Indian 4th Division took Derna, Libya, where the Germans were also experiencing setbacks.  It was a victory, but the Germans had pulled out before they could be trapped and defeated there.

The Japanese invaded Davoa, in the Philippines.


Sgt Maj. John Osborn of the Winnipeg Grenadiers won a posthumous Victory Cross for falling on a Japanese hand grenade at the battle for Hong Kong, making him the first Canadian soldier to receive that award during World War Two.

His citation read:

At Hong Kong on the morning of 19th December 1941 a Company of the Winnipeg Grenadiers to which Company Sergeant-Major Osborn belonged became divided during an attack on Mount Butler, a hill rising steeply above sea level. A part of the Company led by Company Sergeant-Major Osborn captured the hill at the point of the bayonet and held it for three hours when, owing to the superior numbers of the enemy and to fire from an unprotected flank, the position became untenable. Company Sergeant-Major Osborn and a small group covered the withdrawal and when their turn came to fall back, Osborn single-handed engaged the enemy while the remainder successfully rejoined the Company. Company Sergeant-Major Osborn had to run the gauntlet of heavy rifle and machine gun fire. With no consideration for his own safety he assisted and directed stragglers to the new Company position exposing himself to heavy enemy fire to cover their retirement. Whenever danger threatened he was there to encourage his men. 
During the afternoon the Company was cut off from the Battalion and completely surrounded by the enemy who were able to approach to within grenade throwing distance of the slight depression which the Company was holding. Several enemy grenades were thrown which Company Sergeant-Major Osborn picked up and threw back. The enemy threw a grenade which landed in a position where it was impossible to pick it up and return it in time. Shouting a warning to his comrades this gallant Warrant Officer threw himself on the grenade which exploded killing him instantly. His self-sacrifice undoubtedly saved the lives of many others. 
Company Sergeant-Major Osborn was an inspiring example to all throughout the defence which he assisted so magnificently in maintaining against an overwhelming enemy force for over eight and a half hours and in his death he displayed the highest quality of heroism and self-sacrifice.

Osborn was born in England, reflecting a Canada in which the English speaking population still had strong connections to the United Kingdom and in fact a fair number were English born.  He'd served in the Royal Navy during World War One.

US War Cabinet meeting, December 19, 1941.

The United States started the Office of Censorship.


It censored communications during the war coming into and out of the country.

The National Defense Garden Conference commenced to encourage growing your own.

Both of these last two items are from here:

Today in World War II History—December 19, 1941

Also on that site, you can read about Victory Gardens as well, here:

Victory Gardens in World War II

The endless series of nearly meaningless declarations of war continued, with Nicaragua declaring war on Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania.

Monday, December 19, 1921. Rockin' 1922

You may have noticed, if you are a regular reader here, that the daily entries for a century ago have very much trailed off. That may have been not noticed as the temporary daily ones for eighty years ago have picked up.

This is a history website, after all.

Anyhow, this 1921 Casper Daily Tribune is put up for two reasons, one in the front page above.

That's the headline "Year 1922 To Rock World".

I guess I've always associated the word "rock" like that, to come from "Rock and Roll". 

Apparently not.

And here's the next one:



528 West Yellowstone Highway today is an auto body shop . In 1921, however, it was the U.S. Army Goods Company, a surplus store. That caught my eye as just a block away, at 254 West 1st Street, there was a store when I was young called War Surplus.  It's now Gear Up, an outdoor clothing store.

We always called War Surplus the "Army store" when I was a kid, and my father referred to it as the "Army Navy Store".  I wonder if this nearby store was the same store, and it just moved a block deeper into the Sand Bar at a later date?

It was an enduring fixture of my youth, at any rate, and in the 60s and 70s it had a lot of genuine war surplus items from the 40s through the 70s.  It also sold Carhartts, and heavy work clothing, much like the store noted here on the way to the Standard Oil Refinery (now also long gone) did.

Anyhow, I've always associated that store with surplus becoming widely available after World War Two.  For whatever reason, I didn't associate the same thing with World War One.  I likely should have, as overproduction of some items occurred on such a vast scale in the Great War it caused a scandal, and a Congressional investigation, later.

