Wednesday, April 27, 2016

And now city government

Earlier this week we ran this:
Lex Anteinternet: And now state government . . .:     The Wyoming State Capitol the way many of us see it, over the hoods of our pickups as we are driving in Cheyenne. Yesterday it wa...
And now Casper is offering 53 employees early retirement in hopes of reducing salary expenditures down at the city.

Mid Week at Work: Ty Cobb sliding into third after making a triple play.


The great Ty Cobb, one of the greatest baseball players to ever play the game, and one of the most aggressive, sliding into third after making a triple play, August 16, 1924.  Cobb played the game like fighting a war, hence making this work entry appropriate.

The Punitive Expedition. Oops. April 27, 1916.


Library of Congress Caption:  Capt. B.D. Foulois and Lieut. J.E. Carberry picked up by Mexican along road after their aeroplane had fallen 1500 feet - Mexican-U.S. Campaign after Villa, 1916.

Photo taken on this day in 1916.

Monday, April 25, 2016

The Casper Daily Press for April 25, 1916.

And, a couple of days after it occurred, a new violent event for 1916, the Easter Rebellion, hit the news.

Casper had a lot of Irish expatriates at the time for whom this news would have been of intense interest.


What the crud, is this the This Day in 1916 blog or something?

Geez Louise!  First the Punitive Expedition, then all these 1916 newspapers, then the Easter Rebellion, and now the first Anzac Day, what the heck is up?

Well, as we've explained from time to time, this blog focuses on this time period and is really the reason the blog exists.  And, as odd as it may seem, the recent 1916 entries have a lot to do with our focus on the Punitive Expedition.

The reason that we've been posting the old newspapers is to put the Punitive Expedition in context, and by that we mean the context of the average person as they would have received the news every day.  But in receiving that news, they wouldn't have received it in a vacuum, even while they also wouldn't have received all of it instantly as it occurred.  And the entire picture of what they received is important.

In looking back on history, we tend to view big events as if they were the only events, and as if everyone was involved in them. But that's just not the way life works.  Even as major events occur, most people keep on with their day to day lives, worries, and concerns, unless they live in an area immediately impacted by the big events. This is true even if they had family members involved in them, whom they worried about, just as its true for us today.

So, while we've been looking at the Punitive Expedition, we've been filling in what else was going on, in an attempt to present the overall picture, both as it was, and as it would have been received at the time.

And what a picture it was.  1916, quite frankly, was awful.  War in Europe, near war with Mexico, rebellion in Ireland.  It was bad.

Blog Mirror: Matthew Wright; It’s a century since the first Anzac Day services

It’s a century since the first Anzac Day services

It’s Anzac day today – the day New Zealand and Australia remember the dead of all their wars.

Monday at the Bar: The ABA and the UBE

Truly, ABA, do any of you practice law outside of the East Coast big cities?

Two ABA items from awhile ago, that I'm just getting around to posting now:

1.  Could Uniform Bar Exam help law grads' mobility? ABA House asks states to adopt it 'expeditiously'

Who, really, cares. The grads, surely, but the bar exam doesn't exist to aid them, it exists t hinder them and protect the public.

It's funny that a society that worries, in some instances, about firearms "mobility" doesn't worry that much about lawyers moving from state to state with no hindrance, even though they can really do the damage.

2.  The UBE Poll, posted more than a bit late.


Sunday, April 24, 2016

The Casper Daily Press for April 24, 1916.

And the train robberies come to an end.

William Carlyle, the robber, gave himself up rather than resort to violence.  Probably more misdirected than anything, he converted to Catholicism while in the penitentiary and became a model citizen.


The Easter Rebellion. April 24, 1916.

We've been reading a lot about 1916 on the blog.  And here we do, once again.

 One of the two Irish flags flown above the General Post Office during the uprising.

But we will not be reading in this entry about Mexico or New Mexico, or even of Pershing and Villa.

Today we read of Ireland.

On this day, in 1916, Irish republicans rose up in rebellion against the United Kingdom in an effort to take their nation out of it.

 Proclamation by the Irish rebels declaring Irish independence.

The story is a fabled one, and up until the last decade or so, the conventional story was that Irish nationalist desperately, and perhaps with knowing doom, lashed out at the British oppressors in an action which ultimately founded their republic.

Well, there's some truth to that, but a lot of myth as well.

Indeed, the rebellion was, in terms of its immediate goals, a failure.  What made it a success long term was British over reaction, not the small Irish uprising.

