Wednesday, April 9, 2025

So, anti vaxxers, a real explanation.

Association between maternal diabetes and neurodevelopmental outcomes in children: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 202 observational studies comprising 56·1 million pregnancies

In studies adjusting for multiple confounders (n=98, 49%), children exposed to maternal diabetes had an increased risk of any neurodevelopmental disorder (risk ratio 1·28; 95% CI 1·24–1·31), autism spectrum disorder (1·25; 1·20–1·31), attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (1·30; 1·24–1·37), intellectual disability (1·32; 1·18–1·47), specific developmental disorders (1·27; 1·17–1·37), communication disorder (1·20; 1·11–1·28), motor disorder (1·17; 1·10–1·26), and learning disorder (1·16; 1·06–1·26), compared with unexposed children. Maternal pre-gestational diabetes was more strongly associated with the risk of most neurodevelopmental disorders in children than gestational diabetes (risk ratio 1·39; [95% CI 1·34–1·44] vs 1·18 [1·14–1·23]; subgroup difference p<0·0001).

Diabetes has been dramatically increasing in the United States in recent years, and indeed, this has been the trend globally.

Wednesday, April 9, 1975. Holding out.

The ARVN held out against a superior NVA force at the Battle of Xuân Lộc.


South Korea executed eight people who were involved in the People's Revolutionary Party Incident, were hanged. Korea University had been closed the prior day.

The Indian Army invaded the Kingdom of Sikkim in response to a request by the prime minister.  The king was placed under arrest.

The National Association of Broadcasters voted 12–3 to designate the first hour of weeknight network television as "Family Viewing Hour", starting with the 1975–76 season, following a requirement set by the FCC which was soon found to be unconstitutional.

Last edition:

Tuesday, April 8, 1975. "Over in a month".

Monday, April 9, 1945. The End of B-17 Production.

"Tankmen of the 781st Tank Battalion, supporting the 100th Infantry Division, relax while awaiting the construction of a new bridge across the Neckar River in Heilbronn, Germany. The former pontoon bridge put in by the engineers was knocked out by effective and accurate artillery fire. 9 April, 1945.  781st Tank Battalion, 100th Infantry Division."

Photographer: T/4 Irving Leibowitz, 163rd Signal Photo Co.

The Battle of Königsberg ended in a Red Army victory.

The Japanese invaded west Hunan.

The Battle of Bologna began in Italy.

The Australian Z Special Force began Operation Opossum with the goal of rescuing the Sultan of Ternate from Ternate Island in Indonesia.

The RAF sank the Admiral Scheer, the U-804, U-843 and the U-1065.

B-17 production stopped in Seattle.

Dietrich Bonhoeffer, age 39, German Lutheran pastor; Wilhelm Canaris, age 58, German admiral; Ludwig Gehre, age 49, German officer; Hans Oster, age 57, German major general; Karl Sack, age 48, German jurist; and Theodor Strünck, age 50, German lawyer, and  Johann Georg Elser, age 42, were executed by the German government.

Last edition:

Sunday, April 8, 1945. Cebu City.

Trade Twits.

They’re coming now and saying we want to talk, we’ll lower our tariffs to zero. That’s not the problem. Vietnam is a great example, Laura. They sell us $15 for every one we sell them. Zero tariffs would get us no reduction in the $123 billion deficit we have.

Peter Navarro.

Elon Musk regarding Peter Navarro:

“truly a moron,”

I don't know much, or anything, about Navarro, but his statement set out above is pretty moronic.  

For every dollar we send to Vietnam, we get something back.  That doesn't obligate them to buy $15.00 worth of stuff from us.  

Nothing in a market works that way.

When I go to Albertsons and buy $100.00 worth of groceries I don't go back out  to my truck with $100.00 worth of good they buy from me.

That'd be stupid.

This is what's wrong with the Trump Administration.  It appears to be a confederacy of extremist and dunces.

Opinion | Donald Trump has pushed America into a golden age of stupid. Now’s Canada’s chance to be smart.

 

Opinion | Donald Trump has pushed America into a golden age of stupid. Now’s Canada’s chance to be smart

Chief Pentagon Spokesman Sean Parnell Statement on COVID-19 Return to Service

 Chief Pentagon Spokesman Sean Parnell Statement on COVID-19 Return to Service

April 7, 2025

Chief Pentagon Spokesman Sean Parnell provided the following statement:

We're committed to doing right by those who were affected by the Department's former COVID-19 vaccination policy. For the roughly 8,700 service members who were separated solely for refusing the vaccine, this is an opportunity to return to service — and we want them to know the door is open.

