Showing posts with label Climate Change. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Climate Change. Show all posts

Thursday, July 27, 2023

Some random musings. Old Age, Worn Out Horses, Secrets.


The freeze

What happened to Mitch McConnell yesterday and to me 35 years ago.

An insightful article by Robert Reich, who experienced something similar.

While I'm sure that I'm beating a dead horse on this, this is yet again evidence that we do come with a wear out date, and we ought to accordingly be careful.  So should society.  A huge amount of our societal deposit of power is in the truly ancient.

Mind you, I don't agree with Reich on much of McConnell's record being repugnant.  He did a great job, in my view, with the Supreme Court.  That's one of the things that Reich now doubt feels is skunking up the room.  And by this point, McConnell's presence may truly be necessary as a brake on what would occur if Donald Trump regains the White House, as McConnell seems to be able to control Senate Republicans, which in part has kept the Senate from becoming the circus that the House of Representatives currently is.

McConnell is 81.

Our senior Senator is 71.  Our junior Senator is 68.  Our Congressman is 60.

The world is enduring a really hot summer this year.  This is hard to ignore.

Sixteen young Montanans have sued their state for embracing fossil fuels in the face of climate change.  Nothing like that has happened in Wyoming.  I don't know what the average Wyomingite under 30 feels about this issue, or believes about it, but I'll bet it's not the same for Wyomingites who are 60 and over.  We probably worry about it, if we do, in the context of our children and their children.  Of course, if you are our youngest member of Congress, which isn't to say young, you have no children to worry about.

It used to be wars that caused this sort of observation.  Old men started them, it was claimed, and young men fought them.  Now it seems that really old men start them and young men and women, given that we've grown more barbarous in recent decades and included women in this horror, fight them.  The "old men" of the 1940s mostly weren't all that old, in comparison to what we have now.  Anyhow, I really wonder what approach to many things we'd be taking if people who were at least under 50 years of age were at the wheel.

Would that this was so.

On a somewhat related item, I've really been noticing recently that collapses that should be obvious to those close to collapsing aren't, at least to some extent.  I guess if people have relied upon somebody for a long time, they'll just ride that horse until it collapses, and then they're surprised.  Even the warnings that the metaphorical horse gives, as it stumbles or becomes blurry eyed, don't mean much.  The horse is just whipped into carrying on.  When it rolls over and dies, the rider is surprised.

I've been noticing recently that certain people turn everything very much to themselves.

Maybe everyone does to some degree.  People are told a story, and they want to show it's relevant to them as well, so they tell something related.

That's not really what I mean.

Rather, because for most of us our own frustrations and sufferings are the ones we really understand, it's hard for some not to use those as an absolute yardstick.

Indeed, I've witnessed recently somebody who fits into the category above, they're heavily burdened and collapsing, and they're pretty much trying to get some support.  However, when they seek to get it, they instead get tales, mostly repeats, of the other persons' frustrating, but not really epic, work life.  While it would be a poor comparison, it would be like a person going into the emergency room and telling the receptionist that they have a gunshot wound, only to get a really detailed reply like "I know, let me tell you about how slow the lunch line is here".


In this case, the suffering soul is pretty much the plow mule for the household, and the mule is on its last legs.  It's pretty obvious, but it must not actually be within the household, or they're so used to it, it goes unobserved.  But the signs are sure there.  The collapse is coming, and I don't know how to stop it.  Only the people driving the mule probably can, and they don't seem to believe it's going to happen.

Of course, it's really hard to appreciate that giants fall.  Some big tree grows in the forest, and It's always there.  It gets old, starts to die, and then one day a windstorm comes by and knocks it over.  People are surprised until they look at the photos of it when it was in its vigor.

Some people are horrible about keeping secrets.

I don't mean that they can't keep them, I mean that they love secretes too much.

There are things in the world that need to be kept secret.  Some occupations have secret keeping as a feature of their nature, such as doctors, priests, and lawyers.

But other people just adore secrets. They make secret information solely for the sake of making it secret.

My long-suffering spouse is one of these people.  She loves secrets.