In popular myth the Irish, ever since the English first set foot on their island, rebelled again and again. And there's more than a little truth to that.  The Irish never welcomed the English to Ireland.  And after King Henry VIII decided that he wast the head of the church in England, the English occupation of Ireland became one unending bigoted disaster.  The Irish stuck with the Catholic Church and would not be forced into any of the brands of Protestantism that, truth be known, the majority of the English in the countryside were not keen on either.  Over time, but not much time, the contesting Protestant forces in the United Kingdom operated to oppress Catholics wherever they were and that came to mean Ireland as well.  All of this is well known.  Things became brutally bad for the Irish, who made some notable rebellions (in which, I'd note, two of my direct ancestors participated, and whom, I'd note, both were killed in).  Reduced first to poverty, and then starting in the 1840s to starvation, things were brutally bad for the Irish.

But that was the Ireland from the 1500s until the middle of the 20th Century.  It wasn't the Ireland, or the England, of 1916.

The United Kingdom, rather remarkably, began to self reform in the 18th and 19th Centuries in some remarkable ways.  In 1829, ahead of the famine, the United Kingdom restored most civil rights to Catholics in the United Kingdom, which in practical terms meant that the average Catholic was restored to the same set of rights that the average Protestant in the UK had.  This act extended to Ireland as well as to the rest of the United Kingdom.  It certainly didn't make life wonderful for the Irish overnight, but it was a start.

Following the famine of the 1840s the United Kingdom recognized that in Ireland the long established Protestant ruling class system was unsustainable and it began to move towards reform in Ireland.  Heavily contested by some Protestant elements, the movement became focused on Home Rule for Ireland and land reform, both of which became highly successful by the early 20th Century.  To all save those with blinders on it was obvious that Home Rule was going to become the system for Ireland.  The combined effect gave us much of what we recognize about Ireland today.  The country went from a land of lords and peasants to one of small farmers, which was what the majority of Irish were and which became the economic foundation of the country.  Just prior to World War One the movement towards Home Rule was so complete that it was obvious that was going to take effect.

Home Rule for Ireland would have left Ireland a self governing nation within the United Kingdom, somewhat, but not completely, analogous to what Scotland presently is.  It would have largely passed its own laws, but foreign affairs would have been retained by Parliament.  It was clear, from election returns, that the overwhelming majority of Irish favored it, rejecting both independence from the UK and the old full political union with the UK. 

And then came World War One.

World War One did not turn the Irish off from Home Rule, but it did cause its backers to suspend the efforts temporarily in light of the Great War.  Perhaps this was, in retrospect, a mistake, but the Irish showed no disappointment with that approach.  Indeed, period writings from the time are remarkable in the extent to which Irish writers supported Empire and regarded themselves as British.  Irishmen volunteered in large numbers to serve in the British Army, which of course was their Army.

For Irish Nationalist, however, the Great War was looked upon differently, and that was as an opportunity.

The way the wind was blowing was clear to Irish Nationalist.  The First World War, therefore, was seen as a chance to turn that wind in its favor before it was really too late, which was what was going to occur. Viewing anything other than full independence for the entire island as unacceptable, they worked towards revolution during the war, acquiring antiquated arms from Germany in the process.

Then the British began to make mistakes.  The biggest of those was the legal extension of conscription to Ireland.

The British had started off World War One with an all volunteer army.    It was not until January 1916 that the British introduced conscription to start to fill the ranks of the British Army.  Ireland was excluded from the act, reflecting the careful way that the UK approached Ireland at the time and recognizing its oncoming unique status in the United Kingdom.  This caused resentment in other quarters however and raised tensions in Ireland. Still, conscription was not extended to Ireland until 1918, at which time it actually had very little effect.

Irish Nationalist, who formed more than one group, began plotting for an uprising quite some time prior to Easter, 1916.  Planning and preparing for an uprising, it appears disjointed and quixotic even today. There were various factions in the movement, not all of which had the same goal.  The troops for the uprising, Irish Volunteers, had originally formed in order to protect Home Rule against violence from those opposed to it, and they were not necessarily nationalist  Some of the leaders of the rebellion appeared to be accepting of a almost certain defeat and go down in sort of an odd romantic Irish tradition, which they hoped would lead to the success of their movement. Others appear to have really expected to spark a successful rebellion.

 Patrick Pearse, a leading figure of the uprising but a romantic at heart, he carried a saber and wrote poetry during the uprising.  He was one of the figures executed by the British after it.  He held the position of Commander In Chief during it.  Pearse's father was English.

