Thursday, December 10, 2015

The President's Speech on the Terrorist attack in San Bernadino

Just yesterday, I published this item that followed the terrorist attack in San Bernadino.
Lex Anteinternet: Playing Games with Names and Burying Heads in the ...: Quite some time ago I published this thread, and then later came in to update it: Lex Anteinternet: Peculiarized violence and American s...
To my surprise, the President chose to address the nation from the Oval Office regarding this terrible event, or what's inspiring it, yesterday.  I'm going to set his entire speech out below in its entirety, as that's the fair thing to do. Then I"m going to make some comments regarding it, and thing surrounding it, below that.

 Official portrait of a smiling President Obama.  In actuality, the pressures of the job appear to make him look older every day, as they do for most Presidents.

The Speech
Good evening. On Wednesday, 14 Americans were killed as they came together to celebrate the holidays. They were taken from family and friends who loved them deeply. They were white and black; Latino and Asian; immigrants and American-born; moms and dads; daughters and sons. Each of them served their fellow citizens and all of them were part of our American family.

Tonight, I want to talk with you about this tragedy, the broader threat of terrorism, and how we can keep our country safe.



The F.B.I. is still gathering the facts about what happened in San Bernardino, but here is what we know. The victims were brutally murdered and injured by one of their co-workers and his wife. So far, we have no evidence that the killers were directed by a terrorist organization overseas, or that they were part of a broader conspiracy here at home. But it is clear that the two of them had gone down the dark path of radicalization, embracing a perverted interpretation of Islam that calls for war against America and the West. They had stockpiled assault weapons, ammunition, and pipe bombs. So this was an act of terrorism, designed to kill innocent people.
Our nation has been at war with terrorists since Al Qaeda killed nearly 3,000 Americans on 9/11. In the process, we’ve hardened our defenses — from airports to financial centers, to other critical infrastructure. Intelligence and law enforcement agencies have disrupted countless plots here and overseas, and worked around the clock to keep us safe. Our military and counterterrorism professionals have relentlessly pursued terrorist networks overseas — disrupting safe havens in several different countries, killing Osama bin Laden, and decimating Al Qaeda’s leadership.
Over the last few years, however, the terrorist threat has evolved into a new phase. As we’ve become better at preventing complex, multifaceted attacks like 9/11, terrorists turned to less complicated acts of violence like the mass shootings that are all too common in our society. It is this type of attack that we saw at Fort Hood in 2009; in Chattanooga earlier this year; and now in San Bernardino. And as groups like ISIL grew stronger amidst the chaos of war in Iraq and then Syria, and as the Internet erases the distance between countries, we see growing efforts by terrorists to poison the minds of people like the Boston Marathon bombers and the San Bernardino killers.
For seven years, I’ve confronted this evolving threat each morning in my intelligence briefing. And since the day I took this office, I’ve authorized U.S. forces to take out terrorists abroad precisely because I know how real the danger is. As commander in chief, I have no greater responsibility than the security of the American people. As a father to two young daughters who are the most precious part of my life, I know that we see ourselves with friends and co-workers at a holiday party like the one in San Bernardino. I know we see our kids in the faces of the young people killed in Paris. And I know that after so much war, many Americans are asking whether we are confronted by a cancer that has no immediate cure.
Well, here’s what I want you to know: The threat from terrorism is real, but we will overcome it. We will destroy ISIL and any other organization that tries to harm us. Our success won’t depend on tough talk, or abandoning our values, or giving into fear. That’s what groups like ISIL are hoping for. Instead, we will prevail by being strong and smart, resilient and relentless, and by drawing upon every aspect of American power.
Here’s how. First, our military will continue to hunt down terrorist plotters in any country where it is necessary. In Iraq and Syria, airstrikes are taking out ISIL leaders, heavy weapons, oil tankers, infrastructure. And since the attacks in Paris, our closest allies — including France, Germany, and the United Kingdom — have ramped up their contributions to our military campaign, which will help us accelerate our effort to destroy ISIL.
Second, we will continue to provide training and equipment to tens of thousands of Iraqi and Syrian forces fighting ISIL on the ground so that we take away their safe havens. In both countries, we’re deploying Special Operations forces who can accelerate that offensive. We’ve stepped up this effort since the attacks in Paris, and we’ll continue to invest more in approaches that are working on the ground.
Third, we’re working with friends and allies to stop ISIL’s operations — to disrupt plots, cut off their financing, and prevent them from recruiting more fighters. Since the attacks in Paris, we’ve surged intelligence-sharing with our European allies. We’re working with Turkey to seal its border with Syria. And we are cooperating with Muslim-majority countries — and with our Muslim communities here at home — to counter the vicious ideology that ISIL promotes online.
Fourth, with American leadership, the international community has begun to establish a process — and timeline — to pursue cease-fires and a political resolution to the Syrian war. Doing so will allow the Syrian people and every country, including our allies, but also countries like Russia, to focus on the common goal of destroying ISIL — a group that threatens us all.
This is our strategy to destroy ISIL. It is designed and supported by our military commanders and counterterrorism experts, together with 65 countries that have joined an American-led coalition. And we constantly examine our strategy to determine when additional steps are needed to get the job done. That’s why I’ve ordered the departments of State and Homeland Security to review the visa waiver program under which the female terrorist in San Bernardino originally came to this country. And that’s why I will urge high-tech and law enforcement leaders to make it harder for terrorists to use technology to escape from justice.
Now, here at home, we have to work together to address the challenge. There are several steps that Congress should take right away.
To begin with, Congress should act to make sure no one on a no-fly list is able to buy a gun. What could possibly be the argument for allowing a terrorist suspect to buy a semiautomatic weapon? This is a matter of national security.
We also need to make it harder for people to buy powerful assault weapons like the ones that were used in San Bernardino. I know there are some who reject any gun safety measures. But the fact is that our intelligence and law enforcement agencies — no matter how effective they are — cannot identify every would-be mass shooter, whether that individual is motivated by ISIL or some other hateful ideology. What we can do — and must do — is make it harder for them to kill.
Next, we should put in place stronger screening for those who come to America without a visa so that we can take a hard look at whether they’ve traveled to warzones. And we’re working with members of both parties in Congress to do exactly that.
Finally, if Congress believes, as I do, that we are at war with ISIL, it should go ahead and vote to authorize the continued use of military force against these terrorists. For over a year, I have ordered our military to take thousands of airstrikes against ISIL targets. I think it’s time for Congress to vote to demonstrate that the American people are united, and committed, to this fight.
My fellow Americans, these are the steps that we can take together to defeat the terrorist threat. Let me now say a word about what we should not do.
We should not be drawn once more into a long and costly ground war in Iraq or Syria. That’s what groups like ISIL want. They know they can’t defeat us on the battlefield. ISIL fighters were part of the insurgency that we faced in Iraq. But they also know that if we occupy foreign lands, they can maintain insurgencies for years, killing thousands of our troops, draining our resources, and using our presence to draw new recruits.
The strategy that we are using now — airstrikes, Special Forces, and working with local forces who are fighting to regain control of their own country — that is how we’ll achieve a more sustainable victory. And it won’t require us sending a new generation of Americans overseas to fight and die for another decade on foreign soil.
Here’s what else we cannot do. We cannot turn against one another by letting this fight be defined as a war between America and Islam. That, too, is what groups like ISIL want. ISIL does not speak for Islam. They are thugs and killers, part of a cult of death, and they account for a tiny fraction of more than a billion Muslims around the world — including millions of patriotic Muslim Americans who reject their hateful ideology. Moreover, the vast majority of terrorist victims around the world are Muslim. If we’re to succeed in defeating terrorism we must enlist Muslim communities as some of our strongest allies, rather than push them away through suspicion and hate.
That does not mean denying the fact that an extremist ideology has spread within some Muslim communities. This is a real problem that Muslims must confront, without excuse. Muslim leaders here and around the globe have to continue working with us to decisively and unequivocally reject the hateful ideology that groups like ISIL and Al Qaeda promote; to speak out against not just acts of violence, but also those interpretations of Islam that are incompatible with the values of religious tolerance, mutual respect, and human dignity.

But just as it is the responsibility of Muslims around the world to root out misguided ideas that lead to radicalization, it is the responsibility of all Americans — of every faith — to reject discrimination. It is our responsibility to reject religious tests on who we admit into this country. It’s our responsibility to reject proposals that Muslim Americans should somehow be treated differently. Because when we travel down that road, we lose. That kind of divisiveness, that betrayal of our values plays into the hands of groups like ISIL. Muslim Americans are our friends and our neighbors, our co-workers, our sports heroes — and, yes, they are our men and women in uniform who are willing to die in defense of our country. We have to remember that.
My fellow Americans, I am confident we will succeed in this mission because we are on the right side of history. We were founded upon a belief in human dignity — that no matter who you are, or where you come from, or what you look like, or what religion you practice, you are equal in the eyes of God and equal in the eyes of the law.
Even in this political season, even as we properly debate what steps I and future presidents must take to keep our country safe, let’s make sure we never forget what makes us exceptional. Let’s not forget that freedom is more powerful than fear; that we have always met challenges — whether war or depression, natural disasters or terrorist attacks — by coming together around our common ideals as one nation, as one people. So long as we stay true to that tradition, I have no doubt America will prevail.
Thank you. God bless you, and may God bless the United States of America.
Initial Commentary by the Press and Politicians.

I haven't seen all that much commentary from the press and pols yet, but I did see this morning that the Today Show summarized the speech in a caption by noting that the President called ISIL "thugs" and called "for gun measures", or something like that.

What dimwitted captioning.

Sure, he may have called ISIL thugs but that was hardly the main point of the speech and the speech, while it touches on domestic gun policy (and I'll comment on that) only barely did.

An F for you Today Show. Back to grade school.

I don't know how many current candidates reacted to it either. Recently Democratic and Republican candidates have been reacting to distance themselves form the President on almost everything amazingly fast.  But I do know that Donald Trump reacted with 90 seconds of the speech. Boo hiss.

I don't comment much on the current Presidential candidates, but I will here.  This has been the singularly most disappointing Presidential election campaign of my entire life so far, and I can recall campaigns back to Nixon's.  None of the front runners on either side are impressive and frankly things are beginning to get a bit scary.  If things keep proceeding the way that they are, we're going to get a poor choice, in my view, no matter who wins.