I wonder if a lot of people are getting Muson Last boots for Christmas?

As, for weeks, I've been getting a few hits on this old thread every day:
Lex Anteinternet: Munson Last Boots, or how I became a hipster and d...:  My old, old Maine Engineer Boots.  Based closely on Army Service Shoes, these were introduced by numerous civilian makers for civilian u...

Saturday, December 18, 2021

Best Posts of the Week of December 12, 2021

 The bests posts of December 12, 2021

Icelanders have mitochondrial DNA from a Native American woman.





A couple of interesting items. . .

 to ponder.

View from the S H Knight (geology) Building in 1986.

Recent research has indicated that humans reached the Faeroe Islands at least 300 years prior to the Vikings doing so.

This doesn't surprise me a bit, and apparently it's been more or less known for some time, and its what I would have expected, but new studies, involving obtaining DNA from the bottom of a lake, has proven it conclusively.

Evidence of really old sheep defecation was found down there.  Maybe sort of gross sounding in a way, but really cool nonetheless.  So not only was early colonization much earlier than guessed at, but it was true colonization.  I.e, we know about this place and we're bringing our sheep.

Really cool, in my opinion, is that part of the groundbreaking research was done by Dr. Lorelei Curtin of the University of Wyoming. She is a post-doctoral researcher at the university's Department of Geology and Geophysics, of which I'm a graduate.

She specializes, I'd note, in climate research and another study just out notes that global cooling seems to be brought about by global warming. Something I was taught when a student in that department some 35 or so years ago.

Graduates of the other department that I'm a graduate of, the College of Law, have not pegged me out on the pride meter much as time has gone on, but the Department of Geology and Geophysics is different.

Well, go Pokes.

I'll note this as well. The Vikings first settled Iceland starting in 874 and Greenland around 980.  I'm guessing that the last date is correct, but I'll bet that somebody was on Iceland by 874. Rather obviously, the Vikings weren't great at recording who exactly was where they went, when they got there, as the Faeroe Island discovery more or less proves.

Thursday December 18, 1941. The United Kingdom commences female conscription.

On this Thursday in 1941, the United Kingdom started universal female conscription, making the UK the first nation in the world to have done so.

The British and the members of the Commonwealth, had created a variety of military female service organizations to support their armed forces during the war, but after two years of war the drain on male manpower was proving to be just too much.  Now that war with Japan had also arrived, the United Kingdom ordered that unmarried women ages 21 through 30 were conscripted into British wartime service, with them having a choice between the Auxiliary Territorial Service, the Women's Royal Navy Service, the Women's Auxiliary Air Force, Civil Defense, Land Army or taking employment in war industry work.  It might be noted that the conscription was therefore unique in that it contemplated non-martial choices as well as martial ones, or that it allowed for choices at all.


The organizations, all of which were temporary wartimes establishments, had their roots in World War One.  The WRNS, for example, had been a Great War formation which had been disestablished in 1919, but brought back during World War Two.  75,000 women would serve in it, of which 102 would lose their lives in service.

Nurses on air duty with the WAAF.

The WAAF had also existed in World War One, in the form of the Women's Royal Air Force.   The WRAF had existed from 1918 to 1920  The WAAF didn't have a direct flying role, i.e., it didn't contribute pilots, but rather a support role to the RAF.  Oddly enough, unlike the WRNS, its role declined towards the late war which probably reflects the increase manpower brought about by the American entry into the war, as well as an increase in Commonwealth troop support.   The Air Transport Service, did, however.
Female pilot of the Air Transport Service entering a Spitfire.

That non-combatant role no doubt counted as wartime service for conscription tallies, but it was not in the listed options due to the special requirements it obviously had.

The Auxiliary Territorial Service, of which the future Queen Elizabeth II was a member, served a role similar to that of the WAAF, but for the Army.  Watchers of British television are familiar, to an extent, with this service through the British television series, Foyle's War.

Queen Elizabeth II as a member of the Auxiliary Territorial Service.