I was reminded of this recently as I have a medical procedure coming up.  It's not a secret, why would it be?  But she was keeping it a secret from her family. That's really nifty, of course, for me as I don't keep stuff like this secret at all, and I don't have any concept why a person would do that.  Of course, it caught up with me when I was texting to my father-in-law, as he was at a cattle sale.  I mentioned it as I thought he knew.  My mother-in-law was calling in an instant, to my wife.

Why was this a secret?

I don't know, but that was bullshit, and I have repeatedly told my wife that I hate this "this is a secret" crap.  It's so ingrained in her character, however, that it's impossible to break.  Minor routine information is secret to outside parties.

This is aided by the fact, however, that she's good at keeping secrets, a fact that's further aided by her being bad at conveying necessary information.  I'll often get really important news about somebody weeks after it's conveyed to her.

"Bob is dying of the Grip", I'll learn. Oh, when did we learn this?  Weeks ago.

Or, "don't forget, this weekend we're hauling cattle".  Eh?  I've already committed myself to working this weekend, when did you learn this?  Yeah, weeks ago.  "I forgot to tell you".

On the other side, I guess, I've come to absolutely detest secrets.  Only things that legitimately need to be kept secret.  I guess having lived a life of professionally keeping secrets, while watching lots of people keep stuff they shouldn't keep secret until it blows up in their face, has made me detest them.   

Oh, well.

Saturday, June 24, 2023

Fish on Fridays, the Environment, and somewhat missing the point.


Here's an odd item that I found through a British newspaper:

Catholic Church can reduce carbon emissions by returning to meat-free Fridays, study suggests

Eh?

This found:

In 2011, the Catholic bishops of England and Wales called on congregations to return to foregoing meat on Fridays. Only around a quarter of Catholics changed their dietary habits—yet this has still saved over 55,000 tons of carbon a year, according to a new study led by the University of Cambridge.

FWIW, 10% of the British population remains or has returned to Catholicism (more Catholics go to services on Sunday than any other religion in Britain).  England in particular was noted for its strong attachment to the Faith before King Henry VIII, and even after that, as it was not at first clear to people at the pew level that he'd severed ties with it.  This gets into our recent discussion on the end of the Reformation.

Indeed, Great Britain's Catholic roots never really completed faded at any one time.  Peasants rose up in 1549 over the Prayer Book, a good 30 years after Henry has severed from Rome.  Catholic hold outs continued on, on the island, under various penalties of the law, some extremely severe.  And the illogical position of the Church of England that it wasn't really Protestant, while not being able to rationally explain why then it wasn't that, or wasn't, if it wasn't that, schismatic, lead High Church Anglicans to continually flirt with returning to Rome. King Charles I was so High Church his position in regard to not joining the Church didn't make sense, something that his son, Charles II, ultimately did, in spite of his libertine lifestyle.The Oxford movement by Anglican churchmen in reaction to Catholic assertions that their Apostolic Succession was severed lead at least one famous Anglican cleric, John Henry Newman, into the Catholic Church, where he ultimately became a Cardinal.  In recent years, notable British figures have converted to the Church, along with many regular people.

Abstaining from meat on all the Fridays in the year, which in Catholic terms doesn't include fish, was a long held Latin Rite tradition that fell in the wake, in some places, but not all, following the reforms of Vatican II.  It was not part of Vatican II, as some improperly assume, but something that occurred in the spirit of that age.  It was a penitential act, not an environmental one.

For a variety of reasons, I'm pretty skeptical of the "blame it on cows" part of the climate change discussion.  But as a localist and killetarian, I am game with grow or capture it on your own. That isn't really what this is about, but it's worth noting that anything you buy at the grocery store, or wherever, has had a fair amount of fossil fuels associated with it.  The Carbon reduction here would be because fish don't burp much, if at all, or fart much, if at all.  But for that matter, neither do deer or rabbits, ducks or geese, or for that matter grass fed cattle.

Go out there, in other words, and get your own if you really want to save on the carbon.

For that matter, I might note, for those who are vegan, production agriculture is the huge killer of animal life.  I always laugh to myself when vegans think they're saving animals, they're slaughtering them in droves.  Anyone who is familiar with the agricultural logistical chain or how production agriculture works knows that.

I'm for growing it yourself as well, of course, although I've now been a hypocrite on that for years.  I need to get back to it.