Éamon de Valera.  De Valera survived the uprising to go on to be the President of Ireland in the Anglo Irish War, and then to take his political party Sinn Fein into the Irish Civil War.  He lead Ireland for years after the conclusion of peace in the Irish Civil War.  He likely was not executed following the uprising as he was born in the United States and held American as well as British citizenship.  Like Pearse, he was half Irish, as his father, whom he never knew, was Portuguese.

They struck on this day, Easter Monday, 1916.  The uprising basically succeeded in taking a selection of government building in Dublin which caused, over a five day period the British put it down. They did so in a style that was quite heavy handed in military terms, but the British Army had been fighting in France for two years at the time and was acclimated to warfare.  The battle was pitched in Dublin, but around the rest of the country the uprising was sporadic.  There were some efforts, but they were not successful.  In one county the Irish Volunteers mustered and then quickly disbanded, reflecting the fact that the Irish Volunteers were not Irish nationalist the way the leaders of the rebellion were, and their participation in the action was due to nationalist infiltration rather than their own goals.  After a time, the survivors in Dublin, where there had been large numbers of casualties, surrendered and were jeered by Dubliners, many of whom had sons in the British Army.

 James Connolly, Scottish born to Irish parents. He'd served for seven years in the British Army in Ireland, an experience that left him with a hatred of the British Army, which executed him 1916.  Connolly was the real military leader in the Dublin Post Office, but he wasn't a member of the Irish Brotherhood but rather the leader of the Irish Citizens Army, a Socialist Irish army.  He was a true Socialist and likely conceived of an Irish future that was much different than other Irish rebel leaders.  His execution was amongst the most shocking to the Irish as, after receiving absolution from a Catholic Priest, he was executed by firing squad while sitting in his chair.  He was likely already dying from injuries received in the uprising.

Gathering of the Irish Citizen Army prior to 1916.  This group was a Socialist army that participated in the Easter Uprising.

At that point, the British had been successful in putting down a rebellion that had no support from the Irish population.  But, after having treated Ireland with kid gloves over about a twenty year period, they went too far and executed many of the leaders of the rebellion in a rapid fashion.  That in part likely reflected the actions of a nation that was now acclimated to war and which executed a fair number of its own solders for desertion, but it shocked the Irish population.  The Irish, in turn, could not help but recall the heavy handed nature of prior Irish rule and sympathy began to swing towards Irish nationalist.  British occupation of Dublin following the rebellion made things worse.  Following World War One Irish nationalist launched a guerrilla war against the United Kingdom which took Ireland out of the United Kingdom, but which left it a dominion, and without Ulster, in 1921.   That in turn lead to the Irish Civil War.

Irish Nationalist soldiers of the Anglo Irish War.

The irony, then, is that this is an instance in which history truly could have potentially worked out differently.  The rebels of 1916 were not acting on behalf of Irish wishes, but against it.  In order to even act they had to infiltrate and co-opt an Irish militia that was not really on their side.  Their goals were not the goals of the Irish population in 1916 and indeed their leaders in some ways reflected an entirely different set of goals.  If the revolution was successful, it was so because the British forgot themselves in reacting to it.  Had the British simply charged the rebels with criminal offenses and then tried them, and more than that granted them leniency, the Anglo Irish War would almost certainly not have occurred and Home Rule within the United Kingdom would have come into effect by 1920 at the latest.  Whether Ireland with Home Rule would have left the UK can be asked, but Scotland hasn't.

Sunday Morning Scene: Churches of the West: St. Stephen's Episcopal Church, Casper Wyoming

Churches of the West: St. Stephen's Episcopal Church, Casper Wyoming:







Saturday, April 23, 2016

And now state government . . .

 

Yesterday it was announced that Governor Mead has ordered State agencies to trim their budgets by 8%, in light of lower than expected revenues.  It's possible that this won't be the last such order either.

I have a big post on the Wyoming economy coming up, and government spending will be part of the topic in it (with the comment probably not being what folks would expect), so I won't comment too much here but this is an obvious part of the ripple effect of low coal and oil prices, which will itself have a ripple effect.  Some of the agencies are reorganizing right now to save money, and not necessarily in the way you might suspect.

A couple of small items on this.  First, as noted, I'm going to write out a big post on the Wyoming economy shortly.  It's about half done now, but it's probably a good thing I didn't get it all done as this would have impacted it a bit (and of course it's not like this page has high readership anyhow even though it has excessively high publication). 