What Civil Defense is, is more obvious, and less martial.  Women like men played a role in its various functions.  The Land Army had existed as a very extensive organization during World War One, which ultimately included Canadian and American expressions.  It was recreated during World War Two to bring women, often urban women, into farm work.  


The Land Army is also the subject of a British television drama, Land Girls.  I haven't watched it as unlike Foyle's War, it apparently leans pretty heavy into romance type drama.

It's worth noting with all of this, once again, that the British were stretched to the manpower limit by this point in the war.  The British government had remarkably introduced conscription in April 1939, before the start of the war, with it applying only to 20 to 22 year olds and with the expressed purpose only to train men and then release them as "militiamen" with ongoing annual training obligations.  When the war arrived in September conscription was expanded to include those who ranged from ages 18 to 41.  Ultimately the conscription age, starting in 1942, would expand up to age 51, which means that it reached back to the same generational cohort who had been eligible for the draft in World War One.  In addition to this, the British Home Guard accepted men age 17 to 65, and was a much more serious military organization than it has often been credited with being.

The manpower crush would start to be alleviated with the American entry into the war.  As noted, the WAAF's role decreased late war. The Home Guard was demobilized in December 1945, prior to the end of the war, when it was obvious that it was not going to be further needed.

As the citations to televisions shows here shows, in many ways World War Two has come to be fondly remembered, oddly enough, by the British. Churchill termed it Britain's "finest hour", and they tend to very much remember it that way, even doing so fairly nostalgically  

More on this here:


The British experienced a Pacific setback when the Japanese landed on Hong Kong.

German general Fedor von Bock relinquished his command to Gen. von Kluge.  Illness was the pretext, but he was one of forty German senior commanders to be relieved due to alarming German setbacks.  He'd be recalled into service in 1942 and would die on May 4, 1945 along with his wife and stepdaughter when their car was strafed by an RAF Typhoon.  He'd outlive von Kluge who committed suicide in August 1944 out of fear that his knowledge of the July 20 plot meant he was going to be arrested and executed.

The S-1 Committee of the Manhattan Project met for the first time.

The War Powers Act of 1941 became law, the same being an organic act for the prosecution of the war.

President Roosevelt issued Executive Order 3983 forming a body to investigate what occurred at Pearl Harbor on December 7, 1941.  Of interest, it appointed Chief Justice Owen J. Roberts as its head.
December 18, 1941
Pursuant to the authority in me vested by the Constitution of the United States, I hereby appoint as a commission to ascertain and report the facts relating to the attack made by Japanese armed forces upon the Territory of Hawaii on December 7, 1941, the following:Associate Justice Owen J. Roberts, United States Supreme Court,

Chairman;

Admiral William H. Standley, United States Navy, Retired; Rear Admiral Joseph M. Reeves, United States Navy, Retired; Major General Frank R. McCoy, United States Army, Retired; Brigadier General Joseph T. McNarney, United States Army.

The purposes of the required inquiry and report are to provide bases for sound decisions whether any derelictions of duty or errors of judgment on the part of United States Army or Navy personnel contributed to such successes as were achieved by the enemy on the occasion mentioned, and if so, what these derelictions or errors were, and who were responsible therefor.

The Commission will convene at the call of its Chairman at Washington, D. C, will thereafter proceed with its professional and clerical assistants to Honolulu, Territory of Hawaii, and any other places it may deem necessary to visit for the completion of its inquiry. It will then return to Washington, D. C., and submit its report direct to the President of the United States.

The Commission is empowered to prescribe its own procedure, to employ such professional and clerical assistants as it may deem necessary, to fix the compensation and allowances of such assistants, to incur all necessary expenses for services and supplies, and to direct such travel of members and employees at public expense as it may deem necessary in the accomplishment of its mission. Each of the members of the Commission and each of its professional assistants, including civilian advisers and any Army, Navy, and Marine Corps officers so employed, detailed, or assigned shall receive payment of his actual and necessary expenses for transportation, and in addition and in lieu of all other allowances for expenses while absent from the place of his residence or station in connection with the business of the Commission, a per diem allowance of twenty-five dollars. All of the expenses of the Commission shall be paid by Army disbursing officers from allocations to be made to the War Department for that purpose from the Emergency Fund for the President.