Anyhow, the "this would be a good thing for the Catholic Church to do globally in the name of the environment" might be true, or might not be, but it misses the overall point.

Related threads:

The secular left's perpetual surprise at arriving at the Catholic past.


Secular suffering for nothing



Thursday, June 22, 2023

At what point do we admit things aren't quite right?

It's June 22, by which time we're usually getting warm weather.  Indeed, usually it's really warm by this time of the year.

Instead, we're getting gigantic amounts of rain. When I checked yesterday, where I am, had 250 times the normal amount of rain for the month,

250 times.

This isn't normal.

Everyone is observing that its weird, and people are tired of it.

It is very weird.

It's getting hard to pretend that the climate isn't at least a little out of wack.  This is not only not normal, it's beyond not normal.  The entire spring has been very cold, and the snowfall went on forever, with an April snowstorm bringing the heaviest snow accumulation in Natrona County's history.

In spite of that, at least one of our Congressional delegation routinely berates President Biden's "radical climate agenda".

Nature, agriculture, and even simple living conditions can just stuff it, I guess.

Facts are a sticky thing.  You really don't get to pretend that your economic interest determine science.  Nor, as a politician, do you get to pretend that your voter's economic interest determine science.

But that's pretty much what we're doing.

When I was a geology student, we were taught that if the temperature of the Earth increased, only a small amount, it would result in a much wetter climate.  Indeed, back then, the common thought about global warming, in academic circles, is that only a marginally hotter climate resulted in a dramatic increase in precipitation, which in turn would trigger an ice age. The onset of the ice age, it might be noted, was rapid, which at the same time wouldn't mean that you'd have glaciers everywhere overnight.

I'm not saying that this is what we're currently enduring, but something odd is going on, and we really need to pay attention to it.

Let's be honest.  The 500,000 citizens of Wyoming don't control the major shifts in energy consumption and generation that are occurring now. That's why the State government is so excited about the Trans West Transmission Project.  That's why the state is permitting solar, wind and nuclear power generation facilities.  They know what is coming in terms of consumption.

That's also why the state government, which is much less beholden to the populist right than our members of Congress, really don't say much about what is occurring in this arena.

People have a moral and ethical duty to be honest. It's time to be honest to the residents of the State.  We want to keep our natural environment and our agricultural base. Sure, we'd like the petroleum and coal industries to go on forever, but that doesn't mean we have a right to blind our eyes to science because we wish things weren't the way they are, or pretend that the drive away from fossil fuels, which is going on, isn't happening.

Petroleum in particular is not going away overnight.  Senator Joe Manchin, from a coal producing state, is much more realistic on this, in spite of the constant criticism that he endures on the topic, that our local Congressional delegation is willing to be.  When Manchin speaks of fossil fuel production, it's clear he sees it as a bridge to a new energy regime, and that makes sense.  It would also make sense to invest, and those industries probably are, in ways to attempt wholesale carbon recapture.

We also have to realize, however, that most people enduring a soggy summer or blistering heat don't work in the energy sector and politicians from a minority party going on television claiming something is "radical" don't convince them to do diddly.  Indeed, because that's not how that works, thinking people should realize that's solely for a certain minority audience.  Being party of a minority audience is fine, but in this day and age, we're so balkanized that we weirdly believe that our own subset reflects the majority, even when it clearly does not.

This is really demonstrated, I'd note, by the Trumpist right, right now.  They're totally convinced that a majority of Americans support Trump, when in reality Trump is in a minority party that's lost election after election, doesn't receive the popular vote for the Oval Office, and is declining in membership. Trump might win the nomination but that's in no small part because everyone else has left or is leaving.  The GOP is now like a neighborhood party in which the oddball family from down the block showed up late, and then demanded that everyone listen to their Eight Track Tape collection of trucker songs.  They can convince themselves that everyone loves them when they finally are played, but that's because everyone else went home, or more likely down the street to a competing party.

We don't get to pretend that elections were stolen that weren't, but we've been doing a fair amount of that around these parts as well.

Saturday, December 18, 2021

A couple of interesting items. . .

 to ponder.

View from the S H Knight (geology) Building in 1986.

Recent research has indicated that humans reached the Faeroe Islands at least 300 years prior to the Vikings doing so.