Secondly, I'm going to do a post on comments on on-line journals, newspapers and enormous blogs.  I've been seeing a trend that doesn't apply to the smaller more specific interest ones that's both interesting and a bit disturbing.

 

Friday, April 22, 2016

The Casper Daily Press for Holy Saturday, April 22, 1916

Train robberies, something more associated with the 19th Century over the 20th Century, appear once again as the late famous series of those events in this year reoccurred in Wyoming.

And Casperites received the opportunity to appear as extras in a movie.


Friday Farming: The Rural Population

Carrying on our look at 1916 here, and keeping in mind that today is Earth Day, and also keeping in mind that everyday is Earth Day for farmers, some tables on the percentage of Americans  that were "rural" awhile back.

Circa 1916

Table 1.  Urban and Rural Population:  1900 to 1990--cont.

                                                1930         1930                                         1920         1920                                         1910         1910
                                   1930         total        total      1930    1930         1920         total        total      1920    1920         1910         total        total      1910    1910
                                   total        urban        rural    percent percent        total        urban        rural    percent percent        total        urban        rural    percent percent
                                population   population   population   urban   rural      population   population   population   urban   rural      population   population   population   urban   rural

    UNITED STATES               123,202,624   69,160,599   54,042,025    56.1%   43.9%    106,021,537   54,253,282   51,768,255    51.2%   48.8%     92,228,496   42,064,001   50,164,495    45.6%   54.4%