All executive officers and agencies of the United States are directed to furnish the Commission such facilities, services, and cooperation as it may request of them from time to time.

Artillery Private Moss wrote home.

The Afrika Korps was in full retreat in North Africa due to a lack of armor.  German forces northwest of Moscow executed a successful retreat there such that the Red Army lost contact with them, and they were allowed to reestablish defensive lines.

 Additional labels for the post immediately above.

Friday, December 17, 2021

Stress avoidance?

Last Sunday, Meet the Press had Dr. Roger Marshall, a U.S. Senator, on.

This exchange, which I'm linking in for the highlighted part, struck me.

CHUCK TODD:

Let me start with this. If you have no mandate, what is your plan to get more people vaccinated? Because it appears vaccines are still our only way out of this pandemic.

SEN. ROGER MARSHALL:

Yeah, Chuck, you know, boosters, boosters, boosters. That's what's going to save lives right now. But just bear with me. I need to just stop and pause and honor my boyhood hero, Bob Dole, who passed away this week. One of my – just, great American heroes from the Greatest Generation. We want to stop and salute him. So, our plan is to be honest with Americans. Look, about 30% of Americans right now have chosen not to get the vaccine. But what the biggest impact would be right now is to get boosters into seniors. That's what's going to stop hospitalizations and stop deaths. If you're a senior citizen and haven't gotten your booster yet, shame on you. Please go do that. If you have underlying health care conditions, if you're diabetic, if you're overweight, please go get the booster because you're going to get the virus and be exposed to it, I'll guarantee it. And if you don't have that booster, we know the vaccines kind of run out after about five to six months. Natural immunity would help, and even those with natural immunity may want to consider getting the booster as well. But I think being honest with America is the plan. We know that mandates don't work. From a practical standpoint, mandates are going to cause an economic shutdown. It's going to exacerbate inflation. It's going to cause brownouts. It's going to cause supply chain disruptions and national security issues. Think about this: half of the National Guard is not vaccinated yet. What would be happening in Kentucky right now if we shut down half of the National Guard? I support the vaccines, but not the mandates.

CHUCK TODD:

You said something interesting. You said, "If senior citizens haven't gotten their booster, shame on you." Is that your attitude for any unvaccinated person in the hospital right now? Because 80 percent of hospitalizations, at a minimum, right now in the northern tier where we're hitting close to max, are the unvaccinated with Covid. Shame on them?

SEN. ROGER MARSHALL:

Look, I think I've been one of the leaders from the start, encouraging people to get the vaccine. I was leading the charge back in July of 2020, saying, "We're going to have a vaccine. Let's get it out the door." In the summer of this year, I was encouraging people to get boosters. If the CDC could have pivoted sooner, we would have saved thousands of lives. I think being honest with people, the CDC needs to acknowledge natural immunity. Look, as a physician, I was never able to talk anybody into stopping smoking by a mandate or by trying to argue with them. It was by being honest and communicating with them. I would just encourage all those folks who have not gotten the vaccine yet to talk to their doctor about it. And by the way, let's talk about eating healthy and exercising every day and getting seven hours of sleep, avoiding stress. Those are the things that we can all be doing to help minimize the impact of this virus.

Avoiding stress?

How the crap do you do that in this modern work environment.  I'm a trial lawyer.  That's pretty stressful.  I'm sure being an accountant during tax season is pretty stressful.  Being a physician with a roomful of COVID patients must be stressful.  New evolving types of COVID-19 getting a start in unvaccinated southern Africa is stressful when it hits the news.  People arguing about vaccines is stressful.

Shoot, a political atmosphere in which one entire political party won't admit that their last Presidential member attempted to illegally co-opt the Oval Office is pretty stressful.

Sheesh. . . Congress could do a lot to reduce the stress level all on its own.

Avoid stress?

How?

Saturday, December 17, 1921. Jolly ol' St. Nick.


The Saturday magazines were out with a Santa Clause by Norman Rockwell gracing the Country Gentleman.