A politician can't react with thoughtful consideration to something 90 seconds after it happened, and snippets about it being poor that quickly are not well thought out.

The Speech in General.

Okay, if The Today Show gets an F, the President gets the "where were you on that day in class" comment.


I'm not one of those individuals who thinks President Obama does everything wrong by any means.  I often feel sorry for him.  I feel sorry for him in part as I suspect he has a life size poster of Woodrow Wilson hanging in his chambers and that he's trying to channel the ineffective 28th President of the United States.  Unlike Wilson, he doesn't have a creepy racist streak, but he is affiliated by an academic mindset that makes him stunningly ineffective.

 If President Obama is haunted by the ghost of Woodrow Wilson, he should be.

And here he's been that.  This speech doesn't come after a "turning point" like it proclaims.  I guess I can't blame him for not admitting what hardly anyone else has been willing to admit, that this war has been running for a long time, will run for a long time, and part of it will be fought out here, but somebody ought to just flat out state it.

I will give him credit, however, for keeping it pretty focused on the actual topic, Islamic terrorism.  If you read the social media sites people have taken this story and run off to fight about other things, often with poorly thought out comments. And politicians are often inclined to do that.  He didn't.

Now, let's break the speech down.

The Speech in Particular

My comments appear below what I'm commenting on. In some places, parts of the President's speech are highlighted where a particular items is commented on.
Good evening. On Wednesday, 14 Americans were killed as they came together to celebrate the holidays. They were taken from family and friends who loved them deeply. They were white and black; Latino and Asian; immigrants and American-born; moms and dads; daughters and sons. Each of them served their fellow citizens and all of them were part of our American family.
It hadn't occurred to me before reading this, but the fact that this was a "Holiday" gathering may very well have something to do with why this place was attacked on this day, both in terms of his personal choice and its symbolic one.

We continue to only barely address the "Islamic", and by that we mean the extreme Islamic nature, of what we're facing, but that's been an element in both of the recent attacks, perhaps.  The venue chosen in Paris appears to have been chosen in part because it was an area where secularized Muslims went.  I.e., they were the "apostates" the terrorist were targeting.  Here, we see a fellow targeting his co-workers while they were celebrating a holiday that has its origin as a Holy Day.

We hate the idea that we're in a religious war, as we don't fight those and we like to believe that those are remnants of some bad old days we grew out of. Well, we're in one.
Tonight, I want to talk with you about this tragedy, the broader threat of terrorism, and how we can keep our country safe.


The F.B.I. is still gathering the facts about what happened in San Bernardino, but here is what we know. The victims were brutally murdered and injured by one of their co-workers and his wife. So far, we have no evidence that the killers were directed by a terrorist organization overseas, or that they were part of a broader conspiracy here at home. But it is clear that the two of them had gone down the dark path of radicalization, embracing a perverted interpretation of Islam that calls for war against America and the West. They had stockpiled assault weapons, ammunition, and pipe bombs. So this was an act of terrorism, designed to kill innocent people.
Recognition of the fact that we're in a war with Islamic extremist is long over due.  But is it a perversion of Islam?

 The black flag of the Wahhabi combatants that brought the House of Saud to power.  The Islamic State has its own black flag.

Maybe.  This movement somewhat has its roots in Wahhabi Sunnism.  That movement was regarded as heretical by other Muslims when it first appeared on the Arabian Peninsula.  But, the militant and puritanical movement obtained legitimacy when the House of Saud became allied to it.

Now, in fairness, the House of Saud isn't the Islamic State, but the repressive regime has preserved this extreme variant of Islam and out of it have come some fanatic movements, first Al Queda and now ISIL.  The difference between the two has to do with their view of when and how the Caliphate will be restored, and here ISIL may truly be not only radical, but heretical.  Hence, in part, the conflict that has existed between ISIL and Al Queda in some places, and ISIL and the Taliban in Afghanistan.  Essentially, ISIL has taken the core of Wahhabi beliefs and them declared themselves to be the only legitimate standard bearers.

 The green flag of Saudi Arabia.

But that some would be drawn to them is not as odd as it may seem.  Saudi Arabia funds a huge number of mosques in the United States and as a result its difficult for Muslims here not to be exposed to it.  And in some ways, the radical nature of the appeal of this is perhaps no more radical than some of the most extreme movements during the Reformation, which would have looked equally bizarre and appalling from the outside, or from southern Catholic Europe, during that period.

That is to say, those drawn to this aren't necessarily falling into religious decay, but maybe something they view as the opposite, which makes this a much more difficult thing to confront.  More on this is set out below.
Our nation has been at war with terrorists since Al Qaeda killed nearly 3,000 Americans on 9/11. In the process, we’ve hardened our defenses — from airports to financial centers, to other critical infrastructure. Intelligence and law enforcement agencies have disrupted countless plots here and overseas, and worked around the clock to keep us safe. Our military and counterterrorism professionals have relentlessly pursued terrorist networks overseas — disrupting safe havens in several different countries, killing Osama bin Laden, and decimating Al Qaeda’s leadership.
Al Queda was at war with us well before September 11, 2001. We just woke up to it at that time.  Prior to that, there had been the attack on the USS Cole and a prior Islamic extremist attempt on the Twin Towers.

This may be a bit of a minor point, perhaps akin to recalling that the US was really engaged in World War Two prior to December 7, 1941, but still, it's something worth recalling, as if we do not accurately recall such things, we are prone to make mistaken assumptions and judgments.
Over the last few years, however, the terrorist threat has evolved into a new phase. As we’ve become better at preventing complex, multifaceted attacks like 9/11, terrorists turned to less complicated acts of violence like the mass shootings that are all too common in our society. It is this type of attack that we saw at Fort Hood in 2009; in Chattanooga earlier this year; and now in San Bernardino. And as groups like ISIL grew stronger amidst the chaos of war in Iraq and then Syria, and as the Internet erases the distance between countries, we see growing efforts by terrorists to poison the minds of people like the Boston Marathon bombers and the San Bernardino killers.
Long overdue recognition of this basic fact at last, and the first I've seen acknowledging the Ft. Hood attacks were a terrorist attack.  The government previously categorized the attack at Ft. Hood as "work place violence", which it clearly is not in the meaningful sense.
For seven years, I’ve confronted this evolving threat each morning in my intelligence briefing. And since the day I took this office, I’ve authorized U.S. forces to take out terrorists abroad precisely because I know how real the danger is. As commander in chief, I have no greater responsibility than the security of the American people. As a father to two young daughters who are the most precious part of my life, I know that we see ourselves with friends and co-workers at a holiday party like the one in San Bernardino. I know we see our kids in the faces of the young people killed in Paris. And I know that after so much war, many Americans are asking whether we are confronted by a cancer that has no immediate cure.
Well, here’s what I want you to know: The threat from terrorism is real, but we will overcome it. We will destroy ISIL and any other organization that tries to harm us. Our success won’t depend on tough talk, or abandoning our values, or giving into fear. That’s what groups like ISIL are hoping for. Instead, we will prevail by being strong and smart, resilient and relentless, and by drawing upon every aspect of American power.
I suspect, long term, he's correct. But perhaps not so much for reasons he suspects as in that classic Western liberalism, as opposed to political liberalism as we currently define it, will win.  And that will start to occur in Islamic societies with women first, but that's another topic really.

Long term, anyhow, we will win. But let's be honest now. We're loosing.  And not only on the battlefield in the Middle East, where ISIL has gone from being a movement to a real state, but in the west, where the culture has become so anemic that the philosophy which ISIL espouses is attractive not only to members of the immigrant Muslim population but native born westerners as well.
Here’s how. First, our military will continue to hunt down terrorist plotters in any country where it is necessary. In Iraq and Syria, airstrikes are taking out ISIL leaders, heavy weapons, oil tankers, infrastructure. And since the attacks in Paris, our closest allies — including France, Germany, and the United Kingdom — have ramped up their contributions to our military campaign, which will help us accelerate our effort to destroy ISIL.
Second, we will continue to provide training and equipment to tens of thousands of Iraqi and Syrian forces fighting ISIL on the ground so that we take away their safe havens. In both countries, we’re deploying Special Operations forces who can accelerate that offensive. We’ve stepped up this effort since the attacks in Paris, and we’ll continue to invest more in approaches that are working on the ground.
And here's where the poor strategic analysis really begins.

Arming Syrian forces to take on the Islamic State is a proven failure and its not going to improve ever.  There are no serious and capable pro western democratic forces in Syria, and darned few in Iraq either.  The only really capable forces fighting the Islamic State on the ground are Kurdish militias and the Syrian army, neither of which is is pro western.  The Kurds, as admirable as they are, are for an independent socialist, or even quasi communist, Kurdistan that none of their neighbors can see come into existence.  The Syrian government is basically fascist.   Our best hope, really, is to bolster a Kurdistan, probably federated within Iraq, that would make us a bit queasy, as at least it wouldn't be a theocracy, and to bolster the Syrian government, which is going to make us queasy but which at least as a recognizably western, albeit fascist, form of government.

Any other rebel force in the region is going to be Islamist.  The Iraqi government is going to be an Iranian satellite.  That's just the way it is. 
Third, we’re working with friends and allies to stop ISIL’s operations — to disrupt plots, cut off their financing, and prevent them from recruiting more fighters. Since the attacks in Paris, we’ve surged intelligence-sharing with our European allies. We’re working with Turkey to seal its border with Syria. And we are cooperating with Muslim-majority countries — and with our Muslim communities here at home — to counter the vicious ideology that ISIL promotes online.
Unless we're really willing to surrender initiative to our friends and allies, we better think about this.

Starting in 1958, we worked to squash initiative amongst our friends and allies like a bug, and we've been at that ever since.  We were diligently against our ally France's effort in Algeria, and probably rightly, but we were against it.  We opposed our allies and friend's intervention in the Suez in 1958 as well, and that stopped it from freely occurring at the same level ever since.  Only France has really been active to any significant degree independent of the United States.

Okay, I"m fine with us saying "you guys take the lead", but that means unleashing independent goals that we can't control. For the Turks, that means squashing the Kurds, let's not be naive.  And if that actually meant, and it won't, that France and the UK went into Syria on the ground, they're not going to let us tell them how to rebuilt the place thereafter. Nor should they.  Nor would it be a good idea in that context.