    Northeast Region             34,427,091   26,706,683    7,720,408    77.6%   22.4%     29,662,053   22,403,858    7,258,195    75.5%   24.5%     25,868,573   18,563,203    7,305,370    71.8%   28.2%
    New England Division          8,166,341    6,311,976    1,854,365    77.3%   22.7%      7,400,909    5,620,384    1,780,525    75.9%   24.1%      6,552,681    4,805,791    1,746,890    73.3%   26.7%
      Maine                         797,423      321,506      475,917    40.3%   59.7%        768,014      299,569      468,445    39.0%   61.0%        742,371      262,248      480,123    35.3%   64.7%
      New Hampshire                 465,293      273,079      192,214    58.7%   41.3%        443,083      250,438      192,645    56.5%   43.5%        430,572      223,152      207,420    51.8%   48.2%
      Vermont                       359,611      118,766      240,845    33.0%   67.0%        352,428      109,976      242,452    31.2%   68.8%        355,956       98,917      257,039    27.8%   72.2%
      Massachusetts               4,249,614    3,831,426      418,188    90.2%    9.8%      3,852,356    3,468,916      383,440    90.0%   10.0%      3,366,416    2,995,739      370,677    89.0%   11.0%
      Rhode Island                  687,497      635,429       52,068    92.4%    7.6%        604,397      555,146       49,251    91.9%    8.1%        542,610      493,938       48,672    91.0%    9.0%
      Connecticut                 1,606,903    1,131,770      475,133    70.4%   29.6%      1,380,631      936,339      444,292    67.8%   32.2%      1,114,756      731,797      382,959    65.6%   34.4%
    Middle Atlantic Division     26,260,750   20,394,707    5,866,043    77.7%   22.3%     22,261,144   16,783,474    5,477,670    75.4%   24.6%     19,315,892   13,757,412    5,558,480    71.2%   28.8%
      New York                   12,588,066   10,521,952    2,066,114    83.6%   16.4%     10,385,227    8,588,586    1,796,641    82.7%   17.3%      9,113,614    7,188,131    1,925,483    78.9%   21.1%
      New Jersey                  4,041,334    3,339,244      702,090    82.6%   17.4%      3,155,900    2,522,435      633,465    79.9%   20.1%      2,537,167    1,938,612      598,555    76.4%   23.6%
      Pennsylvania                9,631,350    6,533,511    3,097,839    67.8%   32.2%      8,720,017    5,672,453    3,047,564    65.1%   34.9%      7,665,111    4,630,669    3,034,442    60.4%   39.6%
    Midwest Region               38,594,100   22,351,089   16,243,011    57.9%   42.1%     34,019,792   17,775,966   16,243,826    52.3%   47.7%     29,888,542   13,487,199   16,401,343    45.1%   54.9%
    East North Central Division  25,297,185   16,794,908    8,502,277    66.4%   33.6%     21,475,543   13,050,086    8,425,457    60.8%   39.2%     18,250,621    9,620,277    8,630,344    52.7%   47.3%
      Ohio                        6,646,697    4,507,371    2,139,326    67.8%   32.2%      5,759,394    3,677,136    2,082,258    63.8%   36.2%      4,767,121    2,665,143    2,101,978    55.9%   44.1%
      Indiana                     3,238,503    1,795,892    1,442,611    55.5%   44.5%      2,930,390    1,482,855    1,447,535    50.6%   49.4%      2,700,876    1,143,835    1,557,041    42.4%   57.6%
      Illinois                    7,630,654    5,635,727    1,994,927    73.9%   26.1%      6,485,280    4,403,677    2,081,603    67.9%   32.1%      5,638,591    3,479,935    2,158,656    61.7%   38.3%
      Michigan                    4,842,325    3,302,075    1,540,250    68.2%   31.8%      3,668,412    2,241,560    1,426,852    61.1%   38.9%      2,810,173    1,327,044    1,483,129    47.2%   52.8%
      Wisconsin                   2,939,006    1,553,843    1,385,163    52.9%   47.1%      2,632,067    1,244,858    1,387,209    47.3%   52.7%      2,333,860    1,004,320    1,329,540    43.0%   57.0%
    West North Central Division  13,296,915    5,556,181    7,740,734    41.8%   58.2%     12,544,249    4,725,880    7,818,369    37.7%   62.3%     11,637,921    3,866,922    7,770,999    33.2%   66.8%
      Minnesota                   2,563,953    1,257,616    1,306,337    49.0%   51.0%      2,387,125    1,051,593    1,335,532    44.1%   55.9%      2,075,708      850,294    1,225,414    41.0%   59.0%
      Iowa                        2,470,939      979,292    1,491,647    39.6%   60.4%      2,404,021      875,495    1,528,526    36.4%   63.6%      2,224,771      680,054    1,544,717    30.6%   69.4%
      Missouri                    3,629,367    1,859,119    1,770,248    51.2%   48.8%      3,404,055    1,586,903    1,817,152    46.6%   53.4%      3,293,335    1,393,705    1,899,630    42.3%   57.7%
      North Dakota                  680,845      113,306      567,539    16.6%   83.4%        646,872       88,239      558,633    13.6%   86.4%        577,056       63,236      513,820    11.0%   89.0%
      South Dakota                  692,849      130,907      561,942    18.9%   81.1%        636,547      101,872      534,675    16.0%   84.0%        583,888       76,469      507,419    13.1%   86.9%
      Nebraska                    1,377,963      486,107      891,856    35.3%   64.7%      1,296,372      405,293      891,079    31.3%   68.7%      1,192,214      310,852      881,362    26.1%   73.9%
      Kansas                      1,880,999      729,834    1,151,165    38.8%   61.2%      1,769,257      616,485    1,152,772    34.8%   65.2%      1,690,949      492,312    1,198,637    29.1%   70.9%
    South Region                 37,857,633   12,904,248   24,953,385    34.1%   65.9%     33,125,803    9,300,055   23,825,748    28.1%   71.9%     29,389,330    6,622,658   22,766,672    22.5%   77.5%
    South Atlantic Division      15,793,589    5,698,122   10,095,467    36.1%   63.9%     13,990,272    4,336,482    9,653,790    31.0%   69.0%     12,194,895    3,092,153    9,102,742    25.4%   74.6%
      Delaware                      230,380      123,146      115,234    51.7%   48.3%        223,003      120,767      102,236    54.2%   45.8%        202,322       97,085      105,237    48.0%   52.0%
      Maryland                    1,631,526      974,869      656,657    59.8%   40.2%      1,449,661      869,422      580,239    60.0%   40.0%      1,295,346      658,192      637,154    50.8%   49.2%
      District of Columbia          486,869      486,869       -        100.0%    0.0%        437,571      437,571       -        100.0%    0.0%        331,069      331,069       -        100.0%    0.0%