Judge had the same theme, but with a N.C.Wyeth illustration.


Friday Farming Blog Mirror: Seeign With Different Eyes

 

SEEING WITH DIFFERENT EYES

Thursday, December 16, 2021

Lex Anteinternet: Lex Anteinternet: Blog Mirror: Is that ship still...

Lex Anteinternet: Lex Anteinternet: Blog Mirror: Is that ship still...

Remember this:

Lex Anteinternet: Blog Mirror: Is that ship still stuck?

Lex Anteinternet: Blog Mirror: Is that ship still stuck?:   Is that ship still stuck?

The answer now is:

NO!

No doubt everyone involved is sighing a huge sigh of relief.

Well, it's back in the canal, fully loaded.

They've delcared a state of emergency.

Tuesday December 16, 1941 Fanatischem Widerstand

On this day in 1941 Hitler ordered troops on the Eastern Front to exhibit "fanatischem Widerstand", fanatical resistance, to Red Army advances.   The Germans were in full retreat outside of Moscow at the time having lost 50 miles in twelve days and having becoming completely demoralized due to the advances of the Red Army and the increasingly horrible weather.

Hitler had already relieved Guderian and Von Rundstedt for retreats with in recent days, and one senior officer in Operation Typhoon had committed suicide after his troops had retreated.  

Given the order, it's hard not to conclude that Hitler realized at this point that things may have turned in the war in a direction that couldn't be halted.

President Roosevelt issued an executive order on this day allowing appointments of government officials to the Alien Enemy Board.

December 16, 1941

EXECUTIVE ORDER 8980

AMENDMENT OF EXECUTIVE ORDER OF JANUARY 17, 1873, TO PERMIT PERSONS HOLDING STATE, TERRITORIAL, AND MUNICIPAL OFFICES TO BE APPOINTED AS MEMBERS OF ALIEN ENEMY HEARING BOARDS

December 16, 1941

By virtue of the authority vested in me by section 1753 of the Revised Statutes of the United States, and as President of the United States, the Executive Order of January 17, 1873, as amended, prohibiting, with certain exceptions, Federal officers and employees from holding State, Territorial, and municipal offices, is hereby further amended so as to permit any person holding a State, Territorial, or municipal office to accept appointment and serve as a member of an Alien Enemy Hearing Board.

FRANKLIN D. ROOSEVELT

THE WHITE HOUSE,

December 16, 1941.

Exec. Order No. 8980, 6 FR 6471, 1941 WL 4079 (Pres.)

By most accounts (some have it as the 17th) Lt. Boyd Wagner achieved his firth areal victory over the Philippines, becoming the first U.S. ace of World War Two.

Wagner.

All of his victories at that time appear to have been over Nakajima Ki-27 "Nates", a good Japanese army fighter that had entered service in 1937 but which curiously retained fixed landing gear.  Wagner was flying a P40.  He'd score three more victories in the Pacific flying P39s before he was posted to the United States.  He disappeared in 1942 flying out of Florida, at which time he was a Lieutenant Colonel.

The Japanese invasion of Burma began.

The Japanese invasion of Borneo began.

The Japanese battleship Yamato was commissioned.

The Germans outrun the British at Bir Halegh el Eleba, retreating faster than the British can advance.

The Italian torpedo boat Orione rammed and sank the German U557, mistaking it for  aBritsih submarine resulting in the loss of all the U-boats crew.

The Czechoslovak government in exile declared war on everyone who was at war with the US, UK and USSR.

Look magazine had an exposé on Hollywood, and its "Money, Manners and Morals".  It featured a young woman in the snow with a sled.

It also had an article on Anti-Semitism in America.

Friday December 16, 1921. Animals at work and leisure

Secretary to the U.S. disarmament conference, Basil Miles, and his dog. /


Elanor Bulter Roosevelt, wife of Theodore Roosevelt Jr. (the son of President Theodore Roosevelt.

Moving kiosk in front of White House.

Parliament approved the creation of the Irish Free State by approving the recently negotiated treaty. The Dail had yet to convene on the matter.