Plenty of our friends and allies have independent goals in the world.

So, if France invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty and says its going to put together a European Expeditionary Force and cross over from ally Turkey's land, we're okay with that, right?

Right?

Um, right?
Fourth, with American leadership, the international community has begun to establish a process — and timeline — to pursue cease-fires and a political resolution to the Syrian war. Doing so will allow the Syrian people and every country, including our allies, but also countries like Russia, to focus on the common goal of destroying ISIL — a group that threatens us all.
Oh what a bunch of naive slop.

This is President Obama lecturing the students about the upcoming final.  We've been looking towards this process for years now, and the alternative process, a civil war, is the one that's being used.  Our "leadership" on this is anemic and making things worse.
This is our strategy to destroy ISIL. It is designed and supported by our military commanders and counterterrorism experts, together with 65 countries that have joined an American-led coalition. And we constantly examine our strategy to determine when additional steps are needed to get the job done. That’s why I’ve ordered the departments of State and Homeland Security to review the visa waiver program under which the female terrorist in San Bernardino originally came to this country. And that’s why I will urge high-tech and law enforcement leaders to make it harder for terrorists to use technology to escape from justice.
 

Okay, I earlier posted an item on this blog called They're Not Dogs arguing that we should continue to take in Syrian refugees, and I still feel this way.  But this item touches on immigration in general, and here we really need to rethink what we're doing in general, although not for reasons that have anything to do with terrorism at all.

American immigration policies in general really contemplate a much less populated continent.  For most of our history, while we've had a policy, the policy was really geared towards taking in Europeans, for the most part, who could hopefully add to our economy.  Under a reform of the system sponsored by Ted Kennedy, however, we opened the doors wide open to the sentiments expressed on the Statute of Liberty, i.e., "give me your poor".

That's nice as a sentiment, but it also naively assumes that cultures don't matter and that economics don't matter. They do.  And a policy that takes in members of like cultures that are designed to add to our own economy is the sane policy for a nation.  Taking in anyone else is the admirable policy of a charity, which the country isn't, and therefore must be carefully considered, just as any immigration policy must and should be.  I'm not saying don't, I'm saying think.

The United States is pretty much "full up", whether those inside the beltway realize it or not.  We are actually losing more Hispanic migrants to Mexico now than we are gaining. What's that say about us?  Taking in refugees is one thing, but continuing to take in any immigrant up to 1M per year, in a country that has as many native poor as we do, is mean to the native poor and stupid.  Until our own internal immigrants, mostly people of color, have actually achieved parity with the majority of Americans, we probably ought to really such routine immigration down.

All of which has nothing whatsoever with taking in refugees, which is a moral obligation, and thereby extension doesn't touch upon the few members of the distressed Syrian population we are set to take in.
Now, here at home, we have to work together to address the challenge. There are several steps that Congress should take right away.
To begin with, Congress should act to make sure no one on a no-fly list is able to buy a gun. What could possibly be the argument for allowing a terrorist suspect to buy a semiautomatic weapon? This is a matter of national security.
People keep asking about the "no fly list" on gun control, but the list has a 40% error rate and this provision is probably unconstitutional.  Even if we modified the list to make it much more accurate, given that holding highly negative views against the United States does not equate with depriving a person of a Constitutional right.  A person can be a Muslim hard liner, or a Communist, or a Fascist, and still have the full range of constitutional rights.

There is a solution for that, however.

Declare war.

I have an upcoming post on that which will go into it in detail, but at htis point, the Islamic State is a state, and we might as well quit pretending. Declaring war would allow the government to regard those with probable traitorous intent to be regarded in that fashion, or allow the government to take other reasonable means to deprive these people of the ability to act.

But Congress and the President have lost this part of the Constitution and are afraid of it.  They need to get over that.  If President Obama asked for a Declaration of War now, he'd get it.

But then, he'd also have to get off his duff and actually commit to fighting ISIL, which means more than warm feelings towards our allies, an air commitment, and treating the entire thing as a large law enforcement action.  He won't. Because at the end of the day, he feels that ISIL won't show up for the final exam and will get an F for the term.
We also need to make it harder for people to buy powerful assault weapons like the ones that were used in San Bernardino. I know there are some who reject any gun safety measures. But the fact is that our intelligence and law enforcement agencies — no matter how effective they are — cannot identify every would-be mass shooter, whether that individual is motivated by ISIL or some other hateful ideology. What we can do — and must do — is make it harder for them to kill.
I know that it may be pedantic, but one of the things that drives people who know something about guns nuts is the stupid stuff the ignorant say about them, particular ignorant policy makes.

No "powerful assault weapons" have been used in a crime in this country since the Great Depression.  Indeed, for the banners, they ought to take a lesson in that in that the lat time "powerful assault weapons" were used it resulted in the National Firearms Act. The NFA, by the way, did not ban automatic weapons nor prohibit their ownership, but it does treat them differently under the law. Why don't these people actually look at a law that they passed htat worked?

Probably because they dimly believe that a semi automatic rifle is an "assault weapon".  Not even close.  And semi automatic weapons have been available on the commercial market for over a century.  Indeed, they were available as civilian weapons before they were used as military ones.

So, the first task in addressing any topic like this would be to quit having people make laws based on their poor understanding of what they're addressing.  Indeed, that's always the case. That's why people wouldn't want me writing laws on stock cars or football, as I don't like them and my law would be ignorant and oppressive.
Next, we should put in place stronger screening for those who come to America without a visa so that we can take a hard look at whether they’ve traveled to warzones. And we’re working with members of both parties in Congress to do exactly that.
Indeed, as noted above, that's a good idea.
Finally, if Congress believes, as I do, that we are at war with ISIL, it should go ahead and vote to authorize the continued use of military force against these terrorists. For over a year, I have ordered our military to take thousands of airstrikes against ISIL targets. I think it’s time for Congress to vote to demonstrate that the American people are united, and committed, to this fight.
No, Congress should Declare War.

Short of that, it should do what the President asks here, but what it really ought to do is to declare war.
My fellow Americans, these are the steps that we can take together to defeat the terrorist threat. Let me now say a word about what we should not do.
We should not be drawn once more into a long and costly ground war in Iraq or Syria. That’s what groups like ISIL want. They know they can’t defeat us on the battlefield. ISIL fighters were part of the insurgency that we faced in Iraq. But they also know that if we occupy foreign lands, they can maintain insurgencies for years, killing thousands of our troops, draining our resources, and using our presence to draw new recruits.
The strategy that we are using now — airstrikes, Special Forces, and working with local forces who are fighting to regain control of their own country — that is how we’ll achieve a more sustainable victory. And it won’t require us sending a new generation of Americans overseas to fight and die for another decade on foreign soil. 

Too late for this one.

Early on, I'd have agreed on Syria.  I don't agree so much on Iraq, which we broke, and then left too early. We're paying the consequence on Iraq now. But in some ways, breaking Iraq broke Syria, and so both are our responsibility.

There are no competent ground forces in the region that can both topple the Islamic State and result in a regime we'd admire. Indeed, in Syria, the competent ground force that is now gaining ground is the Syrian army, and it's going to win thanks to the assistance of the Russians. And the sooner the better.

Otherwise, all that really exists are what amount to militias and the remnant of the Iraqi army, and that's not going to get the job done. The much celebrated Kurds are nothing more than a regional militia, or rather series of militias, and they control now most of what they'll fight for.  Indeed, their task is to hold that from the Syrians, the Islamic State and as a practical matter, Turkey.  The Iraqi army is a disaster, thanks to the Iraqi government we left in place too soon, which is Shiia dominated and which has alienated the Sunnis.  The remaining militias tend to be Shiia militias which aren't going to gain popularity with Sunni populations.  Indeed, the Sunnis being close in locality to Saudi Arabia, which is the fountain of Sunni radicalism, will likely at some point begin to look sympathetically towards it.

What is needed is a western army, or at least a western lead army. And that army is going to have to occupy at least Iraq for some time, or  this will repeat.

We aren't going to win this by using aircraft and 50 SF troops.  There's no earthly way that will occur.
Here’s what else we cannot do. We cannot turn against one another by letting this fight be defined as a war between America and Islam. That, too, is what groups like ISIL want. ISIL does not speak for Islam. They are thugs and killers, part of a cult of death, and they account for a tiny fraction of more than a billion Muslims around the world — including millions of patriotic Muslim Americans who reject their hateful ideology. Moreover, the vast majority of terrorist victims around the world are Muslim. If we’re to succeed in defeating terrorism we must enlist Muslim communities as some of our strongest allies, rather than push them away through suspicion and hate.
That does not mean denying the fact that an extremist ideology has spread within some Muslim communities. This is a real problem that Muslims must confront, without excuse. Muslim leaders here and around the globe have to continue working with us to decisively and unequivocally reject the hateful ideology that groups like ISIL and Al Qaeda promote; to speak out against not just acts of violence, but also those interpretations of Islam that are incompatible with the values of religious tolerance, mutual respect, and human dignity.

But just as it is the responsibility of Muslims around the world to root out misguided ideas that lead to radicalization, it is the responsibility of all Americans — of every faith — to reject discrimination. It is our responsibility to reject religious tests on who we admit into this country. It’s our responsibility to reject proposals that Muslim Americans should somehow be treated differently. Because when we travel down that road, we lose. That kind of divisiveness, that betrayal of our values plays into the hands of groups like ISIL. Muslim Americans are our friends and our neighbors, our co-workers, our sports heroes — and, yes, they are our men and women in uniform who are willing to die in defense of our country. We have to remember that.
On the three paragraphs above, while all of this is true, the problem is that the counter also tends to be true.  Muslims are, as a rule, amazingly mute on this topic.  Not all. Indeed, an organization of Muslim women in the United States started loudly protesting the capture of their faith by extremist earlier this week.  Although notable in that is that they were Shiia women who were protesting against the exclusively Sunni ISIL.

Indeed, that's an element of this that will continue to perplex us.  There is not one "Islam", but a variety of Islams.  Within those groups there's no easy way for one group to proclaim its own members out of line, as long as those members can cite to the Koran.  Muslims can, are, and should protest ISIL, but they can only really do so here because they are  Shiia, and ISIL is a Sunni movement.  Ironically, when Iran was the center of radicalism, it was really only  the Sunnis, the second largest Islamic branch, which could complain about that.