      Virginia                    2,421,851      785,537    1,636,314    32.4%   67.6%      2,309,187      673,984    1,635,203    29.2%   70.8%      2,061,612      476,529    1,585,083    23.1%   76.9%
      West Virginia               1,729,205      491,504    1,237,701    28.4%   71.6%      1,463,701      369,007    1,094,694    25.2%   74.8%      1,221,119      228,242      992,877    18.7%   81.3%
      North Carolina              3,170,276      809,847    2,360,429    25.5%   74.5%      2,559,123      490,370    2,068,753    19.2%   80.8%      2,206,287      318,474    1,887,813    14.4%   85.6%
      South Carolina              1,738,765      371,080    1,367,685    21.3%   78.7%      1,683,724      293,987    1,389,737    17.5%   82.5%      1,515,400      224,832    1,290,568    14.8%   85.2%
      Georgia                     2,908,506      895,492    2,013,014    30.8%   69.2%      2,895,832      727,859    2,167,973    25.1%   74.9%      2,609,121      538,650    2,070,471    20.6%   79.4%
      Florida                     1,468,211      759,778      708,433    51.7%   48.3%        968,470      353,515      614,955    36.5%   63.5%        752,619      219,080      533,539    29.1%   70.9%
    East South Central Division   9,887,214    2,778,687    7,108,527    28.1%   71.9%      8,893,307    1,994,207    6,899,100    22.4%   77.6%      8,409,901    1,574,229    6,835,672    18.7%   81.3%
      Kentucky                    2,614,589      799,026    1,815,563    30.6%   69.4%      2,416,630      633,543    1,783,087    26.2%   73.8%      2,289,905      555,442    1,734,463    24.3%   75.7%
      Tennessee                   2,616,556      896,538    1,720,018    34.3%   65.7%      2,337,885      611,226    1,726,659    26.1%   73.9%      2,184,789      441,045    1,743,744    20.2%   79.8%
      Alabama                     2,646,248      744,273    1,901,975    28.1%   71.9%      2,348,174      509,317    1,838,857    21.7%   78.3%      2,138,093      370,431    1,767,662    17.3%   82.7%
      Mississippi                 2,009,821      338,850    1,670,971    16.9%   83.1%      1,790,618      240,121    1,550,497    13.4%   86.6%      1,797,114      207,311    1,589,803    11.5%   88.5%
    West South Central Division  12,176,830    4,427,439    7,749,391    36.4%   63.6%     10,242,224    2,969,366    7,272,858    29.0%   71.0%      8,784,534    1,956,276    6,828,258    22.3%   77.7%
      Arkansas                    1,854,482      382,878    1,471,604    20.6%   79.4%      1,752,204      290,497    1,461,707    16.6%   83.4%      1,574,449      202,681    1,371,768    12.9%   87.1%
      Louisiana                   2,101,593      833,532    1,268,061    39.7%   60.3%      1,798,509      628,163    1,170,346    34.9%   65.1%      1,656,388      496,516    1,159,872    30.0%   70.0%
      Oklahoma                    2,396,040      821,681    1,574,359    34.3%   65.7%      2,028,283      538,017    1,490,266    26.5%   73.5%      1,657,155      318,975    1,338,180    19.2%   80.8%
      Texas                       5,824,715    2,389,348    3,435,367    41.0%   59.0%      4,663,228    1,512,689    3,150,539    32.4%   67.6%      3,896,542      938,104    2,958,438    24.1%   75.9%
    West Region                  12,323,800    7,198,579    5,125,221    58.4%   41.6%      9,213,889    4,773,403    4,440,486    51.8%   48.2%      7,082,051    3,390,941    3,691,110    47.9%   52.1%
    Mountain Division             3,701,789    1,457,922    2,243,867    39.4%   60.6%      3,336,101    1,217,988    2,118,113    36.5%   63.5%      2,633,517      944,863    1,688,654    35.9%   64.1%
      Montana                       537,606      181,036      356,570    33.7%   66.3%        548,889      172,011      376,878    31.3%   68.7%        376,053      133,420      242,633    35.5%   64.5%
      Idaho                         445,032      129,507      315,525    29.1%   70.9%        431,866      119,037      312,829    27.6%   72.4%        325,594       69,898      255,696    21.5%   78.5%
      Wyoming                       225,565       70,097      155,468    31.1%   68.9%        194,402       57,095      137,307    29.4%   70.6%        145,965       43,221      102,744    29.6%   70.4%
      Colorado                    1,035,791      519,882      515,909    50.2%   49.8%        939,629      453,259      486,370    48.2%   51.8%        799,024      402,192      396,832    50.3%   49.7%
      New Mexico                    423,317      106,816      316,501    25.2%   74.8%        360,350       64,960      295,390    18.0%   82.0%        327,301       46,571      280,730    14.2%   85.8%
      Arizona                       435,573      149,856      285,717    34.4%   65.6%        334,162      120,788      213,374    36.1%   63.9%        204,354       63,260      141,094    31.0%   69.0%
      Utah                          507,847      266,264      241,583    52.4%   47.6%        449,396      215,584      233,812    48.0%   52.0%        373,351      172,934      200,417    46.3%   53.7%
      Nevada                         91,058       34,464       56,594    37.8%   62.2%         77,407       15,254       62,153    19.7%   80.3%         81,875       13,367       68,508    16.3%   83.7%
    Pacific Division              8,622,011    5,740,657    2,881,354    66.6%   33.4%      5,877,788    3,555,415    2,322,373    60.5%   39.5%      4,448,534    2,446,078    2,002,456    55.0%   45.0%
      Washington                  1,563,396      884,539      678,857    56.6%   43.4%      1,356,621      742,801      613,820    54.8%   45.2%      1,141,990      605,530      536,460    53.0%   47.0%
      Oregon                        953,786      489,746      464,040    51.3%   48.7%        783,389      390,346      393,043    49.8%   50.2%        672,765      307,060      365,705    45.6%   54.4%
      California                  5,677,251    4,160,596    1,516,655    73.3%   26.7%      3,426,861    2,326,959    1,099,902    67.9%   32.1%      2,377,549    1,468,419      909,130    61.8%   38.2%
      Alaska                 *2      59,278        7,839       51,439    13.2%   86.8%         55,036        3,058       51,978     5.6%   94.4%         64,356        6,141       58,215     9.5%   90.5%
      Hawaii                        368,300      197,937      170,363    53.7%   46.3%        255,881       92,251      163,630    36.1%   63.9%        191,874       58,928      132,946    30.7%   69.3%