This doesn't surprise me a bit, and apparently it's been more or less known for some time, and its what I would have expected, but new studies, involving obtaining DNA from the bottom of a lake, has proven it conclusively.

Evidence of really old sheep defecation was found down there.  Maybe sort of gross sounding in a way, but really cool nonetheless.  So not only was early colonization much earlier than guessed at, but it was true colonization.  I.e, we know about this place and we're bringing our sheep.

Really cool, in my opinion, is that part of the groundbreaking research was done by Dr. Lorelei Curtin of the University of Wyoming. She is a post-doctoral researcher at the university's Department of Geology and Geophysics, of which I'm a graduate.

She specializes, I'd note, in climate research and another study just out notes that global cooling seems to be brought about by global warming. Something I was taught when a student in that department some 35 or so years ago.

Graduates of the other department that I'm a graduate of, the College of Law, have not pegged me out on the pride meter much as time has gone on, but the Department of Geology and Geophysics is different.

Well, go Pokes.

I'll note this as well. The Vikings first settled Iceland starting in 874 and Greenland around 980.  I'm guessing that the last date is correct, but I'll bet that somebody was on Iceland by 874. Rather obviously, the Vikings weren't great at recording who exactly was where they went, when they got there, as the Faeroe Island discovery more or less proves.

Saturday, December 11, 2021

Musings of the Ancient Agrarian. Climate Change, Bucking the Winds of Change, and Food from a Factory


I've generally avoided the topic of global warming here as I'm a coward and don't want to take the heat on it (hah, hah).  But, at this point, the majority of people in most places accept that man caused climate change is occurring.  This is very much the case around the globe.  For instance, just the other day, Conservative British Prime Minister gave a speech regarding it that contained an apocalyptic warning about not addressing it . . . and he's a conservative.  Germany's Angela Merkel, who just stepped down as that country's head, is also a conservative (Christian Democratic Union) and was plain on her views.  Really, only in the US is there any kind of argument that it's not happening.  Indeed, just the other day, one of the oil producing nations in Arabia announced its plans to deal with it.

Now, this isn't going to be a screed agaisnt oil companies, I'll note right now.  This is one of those winds of change type of articles.

In Wyoming, you still have a lot of public sentiment going the other way, but here too things are changing.  Just last weekend, the Tribune ran an op ed excoriating local policymakers for not advancing the new energy producing technologies that are coming, arguing that the era of fossil fuels is coming to an end.

And as a practical matter, it is, irrespective of people's views of it..  Even if you are a diehard opponent of the concept of global warming, alternative means of producing energy are over the tipping point.  I still hear people here say, all the time, "electric cars won't work here", but 1) they will, and 2) carmakers don't care about works in Wyoming.  You don't build an auto industry around 250,000 drivers, after all.[1].   

Indeed the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, of which I'm a member, ran an entire issue of their explorer magazine on completely switching the planet over to "alternative' forms of energy. The AAPG can't be accused of being made up of radical greenies.  In its two big articles it had one that sought to point out the difficulties, but they both mapped from a scientific prospective how to do it.

Since then a cooperative made up of large power generation companies has announced that its going whole hog with power generation station for automobiles. That's really darned similiar to the old "oil companies" sponsoring gas stations, which of course they did in a major way.

Anyhow, I was surprised recently to see farmers and ranchers begin to get up and running on this, but they are.  They very much are in other states. Wyoming is isolated and things like this are slow to get a foothold here, and on top of it, while nobody really wants to say it, we're still in the outgoing tide from the last oil boom, and therefore it remains the case that a lot of what seems to be the viewpoint of the state is really a vicarious view from the oil producing states much to the south of us.  Politics tend to change here when busts get deep and last, as that's when the locals are most notable.  And it's also the case that change is massively unsettling, and it's always instinctive to argue for the familiar rather than plan for the change that's coming.

But that's starting to occur.  Indeed, the Ladder Ranch has an entire series of posts on their blog about their attendance of the recent warming conference in Scotland. That's really remarkable.  When Wyoming ranching blogs start posting about things that need to be done, it's not very long before you see a rancher driving up to the feed store in an electric pickup truck.  As in, like, maybe next week or so.

And they're not the only ones.  Citing a need to preserve Wyoming's environment and economy, a couple of commentators in the Tribune recently posted an interesting oped, as noted. 