Sunni Islam is a very large segment of Islam and therefore in order for what's noted above to be really effective, Sunnis themselves have to declare ISIL to be an anathema.  But they really can't do so easily.   They tend to be muted, and for a variety of reasons.  The degree of sympathy towards theoretical, rather than actual, extreme Sunni actions also tends to be surprisingly high in western Sunni communities, although it does not represent the majority of their views.

Put another way, the problem we have here is that Islam doesn't resemble any of the large Christian denominations.  While it likely had its origins as a Gnostic Christian heresy, it has not retained the early Church's structure the way that the Catholic, Orthodox, and those Protestant churches based on the Catholic Church, have.  Therefore, there's no easy way for the faith itself to proclaim something improper. By way of an example, during the Irish Civil War, the Republicans, almost all Catholic to a man, found themselves facing excommunication for fighting the Irish Free State, essentially taking the wind out of their sales.  There's no central Sunni authority that can do that.

Islam more closely resembles, in that fashion, what are called "free" or "non denominational" churches in the United States, although not purely so that either.  Theologically, these types of Protestant denominations form around a pastor who holds his own views on the Bible, and the congregation can accept them or vote with their feet, but one non denominational church can't really proclaim another across town to be completely out of sink with Christianity and have that mean much to anyone.  Likewise, it isn't very meaningful if one Mullah declares the Islamic State's views to be out of sink with the Koran.

This is all the more problematic as while the movement which gave rise to this extreme version of Sunnism was regarded as heretical at first, it no longer is and the Saudi's fund most mosque in the United States, thereby perpetuating this sort of theological view.

And to compound matters, for a long time, at least since the disappearance of the Hellenic branch of Islam, reforms of the faith have tended to be conservative, which is also often missed.  They don't reform "forward", but "back".  That puts their Muslim faithful in a difficult positions.

Which is likely why Islam has suffered a huge decline in numbers if the region where the fighting is occurring.  But that as a solution is something that no western government can urge.  Over time, chances are very high that most western Muslims will practice their faith in a fashion that most western Jews do.  In a reformed fashion.  But that will take time to come about, and while it's coming about, the hard core in their own community are targeting them and will continue to do so.
My fellow Americans, I am confident we will succeed in this mission because we are on the right side of history. We were founded upon a belief in human dignity — that no matter who you are, or where you come from, or what you look like, or what religion you practice, you are equal in the eyes of God and equal in the eyes of the law.
Even in this political season, even as we properly debate what steps I and future presidents must take to keep our country safe, let’s make sure we never forget what makes us exceptional. Let’s not forget that freedom is more powerful than fear; that we have always met challenges — whether war or depression, natural disasters or terrorist attacks — by coming together around our common ideals as one nation, as one people. So long as we stay true to that tradition, I have no doubt America will prevail.
Thank you. God bless you, and may God bless the United States of America.
 Interesting times.

Monday, December 7, 2015

The new economic normal?

I started this post off about a week ago, and then let it set as I was traveling for work.  In the meantime OPEC had their meeting, and I've just posted on that. This post came back to mind at that time.  According to the Tribune, Wyoming's economy is now flat.  With the OPEC failure to put in place caps, I'm worried that it won't remain flat for long, however, which is what I had originally addressed here (i.e., a flat economy, although I thought that analysis somewhat flawed even prior to the OPEC story).

Founder of the House of Saud. Who would have guessed that the Saudi kingdom would prove so critical to the economy of a Rocky Mountain state?

Unemployment isn't increasing, and employment isn't increasing in the state either.  A state employee terms it the "new normal".

Except, it's flat in part because of construction jobs.

And those jobs have been a largely fueled by school construction.

 
 A series of major school construction projects has been keeping the state's unemployment figures from rising.  They won't go on forever.

Which is provided for by coal severance taxes, a dropping revenue.

And by tourism. Tourism is apparently up.  Which isn't surprising really, as with fuel prices in the basement, we should see more traveling, although apparently there  hasn't been much of an increase in fuel consumption nationally.  However, with gasoline now down below $2.00/gallon, we'll see if that holds.

$2.00 per gallon, by the way, is something I was frankly stunned to see.

Now, in the week or so that I've delayed on this story, I've actually seen gasoline at $1.87.  It'd dropping like a rock.

And I'm going on record right now that its my prediction that we'll see it go as low as $1.00 in the next two years.

Even as it is, right now, in real terms, it has to be as low as its ever been, and I'd think that should make air travel and ground travel much cheaper. We oddly haven't been seeing an increase in fuel consumption as the price first stabilized, and then fell, but I'm guess that we will now somewhat.  Or at least it'll begin to have a nationwide deflationary effect which will make the American dollar much stronger and create a real rise in earning power in everyone's bank accounts.  Unless, of course, you were working in a state, like I am, where we depend on the coal and petroleum industries for our economy.

Anyhow, this news time line is very familiar to those of us who lived through the early 1980s here. As before, there was denial, as in "this is only temporary", which ultimately yields to "oh, it won't be that bad", and followed by where we now are, which is "tourism will save us".

Tourism is important to the local economy, but it has problems as a n economic sector, not the least of which is that the wages it generates tend to be low. An added problem, rarely addressed, is that tourism and the mineral industry can be at odds which each other, at least to some degree. And the fact that the mineral industry is the high paying end of the economy makes quite a difference in the local impact of the various types of employment.

 
World War Two era poster discouraging vacation travel.  We're in the opposite position.

That the boom would end was something that those with a sense of history always knew.  A belief was out there that it was going to last decades, but that has never proven to be the case. What is unusual, however, is that the end of this boom was caused by a pricing determination from overseas, with Saudi Arabia seeking to keep its market share.  A boom had been fueled by OPEC oil policies in the past, but never a bust.  Whether the Saudi gamble will pay off for them isn't yet know, so the ultimately impact on the local economy isn't either.  But it is scary.

Petroleum and coal, it should be noted, have been part of the state's economic engine since the 1890s, but agriculture was the main sector of the economy for over half the 20th Century.  Petroleum only took that place in the 1960s.  This is significant as agriculture has actually lead the economic boom in some US states, and its proven to be an industry that not only has remarkable staying power, but staying power in a modern economy.  But it's really dwindled as a sector of the Wyoming economy in recent decades, all while remaining the romantic sector of the state's image.  In some ways, agriculture is really the reason for our tourism industry, whether that's realized or not, as range cattle production is the reason for the range being what it is.  That's something that the state should remember, and perhaps taking a second look at agriculture and what it can, and does, for the state, should be done.  It certainly can play a bigger role than it currently does, and its proven to have real staying power.

 
The cow, fabled in our cultural story, but often undersold in the post World War Two economic story of the state. Time to consider agriculture's position once again?

Monday at the Bar: Courthouses of the West: Pennington County Courthouse, Rapid City, South Dakota

Courthouses of the West: Pennington County Courthouse, Rapid City, South Dakota




Sunday, December 6, 2015

Blog Mirror: Lansing State Journal: Uncovering the history of Army Jeep #1

Lansing State Journal:  Seventy-five years after it wowed the U.S. Army, the oldest known Jeep is getting its due as a symbol of the Greatest Generation’s fight and Detroit’s role in what President Franklin D. Roosevelt called “the Arsenal of Democracy” — the manufacturing might that helped the Allies win World War II.

And the oil price war goes nuclear. . . or maybe solar.

Given that so much attention has been focused on other things, many may have missed that Friday OPEC, lead by Saudi Arabia, failed to set caps on oil production by it members.

We are now in an uncontrolled oil market for the first time since the early 1970s, and the production trend is up. I wrote earlier on the Saudi boost on production, and what it might be about, but what seems fairly clear now is that part of it was designed to put a stop to increased US and Russian production.  The Saudi effort did at least slow the upward US trend but it didn't return Saudi market share to the pre US boom level and US production, if not exploration, has remained surprisingly high.  The Saudis may simply have missed their chance to achieve their goal without it taking a long time, and without it ultimately being pretty costly. 

 Prices have been going down, and given this development, they're going to keep going down. My guess is that they could go down quite a bit.  I saw gasoline for sale for $1.87 today for the first time in years. It's hard to imagine. This has to start having some sort of deflationary effect on prices in general at some point.  And its  hard to imagine that it doesn't result in an increase in domestic consumption, although this doesn't really seem to be occurring.

Indeed, the question would seem to be now if we are about to enter a deflationary period. We haven't, but with this particular cost going down, some impact has to occur.  It will not stand to be a disastrous one, like the deflationary period of the Great Depression, and in fact it would appear that except for the US energy sector, it will likely be a positive one for most of the world's economy, assuming that the price continues to go down or that it stabilizes.  It will be hard, however, on the US energy industry, although the irony is that with so much new production in North America having done on line, the US now has the ability basically to absorb increases in price which in turn might keep the Saudis from allowing that to occur.

Some energy analysts have been claiming that we're now in a new environment in terms of oil production. This seems to be becoming very much the case.  The Saudis are maintaining a dedicated effort to keep their share of the world market, but at a great loss to themselves.  Global production has reached the point where they don't have much choice, if that's what they want to do.

Playing Games with Names and Burying Heads in the Sand. Mischaracterizing violence and ignoring its nature at the same time.

Quite some time ago I published this thread, and then later came in to update it:
Lex Anteinternet: Peculiarized violence and American society. Looki...: Because of the horrific senseless tragedy in Newton Connecticut, every pundit and commentator in the US is writing on the topic of what cau...
In light of the recent terrorist attacks in Paris and in San Bernadino California it seems time to update this to speak about something else.  One being the characterization of criminal acts in a misleading fashion, the second ignoring a real and very worrisome phenomenon. 

The first item has to deal with "mass shooting".  The press, somehow, has decided that a mass shooting is one in that results in four deaths. That's absurd.

The reason that's its absurd is that a shooting involving that many people, while horrific in every fashion is a different type of crime, and probably more than one different type of crime, entirely.  Quite a few family crimes of passion, again, horrific, involve four deaths.  So do a lot of robberies, and so do a lot of inter-criminal warfare killings.

This isn't to say that these should be ignored, but they are different in character from true mass shootings.  A family that erupts in violence has something totally different going on than some other types of killings.  Likewise, a gang assassination is quite a bit different from nearly any other kind as well.  Pretending that there's a one size fits all solution to these different types of homicides is absurd.  Murders by gangs, for instance, aren't done by the mentally ill nor is any type of prohibition in implements going to prevent them.