Starting today, the Department will begin outreach to ensure each of these individuals receives clear information on how to pursue reinstatement.

They have until February 7, 2026, to pursue reinstatement, and we're working hard to make sure each of them receives clear information and support throughout the process.

Their service mattered then, and it still matters now.

We're ready to welcome them back!

Of course, in the anti science era, they'd be welcomed back.

They shouldn't be.

Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Britain, Germany Issue Emergency Guidance


I'm not a "prepper", and frankly I tend to find preppers a bit amusing.  But when European governments that are a lot more sane than the gerontocracy running the United States right now start issuing war warnings and commence telling their populations how to prepare for war, well, it's at least taking some noted of.


Both Germany and the UK, both of which are not afflicted by wackadoodle administrations like ours currently is, have done so:

Britain, Germany Issue Emergency Guidance




By the way, in the fever dream of Republican Washington D.C. right now, while Trump dreams of tariffs in his sleep solving all the nations ills, while the GOP also is about to pass a renewal of the Trump tax reductions, thereby guaranteeing, in the real world, a massively increased deficit, there's a plan to pass a $1Trillion defense budget.

$1Trillion.


Trump preached peace in his campaign like a flower child in 1968.

But he's proposing a defense budget like it's 1964.

What gives?

It's hard to know what Trump really things about anything.  What is clear is that we've been headed towards war with China for at least half a decade and the Trump administration is pushing us much closer.  Somebody in the Administration is preparing for that war.

20th Kansaas at Caloocan, 1899. They're carrying obsolete trapdoor Springfield rifles and wearing obsolescent blue wool shirts.

By the way, when McKinley, Trump's hero, who ended up regretting his tariff policy, was President the size of the U.S. Army was 25,000 men, many of whom were poor immigrants, and a lot of whom were poorly equipped.  In spite of McKinley being forced into the Spanish American War against his instincts and desires, the US didn't really expect to be fighting any wars in the late 19th and early 20th Centuries and so it relied upon a tiny Army, a more substantial and much more well equipped Navy, and state militias, which had not quite become the modern National Guard.  The thought was that if any big emergency came up, the states could always fill the manpower gaps, which is exactly what occurred during the Spanish American War.  It's also what occured in the Philippine Insurrection which is in part what made the effort in the Philippines extreme unpopular with the public as it drug on.  Think Vietnam. . . but if Vietnam had been fought with a lot of National Guardsmen instead of just a few.

Itt was those wars, in fact, which ended the era in which the US could get buy with a tiny budget, and one that ran a surplus.  The Spanish American War changed the US from a regional power into a global one, and there's really no going back.  We shouldn't even want to go back. When Kipling wrote his horribly racist The White Man's Burden, in a certain way, that's what he meant existentially, if you strip the racism, which is difficult.  Still, the concluding lines are worth reading:
Have done with childish days— 
The lightly proffered laurel, 
    The easy, ungrudged praise. 
Comes now, to search your manhood 
    Through all the thankless years, 
Cold-edged with dear-bought wisdom, 
    The judgement of your peers. 
Trump, in real terms, seeks to take us back to the childhood of the nation, which he didn't experience, as he golfs on in his dotage.

We're all suffering as a result, and it'll get worse.  Much worse.

Last edition:

Autarky and the road to poverty.

We Need Policies That Will Give Us A Self-Sufficient Economy

J. D. Vance as a Senate candidate.

The characteristic signature of poverty is a return to self-sufficiency.

Matt Ridley.

After shrinkflation comes drinkflation

 After shrinkflation comes drinkflation

American Whiskey Braces for Another Trump Trade War

 

American Whiskey Braces for Another Trump Trade War

Blog Mirror: The Guinness World Record of Self-Sabotage

 The Guinness World Record of Self-Sabotage

Tuesday, April 8, 1975. "Over in a month".

U.S. Senator Barry Goldwater claimed that the Vietnam War "would have been over in a month" had he been elected President in 1964.

1964 Goldwater bumper sticker.

Seems doubtful.

Goldwater was the most right wing truly conservative Republican candidate to have ever been nominated, far more conservative than Ronald Reagan, and a true conservative, unlike the current occupant of the Oval Office.

A South Vietnamese pilot, Nguyễn Thành Trung, dropped bombs on the Presidential Place and then defected.  

This is an event that I can recall occuring.

He want on to serve in the North Vietnamese air force and then worked as a commercial pilot for Vietnam Airlines.

South Vietnamese Major General Nguyễn Văn Hiếu was found shot dead in his command post.at the  Biên Hòa airbase, 

The Godfather Part II won an Academy Award for best picture, the first sequel to do so.