Hutcherson, Smitherman: We’re betting Wyoming’s future on Wyoming’s past

That article commented:

As odd as it may seem, that reminded me of an Army Jody Call we learned in basic training, which went

Ain't no sense in going home; Jody's got your girl and gone.

Ain't no sense in looking back; Jody's got your Cadillac.

Ain't no sense in looking down; Ain't no discharge on the ground.

I guess that's all the antitheses to the bumper stickers around here that use to plead for "one more oil boom" with the promise "I won't piss it away".  It's a lot like a hard core drinking asking for one more drink, you're not going to stop


Thatts a big part of the problem with Wyoming's economy, actually.

What I mean by that is looking back, and looking back to the immediate past, rather than the longlasting and enduring past.

Anyhow, getting back to the Ladder Ranch blog entry, that post has this comment.

If the goal of no more warming than 1.5 degrees centigrade has a hope of being met (we’re currently at 1.1), it will take all sectors. The solutions are not simplistic,

I guess it shows a contrarian streak, but as a geologist/amateur historian, in addition to being an officer of the court, it actually is pretty simplistic.  It just requires doing it.  That may require a sudden public consensus, but if this blog here shows anything, people are actually amazingly capable of doing that.  People can, and do, change their opinions on things on a large scale, overnight.

And young people are.  Young Republicans, who otherwise don't share much in point of view with Democrats, agree that this is a big problem.  Given as the politics of the country is in the firm grip of the nearly dead hands of ancient, ancient politicians, that may not be obvious, but as we literally have a political leadership that's so old that the barque over the River Styx will soon be threatened to be full to overcrowded with American politicians, we may see a change in views here much quicker than we might otherwise be inclined to suppose.

None of which is what this post is about.

Due to Twitter, I ran across some items where soy boy metrosexuals are imagining an agricultural free world with all food made in labs.

As in 100%.

This, they imagine, will solve the whole problem.

First of all, that would create a new problem.  The modern world is antithetical to our natures to start with.  We're born to be hunters, farmers, and pastoralists, not cubicle dwellers and office workers.  Most Americans hate their jobs because modern work sucks.

Secondly, dimwitted people who imagine stuff like this are Americans or Europeans, and most people on the globe aren't.  The average farmer is a lot more likely to be riding to his field on a single piston engined light motorcycle while wearing a conical hat than driving a F350 to the feed store.

Bangladeshi farmer.  Wikipeda photograph by Balaram Mahalder   .  All rights reserved to original author.  If this guy looks happier at work than you do, that's because he is.  Yes, he lives in a dirt poor country, but he's working outdoors with his family wh

And not only that, part of the solution to this problem is more people in agriculture, not less, and more agriculture of a distributist  and agrarian nature.

It's not necessary to have the fence to fence massive implement farms that dominate today that are fueled not only on petroleum (although that will soon change) but on debt (that won't be changing).  

Which gets, in the end, to this.  Hutcherson and Smitherson have a point about betting Wyoming's future on the past, but maybe we're not betting on the current future which is embedded with the past, but in a way that for some reason we can't really see.

It's odd, but even saying it requires some explanation, so perhaps that this is missed, and the fact that you have soy boy cubicle backers suggesting that everyone sitting inside in the solution to things isn't too surprising.

Wyoming has always bet its future on the extractive industries, but it wasn't those industries that built and ultimately sustained much of it.  The first industry in the state was the trapping industry, which is so feral, if you will, that we don't even recognize it as such.  The second one was ranching and farming.  Even by the time they entered, however, there were those who promised that the future was all carbon based.  And it came to very much be.

But all the while, Wyoming remained wild and it was agriculture that really preserved the land and made the state what it is and was.

Now we've entered odd times.  They're odd politically, and they're odd trend wise.  It's making people doubly obstinate.  But larger trends don't care about obstinacy, even if they do about arguments.

Anyhow, maybe it's time to look back a bit.  And by looking back, look locally, and with a Chestertonian and Leopoldian frame of mind.

That would mean accepting some limits to things.

Indeed, fairly recently, on the same day, two different blogs linked in two things about limits in the form of mobility.