The second, and truly bizarre, item is the absolute refusal on the part of some to recognize that what happened in Paris not only can happen here, it has been happening here.  Nobody seems ready to admit it, but we not only are subject to attacks by radicalized Islamic terrorists, including homegrown ones, but we have been enduring this for years now.  We just keep pretending that this doesn't happen, and except in rare instances, when they do, we pretend that's not what occurred.

By all objective standards, the killings in California earlier this week were perpetrated by Islamic terrorists.   Syed Rizwan Farook and his wife Tashfeen Mali were just that.  Maybe they had mental problems as well and maybe Farook hated his employer or co-workers for some reason, but then maybe the attackers in Paris weren't mentally balanced either and maybe they hated crappy American music and Muslims who deigned to be fans of it.  The critical element of it is the adherence to the Islamic State view of things.  In other words, just because Heinrich Himmler was a creep who makes your skin crawl doesn't mean that he wasn't a Nazi official who authorized killings for Nazi aims.  

This isn't the first such event by any means.  Obviously the attack by Dzhokhar Tsarnaev and Tamerlan Tsarnaev in Boston fits this definition, but probably only the fact that they didn't use firearms but instead chose a bomb kept the analysis on that point from being really baffled by their motivations.  We should note that Farook and Mali also had bombs, they apparently just didn't get around to using them.The attack by Major Nidal Hasan at Ft. Hood, officially characterized by the government as an instance of "workplace violence" was also a terrorist attack of this character.  Thirteen people died, not because he was a deranged discontent, but rather because he was motivated by his faith to carry out an act of war.  The attack by Muhammad Youssef Abdulazeez upon a Marine Corps recruiting station, resulting in four Marine Corps deaths, earlier this year also fits this mold.  Perhaps even the attack by Michael Zehaf-Bibeau upon the  Canadian parliament had elements of this, although more than the rest also seems to have been mentally ill.  Having said that, mental illness and terrorist attacks are not necessarily mutually exclusive, and a person can be motivated by a belief and mental illness simultaneously, with the primarily motivation perhaps sometimes being a bit of a sliding scale.

Why is this so hard to understand for us?  Probably because we haven't thought of domestic terrorism much, in spite of Oklahoma City, since the 1970s, when we had left wing domestic terrorism about which we've completely forgot.  But we shouldn't have forgotten it.  In the 70s we had the Weathermen. The English had the Irish Republican Army and the Provisional Irish Republican Army and had them for decades.  The Spanish have had violent Basque Separatists, the French dealt with Algerian terrorist, and had their own counter terrorist, in their war in Algeria.  So such things are hardly knew, and aren't even to us, although we just don't want to believe it.

We are now in a war, and this is going to be a feature of it for a long time.  Just as all Irishmen in Ulster (or anywhere else) weren't members of the IRA, and all Basque aren't members of ETA, and all Algerians weren't adherent to the FLN, it's the case that not all Muslims in the United States, or elsewhere in the Western world, are terrorist.  Not even close.   But combating these sorts of killings requires acknowledging that some members of some demographics will be attracted to radical movements within their demographic and we can't really pretend that this doesn't occur.  It's just a fact.  Some will in fact be unbalanced as well, which leads them to don the mantle of a movement to rationalize their violence, but not all of them will be by any means.  Merely being a terrorists doesn't make a person a nut.  And indeed people are often attracted to such extreme actions for reasons that are pretty idealistic, even if wholly wrong.

So, then, what of all of this?

Well, for one thing the Press, including the international press, does a pathetic job of this.  The BBC the other day came out with a semi snarky article on this which general blames the event on American laws on firearms ownership.  But it would not have done the same thing a few years back when violence by the Provisional IRA was common, regarding its own laws.  European gun restrictions didn't keep the attacks in Paris from occurring either.  All the press, and indeed the American public and leadership in general, seems to completely fail to grasp that we are in a war, and its a type of war that we haven't been in ever before.  They are at war with us, and we are at war with them (if you are dropping bombs in some region, you are at war).  A guerrilla war involves war with guerrillas, and sometimes those guerrillas are in your own country.  

We need to recognize also that in such guerrilla wars, the number of guerrillas is infinitesimally small.  Part of the reason guerrillas fight in this fashion is that their small numbers require it, but part is also because the fact that they will be identified with a demographic causes that entire demographic to become suspect, and tends therefore to result in prejudice and push it towards the extremist as a result.  That needs to be kept in mind too.

But so to does it need to be kept in mind that the current war is between hard core Islamist views and everything else.  The demographic, therefore, where recruits come from is in fact somewhat identifiable, if less  and less so due to the recruiting ability of the Internet.

And we need to keep in mind that just because four or more people are killed in a singular event doesn't mean all of their deaths were equally motivated, and therefore addressing that doesn't mean that there's one single social avenue to do so. A politically motivated killing is not the same as one motivated by mental illness, nor is it the same as a criminal killing, or one that's some sort of terrible crime of passion.

All of this means that singular solutions, such as "we ought to do something about guns" or "everyone ought to carry a gun" really don't address this situation in any meaningful fashion.  This post isn't really on either of those topics, but that's a simple fact.  This years' big mass killings, it should be noted, have been terrorist acts in France (assuming we exclude the same in the Middle East, which we probably ought not to).  And fairly strict gun control laws did nothing to prevent those from occurring, nor should we think that they would.  On the other hand, given that we're dealing with warfare, the fact that individuals on the no fly list for  being terrorist are not prevented from obtaining firearms is strange.  The point is, however, that those who seem to think that this has a simplistic legal solution should rethink it.  We've never been able to simply outlaw certain types of killings anywhere, just because we wish they didn't occur, and if simply passing a law would address people motivated by a cause to stop, the South Vietnamese would have won the Vietnam War.

Sunday Morning Scene: Churches of the West: Oregon Trail State Veteran's Cemetary Chapel, Natrona County, Wyoming

Churches of the West: Oregon Trail State Veteran's Cemetary Chapel, Natrona County, Wyoming



This is the chapel at the Oregon Trail Veteran's Cemetery in Natrona County, Wyoming.

Tuesday, December 1, 2015

The Kitchen Stove

Moravian kitchen stove, late 20th Century

Ranch kitchen stove, 1940s.

Cow flop fueled kitchen stove, Montana, 1937.

Kitchen stove, Vermont, 1939.

Gas stove, Arizona, 1940.

Gas stove, Texas. 1940.

Minnesota, 1940.

North Dakota, 1940.

Girl reading by kitchen stove, New Mexico, winter 1943.

Colorado, 1938.

Gas stove, 1924.

Electric stove, California farm, 1944.


SEMA 2015: Classic Restoration Pickups Photo Gallery - PickupTrucks.com News

SEMA 2015: Classic Restoration Pickups Photo Gallery - PickupTrucks.com News

Monday, November 30, 2015

Age and filing homestead claims

Offhand, does anyone know the youngest age a person could file a homestead claim, back in the day?

21?  18?

Eh? Oh Cyber Monday

I'd forgotten that Black Friday is followed by Cyber Monday.

As I don't pay much attention to such things, I'd sort of dimly recalled that there was a computer sales hootenanny, but I didn't remember when. I sort of thought it was Saturday.

It's today, Monday, as people return to work, and shop with their work computers. Seriously.  Makes sense, I guess.

So there you have it.  Thanksgiving, with Black Friday creeping into Thursday night of Thanksgiving.  Black Friday.  Then Small Business Saturday, followed by Cyber Monday.  Black Friday seems to have been a disappointment, I guess, and so there's big hopes pinned on Cyber Monday.  I guess it's the equivalent of what catalogs were, with much more ease of purchase, back when I was young.

Monday at the Bar: Courthouses of the West: Washakie County Courthouse, Worland Wyoming

Courthouses of the West: Washakie County Courthouse, Worland Wyoming:
 
This is the Washakie County Courthouse in Worland, Wyoming.  The Courthouse dates from the early 1950s (1954, I think).  It's a classically styled courthouse, with a single large courtroom.  I've tried one case in this courthouse, some years ago.
 Entrance to the adjoining jail, which is a substantial structure, mostly from the same era, itself.
  
A somewhat visually jarring feature of this courthouse is the small Chamber of Commerce building on the corner.  That structure oddly has the appearance of a 1950s vintage drive in restaurant, and its my suspicion that it was.  I wonder if it might have predated the building of the courthouse which, together with the jail, takes up the entire block.


 Large American Indian monument, carved from a substantial block of Douglas fir, on courthouse grounds.

Sunday, November 29, 2015

Sunday Morning Scene: The Last General Absolution of the Munsters

The Last General Absolution of the Munsters

The famous painting by Fortunino Matania which commemorated the granting of general absolution on May 9, 1915, to the Muster Fusiliers by Father Francis Gleeson.  The Irish unit of the British Army would suffer devastating casualties on that day, having lost over 50% of is strength.

Saturday, November 28, 2015

Bass Pro Shop to gobble Cabelas? I hope not

And following, not entirely appropriately, on this being National Small Business Saturday, there's news floating about that Bass Pro Shops may buy out its competitor Cabela'ss.

I really hope not.

Cabela's is an excellent store, and it's really a model of local enterprise. Based in the small town of Sidney Nebraska, it built a small local store into a giant via its catalog.  It isn't that its' cheaper than its competitors.  It often is not.  But it has a fanstastic assortment of items, and better yet, for somebody from this region, it's a regional store and has things that apply to this region.

I first went to the Sidney store so long ago that it was actually still in downtown Sidney, and not all that big. That store, in my view, had more charm than than the giant store by the Interstate Highway.  And I wasn't all that happy, even way back when, when the store began to build additional physical stores in other localities, although I've been to three of them (Billings, Denver and Rapid City).  I usually stop in the Denver store when I drive by it.

I've never been in a Bass Pro Shop but I have received their cataglogs from time to time, which has never inspired me to buy anything from one. They strike me as defined by their name, in some ways, that being "Bass".  There aren't any bass here and a store that defines bass as a significant game species is unlikely to interest me much.  If it had "trout", or even "salmon", in the name, it'd interest me a bit more.