Proving Lawrence right.


 M1911 pistol, like the type that equipped the U.S. Army until the M9 Beretta, and which equipped a fair number of British officers, including T. E. Lawrence, through private purchase during World War One.

Archeologist have found a 230 gr .45 caliber bullet at Hallat Ammar, Saudi Arabia (it's literally on the Jordanian border)

So what you ask?

Well, that is a location which, in 1917, the Hashemite Arab Revolt ambushed and destroyed a Turkish train.  T. E. Lawrence wrote about it in his book Seven Pillars of Wisdom.

So, some would say, what's the big deal.  Wouldn't we expect bullets to be found at a place where combat had taken place?

Yes we would.

But almost as soon as the ink was dry on the Versailles Treaty people have begun to question T. E. Lawrence's role in the Arab Revolt.

And that's because his role loomed so large, the natural question was, was he the Arab Revolt?

The answer to that would be no, but frankly the Arab Revolt would have been a horribly muddled and inefficient affair, if not an outright disaster, without Lawrence.  He didn't start  the revolt, but he frankly did take a revolt that he found that wasn't doing well, reformed its nature, organized it, to include at least partially politically reorganizing it, and took it on to near success.

 Col. T. E. Lawrence

I say near success, as to the extent it wasn't successful is that, the Hashamites, having won that part of the war, lost the peace in very real terms. Rather than uniting the Hajez with Jordon and Syria, the whole thing fell apart in very real terms as the French took Syria and the Saudis, in fairly short order, took the Hajez.  The Hasmites continue on in Jordon, of course, and they received Iraq as a consulation prize, but Iraq is about he worst prize in the box of Middle Easter Cracker Jacks that a person could conceivably get.

Now, why wold anyone doubt Lawrence's role?

Well, there are a lot of reasons.

Lawrence himself contributed to this a bit.

Lawrence was an enigmatic man, to say the least.  A  lively archeologist before the war, he turned out to be a natural military genius, perhaps aided a bit by his extensive study of the Crusades.  Warfare tends to be warfare, irrespective of the era.

But he wasn't comfortable with that role even during the war, and particularly after enduring an assault by a Turkish officer while briefly a prisoner.  He developed what today we'd recognize as a titanic case of Post Traumatic Stress Disorder and he had a massive case of guilt on top of it.  Lawrence came from very devout, if strangely non observant in one fashion, Anglican Anglo-Irish parents and he struggled both with PTSD and with the knowledge that he had, in part due to his own fascination with his goal, deceived both the Arabs and the British in his efforts.   He never got over it.

And in not getting over it, while he wrote a brilliant account of it which turns out more and more to have been very accurate, he obfuscated some details that he could have been clearer on, on military details, and he spent all the rest of his life, after the peace negotiations, hiding, more or less.

But that's far from the only reason.

A second reason is that he was so stunningly successful, and the Arabs have had to live with that.

That may sound odd, but in the history of revolutions, there's rarely an example of where such an insular people have so successfully been lead by a foreigner to whom  they own nearly all the success.  During our revolution, for example, we had the aid of French, German and Polish military men, but they didn't lead our entire army.  Lawrence basically did that for the Arabs. They were doing badly before he started that, and their success came under him, and is really attributable to him.