The British Adam Smith Institute linked in this:

SIR SIMON INSISTS THAT WE'RE ALL TERRIBLY NAUGHTY PEASANTS

The New Mexico Place of the Governors posted this:

Group on horseback and wagons, near Cimarron, New Mexico

What Sir Simon said, was:

Travel was the great beneficiary of the leisure society. Only now are we appreciating its cost, not just in pollution but in the need for ever more extravagant infrastructure. Cities sprawl when they should be densified. Communities have become fragmented. British government policy still encourages car-intensive settlement in countryside while urban land lies derelict.

It is an uncomfortable fact that most people outside London do most of their motorised travel by car. The answer to CO2 emissions is not to shift passengers from one mode of transport to another. It is to attack demand head on by discouraging casual hyper-mobility. The external cost of such mobility to society and the climate is the real challenge. It cannot make sense to predict demand for transport and then supply its delivery. We must slowly move towards limiting it.

Here's the thing.  Sir Simon may be, well, . . . right, but maybe not for the reasons he imagined.   And in an era in which a contagen breaks out in South Africa, and is Colorado just a few days later, well. . . 

But beyond that, looking towards more a more localized, distributist, foods system, and simply system, makes sense.  We don't need food from factories, in other words.We probably need it from the backyard, and from local farmers and ranchers. And where it needs some processing, where it can be done locally, it should be.

Now, that can't be done in every instance.  You probably can't grow coffee beans in Montana in your backyard, for example.[2]  But you can grow vegetables if you have much of a yard, and that's a better and more sensible product than bluegrass, which doesn't do much other than suck up water.  And you can get some of your protien from fields and streams yourself.  That ties you to nature and you see what's going on.

Shoot, I'd have things back at the mule power plow level if I could, which I know isn't going to be happening.  But rethinking the industrial cubicle complex sure can be argued, and a lot of those who are coming up with some really radical ideas, well they need to spend a little time outdoors.

Footnotes:

1.  I'm continually amazed by the argument, which you hear from all kids of people, that "well electric vehicles won't work here", with the person next citing the example of driving across the state and back in a day, or going high up into the hills.

Well, here's the thing.  Cars and trucks are made for Denver Colorado, not Douglas Wyoming.  We'll have to get used to electric vehicles for that reason if no other.  And the fact of the matter is that they're improving so rapidly that pretty soon you will be able to drive across the state and back in a day with them.

Added to that, I've watched farmers and ranchers adapt to solar chargers readily. Solar-powered livestock pumps are common, and so are solar-powered battery chargers for trailers that stockmen use when living in the sticks on drives.  If you can plug your trailer in while it's sitting there, well pretty soon you'll be able to do the same with your truck.

2.  Coffee does provide a good example, however, of how changes can be made by looking forward and back.

Coffee isn't grown in North America and must be shipped in.  It's different, therefore, than lettuce, for example, or cattle.  Indeed, in the last instance there's no earthly reason that beef should ever be shipped into the US, but it is.

Whenever something is shipped in, it's got a long carbon footprint.  Even condensing that impact, it's obvious.  Things often get on a boat.  If they don't get on a boat, they're loaded in a truck. Anyway you look at it, they in fact end up on a truck. The truck goes thousands of miles before, in a roundabout way, and on subsidized roads, things end up on your grocery store shelf  

There's no reason that things that can be grown locally shouldn't be.  Variety may be sacrificed, but truth be known a lot of Americans don't eat a very varied diet anyhow.  Indeed, at least some suggest, and my observations support, that it's become less varied over time.  Most people are down to a few, very few, basic foods that they're used to and which are more or less cheap.  Not too many people nationwide, for example, are having rabbit tonight even though rabbits are mowing down much of the nation's massive blue grass crop every day that people are growing for them.

Things grown in the backyard don't need any transportation to the table at all, other than to walk them into the house.  Things grown locally could easily be transported to market in electric trucks.  Things coming a long distance, like coffee, could easily be transported by electric trains.

This simplifies this, rather obviously, but you get the point.  The irony is that this "greener" approach would more closely resemble the one that existed prior to 1950 than it does the one that exists today. 

Related Threads:

The Wyoming Economy. Looking at it in a different way.


Before the Oil. And after it? The economies of Wyoming and Alaska.