But the big reason I hope that this doesn't go through is that this sort of conglomeration in these specialized industries, and in retail in general, just doesn't seem to have a good result.  At some point it's already the case that the big outfits crowd out the smaller ones.  From time to time, for example, its been rumored that a Cabelas would come in here, and people will sometimes pose it in "I wish a Cabela's would come in here".  I don't.  I like the Wyoming regional store, Rocky Mountain Discount Sports and I trust the people who work there.  I don't want to have to force them to compete with a Cabela's.  

Indeed, I wasn't super happy when Sportsman's Warehouse came in, but so far it hasn't been much of a threat, in so far as I can see, to the regional Rocky Mountain, even though its a multi state (and indeed multi national, as it's also in Canada) chain.  Quite a few people will go to Rocky Mountain over Sportsman's if they feel Rocky Mountain has an item.  And for that same reason I also worried when Dick's Sporting Goods came in, but again I've found Dick's to be pretty disappointing in the outdoor items department, save for kayaks, so my worry was perhaps misplaced.  Cabela's, on the other hand, might crush them all, assuming that Bass doesn't gobble Cabela's and then crush everyone.

Just recently a fellow opened a new, locally owned, sporting goods store catering to outdoorsmen, that being a store called Wagner's.  I hope it does well.  I've only been in it once, but it did have an assortment of interesting things and it went into the location of a small sporting goods store that had managed to hold on for decades.  I like the fact that an enterprising man can still open one and I hope the best for it.  By opening it, we sort of retain the historical norm here in that there's always been a local store catering to outdoorsmen (Dean's Sporting Goods, Timberline) and a somewhat larger semi chain store (Coast to Coast, Rocky Mountain).  They respond to us locals, stocking stuff that we use, and avoiding things we don't (bass lures, tree stands).  Cabela's had become a giant example of the regional store, and while it has been threatening to become much more than that, it's a great store.  I hope that Bass Pro Shops doesn't take over it.

Lex Anteinternet: Distributist of the world unite! National Small Business Saturday

This year, Small Business Saturday is November 28, today.

This is an event that's sponsored by American Express, hardly a small business, but still, it should draw our attention to small businessees, I hope.  Last year, I ran this post on the day: Lex Anteinternet: Distributist of the world unite! National Small Business Saturday

Distributist of the world unite! National Small Business Saturday.

Repeating what I wrote there would be, of course, pointless, so I'll forgo that. But I wonder, how many folks followed American Expresses' suggestion, because they made it, and what sort of impact that had. And if this is a growing movement at all.

And are you going to visit some small businesses this Holiday Season yourself?

Music, like tastes in other things, is truly individual.

The other day, President Obama bestowed a series of Presidential Medals of Freedom. The medal is supposed to honor the following: 
Section 1. Medal established

The Medal of Freedom is hereby reestablished as the Presidential Medal of Freedom, with accompanying ribbons and appurtenances. The Presidential Medal of Freedom, hereinafter referred to as the Medal, shall be in two degrees. 

Sec. 2. Award of the Medal.

(a) The Medal may be awarded by the President as provided in this order to any person who has made an especially meritorious contribution to (1), the security or national interests of the United States, or (2) world peace, or (3) cultural or other significant public or private endeavors.

(b) The President may select for award of the Medal any person nominated by the Board referred to in Section 3(a) of this Order, any person otherwise recommended to the President for award of the Medal, or any person selected by the President upon his own initiative.

(c) The principal announcement of awards of the Medal shall normally be made annually, on or about July 4 of each year; but such awards may be made at other times, as the President may deem appropriate.

(d) Subject to the provisions of this Order, the Medal may be awarded posthumously. 

Originally it was for the following.
By virtue of the authority vested in me as President of the United States and as Commander in Chief of the Army and Navy of the United States, it is hereby ordered as follows:
  1. There is hereby established a medal to be known as the Medal of Freedom with accompanying ribbons and appurtenances for award to any person, not hereinafter specifically excluded, who, on or after December 7, 1941, has performed a meritorious act or service which has aided the United States in the prosecution of a war against an enemy or enemies and for which an award of another United States medal or decoration is considered inappropriate.
  2. The Medal of Freedom may also be awarded to any person, not hereinafter specifically excluded, who, on or after December 7, 1941, has similarly aided any nation engaged with the United States in the prosecution of a war against a common enemy or enemies.
  3. The Medal of Freedom shall not be awarded to a citizen of the United States for any act or service performed within the continental limits of the United States or to a member of the armed forces of the United States.
  4. The Medal of Freedom and appurtenances thereto shall be of appropriate design, approved by the Secretary of State, the Secretary of War, and the Secretary of the Navy, and may be awarded by the Secretary of State, the Secretary of War, or the Secretary of the Navy, or by such officers as the said Secretaries may respectively designate. Awards shall be made under such regulations as the said Secretaries shall severally prescribe and such regulations shall, insofar as practicable, be of uniform application.
  5. No more than one Medal of Freedom shall be awarded to any one person, but for a subsequent act or service justifying such an award a suitable device may be awarded to be worn with the medal.
  6. The Medal of Freedom may be awarded posthumously.

I don't have a problem with the medal, which is basically a high civilian honorific, but I sometimes and a bit surprised by the winners, which is not to criticize them.

One winner this year was James Taylor.

Taylor is a musician I don't think much about, as he bores the stuffing out of me.  After he won, I was discussing him with my son, who knows a lot about music, and is a good musician himself, but he had  never heard of him.  Probably not something a younger generation follows much.  Indeed, he strikes me as part of the music scene of the 1970s, and that being the part that I myself prefer not to ponder.

So, I found him on you tube.

My gosh, the comments on his videos are just gushing.

One comment, and I can't find it now, was something like "How can anyone not love this music?"

Well, I don't. 

I can't stand Taylor's music. It's really dull in my view.  I frankly can't get through one of his songs if it comes on the radio, I just move on.

Am I right?  Probably not, as a lot of people do love him.  But I find his music insufferably dull.  When he was here in town a while back a lot of people I knew went to hear him, and they all commented on how great he was.  I didn't go. I"d have been napping and checking my watch.

Oh well, tastes in music, likely beauty, or even more so, truly are in the eye, or in this case the ear, of the listener.

Oh, why did he win?  Well, the President's statement provided:
 As a recording and touring artist, James Taylor has touched people with his warm baritone voice and distinctive style of guitar-playing for more than 40 years, while setting a precedent to which countless young musicians have aspired.  Over the course of his celebrated songwriting and performing career, Taylor has sold more than 100 million albums, earning gold, platinum and multi-platinum awards for classics ranging from Sweet Baby James in 1970 to October Road in 2002.  In 2015 Taylor released Before This World, his first new studio album in thirteen years, which earned him his first ever #1 album.  He has won multiple Grammy awards and has been inducted into both the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and the prestigious Songwriters Hall of Fame.
Eh?  You get a medal for that?

Oh well.  I'm sure all those statements are very true.

Friday, November 27, 2015

Australian Government nixes sale of largest cattle ranch to foreign investors

Of note to some here, the Australian government said no to the sale of the nation's largest cattle ranch, called in Australia a "station", to foreign bidders.

Not really an act of Distributism, the sale was apparently given the no go as part of the ranch includes the world's largest missile range.  So it was more of a matter of national defense considerations as opposed to anything else.

Still, it's interesting.  If it had been an American ranch, I doubt that a similar result would have occurred, or if we'd even have thought that there should be one.

Absolute freedom of land sales, or even use of land, isn't really a given, the way Americans tend to think it is.  And perhaps it shouldn't be really, in all circumstances.

Thursday, November 26, 2015

Funding Failure (or rather not funding it), part 4. A Distributist consideration.

 

I just posted the third comment on the blog about our current system of funding college educations, taking on a bit the current system, which isn't working well in my view, but also taking on the current somewhat popular suggestion that the nation ought to provide a "free" college education to everyone.

Here I look at that a bit differently, and note that the entire conversation is a bit out of whack, on the left and the right.

The current left wing popular idea is that you ought to give every American a free college education.  There is no such thing as a "free" anything, of course, so what that really means is that the public fund college educations for American high school graduates.  The right criticizes this vociferously on economic grounds, and for some good reasons, but there are other reasons beyond that to take it on. For one, the commonly cited "the Europeans" do it isn't a good claim, because. . . .
over 40% of Americans have a college degree, while only 30% of the Swiss do.  Are the Swiss international slackers?  Probably not.  Indeed, we have more people with college degrees than the United Kingdom, Denmark Belgium, Australia, Germany, France, Sweden, Norway, South Korean and Finland do.  We are on par with New Zealand and Japan and really only Russia and Canada have a true statistically greater percentage of their populations that are college educated.   So it sure isn't the case that we aren't sending people to college.

Therefore, if measured in terms of the sheer number of people in the population who have degrees, we beat out every country except for Canada and Russia, which is pretty impressive on some level.
In other words, maybe European kids ought to be protesting that something in their system is keeping people from getting degrees.

I don't know what that is, quite frankly, but what I wonder is if those degrees are just flat out harder to get because they're real degrees.  I don't know that, but right now American universities are churning out a lot of baloney and have become refugees for people with master degrees granted following dissertations like " "It’s ‘a good thing’: The Commodification of Femininity, Affluence, and Whiteness in the Martha Stewart Phenomenon", a title so absurd I couldn't have made it up if I'd tried.  There's no harm i studying that, if that's what makes you happy, but there is harm in funding that as a nation which seeks to be a world leader in science and technology benefits not one darned bit from that.  I'm not saying, of course, we funded that dissertation with a loan, but we do fund others like it and we of course now have a self perpetuating system of employing people who  have an academic interest in such things, which serves the nation very little.

But that's not my point here either.

My point is, when we look at other nations, we fail to consider that the nations we point to are tiny little things.

A nation like Germany, or France, can't be compared to the United States. Large sections of their populations are relatively homogeneous and their populations, while densely packed, sure don't match ours and haven't for a really long time.  Germans living in rural Geramny are still Germans and still of the same culture from Germans living in big German cities, which are all right next door by American standards.  That's a far cry from the situation the United States has.

So, when a "fund free university education" cry goes up, it suggests imposing on a huge country a national system that probably doesn't work very darned well at a local level.

Indeed, consider that Canada, often cited for having a publicly funded higher education system, has about the same population as California.  And the economy of California is simply enormous.  And it has its own needs.  So, if we're going to look at a public system, why not just leave it to the states?

Oh, I hear, the states won't do it.

Oh yes they will, and one already does. Wyoming.  And I'll bet it isn't the only one.

Wyoming, which has always been concerned about Wyomingites, has created a funding system that does indeed pay for a lot of the education of students who show an inclination and ability to go on.  It isn't a "congratulations, you slithered through high school and now we'll fund four years of napping at a university system", but it does carry most of the burden for those students who are really going on, as long as they go on here.

This is a public funding of based, whether we realize it or not, on the Distributist principal of subsidiarity.  We're taking care of our own, for our own needs, locally.  And others can do this to if they wish to, and I'll be they are.

This makes a great deal more sense than a nationwide system, and indeed a nationwide system would pretty much destroy our system.  Our local university and colleges have programs that are focused on our states and the graduates from them serve the state's interest in ways that other institutions don't.  A nationwide system would in fact tend to counter that.  If the funding is nationwide and we fund a bachelor's  level program in "The Commodification of Femininity, Affluence, and Whiteness in the Martha Stewart Phenomenon" at the University of the Left Bank and suck people into that, the state isn't going to benefit at all, or at least not to the same degree that something from the UW School of Energy Resources will.  So, basically, an economic model, not surprisingly, works better at a local level.

It's said, of course, that all politics is local, but in national elections that doesn't seem to be true.  Just listening to the debates suggest that no local considerations really play much in the national platforms, which isn't too surprising in a Presidential campaign.  But perhaps they should.  So perhaps the answer to a "do you support the public funding of college educations" should be answered by "what's your state doing and why aren't you looking there".  They can do it, and I'll be they do more often than people realize.

Lex Anteinternet: Funding Failure, part three

Something to ponder while you are watching those Thanksgiving university football games, which I wholly hope to avoid if at all possible.

I ran this item in 2011, last time we were having a major election; Lex Anteinternet: Funding Failure:

One of the topics that's been kicking around the GOP Presidential race is that of student loans.  At least one candidate, Ron Paul, says he wants to phase them out altogether.

I wouldn't be in favor of that, but I really do think that the entire topic needs to be revisited, as it's helping to fund failure, and has a weird impact on our economy.  This is the reason why.

Generally, student loans are a government backed system in which private young individuals receive funding for university or college irrespective of the needs of the economy, or the wisdom of their choice.  I'm not suggesting, of course, that we should override the choices of individuals who make study choices that are not likely to advance our collective economic well-being, but I do feel that it's a bad economic choice to fund them.

Students of the history of student loans often point out that they've been a boost to the American economy, which is somewhat true, but which really confuses the loans with the GI Bill, which was an outright grant.  At any rate, what they fail to note is that the early post World War Two American economy was such that that the student population
(largely male) was unlikely to be study something that wasn't directly usable in the work sphere, and that having a college degree in the 1945 to 1975 time frame was rare enough that nearly any college degree could translate into business utility.  Neither of those factors is true today.  Indeed, at this point in time college degrees have become so
common that a lot of them have no economic value to their holders at all.
This is not to say that pursing a college degree is worthless. That would hardly be true.  But if the government is to back the study of something, it ought to be something useful to the nation as a whole.  Not something that's likely to have no use to the nation, and which moreover is likely to have no real value to the holder in later economic terms.

As an example of this, which I've already noted here, one of the protesters at the Wall Street occupation was reported to have a $90,000 student loan for the study of art.  Why would the nation help fund this.  If she wants to study art, the more power to her, I just don't want to help.  In economic terms, this isn't going to help the nation at all, and frankly she'll be really lucky if she ever fines a job.  By funding her, we've made ourselves poorer and, chances are, her too.

What I'd propose to do is to restrict funding to areas where we really feel we need to boost the nation's educated populace.  If we're weak in the sciences or engineering, that's what I'd fund.  Other areas where we need new workers, who need an education to obtain it, would likewise be eligible for loans.  I wouldn't bother funding art students, or literature students. That doesn't mean their studies are unimportant culturally, or personally, but rather if they are important, it's in a manner that cannot be economically judged, and therefore people shouldn't be taxed to help fund it.  Law is the same way.  The nation has a vast oversupply of lawyers and I can't see any good reason to give a person a loan to study that.

I don't think that this would mean these other fields would dry up by any means.  But it probably would mean that a lot of people who don't qualify for private scholarships and who don't otherwise have the means of obtaining such a degree would do something else. Frankly, however, that would be a good thing, as by funding the non economic, we're fueling the hopes of a lot of people who aren't going to be able to find employment later.

And, no, I didn't have any student loans, thanks to the National Guard and my parents.
 And I followed that post up with this one;  Lex Anteinternet: Funding Failure II
 A very interesting NPR Talk of the Nation episode on Student Loans.

What is so interesting about this, I think, is that there's at least one caller who emails in with complaints about how the burden of loans caused her to take a career she didn't want, Wildlife Management, over one she did, Veterinary school, as she couldn't afford the loans.  She then goes on to blame the burden of servicing her loans for living far from her family, and for not having any children.

The other thing that is is interesting is that a few callers have no sympathy at all with those complaining about their loans.

I'm afraid I'm in that camp, the one without sympathy. Choosing a career you don't want, just because the loans are cheaper, is stupid.  Beyond that, avoiding real life, to service loans, is as well.

This probably says something, however, about the current nature of our societal view towards education. Why must we go this route?  We don't have to, we're choosing too.  And now, a large section of the population views paying for the loans they obtained for their education as unfair, when nobody asked them to get the loans in the first place.

Not that society cannot be blamed to some degree.  We've created a culture where we now view manual labor as demeaning, and teach our middle class children that.  The grandsons of machinist and tool and die makers feel they must go to college, and indeed they must as we sent the tool and die work to China, more or less intentionally.  So we're now all over-educated, and can't pay for it with the jobs we retained. And we encourage this to continue on by giving loans for educational pursuits we know will never pay off.
Since I posted these items, this has been more in the news than ever.  And a lot of that has to do with the combined impact of student protests as well as Democratic Senator Bernie Saunders suggesting that he cause their to be free college for all.

Before we go back to the main point of this, let's take up that free college for all topic. Truth be known more Americans are college educated than ever before, so it isn't as if we're failing to get people to college.  Granted, student debt is a big problem, but by and large we are getting a lot of students there.

We're also quite frankly generating a lot of junk degrees that are worthless.  This is a popular conservative point about higher education, and it's frankly true. While we are graduating more degreed people than ever, a college degree of 2015 doesn't mean the same thing as a college degree from 1965 meant, or 1945, or 1915.  A student graduating in 1915, while their were far fewer of them, was quite frankly far better educated than many are today, depending upon their major.

College level educators, unfortunately, have a vested interest in this, which explains more than a little about the current level of dissent and rank idiocy on college campuses today. The recent series of demonstrations at the University of Missouri should be pointing this out.  Take, for example, University of Missouri professor Melissa Click, who infamously asked for "some muscle" to eject those recording the demonstration.

Click is the Department of Communications, an ironic post for somebody seeking "muscle" to prevent the recordation of an event, but I'll note that communications are a legitimate field of study.  But consider her master dissertation, which is "It’s ‘a good thing’: The Commodification of Femininity, Affluence, and Whiteness in the Martha Stewart Phenomenon.".  This is a thesis that did not need to be written and perhaps one that an institution of higher learning should have rejected.  Click, as George F. Will points out in a recent article, also "has a graduate certificate in “advanced feminist studies.”". That's baloney packaged up between two thick slices of baloney, and is the type of certificate only useful in a fake, highly left wing, purely academic, world.

Indeed Will's article points out a whole host of similar absurd academic behaviors, and even the University of Wyoming has become a little guilty of some institutionalized nonsense.  The net impact is to reduce the seriousness of the situation the students are about to be ejected into combined with a probably temporary political radicalization of them.  In other words, they're separated from their cash, or probably their parents cash, or the public's cash, not really educated, save for a career in university level academia, and then booted out into the real world with diminished job prospects.

That is, in part, because there are a lot of worthless majors now crated by this system and the social and economic atmosphere that created it.  Somehow the number of degrees has vastly exploded, and not in a good way, if for some the application of those degrees is marginal.  People who would have had fairly rigorous Liberal Arts degrees 40 years and back now sometimes have specialized degrees with no practical application at all.

That's why the "free college for all" (which of course would not be free) is a bit of a farce in real terms.  A "free education" isn't free if you spend four years of your life on it, and the net results is that you are not educated in real or practical terms.

This is why comparing our educational system at the college level to that of other nations, by which we really mean European nations, is quite questionable.  While European degrees are presently in a state of evolution, European university degrees have generally been fairly hard to obtain.  I don't know the current situation, but when comparing the public funding for them, that can make quite a difference.

For instance, over 40% of Americans have a college degree, while only 30% of the Swiss do.  Are the Swiss international slackers?  Probably not.  Indeed, we have more people with college degrees than the United Kingdom, Denmark Belgium, Australia, Germany, France, Sweden, Norway, South Korean and Finland do.  We are on par with New Zealand and Japan and really only Russia and Canada have a true statistically greater percentage of their populations that are college educated.   So it sure isn't the case that we aren't sending people to college.

Therefore, if measured in terms of the sheer number of people in the population who have degrees, we beat out every country except for Canada and Russia, which is pretty impressive on some level.

But that's only impressive it it really means something, which gets back to the main point.

What college students are really complaining about now is that a college education doesn't pay off the way it once did. If you had to invest $100,000 in something but were almost sure to get it back, you wouldn't worry much about the loans to obtain it.  Now, that's quite uncertain. And as it's quite uncertain, those doing it are hoping for somebody else to pick up the risk, that being the taxpayer.

That's not a good idea for a lot of reasons, the foremost being that if the public is going to pick up the risk, it ought to reap some sort of a reward. And that is where our system is really messed up.

In a country where about 30% of the population is obtaining a degree it stands to reason that its likely the degree is worth more, and its probably in an area with application.  But the American system has sort of evolved to where many college degrees are nothing much more than High School Degrees +.

When I was younger, it was emphasized quite correctly that if a person had any hope of economic success at all, they needed to have a high school degree. That's still true, but our economy has evolved to the point where you need a college degree for that now.  And that is, quite frankly, completely absurd.