Frank Robinson became the first black manager in Major League.  More on Robinson:

April 8, 1975: Frank Robinson Becomes Baseball's 1st Black Manager

Last edition:

Monday, April 7, 1975. A meeting in Thailand.

Sunday, April 8, 1945. Cebu City.

"Sam Yoshihana, Chicago, Ill., leads a bunch of German prisoners taken by the 100th Bn., through the village of Valecchia to a PW cage. 8 April, 1945. Valecchia, Italy. 442nd Regimental Combat Team. Photographer: Bull, 196th Signal Photo Co."  Yoshihana is armed iith a Thompson submachinegun.

British and French forces prevailed in Operation Amherst.

The US won the Battle for Cebu City.

The Battle of Lijevče Field ended in victory for the forces of the Independent State of Croatia which wasn't to be independent for very much longer.

"C and D Troop, 10/65 Field Btry., 4/22 Field Regt., South African arty., 6th South African Arm'd Div., firing a mission. They are equipped with "sextons", self-propelled 25 pounder cannons. 8 April, 1945. Pian Di Setta area, Italy. Photographer: Thomas, 196th Signal Photo Co"

Last edition:

Monday, April 7, 2025

That was a sudden switch . . .

“There are things that we need beyond tariffs. We need open borders.”

Donald Trump, April 7, 2025.

Of note, Elon Musk said the same thing, as to Europe and North America, within the past 24 hours.

Donald Trump Really Is a Lot Dumber Than We Thought. Like, a Lot!

 Donald Trump Really Is a Lot Dumber Than We Thought. Like, a Lot!

1925 Camping Radio

 

1925 Camping Radio

Monday, April 7, 1975. A meeting in Thailand.

Cambodian Prime Minister Long Boret met with representatives of the Khmer Rouge in Thailand.

Wives of Air Force men stationed in Japan volunteered to assist in Operation Babylift.

Last edition:

Sunday, April 6, 1975. "Election".

Saturday, April 7, 1945. Desperate efforts.

The Japanese Imperial Navy launched an ill advised doomed kamikaze attack with ten warships, including the Yamato off of Okinawa.  The Yamato was sun k with a loss of 2,055 of its 2,332 crewmembers, and five other Japanese ships went down as well.


The Luftwaffe also engaged in a suicide mission, sending out 120 student pilots about against a 1,000 plane US raid.  They were to ram their aircraft into the Americans ones, and hopefully parachute out.

Most of the pilots missed their targets and most were shot down.

Operation Amherst commenced which saw the Free French and SAS launch an effort to capture Dutch canals, bridges and airfields intact.

Kantarō Suzuki replaced Kuniaki Koiso as Prime Minister of Japan.

Last edition:

Friday, April 6, 1945. Operation Ten-Go.

Saturday, April 7, 1900. The US in the Far East.

The USS Wheeling arrived at Taku Forts to reinforce the US presence in China.

General Arthur MacArthur, the father of Douglas MacArthur and a Civil War hero, was named to replace General Elwell Stephen Otis as military governor of the Philippines.

Over 100 people were killed near Austin, Texas, when the McDonald Dam burst.

Last edition:

Saturday, March 31, 1900. Sanna's Post.

Sunday, April 6, 2025

A few changes.

Things 150, 200, and 250 years ago are outside the expressed target range of the blog, so we're discontinuing posting on those events.

For the most part, at this point, things 100 years ago, which would be 1925, are also, so we likely will discontinue those as well. 

Things 80 years ago and 50 years ago, clearly are, but we're going to keep on keeping on with those for other reasons.



Cliffnotes of the Zeitgeist. 81st Edition. Protests and Golfing.

Lex Anteinternet: Protests spread to Wyoming.:   The "Hands Off" protest is a nationwide movement.  And it's showing up even in Casper, in central Wyoming.

Protests spread to Wyoming.

 


The "Hands Off" protest is a nationwide movement.  And it's showing up even in Casper, in central Wyoming.

Protests did occur yesterday in Casper, and apparently in a host of other cities, including Rock Springs.  Based upon the article in the Tribune, the Casper protests suffered from the common problem all left of center protests in Wyoming tend to, which is rather than be focused on the immediate topic, they featured every left wing cause going, which is exactly why the left has no pull here.

Apparently there were large protests across the country, showing widespread discontent with Trump.  Even some Republicans who have backed Trump all along, like Ted Cruz and Ben Shapiro are calling his tariff policy into question.  Some of them are being surprisingly blunt, calling the tariffs basically dumb.