That's been a heavy burden for the Arabs ever since.

If the Arabs themselves can't really claim the mantle of success for their independence what does that do for their image? Are they even real countries?

 Sayyid Hussein bin Ali, Sharif and Emir of Mecca, King of Hejaz, and self declared Caliph.

Clearly, the Arab nations are real countries, but the whole thing is highly related to British efforts and even the countries that came to exist did so due to what the British did, and didn't do.  The King of Jordan today is the king as the British allowed a Hashemite to be king.  Iraq is a country as the English, perhaps mistakenly, decided it would be.  Syria is a nation as the British acquiesced to French control of Syria and French creation of Lebanon (with some indication that hte French might actually fight the British for both of those).  Kuwait is a country as the British decided that their monarchical leaders ought to be, instead of being part of Iraq.  Saudi Arabia is a state as it was a client, albeit not a good one, of India when India was part of the Empire, and the British decide not to back the Hajez against the House of Saud for some reason.  Everyone in that scenario, except the House of Saud, owes a debt, therefore, to a war time colonel in the British army.

 Prince Feisel, with aids, including Lawrence, at the peace talks.  The black man in the back row is likely a slave, slavery still being practiced amongst the Arabs at that time.  If not a slave, he's certainly a retainer of Feisel's.  Feisel became the King of Iraq.  He died ostensibly of a heart attack at age 48, but poisoning remains suspected.

And amongst the people whom gave birth to Islam, Lawrence provides a problematic reminder that the Arabs have often not really been all that observant of Muslims.  Today, in no small part due to events since 1970, we tend to think of all Middle Eastern people as being devout Muslims, but this is far from true. Amongst the Muslims themselves, even the Arabs have tended not to exhibit the sort of fanatic singular devotion, all of the time, that we associate with groups like ISIL today.  T. E. Lawrence was a Christian leading an Arab army whose seat of power was Mecca. That's a pretty stunning thought.  The Arabs themselves were in rebellion against the Otttoman Turks, whose leader was theoretically a Caliph and who had declared the Turkish effort a jihad.

Mehmed V, who was the Caliph during World War One.  He died in 1918 before the war ended, at age 73.

Abdulmecid II, the last Caliph of the Ottoman Empire.  He's live in exile in France after his position was abolished by the Ottoman parliament.

And he lead them very well.  And was not alone in being a singular English Arab advisor to the Arab forces.  Indeed, the English would continue to play a role in Arab forces right up until the mid 1950s. English officers served with the Jordanian Arab Legion during the 1948 Arab Israeli War.

Well, history is what it is.  And in spite of the embarrassment of some, and the wish that things might have been otherwise by others, we should take it as we find it.

And, perhaps fittingly, we re-find Lawrence the way he found Arabia. . . through archeology.

Thursday, April 21, 2016

And now Uranium

In the just can't catch a break department, Cameco, a uranium producer, announced it was laying off 85 employees in Wyoming and Nebraska due to depressed uranium prices.  Prices fell in 2011 due to the Fukushima Daiichi incident in which it was damaged due to a 9.0 scale earthquake in Japan.

Stuff like this shows the weird things that nuclear power, which is incredibly safe, has to contend with.  There aren't any forms of electrical power generation that do not resort in injuries and deaths.  Not to pick on coal, but it's certainly the case that there are a lot more coal mining and coal power plant injuries in a year than there are such incidents from nuclear power plants and Uranium mining.

And uranium offers a means of generating power that's actually really green compared to generating methods that rely on fossil fuels. 

No matter, the weird sort of view that people have of such things has condemned nuclear generation to a seemingly increasingly marginal role.  Just like hydroelectric power, it addresses most of the complaint that people have with other forms of electrical generation, but the opponents of nuclear power can't see past the radioactive glow that haunted the imagination since the Cold War.

So, while it has nothing at all to do with what's plaguing coal, a price decline, like for petroleum oil, is causing layoffs in an industry that once showed great promise in the 1960 and 70s for Wyoming.

The Casper Weekly Press for Good Friday, April 21, 1916


Blog Mirror: Matthew Wright: What if Germany won the First World War? Would we have avoided Hitler?

Matthew Wright continues his conterfactual examination of the Great War:

What if Germany won the First World War? Would we have avoided Hitler?

I posted the other day about the way Germany nearly won the First World War in spring 1918. . .