There's no earthly reason whatsoever that many former areas of employment that only required a high school degree should not require a college degree, and the concept that they do is deeply flawed.  It's commonly stated that he world is more complicated, but it frankly isn't.  The global level of complication has changed very little, and computerization of things has served to simplify, not complicate, many things.  The ability to operate a computer is something that every kid coming out of high school is well versed with, so the sometimes heard excuse that people need to learn the technology is baloney, they know it.

And the fact that degrees have become available for everything means that they have become debased in value.  There are entire fields that are not really of the type that should require post high school education, if high school was done well.

What this means, in part, is that colleges and universities ought to dump a lot of the academic degrees they have that are of little value, and that would mean dumping the vested interests that maintain them.  It also means that university needs to toughen back up, academically.

Indeed one of the real shocks for people who obtained "hard" degrees from decades ago is the level of frivolity that is now so deeply associated with universities.  University as a four year party seems to be both commonly experienced and accepted. That's nonsense, particularly if its on the public dime.  This was not always the nature of university, in spite of the popular image to the contrary.

The biggest reform that could be done for the system, and to the advantage of the students, would be to change the funding system we presently have to one, as noted above, that funded a real demonstrable public need.  That doesn't force anyone to do anything, but it does mean that if the public is funding an education, even through a loan, it ought to be in an area where the public derives a benefit.  What fields, that is, does the US benefit from in terms of producing college graduates?

I fully acknowledge that this means I'm completely discounting the cultural benefit argument.  Some would argue, and probably validly, that the nation enjoys a richer cultural life if it produces artists, etc., in addition to engineers. Well, tough.

Or more accurately, to the extent the nation benefits from people in those categories, it benefits and should encourage them in the way that has been done with all former cultures, in the stuff we publicly procure. Btu we've done a poor job of that recently as well.  By that, I'd note, churches and public buildings fueled the arts, but on their terms.  Not through loans.  That's a better process as its market based, the way the real world ultimately works.  If a person desires to be an artist, be one.  But being one probably means suffering for your art at some point, which doesn't require the public to fund the suffering at he university level.

A day in the life: Thanksgiving 1915

People leaving a Thanksgiving Day Mass at St. Patrick's Cathedral, New York, 1915.

Thanksgiving Day "Maskers", approximately 1915.  I have absolutely no idea what this tradition was.

Wednesday, November 25, 2015

Straus Clothing Store in Fargo closes its doors.

After, we should note, being open for 135 years.

The family owned store closed as its owners are retiring.

A remarkable run, and one that can't help but make a person a little sad. We don't see that many business of this type still open really, and this one seems to have done well for a very long time.

Tuesday, November 24, 2015

Return of the Willys MB

U.S. Army convoy in Iran during World War Two, with Jeep lead vehicle in convoy.  The Jeep is either a Willys MB or a Ford GPW, the two trucks being identical.  Now, the Iranians are making essentially the same vehicle.

We've discussed Jeeps here a fair amount.  As noted, I've owned three, the first being a 1946 CJ2A.

The CJ2A was a Willys post war variant of the MB, the most mass produced Jeep of the Second World War.  Willys was one of the original competitors for the 1/4 ton truck contract, and its the one that basically won it.  That Jeep, the World War Two Jeep, established the brand, basically. 

I won't go into the Jeep history, as I've already done that.  But what I will note is that the next military model was the M38.  The M38 was an improved MB.  It basically takes a Jeep fan to be able to tell the difference, although their are real differences.  They looked virtually identical.

The M38 gave way to the M38A1, which wasn't identical. That Jeep is the originator of the CJ5 style Jeep.  I've owned a M38A1 as well.  

My M38A1, back when I owned it.

The M38A1 yielded to the M151, a really good, but very dangerous Jeep, with independent wheel suspension.  After that, the Army phased the 1/4 ton truck out.

But not every Army did.  There's probably a few 1/4 US Jeeps still in use by some Army. And many European Armies use a truck of about that size.

Well, now Iran is making one, the Safir.

And not only are they making one, it's apparently pretty much a copy of the M38.  It's body style isn't identical, but it's pretty close, and otherwise it's pretty much a copy of the M38.

And they're getting quite a bit of use in the war in Iraq, in the hands if Shia militias.

All sorts of rocket launchers and recoiless rifles are mounted on them, probably taxing their capabilities, as these vehicles are small.

Now,  note, I'm noting this as I like Jeeps in general, but I'm amazed that the little tiny MB is back.  They were really very small, and various Jeep developments since then have made for much better Jeeps.  But back they are, and like the M38 and M38A1, they're packing some pretty stout weapons.  Engine wise, they use a modern Nissan engine, and they appear to have torsion bars for their front suspension. But they retain a solid front axle, as of course current American civilian Jeeps do.

Interesting that the old type would be back, and in this peculiar fashion.

Killing people and breaking things. . . and women in the service.

 The Women's Mounted Emergency Corps.  "A mounted emergency corps of women has been organized as an auxiliary to the Second Field Artillery, of Brooklyn. The women wear a military uniform and are trained in giving aid. They learn to mount and dismount quickly, to help a wounded soldier who needs first aid, and to assist one who Is not totally disabled into the saddle. There is no plan yet for taking women to France in any but nursing capacity but it may be that the Women s Emergency Corps will get to the fighting line before the war is over."  The Oregonian, 1917.

Recently, a dear cousin of mine "liked" a photo that appears in Stars and Stripes of a collection of female soldiers all feeding their babies in the traditional, i.e., the original, way.  She posted something along the lines of "how beautiful".

And it is.

But its not a good thing for our Army, which touches on something I've avoided, but given as I'm getting older by the day, and shy away less from controversial topics more and more, I'll go ahead and post on it.

In the Army, at least at one time, you used to hear in training "What is the spirit of the bayonet?"

The answer is "To kill!"

And that's because an army, and by extension its soldiers, exist to kill people and break things.

Not for feeding babies.

A society that has lost sight of that, is fooling itself. 

Warfare has traditionally been a male thing since day one, literally, no matter what our society may think of that today.  It's in our DNA.  This is not to state that no woman never participated in combat in prior eras or antiquity, but frankly, that's a massive exception to the rule usually indicating a level of desperation that equates with an enemy being on the verge of killing the babies and taking the women.  Truly.

Even some of the most frequently cited examples of female deployments turn out to be spotty at best.  The Soviets used very few women in combat during World War Two, contrary to what is sometimes imagined, and the entire Red Army was pretty much a violent, ignorant mob anyhow, which engaged in activities outside of Russia that have legitimately brought shame upon its reputation in that war ever since. The Israelis don't actually deploy women into combat either, contrary to what is commonly noted, instead using them in support and training roles.  Only Western armies use women in combat, as those armies are heavily influenced by societal thought that requires a degree of un=realistism here, and which further benefit from technology so advanced that they can afford to cut corners on this sort of thing to a certain degree.

Part of the reason that this evolution is a bad one is that it simply doesn't reflect the hard physical nature of being a combat soldier.  Like it or not, the simple fact of the matter is that warfare remains one of the few areas where the ancient male advantage in strength is highly applicable.  Even test results in areas where the military trains hard shows this.  Women generally have a very hard time passing military courses that remain traditionally tough, while generally men do not.  An added real fear here is that the courses will be adjusted to allow for women to pass them, which at some point will catch up with the service in terms of combat results.

A second, and just as applicable reason not to welcome this tread, however, is that there are real and established psychological differences between men and women.  Men generally peak more rapidly in anger than women, and trail off more quickly as well.  This seems to hearken back to the era when every man was a combatant of a type, and it serves men well in combat.  It doesn't serve women well, and indeed that doesn't serve the service well either.  In part, slow to anger women remain angry thereafter, which is a dangerous thing for military order.

But another psychological aspect of this is that it doesn't take into account the relationship between men and women that is also in our DNA.  Like it or not, that attraction is going to exist as well as deeply ingrained urges. It is already the case, even in peacetime, that a frighteningly high percentage of servicewomen become pregnant during their service, note the item that we started off with here in this entry. That makes them, effectively, a casualty in a combat situation.  

And, at their best, men will tend to protect women, which creates a bond other than that which exists between male combatants. The "brotherhood" nature of men at war is often noted, but less well noted is that soldiers are trained to, and do, leave men behind when it served their larger goal.  Leaving women behind, which would be a military requirement, would be, I suspect, much more difficult.  And by leave behind, I mean leave behind to die.  Men are left behind to die at crossroads and in buildings, to allow the escape of the whole.  Leaving a young woman behind would not be as easy.

At their worst, and their worst frequently occurs in a combat scenario, men in uniform are violent to women in the very worst way.  Without going into detail on it, if anyone doubts this they should read the books written by Max Hastings that deal with the end of World War Two. Some armies in that conflict were horrific in these regards, but it happened in all of them. And it happens in ours now, which is another story that frequently hits the news but seemingly not in this context.  The number of female servicewomen who are assaulted while in the service is frighteningly high, and introducing them into combat units where the worst things humans do is routine stands to only make this worse.

Finally, there's something really indecent about putting women in this role.  That sounds chauvinistic, and perhaps it is, but its true.  On the average, quite frankly, women are better than men in every deep and meaningful way.  Making them combat solders, and ignoring their feminine aspects, makes this worse. There's no reason to convert women into men, even though our society seems to have forgotten that there are two genders, and only two, and they have very real natural attributes.

I have no doubt that views like mine are not doing to carry the day, at least right now. But I also suspect, as I write this, that we're about to get into a ground war against a group that believes women captured in war make fine slaves, suitable for any purpose.  We're not going in a sane, and dignified, directly.

Monday, November 23, 2015

Lex Anteinternet: Toyota Landcruiser: The Prime Mover of the Third ...

Lex Anteinternet: Toyota Landcruiser: The Prime Mover of the Third ...:  Moroccan troops with some sort of Toyota, United States Marine Corps photograph. Americans may have invented the  Jeep , but based o...
And now, it appears, there's a little competition in this category.

At least, anyone, in Iraq.  The Iranian built Safir Jeep sized vehicle, a real throw back that's the size of the original Willys MB (if that big) and which retains a solid front axle (but which appears to have torsion bars rather than springs) is seeing use in the ongoing war in Iraq.  The Safir is typically decked out with a rocket launcher or a recoiless rifle, something we stopped doing way back when we were still using the M38A1.

But, in the conditions in which they're fighting, it's probably pretty darned effective.