Here's the thing, however.  Trump, born into wealth to the degree that he can repeatedly fail and not feel the effects, doesn't care.  He has the supreme confidence of a man who is not introspective, and frankly, by all evidence, not very smart.  He's believed in tariffs for over 40 years, having a shallow understanding of the economy, and not even grasping that the economy 40 years ago had real problems.

The US has lost its manufacturing base, but not to the degree people like Trump believe.  Quite a bit of it fully remains.  Many of the "lost" industrial jobs in heavy manufacturing were lost to automation.  Those behind Trump understand that, and they don't seem to care that their concept of "returning" jobs to the US means taking jobs from real human beings overseas.

The ultimate irony of all of this is that the tariffs real goal, for those who aren't as dense as Trump seemingly is, was happening anyway.  As world trade increasingly globalized roboticization was occurring anyhow, and as that occurs other factors, such as transportation, begin to factor heavily.  So the tariffs simply disrupt the economy, destroy wealth, and probably actually slow that evolution. 

Meanwhile Trump goes golfing, seemingly not caring what he's doing to real people, and not needing too, as he lacks the empathy, understanding, and financial exposure that would require him to.  His wealthy backers and racial rearward looking functionaries continue on in their destructive march.  

It's more than a year away until the mid terms.  Ted Cruz predicted a bloodbath at the pools in 2026 if things go badly.  And that's the ultimate irony.  Trump was elected, basically, as people didn't like the social views of the left and didn't believe that he believed the rest of the nonsense he spouted.  People tend to vote with their wallets.  

Trump isn't going to change direction.  Like many old people, his ideas are fixed in the distant path, when they actually might have made some sense.  It's a common failing of the old.  The nation is going to go into a heavy duty recession, the Republicans are going to get slammed in the 2026 election, and the left will be resurgent.  A weary nation will, at that point, not care much about men wearing dresses and the like, and for that matter, the left may have made a slight course correction.

Roads to the Great War: War Inside a Little Village Church

Roads to the Great War: War Inside a Little Village Church: Village Church, Marbotte France St. Mihiel Sector The village of Marbotte was situated just behind the southern boundary of the St. Mihiel S...

Sunday, April 6, 1975. "Election".

Elections were held in North Vietnam with all 492 seats being won by unopposed Communists.

Last edition:

Saturday, April 5, 1975. The death of Chiang Kai-shek.

Friday, April 6, 1945. Operation Ten-Go.

Operation Grapeshot, the Allied Spring offensive in Italy, began.

Australians on Bougainville, where fighting was still ongoing, prevailed in the Battle of Slater's Knoll.

"Men of U.S. Tenth Army make their way through a mine field, detonating mines with their own cannon. Okinawa. 6 April, 1945. 6 April, 1945."

Massive kamikaze attacks take place off of Okinawa in Operation Ten-Go, a full scale suicide attack involving surface and aircraft assets.  The Yamamoto leaves for Okinawa with only enough fuel to get there, where the plan is to beach the ship and fight in that fashion.

American destroyers Bush, Colhoun, Leutze, Morris, Mullany, Newcomb, Rodman and Witter hit by kamikazes off Okinawa. The Bush and Colhoun were sunk and the Leutze and Necomb were subsequently declared constructive total losses.

The Japanese destroyer Amatsukaze was beached at Amoy after an attack by American B-25s.

Last edition:

Thursday, April 5, 1945. Rebellion of the Georgian Legion.

Saturday, April 5, 2025

Best Posts of the Week of March 30, 2025. The Week of Trump the Destroyer.

The week in which Donald Trump destroyed the strongest economy in the world and devastated the retirement accounts of millions based on a moronic concept of tariffs.  Indeed, with the usual lies so typical for Trump, these were not even reciprocal, as he claimed they would be, but done as part of a goofball formula that was designed to address trade balances without thinking out why trade imbalance even exists, and if we really want the US to be a country that exports more than it imports.

Out of order, the most important post of the week:

Subsidiarity Economics 2025. The Times more or less locally, Part 4. The Mutually Assured Tariff Destruction and Wacky Math Edition.

The reciprocal tariff formula.

It's hard for me to believe that people voted to destroy their futures, but then it seems like there wasn't a lot of attention being paid to Trump and Project 2025 in realistic terms.

Some people who gave all:

Friday, March 30, 1945. Mère Marie Élisabeth de l'Eucharistie gassed at Ravensbruck. Maj. Gen. Maurice Rose killed in action.







Preparatory to something else?






Did Trump sleep through classes at the Wharton School of Business?










Last edition: